BANK
GBPUSD IDEAS (SHORT)Whats up guys, back with another idea babyyyy, been dealing with some stuff is why im absent yet again. Life has been crazy but thats what makes us wiser, but lets hop right into this one:
So as we can see, GBP has taken an extended drop and we can clearly see this from the hourly chart. Price wasnt being decisive about dropping until the very end of the trading morning. This being said, we see the price is below the 2 EMA's i have marked on the chart.
It would make sense for us to have short targets rather than long, until we have a solid accumulation zone at a lower support. But until that support is found, we can continue to search for shorts along the wave of this move. I havent been giving my all to my trades and from this point on im going to be spot on because i wat to grow with you guys as better traders. So im going to be doing my best to pump out these ideas as well as start a telegram where traders can share ideas and just collaborate. That way we have an environment full of traders learning and carving their way along this path.
Stay tuned for my next ideas, we going stupid precision fam.
TRADE SMART AND TRADE ACCURATE GUYS SEE YOU SOON!!
Capitec Analysis Another positive week for Capitec as we race to the R 1300 share price.
Seems that it is on its way to pre covid prices and hopefully the share price can grow from there. Long term still looking very strong and this minor dip could be a good opportunity to increase shareholdings.
Im terms of numbers, for now we are looking to comfortably surpass R 1300, with the eventual goal being the peak at R 1500.
Banks Predicting a Crash!This is an updated version of the multi-year topping pattern of the S&P 500 I've posted a few times now. The previous post is linked below in Related Ideas.
The situation today adds to the previous update... we've continued the massive rally, extending this historic bull market even farther and poking over the megaphone top. We've recently had some downside and fallen back into the pattern. The recent rally has extended the downside target of the megaphone pattern even lower. Interestingly the predicted downside target now points right to the lows of the 2000 tech crash and the 2008 financial crisis.
Do I still think we're headed into a bear market and likely below the bottom of the Megaphone? YES! There is no rational argument for the market continuing higher. Bull markets eventually die and bear markets are born. This is true even if the Robinhood traders are too young to have ever seen a bear market.
Despite a terrible economic environment due to covid, everyone is long and chasing momo-stocks like TSLA and AAPL expecting the Fed to prevent any downside. Everyone has so ignored the potential downside and are long on margin, that brokers have started forcing a bit of restraint recently by increasing margin maintenance requirements (which restricts lending to traders). A similar thing happened as the 2000 tech crash started.
In addition to the brokers tightening lending, banks are also tightening lending and that's an even bigger indicator of an upcoming bear market. To see the clear pattern of bank tightening into bear markets, below is a chart of Federal Reserve data on bank tightening going back to 1995. Every time bank lending tightening goes above 40% or so, there has been a bear market and related crash. This year bank tightening for loans has shot up to over 70% and yet the equity market hasn't caught on yet.
See an image of data at the below link (or go to fred.stlouisfed.org search on "tightening" and find it yourself). The blue and red lines are bank tightening standards for small and large firms. The green line is the Wilshire 5000 to show what the equity market was doing at the time. Look at what happens when we get bank tightening spikes--NOT GOOD:
imgur.com (click on the image itself to make it bigger)
So it's not just me who sees a bad economic environment, it's most of banking (including brokerages). And they are doing something about it--they are making it harder to borrow, reducing their own risk. These bank actions not only suggests a bear market is coming, it can cause a bear market. The reduction of bank lending takes money out of the economy (as banks are responsible for most of the credit creation into the economy) and that can CAUSE a deflationary contraction just by itself.
This is long term data, so there's no specific timing on this. But the tightening has already happened and has not remotely started to decline. The economy is only continuing along due to government stimulus. Once a bear starts the market can decline for years. I'm surprised the market hasn't already crashed, but IMO a bear market can arrive at any time. Anyone chasing stocks higher at this point (especially on leverage) is nuts, again in my opinion.
In addition all the indexes look like hell with obvious double tops formed or forming. But that's a shorter-term comment for another post...
Asian paints gave easy 2% returnthings I have learnt
1. Paper trading is different than real trading
2. discipline and risk management is the only key
3. find the convenient setup according to you and work hell out of it.
CONNECT WITH ME THROUGH THE LINK IN PRICING TO JOIN THIS LONELY JOURNEY OF STOCK TRADING AND YET PROFITABLE LIKE HELL
GBPJPY SUPPLY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS HIGH VOLUMEGBPJPY SUPPLY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS HIGH VOLUME. Identifying high volume levels is very important. The reason behind this is because in high volume levels there are unfilled orders from the banks which are pending to be activated once price returns to that area. My trading is based off 4h with high level zones.
Federal Bank is bullish for short trendWe have confirmation on three basis points here :
1. Uptrend so only buy position.
2. Broken structure zone with good volume.
3. Retest or last kiss checked on 1H time frame.
4. Bullish as on 4H time frame three green soldiers are visible.
Action-Plan : Enter at current price and trail the stop loss to the above resistance zone if it breaks it. Safe traders can exit at upper structure and aggressive can hold but trail stop loss.
Risk Reward is almost 1.89 on the upside.
"Keep hustling and making small losses to ride the big profits"
What is support of Indusind bank?Here in indusind bank one trade may be start.
So in indusind we can make bullish position for week as well as long term....
My own SL :-
For week :- 580
For long term :- 500
Note :- Do not go with my advice , study a trade !
Hello i am Zeel Goswami,
Here on my profile you can get best positional & swing trade
So you can follow me for bullish ideas
Thank you
Uj Bears vs bullsRaging right about now but I feel like if it breaks through the floor then it’s going to hit the take profit so I suggest buy now in the rage and put your stop above the ceiling so your stop is little and your reward is high and you enter at discount price or you can enter when it break through the liquidity and put your stop as the new ceiling a lil above it so then you know that’s just a fake if it take you out to get the stops then ride back up or if it don’t take u out it’s going to continue to ride untill the second tp for a good risk to reward ratio
#Rescue packages ahead or #Bankruptcy wave #Banks #RevolutionChart technical target already processed.
In my opinion, wave targets should be searched lower.
1. either massive bank failure ahead with bail-ins or
2. massive rescue packages from the ECB.
I bet that ECB will buy bank shares massively and issues uncovered blank checks within the EURO system.
What comes to my mind?
I have to buy more gold and silver shares again.
Greeting from Hannover
Stefan Bode