BANK
🔥 Bitcoin To $100k This Year? Rising From The Ashes Of BanksIn this analysis I want to talk about the possibility of Bitcoin going to 100k this year. This is a speculative analysis, but still based on real-world macro. Take it with a grain of salt.
Bitcoin going to 100k in the middle of a banking and inflation crisis, with a FED that's increasing the interest rates? I would've said it's impossible. Not only that, but it's in stark contrast with the usual 4-year halving cycles.
However, something has changed over the last months. In March, during the Silicon Valley Bank's crisis, we saw a massive bullish move. This had to do with the fact that people lost confidence in (regional) banks, and decided to get self-custody over their own money and buy Bitcoin (and gold). Since then, BTC has been trading bullish alongside Gold, hedging against the risk of further banking failures.
More banks have gone under over the last few days. Signature Bank and First Republic bank went down and had to be sold and/or saved. 3/4 of the biggest banks that ever went under, went under in 2023.
While the stock markets sold off over the last few days, BTC gained strength. Most notable was the reaction after the interest rate hike yesterday. The SP500 fell from a cliff, whilst Bitcoin saw a huge move upwards.
Check out the analysis below where I go more into detail on why this seemingly inverse relationship exists:
Albeit a small probability, I think that the idea of BTC going to 100k this year is not even that far-fetched. In my eyes, the banking sector is far from safe, especially now that the FED has increased the interest rates yet again and is very unlikely to reduce the rates in the coming months. More banks failing means more risk to your money, means more people buying BTC and gaining self-custody over their own money.
And yes, more banks are failing as we speak. PacWest Bancorp has seen a 75% drop since the first of May.
Smaller, regional banks falling are bullish, but won't get BTC to 100k. There is a possibility of the largest banks failing, think JPMorgan or Bank of America. And if they do, we can experience a massive influx of buying that we've never seen before, purely based on fear.
In normal circumstances, the FED will aggressively cut the interest rates and start printing money to safe the banks. They can't really do that anymore because it will cause inflation. However, they most likely will because saving one of the largest US banks is going to be more important than inflation, at least in the short-term.
In case you enjoyed this analysis, please give it a like. Feel free to share your thoughts below 🙏.
ZION Zions Bancorporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of ZION Zions Bancorporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing
Puts with a HKEX:25 strike price and an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $4.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
US DOLLAR GONNA DOWNFALL ?As we see, the USD technically show a several hint for bearish movement. The trendline create a breakout and another one of trendline show as a resistance of us dollar price. For this month expected the US dollar will make a downfall running. Ensure that you always need to update about the Us news before trade, Happy Trade everyone!!!
SI Silvergate Capital going to $0???If you haven`t sold crypto`s favorite bank, SI Silvergate, here:
Then you should know that Silvergate Capital Corp, the parent company of Silvergate Bank, announced its closure and liquidation of assets on Wednesday.
Shortly after, New York state banking regulators closed down Signature Bank to prevent the fallout from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank.
Lawyers representing plaintiffs in a class action lawsuit by FTX customers against 18 defendants, including Signature and Silvergate, claim that these events will severely limit the amount of money they can access if they can prove the banks are responsible.
Kerry Miller of Fishman Haygood, whose firm filed the lawsuit in Miami federal court, stated that FTX customers may have to rely on insurance policies covering the banks' top executives and board members since these events impose another hurdle.
Haven`t seen any bidders for it, or other banks supporting SI SIlvergate.
Most likely to file for bankruptcy and go to $0.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
JPM JPMorgan Chase Call OptionsIf you haven`t sold JPM here:
or here:
then you should know that JPM JPMorgan Chase seems to be most capitalized bank in the US, ready for the economic hurricane that its CEO, Jamie Dimon, predicted.
Most business and retail clients will move their funds to JPM after this bank run.
Looking at the JPM JPMorgan Chase options chain, I would buy the $140 strike price Calls with
2023-7-21 expiration date for about
$3.95 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BAC Bank of America Medium Term OptionsI think BAC Bank of America is one of the few beneficiaries of the small banks bank run that we are witnessing today.
Big banks are the safest places where you can place your money right now.
Looking at the BAC Bank of America options chain, i would buy the $30 strike price Calls with
2024-1-19 expiration date for about
$2.85 premium.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
WFC...DT (8M/10H)ADDTIONAL INFO:
Big Picture appears to be a downtrend. Here are a few opportunities to capture the short
If you don't have access to leverage to short, then I'd just wait for the opportunity to Buy @ 6.85 — which will, unfortunately, take a few years. But you should be ready by then...LOL.
SLO @ 46.25
SSO @ 37.70
TP1 @ 33.50
TP2 @ 25.80
TP3 @ 8.00
BLO @ 6.85
signature bank. SBNY$SBNY market maker has to get paid. Stoploss hunt is in order, if this baby is gonna go up. So highest volume trading is 0.1840. Lately the Market maker likes 0.18 for support, and 0.22 for profit taking. 18-22 right now. Not sure how far the mm wants to drop this. There is a liquidity candle down at .11. Anchored vwap support is .1530
Accumulation play for me. No stop.
CNO to continue in its selloff?CNO FINANCIAL GROUP - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 20.29 (stop at 21.31)
There is no indication that the selloff is coming to an end.
The move lower is mixed and volatile, common in corrective sequences.
A break of the recent low at 20.36 should result in a further move lower.
Daily signals are bearish.
News events could adversley affect the short term technical picture.
Our profit targets will be 17.81 and 17.31
Resistance: 22.00 / 22.61 / 23.00
Support: 21.20 / 20.36 / 20.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
GBPJPY Technical Analysis 29.03.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed weak Bearish forming weak Daily Resistance around 161.540.
– Buys on close above 161.770 targeting 30min previous Support formed on 22nd March 2023 at 162.240, Leaving Runners to the next 30min previous Support formed on 22nd March 2023 at 162.600.
– Sells on close below 161.180 targeting 4h Support at 160.850, Leaving Runners to the next 4h Support formed at 160.170
– Buy targets remained the same as the Analysis posted yesterday (Tuesday) as price have respected the level of Resistance marked on the chart.
Will Morgan Stanley Bank continue in selloff?Morgan Stanley - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 83.18 (stop at 86.32)
Short term bias has turned negative.
There is no indication that the selloff is coming to an end.
This stock fell 6.5 % last week.
A break of the recent low at 83.28 should result in a further move lower.
Short term MACD has turned negative.
Our profit targets will be 75.33 and 73.33
Resistance: 89.18 / 92.00 / 93.50
Support: 87.00 / 83.28 / 81.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
FRC First Republic Bank Price TargetFRC First Republic Bank received uninsured deposits of $30 billion on Mar 16, 2023, from 11 banks of the country: Bank of America Corporation BAC, Citigroup Inc. C, JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, PNC Bank, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of New York Mellon, State Street, Truist, and U.S. Bank.
I know it`s a risky trade, but i believe this recue package puts it in a lot better situation that CS Credit Suisse Group.
My price target for FRC First Republic Bank is at least $30.30 and maybe $52.20.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
XAUUSD Market ViewThe price movement approaching the resistance area with decreasing liquidity indicates a reduced enthusiasm of market participants to buy. This is also supported by the decreased concerns caused by the Silicon Valley Bank & Signature Bank incident. Therefore, it can be concluded to prepare for a selling position.