Will Nifty rally continues? Is Nifty 20000 possible this year? Hi, as per my previous post our primary target was hit today and nifty showing upward pressure after going down to 38%. Will it rise further? Yes! Of course it can retest the previous day's high, exactly 78% of the Fibonacci ratio from the low created today. According to Elliott 5 wave movements, this can be the first phase of the 5th wave of the trend that started from November 10. But if you want to confirm it, it should goes up from the current all time high. There is a possibility that the market will come down from the resistance levels marked above between 18800 and 18900.
If Nifty falls from that zone short positions can be taken for a few days. Also, if Nifty fails to hold above 18500 level, then our second target will soon become possible in this scenario.
Please understand that nothing I tell you about market potential is a 100% guarantee.
BANK
Bank Nifty-Weekly ViewsThe Bank Nifty managed to post a new ATH. Past week saw a range 750+ points of consolidation. The components displayed mixed action on individual stocks We see the Index continuing to move in a channel with top at 44200 and lower end at 42600. Till we see a close below 42600 the trend is considered as bullish. The Bank Nifty has achieved the first Fib projection of 43400 and the next target is 44960. When and how is the question. Will there be a pullback prior to this? However, there may be hurdles at 43600-43800 range. This week is crucial to see whether the Bank Nifty breaks the barrier and makes another new high or breaks down. We can assume that the trend still remains positive till we see a close below the trend line support at 41900. It appears that the Bank Nifty is likely to continue in a wider range of 42600-44200 with 43200 as pivot and a breach and close above or below could see the next range of 800 points. For now, Bank Nifty continues to be in a trading range. A daily close outside the broader range indicated above would require re-evaluation. It is worth noting that for any correction first requirement would be a daily close below 42700.
Note: Though the market has not seen any major sell-off in this segment, a bit of slowdown in the pace of advancement and a tuff barrier seen around 43500-800 range. Need to exercise caution. Possible that the valuation of PSU banks still not very attractive for dis-investment arguments.
Disclaimer: The views expressed here are personal and not connected to SYFX Treasury Foundation. The views are for learning and reference purpose only.
USDJPY trailing stops, EURJPY short comingThe yen’s up by nearly 8% against a correcting dollar, and by more than 10% against all the Latam currencies which have been the best FX performers this year. Back in 1998, USD/JPY was halfway through a correction that took it almost back to 100, after rallying from just above 100 to just below 1 150 in1996/1997, and then falling back in 1998/1999. A cynic might point out that US/JPY has averaged 108 over the last 30 years, gyrating in the 75-150 range. All sound and fury, but not actually signifying much! Purchasing Power Parity was never of any use for forecasting but on that basis, USD/JPY was, until a few weeks ago, a chapter relative to the dollar than it has been at any point since the end of Bretton Woods. Over 50 years, USD/JPY has averaged 150, PPP has averaged 170. A 20% JPY overvaluation. From there 40% undervalued is an extreme move and while we can understand why it happened, the potential for a whipsaw correction similar in magnitude to what we saw in 1998/1999, 2002/2004, 2007/2011, or 2016, is clear. Japanese investors have been significant sellers of foreign bonds this quarter, hardly surprising but a positive for the yen on days when geopolitics, energy prices, and the BOJs current policy stance aren’t dominating the market. The story this morning (and catalyst for the yen’s bid, focuses on anti-Covid-Zero protests in China, which have punctured some of the re-opening optimism and hurt risk-sensitive currencies everywhere but AIUD, NZD, and KRW in particular. AUD wasn’t helped by weak retail sales., either. The euro started slowly but has found a bid amid ongoing slightly hawkish ECB rhetoric. Ahead, we have CPI data this week (Germany tomorrow, EZ on Wednesday) and we expect lower core inflation for the Eurozone, and I’m not confident of a break in EUR/USD 1.05 (which would drag money into the euro) but will be watching. EUR/GBP is currently failing to break lower, which may mean GBP short covering is all but complete, though sentiment is bad enough to prove sterling with more support than it deserves. The rest of the week will see attention on Friday’s labor market data in the US and Canada, month-end, and football. © Sociéte Genérale
The USDJPY has been falling along with yield curves and oil. The yen is clearly strengthening as the drag effect of monetary policy and the energy crisis wains. But it could also be the canary in the coal mine that reflects the market's mood around China and the disruptions happening there. The yen is a safe haven currency and usually, the yen is the indicator that not all is well in the world. Though the US dollar has been the ultimate safe haven due to the rate differentials. The market is trying to tell us something.
The EURJPY is about to follow the USDJPY and this means we could potentially have a trend trade about to start.
BAC - SHORT TERM CORRECTIONShares of Bank of America Corp rose 4.41% Thursday, on what proved to be an all-around favorable trading session for the stock market. The performance of the stock was mixed when compared to some of its competitors
In a short term, a correction is expected to the 0.5 Fibo level with a $34 price target. Further correction is possible as well. 2nd support is located at $31.
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Regions Financial (RF) BearishI am not certified or licensed by any individual or institution to give financial or investment advice.
I believe Regions Financial (RF) is continuing a downtrend and is currently testing Resistance. I purchased a couple puts. Solid yellow line indicates price of stock when puts were purchased.
As usual I keep it simple ...major levels markedyes we are in uptrend but to be cautious is not wrong at all. all im gonna say that I will keep my bias neutral for tomorrow. I will patiently wait for any of my horizontal support or resistance to be broken. all we need to do is just follow the price. DO take note traders due to today's holiday the premium will decay fast so be careful on that part.
Best of luck Traders.
Happy expiry.
October 19 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
Bitcoin is down 1.81% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $19,091.97. The largest cryptocurrency broke below the 20-day exponential moving average ($19,410), suggesting the seller remains active at the higher levels. The RSI is near the midpoint, suggesting a balance between supply and demand. For now, the bulls need to push the price above the 20-day exponential moving average in order to prevent further decline.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
Silvergate Capital Release Q3 Earnings Report
Crypto bank Silvergate Capital released its third-quarter earnings statement Tuesday. The bank reported EPS of $1.28 in its third-quarter earnings presentation, compared with analysts’ consensus estimate of $1.41 via S&P Capital IQ. Silvergate's shares subsequently fell about 20%. Transfers via Silvergate’s real-time settlement network totaled $112.6 billion in the third quarter, which represents a 41% decrease compared with the previous three-month period and a 30% decline from the third quarter of 2021.
Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
EUR / CHF LONG - Potential trend changeAfter we have been in a downtrend in the EUR/CHF pair for quite some time, I expect a potential trend change.
- the existing rally in the DXY could come to an end in the near future, which would ease the pressure on the EUR.
I provide the idea with the consideration of rules of "SUPPLY&DEMAND" theory, which focuses on market influence of banks.
The market moves when banks open positions:
- in our case it is a LONG position - of banks / large investors.
- by buying, retail investors were forced to liquidate their SHORT positions = "positions were bought" = "buying cascade".
The banks need more than one run-up to fill their position "100%" due to their position size.
- the next run-up could be into the 0.88 FIBO in my opinion, so that the banks get a similar purchase price. (Level combined with DEMAND.)
- the retail investors will not expect a trend reversal and will open more SHORT positions, allowing the banks to get the liquidity they need.
If the SL level (stop loss) I set is broken, we can expect a further sell-off. (Should it not be a fake-out).
- There are on the time levels 1-4h large "DEMAND" zones at entry, which should bring about a reaction.
- The banks are not interested in the price falling below their EC, so they will defend this level.
If you disagree, feel free to let me know - I am still in the learning process.
Thank you and happy trading!
Bank Nifty levels for 14 Oct 2022Good morning 🌞
Have a profitable day 💰👍🏻
Morning Market Update 14 Oct 2022
SGX NIFTY is indicating a Positive opening
👉 SGX NIFTY is trading at 17252 up by 295 points
👉 US futures are in Green
👉 ASIAN Market is in Green
👉 USDINR at 82.18
In Nifty 17000 PE and 17000 CE have high Open Interest in weekly
In BankNifty 38500 PE and 39000 CE have high Open Interest in weekly
👉 Asia-Pac Stocks Are Higher And Take Impetus From The Gains On Wall St Which Staged An Aggressive Comeback Amid Several Factors Including A Dovish ECB Staff Model View, UK U-Turn Speculation And A Touted Short Squeeze; ASX 200 (+1.5%), Nikkei 225 (+2.3%), KOSPI (+1.5%)
👉 STOCKS TO WATCH:
INFOSYS, ANGEL ONE, POWER MECH, MINDTREE, COAL, HDFC LIFE, CYIENT, ANAND RATHI, DEN NETWORKS, TATA STEEL LONG, RELIANCE, KPI GREEN
👉 Stocks Ban In F&O: Delta Corp, Indiabulls Hsg
My view today 👇
we can see some profit booking in first 1 hour. Nifty above 17280 levels is good for longs and Bank Nifty 39300 levels above is good for longs
Bank Nifty Levels for 12 oct 2022Good morning 🌞
Have a profitable day 💰👍🏻
Pre-Market Report 12 Oct 2022
SGX NIFTY is indicating a Flat opening
👉 SGX NIFTY is trading at 16964.5 up by 0.14%
👉 US futures are in RED
👉 ASIAN Market is in RED
👉 USDINR at 82.31
In Nifty 17000 PE and 17200 CE have high Open Interest in weekly
In Bank Nifty 38500 PE and 39000 CE have high Open Interest in weekly
👉 Asia-Pac Stocks Begin Subdued Following The Choppy Performance And Late Selling Stateside After BoE Governor Bailey Rejected Calls For An Extension To Gilt Purchases Beyond The Friday Deadline; ASX 200 (-0.1%), Nikkei 225 (-0.2%), KOSPI (-0.1%)
👉 STOCKS TO WATCH:
DELTA CORP, KIRLOSKAR ELECTRIC, L&T FINANCE, GENESYS INTL, SPANDANA SPHOORTY, SUZLON, TCS, RELIANCE, DLF, GUJARAT PIPAVAV
👉 Stocks Ban In F&O: Delta Corp, Indiabulls Hsg, India Cement
My view today 👉 Any gap up will again get correction today, I will look for a selling opportunity.
Trading Idea - #DeutscheBankMy trading idea for Deutsche Bank - Buy / LONG
Target: EUR 12.00 (+40% profit)
The recent valuation of the banking sector in Europe should lead to higher price targets across the industry.
Deutsche Bank should also be among the winners as rising interest rates create favourable business conditions.
From a chart perspective, the price of the Deutsche Bank share has broken the downward trend. The price is currently consolidating above the EUR 8.00 mark with a rising trend.