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HDFCBANK : Cup & Holder at Weekly chart // Bull run start?www.tradingview.com HDFCBANK : After a long years of consolidation started in Jan-21, now about to breakout through Cup & Handle Pattern. Here are few pointers for the pattern's stability: 1. Pattern is made on weekly chart which is substantially large time frame. 2. Consolidation time is very long ...almost touching 4-years. 3. RSI is at 80 which is extremely bullish. 4. Momentum / ADX is too bullish. 5. All institutional analyst are bullish The investment target can be atleast 45% up move in next 12 months period from current price level.
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by Stox_Ware
UBS (UBSG): Too Big to Fail?Remember this analysis from over four months ago? We didn't place a limit order at that time (which is why it's greyed out), but if you followed our setup during the livestream back then, congratulations! The chart reacted beautifully at the desired level, just as we anticipated. In my opinion, this is a great-looking chart, showing a strong reaction at a key level. I'm now looking for some long plays on UBS to gain some exposure to the Swiss market. UBS is a relatively safe stock, which is a good thing to have during phases of uncertainty. The worst-case scenario would be a banking crash, but we believe UBS is still too big to fail. As long as it maintains this status, we like it. I'll send out a limit order once I find a good setup. For now, I wouldn't recommend any FOMO into this stock, as it could be a dead cat bounce, but we'll closely monitor it for you.
SIX:UBSGLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
US Bank about to implode! Regional Banking is gonna take a hit!First you have the FDIC come out and say no matter what we can whether a large US Bank failure - out of nowhere! Japan is stuck in a corner, can't sell bonds to defend its currency, and can't raise rates enough. Like every Central Bank they're stuck. So now a large US bank will be "allowed" to fail that will give Powell the excuse to cut rates - leading to a large reinflation boost (precious metals). Biden even hinted at rates coming down in July so this regional bank implosion has to happen soon. I don't see banking in the USA doing good long term because the banking structure needs to be consolidated to isolate and do away with cash so they can bring out CBDC's. At that point banks will be "stakeholders" which is fancy speak for fascist government control over corporations, but from an international level. Also, TTM Squeeze indicator is loaded on every TF except Monthly, which showed that it already went off and is gathering steam for the next leg down in the breakout, but a very powerful move since this is signaling on the weekly chart.
AMEX:KREShort
by EmptyEternity
1
Operator Game in HDFC Bank HDFC Bank in the Month of Jan had a Major Crash falling from 1712 levels to 1363 and it broke down below Long Term Parallel Channel Around Jan last week - RBI directed LIC to take a big stake in HDFC bank, but there was absolutely no reaction in the price and it was still sustaining below the Parallel Channel Price later took support at 1363 in the Month of Feb and triggered a retracement, but the increase in Mar and April was still not enough to bring the price inside the Parallel Channel Time passed till June - now its 2nd Quarter close below Trendline if HDFC DOES NOT recover inside the channel After Election - PSU Banks were expected to Rally, Defence and Railways were expected to Rally. Defence and Railways did rally for 2 weeks but stopped right after PSU banks - never took off - but Operators played a beautiful game by Stopping the funding to Defence, Railways, and other Small & Mid Caps and PUMPED in all the Money into HDFC which triggered a massive Rally on Nifty Private Bank Index Though there was NO Special NEWS on Private Bank sector - Why did it Rally suddenly ??? No New Investments, No messages from FM - then why ? Just To bring up HDFC money was pumped in and when a high tide comes it moves even a Stalled ship - similarly other Private Banks caught fire along with HDFC (Collateral Benefit) So - why did I say today morning that Private Banks & Particularly HDFC will be FLAT to Mild Negative ???? Because.... 1. HDFC came safely with the Parallel Channel - no more push required 2. HDFC met its previous ATH resistance 1712 and after a massive rally - I knew for sure they won't pump more to Breakout of the resistance Remember the Pump in was done to SAVE HDFC not to Breakout ATH The entire Private Bank Index was brought up JUST TO SAVE HDFC - Understand the Game now ? Next Week HDFC will fall - which will pull down Bank Nifty, Private Bank index more - Its NOT a correction but rather "GASPING for AIR" after a Hussain Bolt Sprint Now that no more money would be pumped into Private Banks, the focus would shift again towards Defence, Railways and Green Energy next week Was I able to Connect the Dots 2 Quarters before to what is happening on the ground till date ? I don't need to watch any News Channels / paper / Media / Fundamentals - Just by keeping Track of Charts and How Market Moves - I can decode such a long Operator Game How does this sound ??? Like my analysis ? Please do share your opinion
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by Stocks-n-Trends
1
Deutsche Bank AG (DB): Potential Sell-Off Ahead?Analyzing the Deutsche Bank AG on the German Stock Exchance XETR, we observe a repeating pattern involving two trend channels. In both instances, the trend channels were respected and behaved as expected. In the first case, the price exited the trend channel and then retested it almost perfectly. In the second instance, the price overshot the trend channel briefly with a wick above but quickly retraced back below it. This overshoot indicates significant weakness, suggesting a potential stronger sell-off in the near future. Zooming into the volume since 2020, we notice that the current range has seen low volume, indicating minimal buying interest at these levels. The buying interest appears to be much lower. Zooming into the Deutsche Bank AG 12h chart, we see that the level of the larger Wave (1) at €14.64 is being respected and held for now. However, we anticipate a sell-off down to the range between €13.50 and €12.50. Falling below this range is not expected, but if it occurs, the next likely support would be between €10.50 and €9.30. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it would be unfavorable if Wave 4 were to fall into the territory of Wave 1. While brief wicks below are acceptable, a prolonged stay in this range would not be ideal and is not our primary expectation. We also observe that the RSI is showing signs of being overbought. There is a bearish divergence forming, with a lower high on the RSI and a higher high on the price chart. This divergence suggests that the recent price movements might lead to further declines. In summary, while the €14.64 level is currently holding, we expect a potential sell-off to the €13.50 to €12.50 range. A further decline into the €10.50 to €9.30 range could occur but is less likely. The bearish RSI divergence supports this outlook, indicating potential downward pressure in the near term.
XETR:DBKLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
UBS Group (UBSG): A Golden Opportunity for Investors?UBS Group (UBSG): SIX:UBSG Considering that Switzerland is one of the first European countries potentially associated with interest rate cuts, sectors across the board, including the banking sector and specifically UBS Group, become quite intriguing. We've had to adjust and modify our analysis due to a breakout to the upside, suggesting a further upward trend before concluding the overarching trend. Please pay close attention if you're following along. We posit that Wave 2 concluded at 13.87 CHF, placing us in Wave 3. We anticipate the reemergence of subordinate Wave ((iv)), which, in this case, should find support between the 23.6% and 38.2% levels. Given that all previous Wave 4s in UBS Group's pattern have been short and swift, we expect a repetition of this pattern, suggesting no further significant drops. Should we indeed pivot at the 38.6% extension level of 28.55 CHF and begin to develop Wave ((v)), we will issue a limit order once we observe tangible weakness in the price action. If there's an additional climb, our zone will be accordingly adjusted upwards.
SIX:UBSGLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
BNGA: Banking's Bullish Outlook May PersistsHi Fellow Traders! The current trend indicates a bullish continuation pattern , characterized by the price making new highs and new lows. Following this, there is a significant breakout from the falling wedge pattern, accompanied by substantial trading volumes and the appearance of a bullish marubozu candlestick. Additionally, the Stochastic has also formed a golden cross in the oversold area, indicating the potential for an upward movement in BNGA. Through a comprehensive analysis of these technical factors, it is reasonable to conclude that BNGA is well-positioned to sustain its upward momentum and advance toward the target area. It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached. Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below! Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered as a recommendation to take a long or short position on IDX:BNGA ."
IDX:BNGALong
by financialfreedomgoals101
YES BANK RANGE BREAKOUT FROM ALL TIME LOW LEVELI Suggested this stock on 12th Nov 2023 at 19 level Entered at 19 Targets - 22,30,45,70+ 18% Returns Given 🚀💰 Best Penny stock to invest now Investment possible at CMP - 21.45 level if falls than average at 19 level @Jagadheesh_JP In this channel, I share my expertise in trading strategies, technical analysis, and market trends to help you make informed decisions in your trading ventures. Stay tuned for daily updates, in-depth market analyses, and real-time trading scenarios to witness firsthand how we transform from Zero to Hero in the trading world. My Only aim is to empower you with the knowledge and skills necessary to navigate the complexities of the financial markets successfully. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:YESBANKLong
by Jagadheesh_JP
4
MACRO MONDAY 32~The SLOOS~ Is Lending Increasing or decreasing?MACRO MONDAY 32 – The SLOOS Released Monday 5th Feb 2024 (for Q4 2023) Released quarterly, the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) is a survey of up to 80 large domestic banks and 24 branches of international banks to gain insight into credit, lending standards and bank practices. The Federal Reserve issues and collates these voluntary surveys. The surveys generally include 25 questions and a number of special questions about development in banking practices. They cover practices for the previous three months, but also deal with expectations for the coming quarter and year. While some queries are quantitative, most are qualitative. The surveys have come to cover increasingly timely topics, for example, providing the Fed with insight into bank forbearance policies and trends in response to the 2020 economic crisis. Let’s have a look at the culmination of the some of the more important data from the SLOOS in chart form The Chart The blue line on the chart plots the results of the SLOOS survey – specifically, the net percentage of polled banks reporting that they’ve tightened their lending standards to commercial and industrial customers. I have combined the SLOOS Tightening Lending Standards on the chart with the Unemployment Rate. You can clearly see a pattern of the SLOOS leading the Unemployment Rate and also the broad correlation of their trends. Recessions are in grey. The SLOOS Tightening Lending Standards (blue line) ▫️ Lending standards tightened significantly prior to the onset of each of the last three recessions (See green lines and text on chart). ▫️ When lending conditions tightened by 54% or greater it coincided with the last four recessions. (Represented by the horizontal red dashed line on the chart and the red area at the top) ▫️ On two occasions the 54% level being breached would have been a pre-recession warning; prior to the 1990 recession and 2000 recession providing approx. 3 months advance warning. ▫️ When we breached the c.34% level in Jan 2008 it marked the beginning of that recession. We are currently at 33.9% (for Q3 2023) and were as high as 50% in the reading released in July (for Q2 2023). Above the 34% on the chart is the orange area, an area of increased recession risk but not guaranteed recession. ▫️ Interestingly, every recession ended close to when we exited back out below the 34% level. This makes the 34% level an incredibly useful level to watch for tomorrows release. If we break below the 34% level it would be a very good sign. We could speculate that it could be a sign of a soft landing being more probable and could suggest a soft recessionary period has already come and gone (based solely on this chart continuing on a downward trajectory under 34%). I emphasize “speculate”. U.S. Unemployment Rate (Red Line) ▫️ I have included the U.S. Unemployment Rate in red as in the last three recessions you can see that the unemployment rate took a sudden turn up, just before recession. This is a real trigger warning for recession on the chart. Whilst we have had an uptick in recent months, it has not been to the same degree as these prior warning signals. These prior stark increases were an increases of approx. 0.8% over two to three quarters. Our current increase is not even half of this (3.4% to 3.7% from Jan 2023 to present, a 0.3% increase over 1 year). If we rise up to 4.2% or higher we can start getting a little concerned. ▫️ The Unemployment Rate either based or rose above 4.3% prior to the last three recessions onset. This is another important level to watch in conjunction with the 34% and 54% levels on the SLOOS. All these levels increase or decrease the probability of recession and should infer a more or less risk reductive strategy for markets. In the above we covered the Net percentage of Banks Tightening Standards for Commercial and Industrial Loans to Large and mid-sized firms. The SLOOS provides a similar chart dataset for Tightening Standards for Small Firms, and another similar dataset for Consumer Loans and Credit Cards. I will share a chart in the comments that illustrates all three so that tomorrow we can update you with the new data released for all of them. You are now also better equipped to make your own judgement call based on the history and levels represented in the above chart, all of which is only a guide. Remember all these charts are available on TradingView and you can press play and update yourself as to where we are in terms of zones or levels breached on the charts. Thanks for coming along again PUKA
FRED:DRTSCILM
by PukaCharts
ZIONS bank cresting the top of a ascending wedge.Things aren't looking good for the banks, and ZION (Zion's Bank) missed on its recent earnings expectations. It's now nearing the top of an ascending wedge, and as many traders know, this can be a really bad sign for any stock, and could be indicating a coming trend reversal. Watch the levels on the chart with the dashed white trend lines to help predict future moves. If the lower ascending wedge line is broken, and one full candle closes below it, it may be the sign the the shorts have been looking/waiting for to enter a medium term short position. I do not own this stock, nor am I trading any options, or by any other method, this is just simply me taking a look at the charts, and I noticed this pattern. Happy trading, and always use a stop.
NASDAQ:ZION
by MetaShackle
Wells Fargo's 2023 Triumphs and the 2024 Cautionary Tale Wells Fargo ( NYSE:WFC ), a stalwart in the American financial landscape, recently reported a robust performance in the fourth quarter of 2023. Despite facing challenges, the bank demonstrated resilience, with a 9% year-over-year increase in net income, reaching $3.45 billion, and an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.86, surpassing analysts' expectations. However, caution looms on the horizon as Wells Fargo projects a potential 7% to 9% decline in net interest income for 2024, sparking conversations about the bank's strategic outlook. Fourth Quarter Triumphs: Wells Fargo's fourth-quarter achievements were notable, with a 2% rise in revenue to $20.48 billion, slightly exceeding analyst predictions. The bank managed a 5% drop in net interest income, aligning with their guidance, attributed to reduced deposit and loan balances, partially offset by higher interest rates. Notably, noninterest income saw a remarkable 17% increase, showcasing the diversification of revenue streams. Meanwhile, noninterest expenses decreased by 2%, demonstrating the bank's commitment to operational efficiency. Fiscal Year 2023 Performance: The fiscal year 2023 proved to be a banner year for Wells Fargo, with a 16.5% year-over-year growth in net interest income, surpassing their guidance of 16% higher than the previous year. The net interest income for 2023 totaled $52.4 billion, outperforming the prior year's $45.0 billion. Looking ahead, Wells Fargo anticipates a slight decline in average loans, coupled with modest growth in commercial and credit card loans for the upcoming year, suggesting a carefully calibrated approach to balance risk and reward. Stock Performance Analysis: NYSE:WFC 's stock performance reflects the intricate dance between triumphs and challenges. Total revenue for the past year stood at $77.83 billion, reflecting an 8.89% decrease compared to the previous year. The third quarter witnessed a decline of 11.21% in total revenue since the previous quarter, highlighting a dynamic market landscape. Net income for the past year declined by 38.82%, signaling hurdles faced by the bank, but a 16.79% increase in the third quarter to $5.77 billion suggests signs of recovery. The EPS for the past year decreased by 36.4%, yet the third quarter saw an 18.38% increase to $1.48. Strategic Caution for 2024: The cautionary outlook for 2024 stems from Wells Fargo's projected 7% to 9% decline in net interest income. This projection raises questions about the bank's response to evolving market conditions, potential shifts in interest rates, and their strategy to navigate the challenges. Investors and analysts will keenly observe Wells Fargo's strategic decisions in the coming year, assessing their ability to adapt to market dynamics while sustaining growth. Conclusion: Wells Fargo's ( NYSE:WFC ) journey through the highs and lows of 2023 paints a nuanced picture of a financial giant navigating turbulent waters. The fourth quarter triumphs showcase the bank's resilience and adaptability, while the cautionary outlook for 2024 underscores the challenges ahead. As the bank steers through 2024, the eyes of the financial world remain firmly fixed on Wells Fargo ( NYSE:WFC ), a symbol of endurance and strategic acumen.
NYSE:WFC
by DEXWireNews
Wells Fargo's Earnings Report and the Path Forward Wells Fargo, one of the largest banks in the United States, recently faced a dip in its stock prices following the release of its fourth-quarter earnings report. Investors were particularly concerned about the higher provision for credit losses, which stood at $1.28 billion, up from $957 million in the same period last year. We will delve into the key factors that influenced Wells Fargo's performance, analyze its financial metrics, and explore the strategic moves the bank is making to steer through the challenging waters. 1. Provision for Credit Losses: A Closer Look The noticeable increase in Wells Fargo's provision for credit losses has undoubtedly raised eyebrows among investors. What led to this surge? The report points to higher allowances for credit losses on credit cards and commercial real estate loans. Unpacking these specific areas could provide valuable insights into the bank's risk management practices and exposure in these markets. 2. Earnings in Line, Revenue Beats Expectations Despite the concern over credit losses, Wells Fargo managed to post earnings of 86 cents per share, aligning with Wall Street estimates. The revenue figure of $20.49 billion surpassed expectations, showing the bank's ability to generate income amid challenging conditions. Examining the diverse revenue streams contributing to this success will help investors understand the resilience of Wells Fargo's business model. 3. Net Interest Income and the Rate Hike Impact The net interest income of $12.77 billion narrowly edged past Wall Street predictions. This achievement can be attributed to the Federal Reserve's series of interest rate hikes since 2022. A deeper exploration of how Wells Fargo strategically positioned itself to capitalize on these rate hikes and the impact on its interest-earning assets, such as loans and mortgages, will shed light on the bank's financial acumen. 4. CEO's Confidence and Forward-Looking Statements Wells Fargo's Chief Executive, Charlie Scharf, expressed confidence in the bank's performance moving forward. Analyzing Scharf's statements and the actions outlined in response to the current challenges will provide investors with a clearer understanding of the bank's strategic initiatives. How does Wells Fargo plan to mitigate risks, enhance returns, and navigate the intricacies of an evolving economic landscape? 5. Market Reaction and Future Outlook The 1.7% drop in Wells Fargo's stock in premarket trading suggests a cautious market sentiment. As we assess the broader market dynamics, including macroeconomic trends and industry-specific factors, we can better gauge the potential impact on Wells Fargo's future performance. Are there external factors contributing to the market's response, and how might they shape the bank's trajectory in the coming months? Conclusion: Wells Fargo's recent earnings report reflects a complex interplay of factors influencing the banking giant's performance. While challenges, particularly in credit losses, have caught the attention of investors, the bank's ability to meet earnings expectations and exceed revenue forecasts demonstrates resilience. As Wells Fargo navigates through uncertain economic waters, the strategic decisions made by its leadership will be crucial in determining its future trajectory.
NYSE:WFC
by DEXWireNews
Bank of America (BAC) Stock: Breaking Out, Fibonacci DynamicsAnalyzing BAC Stock: Navigating Breakouts and Fibonacci Dynamics Introduction: Bank of America Corporation (BAC) has seized investor attention with its recent breakout from a falling wedge pattern on October 27, 2023. As we delve into the details, this analysis aims to provide insights into the stock's recent performance and chart the potential trajectory based on technical indicators. Breakout from Falling Wedge: The breakout from the falling wedge pattern marked a significant turning point for BAC stock on October 27, 2023. This event initiated a gradual yet dominant push, propelling the stock towards the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the bottom wick of the lowest candle in the 9-hour timeframe. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis: In the weekly chart analysis, BAC is yet to approach the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. This critical zone is anticipated to be a pivotal level, potentially triggering a significant correction towards the falling wedge resistance around $28.90. The Fibonacci dynamics serve as a roadmap, guiding traders through the intricacies of BAC's price movements. Short-Term Bearish Outlook: For the short term, a bearish stance is maintained as we anticipate the completion of a double top pattern. This pattern suggests a potential reversal, aligning with our analysis of the Fibonacci retracement zones. The completion of the double top pattern is considered a crucial phase before the stock advances further, adding a layer of caution to our near-term outlook. Conclusion: In conclusion, Bank of America Corporation's recent breakout from the falling wedge pattern has set the stage for an intriguing journey. The Fibonacci retracement analysis reveals key levels, with the 0.618 zone acting as a potential catalyst for a significant correction. As we remain short-term bearish, the completion of the double top pattern becomes a pivotal event, shaping the narrative for BAC stock's future movements. Traders are advised to stay vigilant, closely monitoring these technical indicators to navigate the dynamic landscape of Bank of America Corporation's stock performance.
NYSE:BACShort
by wikitrades
NUBank Update - Stop Raised NUBank - NYSE:NU ⚠️We already lost the 21 SMA ✅Raised my stop to $7.55 Good news is we have POC under price and we had two touch downs to the $7.70 level. IMO if we lose these both, the diagonal line too will be lost too & id rather get some of the position off the table. I still think we can bounce and go higher with a wave 5 extension higher. You could enter a trade here and set a stop under POC to your risk tolerance. Would I do this? Only with a small position because we have had one hell of a run. An ideal entry would be off the 200 MA @$6.83 at present. Lets see how this plays out. Incredible run and profit, and now a protective stop in place hat ensures gains will crystalize if structure is broken PUKA
NYSE:NU
by PukaCharts
Charles Schwab Opportunity Charles Schwab $SCWH Earnings info will follow in comments: Company Market Cap: $97.8 billion Share Price: $53.72 Dividend: $1.00 dps – Dividend per share ($0.25 per quarter) Dividend yield: 1.94% (Annual dps divided by current share price, expressed as a percentage) Why this Trade? o Contrarian trade – news is so negative its hard to not to feel interested o Price 50% down from highs in Feb 2022 o Ascending triangle base re-test on-going o Defined risk level/stop loss makes it an easy set up o Long term diagonal support line provides secondary support o RSI Oversold historic returns inform us of a current opportunity and potential future opportunities. Concerns/Risks: o Schwab is not a Global Systemically Important Bank (G-SIB) o The 200 week SMA has been lost o Rumours of Bankruptcy Company Summary o Charles Schwab is the 17th largest bank in the world with a market cap of $94.4 billion. o Charles Schwab is primarily a wealth management and investment bank which stands out among the investment broker realm for its customer service, $0 trade commissions and large selection of mutual funds. From its origination the company has been all about making investing accessible to everyone. o In line with this vision, Charles Schwab acquired rival firm TD Ameritrade three years ago. TD Ameritrade now provides investing and trading services for 11 million client accounts that total more than $1 trillion in assets, and custodial services for more than 6,000 independent registered investment advisors. Many Americans actively trade on TD or manage their own ROTH IRA’s through the platform, offering them tax benefits/advice and very flexible options for managing their own retirement funds. TD's Roth IRA has zero annual account fees or management fees. The Chart o You can see a potential Long Term Ascending Triangle playing out. o There is an underside diagonal support line. o The beauty of this trade is the following: - A defined stop loss level at $45.39 - A potential 85% upside to – 12% downside (Adjust to suit your tolerance). - A bounce of the top of the ascending triangle is promising. o Any time we have been this oversold on the RSI we have made a significant upside move (green circles on the chart). o The average performance after the green oversold RSI levels is an 82% price increase within a 12 months. o If there is one thing we can take away from this chart it is that if we reach down into RSI oversold levels again this would be a great opportunity. o Regardless I am proposing the trade based off the pattern and recent oversold RSI. Since this recent oversold level we have had an approximate 50% increase in price and a 27% retraction/decline back down to the ascending triangle base. o For those of you who want to lower your risk you can raise the stop loss to a 5% decline ($48.00) or you can wait until over sold levels present themselves again. Important to note that Charles Schwab is not a Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIB) like Citibank and the likes. This makes this a higher risk trade, especially if we are looking long term over a 52 week period. Regardless, it is a well-established bank providing some of the leading brokerage services to the US public including management of ROTH IRA’s, the cornerstone of most Americans retirement planning. One could argue, its systemically important without being a member of the G-SIB. As always, stay nimble in this market, do not enter a trade without a stop loss at a risk level you can tolerate. Same goes with position size. With this stock 50% down from highs way back in Feb 2022 this maybe an opportunity to claw onto this long term rising trend near it lower diagonal support line. PUKA
NYSE:SCHW
by PukaCharts