BankNifty Short: Stunning 1230 Points Profit!BankNifty presented a textbook short trade opportunity on the 15-minute timeframe. A decisive bearish trend emerged after breaking below key levels, with the Risological Swing Trading Indicator confirming the entry. The trade resulted in a massive 1230-point profit as all targets were achieved.
Key Levels
Entry: 51105.60 – Short trade initiated after a clear bearish signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 51243.65 – Strategically placed to protect against unexpected reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 50934.90 ✅
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 50658.75 ✅
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 50382.60 ✅
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 50211.95 ✅
BankNifty Trend Analysis
The price action demonstrated consistent respect for the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a strong downward momentum. After the short entry at 51105.60, the price plummeted swiftly, breaking through all support levels. The consistent selling pressure ensured that all profit targets were hit with high precision.
Conclusion
This trade on BankNifty is a prime example of the power of the Risological Swing Trading Indicator in capturing significant moves. A well-defined risk-to-reward setup and adherence to the trendline ensured maximum profitability with minimal risk.
Bankniftyview
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 08-Jan-2025Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 08-Jan-2025
We focus on three possible opening scenarios: Gap-Up, Flat, or Gap-Down, with actionable strategies for each case.
Opening Scenarios:
Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above previous close):
If Bank Nifty opens above 50,529 , it will enter the Opening Resistance Zone (50,482-50,529) . Strategies:
A breakout above 50,529 with volume could initiate a rally toward the Profit Booking Zone (50,822-50,894) . Enter long positions only on confirmed breakout patterns.
A rejection near 50,529 could result in a pullback to test the Golden Retracement Zone (50,183-50,094) . Look for reversal setups before entering trades.
vbnet
Copy code
Risk Management Tip: Deploy CE trades in small lots with strict stop-losses for breakout plays. Do not chase trades if levels are missed.
Flat Opening (Near previous close):
A flat opening near 50,183 indicates indecision. This could lead to a sideways move (Yellow Trend) between 50,529-49,897 . Plan of action:
For a bullish setup, wait for a breakout above 50,529 to go long, with a target of 50,822 .
For bearish setups, a breakdown below 49,897 can trigger downside momentum toward 49,599 .
less
Copy code
Risk Management Tip: In a flat market, use straddle or strangle options strategies to benefit from volatility. Avoid aggressive directional trades without clear confirmation.
Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below previous close):
If Bank Nifty opens near or below 49,897 , the Opening Support Zone (49,897-50,094) becomes crucial. Steps to consider:
A bounce from this zone can offer long opportunities, targeting 50,183 .
A breakdown below 49,897 can initiate a bearish trend (Red Trend), with targets at 49,599 and 49,167 . Avoid bottom-fishing in a falling market without strong reversals.
csharp
Copy code
Risk Management Tip: For bearish trades, use put options or bear spreads with defined risk. Keep SL tight as gap-downs can often reverse sharply.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones: 49,897-50,094 and 49,599-49,167.
Resistance Zones: 50,482-50,529 and 50,822-50,894.
Summary & Conclusion:
Bank Nifty is trading in a well-defined range, providing opportunities for both intraday and swing trades. Be patient and wait for price action near the levels before initiating trades. Utilize proper risk management techniques, especially in options, to protect capital during volatile market moves.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 06-Jan-2025Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 6-Jan-2025
Let’s analyze the updated trading plan for 6-Jan-2025, with scenarios for Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down openings.
Trading Plan for 6-Jan-2025
Gap-Up Opening (200+ Points Above 51,076):
If Bank Nifty opens with a significant gap-up:
Immediate focus will be on the Resistance Zone at 51,290-51,232.
Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 51,290 for 15 minutes can lead to a move toward 51,590 (Last Resistance for Intraday) and potentially 51,880. Enter long trades with a stop-loss below 51,290.
Sideways Trend: If price struggles near 51,290, expect a sideways movement as shown in Yellow. This is a no-trade zone unless there’s a breakout or breakdown. Avoid overtrading here.
Bearish Reversal Risk: If prices fail to hold above 51,076, expect a pullback to 50,974 or lower levels.
Flat Opening (Near 50,974):
If Bank Nifty opens flat:
The key Opening Support Zone lies at 50,737-50,817.
Bullish Scenario: Sustained buying above 51,076 could drive prices toward 51,290. Look for price action confirmation before entering long trades.
Bearish Breakdown: If prices fall below 50,737, expect a move toward 50,380. Enter short positions only after confirmation with a stop-loss above 50,737.
No-Trade Zone: Avoid trading within the 50,737-51,076 range unless there’s clear directional momentum.
Gap-Down Opening (200+ Points Below 50,737):
If Bank Nifty opens with a significant gap-down:
Immediate focus will be on the First Support Zone at 50,380.
Bearish Scenario: If prices fail to hold 50,380, a sharp decline toward 50,000 (psychological level) is possible.
Bullish Recovery Opportunity: If prices quickly reclaim 50,737, go long with targets at 51,076. Maintain a tight stop-loss below 50,737.
Risk Mitigation: Avoid aggressive trades during the first 15 minutes and wait for clear trend confirmation.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Use hedging strategies like Bull Call Spreads or Bear Put Spreads to limit potential losses.
Stick to smaller lot sizes during high volatility to manage risk better.
Avoid over-leveraging and always trade with defined stop-losses.
Monitor implied volatility (IV) levels to gauge option premium fluctuations.
Summary and Conclusion:
The Resistance Zone at 51,290-51,232 remains critical for bullish continuation, while the Support Zones at 50,737 and 50,380 will dictate bearish or recovery scenarios. Follow the Yellow (Sideways), Green (Bullish), and Red (Bearish) trends to stay aligned with the market movement. Prioritize disciplined trading and sound risk management to maximize returns.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before executing any trades.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 03-Jan-2024Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs. Actual Chart Movement
In the trading plan for 2-Jan-2025, we highlighted key zones for Bank Nifty, such as the Opening Support/Resistance Zone and the Important Resistance . The actual price movement adhered to the plan, respecting the key levels.
The bullish momentum pushed the price into the profit booking zone . This reinforces the reliability of the outlined levels and the importance of analyzing price behavior in these zones.
Trading Plan for 3-Jan-2025
If Market Opens Gap Up (200+ Points Above Previous Close):
If prices open above the Important Resistance Zone (51,779-51,876) , watch for consolidation in this range. If sustained, it can act as support for an upward move toward the Profit Booking Zone (52,166-52,385) .
In case prices fail to sustain above 51,779, look for signs of a pullback toward the Opening Support Zone (51,605-51,659) .
📈 Action Plan:
Wait for confirmation with a 15-minute candle close above 51,876 before entering long positions.
Use stop loss at 51,779 to manage risk.
📊 Trend Indicators:
Green: Bullish Move Expected.
If Market Opens Flat (Near Previous Close):
Observe price behavior near the Opening Support Zone (51,475-51,571) . Sustained trading above this zone can trigger a recovery move toward 51,779-51,876 .
However, a breakdown below 51,475 could lead to a bearish trend toward the Retracement Level (51,232) .
📈 Action Plan:
For long trades, wait for a breakout above 51,605 with stop loss at 51,475.
For short trades, consider entry below 51,475, targeting 51,232 with a stop loss at 51,571.
📊 Trend Indicators:
Yellow: Sideways Trend Expected.
If Market Opens Gap Down (200+ Points Below Previous Close):
In case of a gap-down opening near 51,232 , watch for price recovery to test the Opening Support Zone (51,475-51,571) . If prices fail to recover and sustain below 51,232, expect further downside.
A bounce back above 51,232 can create an opportunity for a reversal move toward 51,475 .
📈 Action Plan:
For long positions, wait for confirmation of a reversal above 51,232.
For short trades, consider entry below 51,232 with a target of 51,000.
📊 Trend Indicators:
Red: Bearish Move Expected.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid over-leveraging in volatile market conditions.
Always maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Use stop-loss orders based on 15-minute or hourly candle closes to prevent large losses.
Adjust position sizing to suit your risk appetite and market volatility.
Summary and Conclusion:
The key levels for Bank Nifty on 3-Jan-2025 are:
Resistance: 51,779-51,876 and 52,166-52,385.
Support: 51,475-51,571 and 51,232.
Understand the trend based on price action in these zones:
Green for bullish opportunities, Yellow for consolidation, and Red for bearish trends.
Trade cautiously and stick to the plan for optimal results.
Disclaimer:
This trading plan is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading plan and levels for 02-Jan-2025WISH YOU ALL A VERY HAPPY NEW YEAR 2025
Introduction
In the previous trading session (1-Jan-2025), we identified critical levels, including the Golden Retracement Zones for buyers and sellers, along with significant support and resistance areas. The actual price action aligned closely with the outlined plan, particularly near the Opening Support/Resistance Zone at 51,096, where price consolidated (yellow trend) before making a move. Trends in the chart followed the predicted behavior: green trends indicated bullish moves, red trends reflected bearish momentum, and yellow zones suggested a sideways market.
Trading Plan for 2-Jan-2025
Gap-Up Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens above 51,232 (Opening Resistance), monitor the first 15-minute candle for confirmation.
Sustaining above 51,232 may lead to a bullish move targeting the Golden Retracement Zone for Sellers at 51,659.
Profit booking is advised in the zone between 51,500–51,659, as this area could act as a strong resistance.
If price struggles to hold above 51,232, expect a pullback towards 51,096 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone).
Place a stop loss below 51,096 to manage risk and protect gains.
Flat Opening
If Bank Nifty opens flat near 51,096, observe whether it breaks out above 51,232 or breaks down below 50,902 (Golden Retracement Zone for Buyers).
A breakout above 51,232 indicates bullish momentum towards 51,659. Follow the gap-up scenario for targets and stop loss placement.
A breakdown below 50,902 may result in bearish momentum, targeting 50,665 and eventually 50,235 (Buyer's Support).
Avoid trading within the Opening Support/Resistance Zone unless a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.
Wait for a confirmation candle to reduce the risk of false breakouts.
Gap-Down Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens below 50,902, observe the first 15-minute candle to determine whether the price sustains.
Sustaining below 50,902 may lead to a bearish move, targeting 50,665 and further towards 50,235 (Buyer's Support).
If the price bounces back above 50,902, anticipate a recovery towards 51,096. Monitor this zone for possible reversals or continuation.
Place a stop loss above 50,902 for short trades to manage risk effectively.
Avoid entering trades impulsively; let the levels guide your decisions.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Utilize stop losses to cap potential losses, especially in volatile markets.
Trade with a defined risk-reward ratio; aim for at least 1:2.
Avoid overtrading; focus on quality setups that align with the plan.
Consider theta decay when holding options overnight or during consolidation phases.
Diversify positions to mitigate single-direction risks and preserve capital.
Summary and Conclusion
The trading plan for 2-Jan-2025 emphasizes a systematic approach based on observed levels and trends. Key areas to watch include 51,232, 51,096, 50,902, and 50,665. Use the outlined scenarios to adapt to the market's opening behavior. Green, yellow, and red trends provide clarity on expected bullish, sideways, and bearish movements, respectively. Adhering to proper risk management principles and executing trades with discipline will increase the likelihood of success.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 31-Dec-2024Introduction
In the previous day’s plan, (Check yesterdays' plan and performance here :
we analyzed the Nifty Bank Index chart and identified key levels of support and resistance. We anticipated potential price movements based on these levels and provided scenarios for different opening conditions. Yesterday’s chart showed how the actual price action unfolded compared to our plan. The yellow trend indicates a sideways movement, the green trend indicates a bullish trend, and the red trend indicates a bearish trend.
Trading Plan for 31-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens with a gap up above the "Opening Support/Resistance" level (around 51,400), wait for the first 15-minute candle to close. If the price sustains above this level, look for a bullish trend continuation towards the "Last and Important resistance on daily chart" (51,831.0) and further towards 52,070.30. Place a stop loss below the "Opening Support/Resistance" level to manage risk. If the price fails to sustain above the "Opening Support/Resistance" level, expect a potential pullback towards the "Opening Support" level (around 50,819.0). Monitor the price action closely and adjust the stop loss accordingly.
Flat Opening
If the market opens flat around the "Opening Support/Resistance" level (51,400), observe the price action for the first 15 minutes. If the price breaks above the "Opening Support/Resistance" level, look for a bullish trend continuation towards 51,831.0 and further towards 52,070.30. Place a stop loss below the "Opening Support/Resistance" level to manage risk. If the price breaks below the "Opening Support/Resistance" level, expect a potential bearish trend towards the "Opening Support" level (50,819.0) and further towards the "support for Sideways" zone (50,435.0). Adjust the stop loss based on the price action.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens with a gap down below the "Opening Support" level (50,819.0), wait for the first 15-minute candle to close. If the price sustains below this level, look for a bearish trend continuation towards the "support for Sideways" zone (50,435.0) and further towards 50,235.0. Place a stop loss above the "Opening Support" level to manage risk. If the price fails to sustain below the "Opening Support" level, expect a potential pullback towards the "Opening Support/Resistance" level (51,400). Monitor the price action closely and adjust the stop loss accordingly.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop losses to limit potential losses. Avoid over-leveraging and trade within your risk tolerance. Diversify your trades to spread risk. Keep an eye on implied volatility and time decay when trading options. Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions.
Summary and Conclusion
In summary, the trading plan for 31-Dec-2024 involves analyzing the opening scenario (Gap Up, Flat, or Gap Down) and making informed decisions based on key support and resistance levels. The yellow trend indicates a sideways movement, the green trend indicates a bullish trend, and the red trend indicates a bearish trend. By following this plan and implementing proper risk management strategies, traders can navigate the market effectively.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 30-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Bank Nifty - 30-Dec-2024
Intro: Review of Previous Plan (27-Dec-2024)
In the last trading plan, we emphasized the importance of the No Trade Zone (51,259–51,343) , Opening Resistance (51,569) , and Opening Support at 51,096 . The market respected the highlighted zones, consolidating within the Yellow sideways trend for most of the session. A late-session attempt to test the Resistance for sideways at 51,958 faced rejection, aligning with our bearish expectations.
Key Color Codes in the Plan:
Yellow Trend: Sideways
Green Trend: Bullish
Red Trend: Bearish
Trading Plan for 30-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 51,550)
If Bank Nifty opens above 51,550 , the market could enter a bullish trajectory targeting the Resistance for sideways at 51,958–52,070 .
Wait for a retest of the Opening Resistance zone (51,569) .
If the zone holds and the price shows a bullish breakout with volume, initiate a long trade targeting 52,070 .
Place a stop-loss below 51,450 to manage risk.
If resistance is not broken, observe rejection patterns like bearish engulfing candles, and consider a short trade with a target of 51,343 .
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (51,250–51,350)
A flat opening signals consolidation around the No Trade Zone (51,259–51,343) .
Avoid aggressive trades within this zone. Wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown.
A breakout above 51,343 signals bullish momentum towards 51,569 . Look for confirmation via candle closing above the breakout level before entering long positions .
Conversely, a breakdown below 51,259 could lead to a test of the Opening Support at 51,096 . Initiate a short position if the breakdown holds, with a stop-loss above 51,350 .
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 51,050)
A gap-down below 51,050 may indicate strong bearish sentiment, testing the Opening Buyers Zone at 50,664 .
Observe for reversal patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing or hammer candles) at 50,664 . If confirmed, initiate a long trade targeting 51,096 .
If the support breaks, prepare for extended bearish moves towards 50,400 . Enter short trades on confirmation with a stop-loss above 50,750 .
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use spreads (e.g., bull call spreads or bear put spreads) to cap losses in high volatility conditions.
Avoid trading out-of-the-money options as they decay rapidly, especially during sideways trends.
Trade with no more than 2% of your total capital per position.
Monitor the market for IV changes, especially during gap openings, to adjust your option strategy.
Summary and Conclusion:
The plan is designed to capture potential breakouts and breakdowns while maintaining discipline in No Trade Zones.
Focus on the identified key levels to avoid overtrading.
Stick to defined stop-loss levels and maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio in all trades.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All views are for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to do their analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 27-Dec-2024
Intro: Yesterday's Plan vs. Actual
In yesterday's plan, we anticipated critical levels such as the Liquidity Buildup Zone around 51,213 and a potential test of the Resistance for Consolidation Zone at 51,805. The market opened near the expected range, showing sideways movement (Yellow Trend) during the early session. A breakout above 51,568 eventually triggered a bullish rally (Green Trend), validating our target at 51,956-52,072.
Let’s prepare for 27-Dec-2024 with an educational approach to all scenarios.
Detailed Trading Plan for 27-Dec-2024
Gap-Up Opening (+200 points or more above 51,400):
If Bank Nifty opens with a significant gap-up, monitor the Opening Resistance at 51,568. Sustained trading above this level indicates a continuation towards the Resistance for Consolidation at 51,805. A breakout above 51,805 may lead to a rally targeting the Profit Booking Zone at 51,956-52,072.
⚠️ Action Plan: Wait for a retest of 51,568 for confirmation before entering long positions. Early entry without confirmation increases the risk of false breakouts.
💡 Risk Management Tip: For options trading, consider bull call spreads to hedge against a sudden pullback.
Flat Opening (Near 51,213-51,400):
In case of a flat opening, Bank Nifty is likely to consolidate within the Golden Retracement Zone of 51,173-51,213. This zone can act as a pivot for directional moves. A bullish breakout above 51,213 signals upside momentum, while a breakdown below 51,173 may lead to bearish pressure.
⚠️ Action Plan: Observe the first 30 minutes for price action. For bullish entries, target 51,568 and above. For bearish trades, look for confirmation of rejection at 51,173, targeting 50,850.
💡 Risk Management Tip: Use tight stop losses for trades within this zone to avoid getting trapped in sideways movements.
Gap-Down Opening (-200 points or more below 51,213):
If Bank Nifty opens below 51,213, immediate support lies at Last Intraday Support around 50,850. A breakdown below 50,850 may extend the bearish trend (Red Trend) towards the Buyer’s Support Zone at 50,463-50,302. Look for potential reversals at these key levels for contrarian trades.
⚠️ Action Plan: Avoid panic selling at the open. Instead, wait for confirmation of breakdowns or reversals before taking trades. A reversal at 50,463 could present excellent risk-reward opportunities for long positions.
💡 Risk Management Tip: Hedge your positions with put spreads in case of continued bearish momentum.
Summary and Conclusion
For 27-Dec-2024, the focus should be on the Opening Resistance Zone at 51,568 and Golden Retracement Zone at 51,173-51,213. Gap-up and flat openings demand patience and confirmation for directional trades. A gap-down could offer contrarian opportunities at deeper support levels. Always prioritize risk management through proper position sizing and option strategies.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their analysis or consult with financial advisors before executing trades.
#BankNifty #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #OptionsTrading #StockMarketIndia
#banknify - 25th DECEMBER !!NSE:BANKNIFTY
This chart appears to depict the Nifty Bank Index (Bank Nifty) on a 15-minute time frame with key levels of support and resistance marked. Here's the analysis:
1. Range-bound movement:
The index has been consolidating within a rectangular range (highlighted in red) between approximately 51,200 and 51,477, indicating indecision in the market.
2. Support levels:
Strong support is identified near 51,094 and further below at 50,870.
3. Resistance levels:
Immediate resistance is seen at 51,477, followed by 51,806 and a significant level near 52,159.
Price Movement Summary:
• The price tested lower support levels around 50,870 and rebounded strongly, indicating buyer interest near this zone.
• The current price action suggests consolidation with the possibility of a breakout on either side.
Trading Plan:
1. Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 51,477 could lead to a rally towards 51,806 or even higher towards 52,159.
Entry: Buy above 51,500 with a stop loss below 51,200.
• Targets: 51,806 and 52,159.
2. Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below 51,094 could trigger a decline towards 50,870 or further to · 50,556. Entry: Sell below 51,080 with a stop loss above 51,300.
Targets: 50,870 and 50,556.
Summary: The chart indicates a consolidation phase, and the next move depends on whether the index breaks above the resistance at 51,477 or below the support at 51,094. Traders should wait for confirmation before initiating any positions.
Only for educational purposes.
This content is not a recommendation to buy and sell.
Not SEBI REGISTRAR.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 26-Dec-2024Trading Plan for 26-Dec-2024 – Bank Nifty
Introduction:
The trading plan for 23-Dec-2024 highlighted critical zones, with Yellow indicating sideways trends, Green showing bullish trends, and Red indicating bearish trends. Bank Nifty respected these levels, testing the Opening Resistance/Support Zone but displaying indecision. Price stabilization near support zones provided opportunities for both bullish and bearish trades. Below is the detailed trading plan for 26-Dec-2024 based on potential opening scenarios.
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens above 51,593 :
The Last Intraday Resistance Zone (51,719-51,962) becomes crucial. Watch for rejection signals here. A failure to sustain above this zone could trigger a bearish reversal ( Red Trend ).
Action Plan: Short positions can be initiated with a target toward 51,420 , keeping a stop-loss above 52,000 .
If prices sustain above 51,962 , expect a strong bullish trend ( Green Trend ) toward higher levels.
Action Plan: Options traders can consider buying ATM or slightly OTM Call options after confirming an hourly close above resistance.
If Bank Nifty opens within the range of 51,420-51,593 :
This zone is likely to act as a supply zone. Monitor price action for rejection or breakout signs. A rejection may indicate consolidation ( Yellow Trend ) or bearishness.
Action Plan: Trade cautiously with tight stop-losses and wait for clear direction before taking any trades.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 Points)
If Bank Nifty opens near 51,288 (Liquidity Build-up Zone):
Observe price action in the first 15-30 minutes. If the index moves toward 51,420 , wait for either rejection or breakout confirmation.
Action Plan: A breakout with volume can lead to bullish momentum toward 51,593 .
If prices decline toward the Opening Support Zone (51,073) , anticipate either a consolidation phase ( Yellow Trend ) or a potential bounce ( Green Trend ).
Action Plan: Consider long positions above 51,073 , targeting 51,288 .
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens near 51,010-51,073 :
This is a key support zone. Look for potential bounce signals ( Green Trend ).
Action Plan: If prices sustain, options traders can initiate long positions in ATM Call options , targeting 51,288 .
If prices break and sustain below 51,010 , bearish momentum ( Red Trend ) is expected toward the Last Intraday Support (50,781) .
If Bank Nifty opens near 50,781 or below:
This represents the Last Intraday Support Zone . Look for reversal signals before entering long trades.
Action Plan: If this support is decisively broken, expect further bearishness. Avoid aggressive trades and wait for confirmation.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always trade with defined targets and stop-losses .
Avoid over-leveraging, especially near resistance and support zones.
For gap-up or gap-down openings, allow the market to settle for at least 15-30 minutes before making trades.
Use trailing stop-losses to protect profits in trending moves.
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty is trading within defined ranges, and the outlined levels will guide trades based on the opening scenario. Focus on the Opening Support and Resistance Zones for actionable trades. Execute trades with patience, discipline, and proper risk management.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Traders are advised to conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any positions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Dec-2024Plan vs. Actual Performance (23-Dec-2024):
In today's session, Bank Nifty opened near the 51,097-51,272 resistance/support zone, as anticipated in the plan.
Prices respected the Opening Resistance/Support zone , consolidating within this range initially (yellow trend indicating sideways movement).
A breakout above 51,272 was short-lived, and prices struggled to sustain higher levels, aligning with the plan's cautionary note about rejection patterns.
The range-bound behavior observed in the chart perfectly matches the yellow zone prediction in the plan, highlighting indecision in the market before testing key levels.
No significant bullish or bearish breakout was sustained, demonstrating the market's hesitancy near the projected levels.
Key Takeaway: The trading plan's highlighted zones (resistance and support) provided reliable levels for observing price action and market trends, with the sideways movement being accurately forecasted.
The chart for the 24th of December 2024 provides a detailed plan for different opening scenarios, including gap up, flat, and gap down openings. This plan will help traders navigate the market effectively.
Trading Plan for 24-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens above 51,593.00, look for a bullish trend continuation towards the next resistance level at 51,719.00. Monitor price action around 51,719.00. If the price sustains above this level, the next target would be 51,962.00. Place a stop loss below 51,593.00 to manage risk.
Flat Opening
If the market opens around the previous close of 51,287.25, observe the price action within the no trade zone (51,306.90 to 51,353.00). A breakout above 51,353.00 could signal a bullish trend towards 51,420.95. A breakdown below 51,306.90 could indicate a bearish trend towards 51,267.00. Manage risk by placing stop losses just outside the no trade zone.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens below 51,073.00, look for a bearish trend continuation towards the next support level at 51,010.00. Monitor price action around 51,010.00. If the price sustains below this level, the next target would be 50,781.00. Place a stop loss above 51,073.00 to manage risk.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop losses to limit potential losses. Avoid over-leveraging; trade within your risk tolerance. Diversify your trades to spread risk. Keep an eye on implied volatility and time decay when trading options. Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions.
Summary and Conclusion
The trading plan for the 24th of December 2024 outlines strategies for different opening scenarios, including gap up, flat, and gap down openings. By following the plan and adhering to risk management principles, traders can navigate the market effectively. Remember, the yellow trend indicates sideways movement, the green trend indicates a bullish trend, and the red trend indicates a bearish trend.
Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 23-Dec-202423-Dec-2024 Bank Nifty Trading Plan
Color-Coding:
Yellow: Sideways trend. Green: Bullish trend. Red: Bearish trend.
23-Dec-2024 Trading Scenarios:
Gap Up Opening (+200 points or more):
If Bank Nifty opens above 51,272 but below 51,420 , this range acts as an immediate resistance zone. Watch for bearish rejection patterns like a double top or bearish engulfing to initiate short trades targeting 51,097-50,872 .
If prices sustain above 51,420 , the sentiment shifts bullish. Consider long trades above this level with targets of 51,832-52,000 . Use a stop loss at 51,250 to manage risk effectively.
Flat Opening:
A flat opening near 50,872-50,664 suggests consolidation. Wait for a breakout above 51,097 for long trades targeting 51,272-51,420 .
Alternatively, a breakdown below 50,664 may trigger bearish momentum. Short trades can be initiated below this level, targeting 50,069-49,800 . Use hourly candle closes to confirm breakdown or breakout for improved accuracy.
Gap Down Opening (-200 points or more):
A gap down below 50,664 puts immediate focus on 50,069 as a critical support level. Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or morning star) within this zone to initiate long trades targeting 50,664-50,872 .
If prices fail to hold 50,069 , expect extended bearish pressure, with short trade targets at 49,800-49,500 . Maintain a stop loss at 50,150 to protect capital.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Prefer buying options in volatile markets instead of selling to limit risk.
Use spreads (e.g., bull call spreads or bear put spreads) for defined risk-reward.
Monitor implied volatility (IV) levels; higher IV suggests premium decay risk for sellers.
Cap exposure to a fixed percentage of your trading capital per trade.
Summary & Conclusion:
Bank Nifty’s movement on 23-Dec-2024 will revolve around critical zones, especially 51,097-51,272 and 50,664-50,069 . Respect these levels and wait for confirmations before initiating trades. Effective risk management and disciplined execution are key to navigating volatile markets.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024
Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan
As mentioned in Yesterday's plan BANKNIFTY has found support from level mentioned in Chart yesterday. The chart movement adhered closely to the plan, with Bank Nifty consolidating within the highlighted zones before attempting an upward breakout. The yellow trend on the chart depicted a sideways consolidation, while green and red trends outlined bullish and bearish moves respectively. Today, we prepare for potential scenarios based on expected market openings.
Plan for Different Opening Scenarios
Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 51,902):
If Bank Nifty opens above 52,068, the index is likely entering the resistance zone highlighted in orange. Watch for rejection signals around 52,381, the last intraday resistance.
Plan of Action:
Look for bearish reversal candles or patterns near 52,381 to initiate short positions with a target of 52,068 and a stop loss above 52,450.
In case of a sustained breakout above 52,381, consider fresh longs targeting 52,600 or higher. Ensure confirmation with strong volume.
Key Tips: If trading options, focus on slightly OTM puts for shorts. For breakout trades, consider ATM or slightly OTM calls.
Flat Opening (Within 51,800-52,000 range):
A flat opening near 51,902 keeps the market in the opening resistance zone. Price action within this zone (yellow trend) will guide the next move.
Plan of Action:
Observe price behavior for 30 minutes. If the index breaks below 51,800, initiate shorts targeting 51,418 with a stop loss at 52,000.
If the index breaks above 52,068, initiate longs with targets at 52,381 and stop loss below 51,902.
Key Tips: For flat openings, straddle or strangle strategies can help capture significant moves in either direction.
Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 51,902):
A gap-down below 51,418 enters the green support/consolidation zone. Watch for potential reversals or breakdowns near 51,092 or the Wave B lower band at 50,664.
Plan of Action:
If Bank Nifty reverses from 51,092, initiate long trades with targets at 51,418, maintaining a stop loss at 50,900.
A breakdown below 51,092 confirms bearish momentum. Short positions can target 50,664, with stop loss above 51,200.
Key Tips: For aggressive trades in this scenario, consider deep OTM puts for higher returns.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2-3% of capital per trade.
Use hourly candle close as confirmation for entries and exits.
Hedge positions using spreads to limit losses.
Exit trades promptly if they don’t perform as expected within the first 30 minutes.
Summary and Conclusion:
Today's trading plan focuses on key levels derived from technical analysis. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend suggests bullish opportunities, and the red trend signals potential bearish moves. Adherence to price action at critical levels will be crucial for maximizing profits and minimizing risks. Always ensure disciplined execution and maintain a balanced approach.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(19/12/2024)Today will be gap down opening in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 51950 level then expected strong downside rally of 400-500+ points. Any upside reversal only expected if banknifty sustain above the 52050 level. Upside 52450 level is the resistance level for the today's session.
BANKNIFTY : Levels, prediction and Plan for 19-Dec-2024Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs Actual
In yesterday's trading plan, BankNifty tested the Wave C Support Zone near 51,903 - 52,068 as highlighted in yesterday's trading plan, showing indecision within the sideways range (Yellow Trend). As expected, the index respected the completion zone for Wave C and stayed above the support area for most of the session. However, no clear breakout or breakdown occurred.
Now, for 19-Dec-2024, we will plan for three potential opening scenarios: Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down, considering a gap opening of 200+ points. The key levels and actionable strategies are explained below.
Trading Scenarios for 19-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens above the Resistance for Sideways Trade at 52,647, it indicates bullish sentiment.
- Monitor the first 30 minutes for a sustained breakout above this level. If the price holds above 52,647, the next target will be the Last Intraday Resistance at 53,039.
- However, failure to sustain above 52,647 may lead to a retracement back to the Opening Resistance at 52,381.
- Action Plan:
- Initiate long positions only if an hourly candle closes above **52,647**, with targets at **53,039**.
- If price fails to sustain and shows weakness, wait for retracement back to **52,381** for possible re-entry opportunities.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens near the Opening Resistance at 52,381, it signals indecision, and price may move sideways (Yellow Trend) before providing direction.
- A breakout above 52,381 can trigger a move toward the Resistance for Sideways Trade (52,647), while a breakdown below 52,205 (previous close) could drag prices back toward the Wave C Completion Zone at 52,068 - 51,903.
- Action Plan:
- Avoid trading immediately after the open. Let price break above **52,381** for bullish trades, targeting **52,647**.
- A breakdown below **52,205** could signal short opportunities with targets at **52,068** and **51,903**.
- Manage risk by placing stops based on an hourly candle close above/below these levels.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens near or below the Wave C Completion Zone (52,068 - 51,903), it signals bearish momentum.
- Look for signs of support formation in this zone, as prices could take a reversal from here (Green Trend).
- Failure to hold 51,903 could lead to further downside towards the critical support at 51,418 (red trend).
- Action Plan:
- Look for long opportunities if Bank Nifty holds above **51,903** with confirmation (hourly close), targeting a bounce back to **52,205** and then **52,381**.
- If price decisively breaks below **51,903**, consider short trades toward **51,418**, with a strict stop loss above **52,068**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders :
Use spreads like Bull Call Spreads for bullish moves or Bear Put Spreads for downside moves to limit risks in volatile openings.
Avoid trading during the first 15-30 minutes if opening is erratic or near key levels like the Wave C zone. Let the price stabilize.
Always place stop losses on an hourly candle close basis for better risk management.
Avoid over-leveraging; focus on maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio (minimum 1:2).
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty remains at a crucial juncture near the Wave C Completion Zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: 52,381, 52,647, 53,039
Downside: 52,205, 52,068, 51,903, and 51,418
Yellow Trend reflects sideways price action, Green Trend signals bullish reversals, and Red Trend highlights bearish continuation.
Focus on price action near key levels, and avoid trading in uncertain zones.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 18-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Bank Nifty – 18th December 2024
The chart for 17th December 2024 outlined key levels like the **Golden Retracement Zone (₹52,581 - ₹52,998)**, deep retracement at ₹51,868-₹52,074, and potential resistance levels like ₹53,225 and ₹53,519. The plan predicted consolidation within the golden zone and a potential breakout. On 17th December, Bank Nifty respected the yellow highlighted zone (sideways trend) but showed weakness at intraday resistance. Buyers failed to take control, indicating the market might revisit lower retracement zones.
Now, let's discuss the detailed trading plan for 18th December based on potential opening scenarios.
---
Trading Plan for 18th December 2024
Key Levels for the Day:
Support Zone: ₹52,581 - ₹52,789 (Golden Retracement Zone)
Resistance Levels: ₹53,225 (Intraday Resistance), ₹53,519 (Resistance for New Highs)
Deep Retracement Zone: ₹52,074 - ₹51,868 (113%-127% Fibonacci)
Yellow Trend indicates sideways consolidation, Green Trend shows bullish movements, and Red Trend highlights bearish trends.
---
1. Gap-Up Opening (+200 Points or More Above ₹52,998)
- If Bank Nifty opens above ₹52,998, it enters the upper band of the **Golden Retracement Zone**.
- Immediate focus will be on **₹53,225** (Intraday Resistance).
- A bullish breakout above ₹53,225 may lead to a quick move toward **₹53,519** (Resistance for New Highs).
Plan of Action:
Look for bullish price action confirmation (green candles, strong volumes) near ₹52,998-₹53,225.
Place a buy trade above ₹53,225 for targets of ₹53,519, with a stop loss at ₹52,900.
If resistance at ₹53,225 holds and bearish candles appear, plan short trades below ₹53,000 targeting ₹52,789-₹52,581 (lower retracement zone).
Tips: Avoid chasing trades during the first 15 minutes; wait for clear price action confirmation around resistance zones.
---
2. Flat Opening (Near ₹52,789 - ₹52,998)
- A flat opening within the **Golden Retracement Zone** suggests potential sideways consolidation.
- Buyers will likely attempt to defend the zone between ₹52,789-₹52,581.
Plan of Action:
Observe price behavior within the range. If support holds above ₹52,789, consider a buy trade above ₹52,998 with targets at ₹53,225 and ₹53,519.
If price breaks below ₹52,581, shift focus to the **Deep Retracement Zone (₹52,074-₹51,868)**. Plan a short trade targeting ₹52,074 with a stop loss at ₹52,800.
Tips: For options traders, use **strangle or straddle strategies** to capture sideways volatility if price stays within the golden retracement range.
---
3. Gap-Down Opening (-200 Points or Below ₹52,581)
- A gap-down opening below ₹52,581 will indicate bearish pressure.
- Price is likely to test the **Deep Retracement Zone (₹52,074 - ₹51,868)**, a potential reversal area for Wave C.
Plan of Action:
Wait for price to enter the deep retracement zone. Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near ₹52,074-₹51,868 before initiating a buy trade targeting ₹52,581 .
If price fails to hold ₹51,868, plan short trades targeting ₹51,500 with a stop loss at ₹52,200.
For aggressive traders, sell on breakdowns below ₹52,581 for quick intraday moves toward the deep retracement zone.
Tips: In case of a gap-down, avoid panic trades. Wait for price to stabilize and confirm levels before entering positions.
---
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2% of capital per trade.
Use hedging strategies like bull call spreads or bear put spreads to limit risks during volatile sessions.
Always place stop-loss orders for both futures and options trades.
Avoid trading options with low liquidity to minimize slippage.
---
Summary and Conclusion:
- For 18th December 2024, the **Golden Retracement Zone (₹52,789 - ₹52,998)** is the key area to watch. A breakout above ₹53,225 can trigger a bullish rally, while a breakdown below ₹52,581 may lead to further bearishness toward the deep retracement zone.
- Sideways consolidation is expected if the price remains within the golden retracement range.
- Focus on price action signals and risk management to navigate the session effectively.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The views expressed here are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 17-Dec-2024🔹 Previous Day's Plan vs Actual (16-Dec-2024):
In yesterday's trading plan, we identified the No Trade Zone / Liquidity Zone near 53,395-53,705, expecting consolidation in this range. We also highlighted the Opening Support/Resistance Zone at 53,277-53,233 as a critical area to observe.
As seen in today's chart, Bank Nifty respected the No Trade Zone before showing rejection at higher levels. The price tested the Opening Support Zone and bounced back but failed to sustain above key resistance. This reflects sideways movement (Yellow Trend) and minor bearish pressure in the later part of the session.
Today's plan will analyze three key opening scenarios for 17-Dec-2024 and guide traders with actionable steps. We will also focus on risk management strategies for options traders.
🔹 Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens above the No Trade Zone (53,705) and sustains, we could see bullish momentum. The next key resistance is the Profit Booking Zone at 54,233-54,472, which coincides with a potential new high.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Observe price action for the first 15-30 minutes.
If prices sustain above 53,705 on an hourly candle close , initiate long positions with a target of 54,233 and an extended target of 54,472.
Place a stop loss below 53,705 to protect against reversal.
🔹 Bullish Confirmation:
Sustaining above 53,705.
Aggressive moves can be expected if volumes increase near this level.
🔹 Key Target Levels:
First Target: 54,233.
Extended Target: 54,472.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
Avoid chasing a gap-up rally; wait for a pullback near support zones before entering trades. Options traders can buy slightly ITM CE to mitigate time decay.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 53,490)
If Bank Nifty opens flat, focus on the No Trade Zone between 53,395-53,705. This zone is likely to show sideways movement (Yellow Trend) unless a breakout or breakdown occurs.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Avoid initiating trades inside the No Trade Zone as price could face rejection.
A breakout above 53,705 will trigger bullish momentum (Green Trend).
A breakdown below 53,395 will open doors for bearish movement (Red Trend).
🔹 Trade Setups:
Long Position: Above 53,705, targeting 54,233.
Short Position: Below 53,395, targeting 53,277 and 53,002.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
Use tight stop losses near breakout/breakdown points. For options traders, wait for hourly candle confirmations to avoid false signals.
Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens below 53,277 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone), bearish pressure may intensify. The Last Support for Intraday at 53,002 will be the crucial level to watch. If this support fails, expect a sharp fall toward 52,577.
🔹 Plan of Action:
If prices open near 53,277, observe price behavior for the first 15-30 minutes.
If the level fails to hold, initiate short positions with a target of 53,002 and an extended target of 52,577.
If Bank Nifty shows a bounce from 53,277, look for reversal opportunities toward 53,490.
🔹 Bearish Confirmation:
Sustaining below 53,277 with strong bearish candles.
Volumes increasing near the support breakdown will signal further downside.
🔹 Key Target Levels:
First Target: 53,002.
Extended Target: 52,577.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
For options traders, buy slightly OTM PE with defined stop loss above resistance. Avoid holding short positions overnight in case of volatility.
🔹 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Avoid taking positions during the first 15 minutes to avoid false breakouts.
Use slightly ITM options to reduce time decay impact.
Focus on hourly candle closes for confirmation of breakouts or breakdowns.
Always have a stop loss in place to protect against sudden reversals.
Trade with smaller position sizes when market volatility is high.
🔹 Summary & Conclusion:
A Gap Up Opening above 53,705 can lead to bullish continuation toward 54,233-54,472.
A Flat Opening inside the No Trade Zone requires caution. Look for a breakout above 53,705 or breakdown below 53,395 for direction.
A Gap Down Opening below 53,277 can trigger bearish moves toward 53,002 and 52,577.
Yellow Trend represents sideways consolidation, Green Trend signals bullish moves, and Red Trend indicates bearish momentum.
🔹 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 17th DecToday, BankNifty closed with a minor gap-down and traded in a range from 53700 on upside to 53335 on downside. As per setup posted yesterday, sell trade triggered below 53480 but it missed our 1st target by 10 points. Overall it was a range bound day for BankNifty.
Tomorrow, buy BankNifty if sustains above 53700 for the targets of 53900 and above marked level. On the other side, if BankNifty sustains below 53300 on the downside, sell BankNifty for the targets of 53120 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Range-bound day.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 53700
Sell Below - 53300
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 16th DecOn Friday, BankNifty gave big moves. In morning we saw breakdown and BankNifty made a low around 52260 but we saw strong reversal from lower levels and BankNifty made a high at 53654 which is approx 1400 points rally from day low.
Tomorrow, buy BankNifty if sustains above 53700 for the targets of 53850 and above marked level. On the other side, if BankNifty sustains below 53480 on the downside, sell BankNifty for the targets of 53320 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile day.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 53700
Sell Below - 53480
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
The Bank Nifty Intraday trend forecast for December 17, 2024The trend looks bullish tomorrow for the Bank Nifty as well. 54590 looks like a strong resistance for the Bank Nifty spot. The levels provided in the chart may vary based on the gaps on the either side. The content is only for the educational purposes.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/12/2024)Today will be flat or slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 53550 level then expected strong bullish rally towards the 53950 level and this rally can extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty give breakout of 54050 level. Any downside expected below 53450 level. Downside 53050 level will act as strong support zone for index.