Focus on Buying Opportunities and Key Event AlertThis week, I’m focusing on buying opportunities more than shorting. Here's a key level and some important advice if you’re trading Japanese Yen related pairs.
Current Overview:
- Key Level for Buying:
1. Support Level: 153.45
2. What to Do: Wait for a Magic Candle Confirmation at this level to enter a buy position.
Important Event Alert:
- Date: 31 July
- Event: Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest Rate Decision
- Impact: Whether the BOJ increases the Japan Interest Rate or not, it will significantly affect the Japanese Yen movement.
Strategy:
1. Magic Candle Confirmation: At 153.45, wait for this confirmation before entering a buy position.
2. Managing Running Trades:
- 50 Pips Profit : If you have a running profit of 50 pips or more, consider shifting your stops to entry to protect yourself from undesirable surprises.
- Less Than 50 Pips Profit: Start planning your trade move before the BOJ announcement.
Key Considerations:
- Exiting Trades Before Announcement: Decide if you’re comfortable exiting your trades before the Bank Rates announcement, even if the market moves significantly in your favour.
- Holding Through Announcement: Alternatively, consider the risk of holding through the announcement and how you’d manage your trade based on the market reaction to the BOJ decision.
Final Thoughts:
Be cautious and plan your trades carefully this week. Whether you choose to protect your profits or take a risk on the BOJ announcement, make sure you’re prepared for any outcome.
What’s your plan for this week? Are you focusing on buying opportunities or do you have a different strategy? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Bankrates
EURNZD forecastTonight RBNZ is cutting the base rate from 1.00% to 0.75% at 1am GMT. This way it will have the same rate as RBA and BOE.
Currently a strong support zone around the 1.73 area, a break lower could be used to signal a short.
A bounce to the upside is also possible, though with EUR so weak it is not as probable.
If the pair falls, expecting it to retest the uptrend line, confirmed line multiple times.
What do you think will happen to NZD tonight?
Good Luck!
NZDJPY double bottomTonight RBNZ is cutting the base rate from 1.00% to 0.75% at 1am GMT. This way it will have the same rate as RBA and BOE.
A good downtrend line and level 70 create resistance and a buy signal, if the level breaks.
Divergence on RSI shows a double bottom formation. Target bellow level 73.
Earlier entry before the break of the line is more aggressive and risky but provides better risk reward.
There is a danger of being caught in volatility once the rates come out.
Alternatively a move to the down side is possible if NZD sells off on the rate cut.
Share your thoughts on the NZD rate cut!
Good Luck!
GBPNZD after the factI was hesitant to post this trade setup and idea earlier in the week, however with the proper fundamental analysis as well as technicals there were clear indicators that GBPNZD was going to have a large selloff until it retested the trendline set in the 4h chart as well as the daily trend, if it breaks the "heartline" we will seek a reentry for a bearish movement. It is important to note the sudden drop to the take profit was due to the NZD central bank holding rates constant this time around where in terms means that the NZD appreciates in value. Furthermore, these types of scenarios tend to follow the given trend that is being formed, in this case a bearish movement was beginning hence the sell off as well. Hopefully this was insightful and next time I'll post my trade setup before it occurs. Please ignore the stop loss as it was a tentative one and I had a slightly higher one as well as an entry at a slightly later time slot yet at the same indicated prices
EURJPY inverse head and shoulderPattern is nice but lacks divergence on indicators but fundamentals are in line after the weekend. It is bouncing of a major weekly trend line (you can see in the comments). Expected to make it to MPO but long term ECB will not let euro get too expensive as it would be devastating to the economy. Recent comments from ECB suggest even further dovish outlook on rates possible if EU economy stagnates below 0.4% that it grew from the start of the year.
EURUSD UncertaintyCurrently, the sentiment of the pair seems to be clearly inclined to a down movement of the price. But we should rather wait until Friday to find out more about what will be the real direction of the pair.
Note that the US is strongly considering a hike in interest rate which can cause the USD to grow much stronger.
However, the France is currently on crosshead of most European traders. Le pen is one step ahead against his opponent. Her winning the presidential election will be crucial for the Euro and combined with the increase in the FED Interest rate we can almost definitely conclude that the EURUSD pair will undergo a downfall.