Firstrand looking horrendous - Target to R64.47Inv Cup and Handle has formed on First rand.
Price<20 and <200 which makes it a Medium Probability trade.
But judging by the large down candle and the Fair Value Gap - means momentum is strong to the downside.
Target R64.47
This is strange considering how bullish the JSE Top 40 is looking. So it might be either a large fakeout or there is downside to come for the banks.
Banks
BANK OF AMERICA Short-term buy signal.Last time we gave a signal on the Bank of America Corporation (BAC), was exactly a year ago (October 11 2023, see chart below), with the stock giving us a highly profitable buy trade, hitting the $44.00 long-term Target:
This time our focus is on the shorter term 1D time-frame where the stock is forming a Bullish Megaphone similar to the one in January - March 2024. Currently the price is pulling back (blue circle) and the symmetric pattern of mid March 2024 suggests that it should now rebound towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we are turning bullish mid-session, targeting $44.00 (above Fib 2.0 and below Resistance 1).
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Is Silver About to Rewrite the Rules of the Global Financial GaIn a remarkable twist of market dynamics, silver – long overshadowed by its golden cousin – is positioning itself for what could be its most dramatic transformation in decades. Russia's unprecedented decision to add silver to its central bank reserves has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, potentially signaling a fundamental shift in how central banks view this dual-purpose metal. This strategic move, combined with a staggering supply deficit of 663 million ounces projected through 2024, suggests we may be witnessing the early stages of a historic price realignment.
The numbers tell a compelling story: a 41% price surge year-to-date, pushing above $33.89 per ounce, with analysts projecting potential moves beyond $40 before year's end. Yet it's not just the price action that's turning heads. The convergence of industrial demand from emerging technologies, particularly in renewable energy and electronics, alongside traditional investment demand, has created a unique supply-demand imbalance. This structural deficit, coupled with major central banks' expected rate cuts in 2024, could catalyze a powerful upward price trajectory.
Perhaps most intriguing is the current gold-silver ratio of 81:1, sitting well above its historical average of 55:1. This disparity, viewed alongside Russia's groundbreaking policy shift, raises a provocative question: Are we witnessing the early signs of a new monetary paradigm where silver reclaims its historical role as a strategic reserve asset? For investors and market observers alike, the unfolding story of silver in 2024 may well represent one of the most compelling opportunities in the precious metals space – a narrative where industrial necessity meets monetary revolution.
SWING IDEA - EQUITAS SMALL FINANCE BANKEquitas Small Finance Bank , a leading small finance bank in India, is showing promising signs for a potential swing trade.
Reasons are listed below :
75 Zone as a Strong Support Zone : The 75 level has proven to be a solid support zone, providing a strong foundation for a potential upward move.
Bullish Hammer on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish hammer on the weekly chart, which also engulfed the previous week's candle, indicates strong buying pressure and a potential reversal from the support level.
0.5 Fibonacci Support : The stock is currently resting at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a key area where buyers often step in to push the price higher.
Gradual Uptick in Volumes : An increasing volume trend suggests growing investor interest, further supporting the potential for a bullish move.
Target - 95 // 105 // 115
Stoploss - weekly close below 72
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Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Bitcoin is about to go boom! Bitcoin has been putting is some near term lower highs and lower lows.
The daily chart trend is starting to breakdown and show signs of distribution.
The weekly chart trend is still ok but even if we had a flush to 40k the Weekly chart would still display higher lows.
The point of this higher low excercise is to define trend and know that trends can often have a large range.
That being said I think a short setup in BTC is brewing. a retest of the 50 & 100 MA will likely prove to be very strong resistance as we keep losing the key larger term MA's.
As banks and potentially the stock market lose some momentum its going to be interesting to see how crypto is going to hold up.
GLE - Société Générale: Revenues were €6.7b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at €1.41, an impressive 35% ahead of estimates.
Trading at 70% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 21% per year
GBPUSDThe price today behaved in a wonderful way. I think it has been the best day as a trader. The entire plan today was fulfilled perfectly and I wanted to share this scenario with you since it is the one. I am going to start searching every day. I hope you have Having had an excellent day, I am leaving for today. Tomorrow more and with more outside. blessings.
ZION Zions Bancorporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ZION Zions Bancorporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 45usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Nat West breakoutClear breakout from 327, which was established resistance since 2016. Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern completed.
Volumes have been ramping up since Feb this year and the shares are not oversold on the weekly RSI yet.
Market likes their results today too.
In my opinion, heading for 400p.
Do your own research and this is NOT a solicitation to hold, buy or sell.
$KRE massive H&S top?Thanks to @TORNADOF5 for reminding me about this.
A friend sent me a tweet last night about how banks are levered up on debt and that prompted me to look at the chart of KRE.
As you might remember, AMEX:KRE was one of the worst performing ETFs at the beginning of this year with the failure of a ton of local banks. But since earlier this year, I haven't heard much talk about banks being in trouble.
Well I pulled up the chart, I was surprised to see a massive H&S top forming. If price breaks $37-38, then I could see a big move down. The first target would be $29 and if price gets under that, it could get really bad.
Could see price making it all the way to the lower support levels.
Let's keep an eye on this because it'll be a great trade should it play out.
BK The Bank of New York Mellon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BK before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BK The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.22.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
KEY KeyCorp Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the KEY KeyCorp options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $14 strike price Puts with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$0.27 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Macro View Shows 2-4 Month Max And Then It Starts!Traders,
Some rather ominous signs are showing in various markets not least of which includes the U.S. housing market. As you know, we have been periodically tracking the USHMI as a key leading indicator to show us where and when our coming U.S. (perhaps global) recession begins. We are close if we have not already begun, but I imagine there will be no ability for denial in about 2-4 months time. Before then, markets may continue to blow off and I still expect Bitcoin to hit our 85k target. Today we'll review our USHMI chart along with other key charts for further clues mapping future trajectory.
Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional TradingGreetings Traders!
In today's educational video, we will delve into the concepts of premium and discount price delivery. The objective is to provide you with a comprehensive understanding of institutional-level market mechanics. Before we proceed, it is crucial to define what we mean by "institutional level" and "smart money," as these terms are often misunderstood. We will also address the common misconceptions about who the liquidity providers are in the market.
By grasping these foundational concepts, you will gain a new perspective on the market, realizing that its movements are not random but calculated and precise, orchestrated by well-informed entities often referred to as smart money.
If you have any questions, please leave them in the comment section below.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
KRE: Regional Bank Collapse?Financials have been demonstrating some interesting price action. We believe financials in the near term could be in for some choppy negative price action.
With yields now sitting at support during the recent selloff, banks haven't done all that well.
Were now at a point in the inflation fight where we could experience an upside move in inflation.
We just witnessed today the Canadian CPI came in much hotter.
To make matters worse, were at a time when central banks like the ECB, BOC, PBOC, BOJ are all loosening policy.
However this very laxy=daisy policy is what caused Oil to bottom on June 4th.
Oil has since moved up 13% in 2.5 weeks.
This will likely cause yields to have upward pressure since its inflationary to the economy.
If the US CPI comes in hotter expect no 2024 rate cut...banks would hate that. Im eyeing the head and shoulders breakdown.