Banks
$GS - Ascending Triangle into JanuaryAscending Triangle on the 2hr into the end of the year following a strong run in Q4.
Bullish news by Fed regarding bank buybacks that has yet to be taken advantage of by $GS.
Entry: >$263
TG1: $269
TG2: $276
Extended TG3: $283
Invalidated: <$254
Like & follow if you enjoy my work :)
ABN - Dutch Bank - outlookWe made the run on the vaccination news in november and closed our position at the top. Then we went short. Last week closed shorts and are in cash.
Why?
We are at a crossroads. We do not know what effect the dividents news will have on the bank stocks, and same goes for the increased ECB support/lending. So it was safer to wait and see. We did not see much action from the news (no major movement). ABN tried now several days to break out of the red channel, but failed and kept re-testing support.
It is a critical moment for the banks. With major lockdowns ongoing and the realisation that vaccine rollout will take time, there is not that much to look forward to in the banking sector. We might see a wave of foreclosures of small businesses due to extended lockdowns of restaurants, cafe's, and non-essential stores (clothing etc.), and we still have tourism industry and airports that are bleeding. Big brands will still find traffic to their webstores, but small businesses will struggle.
On the upside, the european economy is robust and several sectors are overperforming (IT, ecomomerce, semi-conductors, metal, to name a few).
Will the critical resistance at 7.918 hold? or are we testing lower? Let's simply wait and see. There is no major play to be made here until we can get a confirmation if the red channel will be broken, or continue downward. Shorting here based on the stochastics indicator is an option, but I already took profit from my short from the top and as we reach bottom shorting becomes more and more risky as a move. Also there are other more interesting trades out there right now.
Stochastic indicators on the weekly and daily tell us we are poised for longer downward movement. However in this market we have seen some pretty unexpected volatitliy up and down, so keep a watch for a break in the pattern and re-adjust strategies based on that. See below charts:
Trade safe.
Remember, trade the chart, not the company!
INGA - dutch bank - outlookHad a great run with INGA, then the sell-off from the top.
Stochastics on weekly say we have downward momentum still. INGA is holding at the first green line (support) and if it breaks will move to the next green line (1 channel lower) if that breaks.... etc. etc.
If INGA manages to break the red resistance line we will have a breakout and can go in for a swing trade.
I am neither overly bullish or bearish on INGA right now, it could go eitherway. The bank is healthy and well funded, covid is not over yet, let's see what happens and trade accordingly!
Remember, just trade the chart, not the company!
Commonwealth Bank Long Setup After seeing the Banks in a major consolidation for almost 5 years now it seemed like an appropriate time to back them based on the long term bull channel with strong support levels.
No current material Take Profit in mind with discounted shares bought for long term dividend reinvestment plans being the goal for this one.
Based on where we are in the channel it probably is still a relatively discounted period if that next horizontal support does not cause a turn around.
Do your own research!
Happy Trading
Canadian banks offer high-yielding cushion in a correction.If you're worried that growth stocks (the tech and now healthcare stocks) are just ridiculously valued, then perhaps you should think about Canadian bank stocks as a potential cushion against a potential market correction. Earnings beat analyst expectations. Yields are in excess of 4%. Loan loss provisions will gradually find their way back into bank earnings as the economy recovers next year. The steepening yield curve also bodes well for future earnings growth.
Is $62 in the cards? #stocksBanks continue to surge pricing in a recovery. The Model gave us great trade location so now we are just playing with house money. We think 62 is in the cards which would be a completion of the wave formation.
Ingenuity Trading Model is an algorithm used in- Stock, Forex, Futures, and Crypto markets. The model is a Geometric Markov Model :
In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal sine wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
Our model focuses on the current sine wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement. For questions or more information feel free to contact me in the comment section or via private chat
BankNifty 2 Dec 2020Nears to a sub triangle breakout inside the main channel, Looks like reaching an end of a trend
If the market opens With
A gap up there can be a small move uptrend followed by a heavy downtrend
A gap down a retest to the same level is possible followed by a downtrend
Close to prev close, We might see a range market or minor up trend
ASX:NAB Cup and Handle formation ?? 🚨🚨The banks have been smashed since the pandemic started but apparently one of them is preparing to fly higher. That is ASX:NAB bank, from the technical analysis it is showing a promising chart pattern.
From the chart, we can draw a cup and handle formation that has been forming for weeks. Besides the stock has crossed its 200MA after being glued to it for almost 2 weeks and suddenly jumped on a higher volume.
These factors allow us to speculate that this stock is poised to go play in the bulls league.
Although RSI is a bit overbought but from other technicals this stock looks great and it can be lucrative for next few days if not months.
I will keep you updated of all the movements this stock play. Stay safe and have profitable trades.
XTF