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Financials in trouble200sma has been a strong resistance since the March drop. The red circles show 4 times trying to get to it. Placing fibonacci retracement lines shows confluence with a support level (green rectangle from late June --> early July) The 20sma crossed below the 50sma on September 27th. (Bearish signal trend model) Also, if we close at the current price, we are getting a bearish engulfing candle. I would feel comfortable getting in around $22.7, being fundamentally bullish on the sector.
AMEX:XLF
by dorfmanmaster
RidetheMacro| AUDUSD Crawls downwards 📉AUDUSD Key Points The Focus will be on the Australian Dollar this week with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expected to make a major decision on its cash rate. Additionally, the government will release its Annual Budget. As of Friday’s close, market consensus was evenly split on whether the RBA will adjust the cash rate in October or November. A 50/50 consensus usually means no rate cut. Rather than another full 25 basis point cut, it seems most market participants are anticipating some version of “micro easing” such as lowering the official cash rate from 25 bps to 10 bps this month or next. “Consequently, financial markets are now anticipating a roughly 50% chance the RBA will cut the official cash rate before the end of the year,” according to Brian Reid, Treasurer of Newcastle Permanent. For weeks, investors had been pricing a rate cut to 0.10%, based on forecasting from Westpac. But that changed last week with Westpac economists now forecasting November instead, at the November 3 meeting. until the Next time. Ridethemacro
Short
by Ridethemacro
Banknifty Trading in the Zone October 1st weekBank nifty is trading with comforts to distribute sums . Now the much depends upon it to continue the trend or give whipsaws, as for the technicals market has kept bearish view even though a more U shaped recovery to say. However what we notice is that if the U shaped recovery was itself weak then BN would have weaker retracement .232 possibly. Thus a very reasonable target on upper side and more bias towards downward spiral. However we feel a sideways movement would be warranted for the coming week as a cooling off week.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by Pivotal_Traders
The World Reserve Currency - Be Prepared!The US dollar is the world’s main reserve and payments currency, meaning it is the currency in which most global trade and investment takes place. I do believe something is about to happen that will shatter the dollar to all time lows and the COVID impact was only the induction of what is about to come. The FED has been using methods to inflate the market by printing cash, bailing out Wall Street and issuing loans to businesses with repo agreements that will all have to be paid back at some point but before this happens I am expecting a massive bubble which will lead to a major crash in the dollar. The moves to come will be historical and could be one of the most volatile events we have experienced across all asset markets. Prepare for lots of volatility filled with quite a number of opportunities, we have only seen the tip of the iceberg so far.
TVC:DXYShort
by krobby
ridethepig | Banks vs Utilities It ought to be known by everyone that it is necessary in certain recessions for dead cat bounces and over a typical 5 quarter economic cycle down, it is not uncommon for 1 or 2 of those quarters to be bullish. I suspect that the strength around all the discounted earnings from August is mostly baked in now. The concern, in the MT and LT, is the 2's 5's screaming recession is not over. Such a devastating blow that will have appeared too simple for many participants as Central Banks did not allow the manoeuvre to unfold yet. Here sellers should try to seize the lows; no matter how risk free the current environment may seem; confidence is damaged and civil unrest is in the game. I do hope my judgement of this is not over will be proven wrong, and that it really is different this time. As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
AMEX:KBEShort
by ridethepig