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RBS - Set to correct lower?Sell RBS (RBS.L) The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (RBS) is a banking and financial services company. The Company provides a range of products and services to personal, commercial, corporate and institutional customers, through its subsidiaries, The Royal Bank of Scotland plc and National Westminster Bank Plc (NatWest), as well as through other brands, including Ulster Bank and Coutts. Market Cap: £29.13Billion RBS appears overdone in the very short term. The shares have benefitted significantly form the rally in GBP over recent weeks with a 30%+ rally from the October lows. The shares have rallied into an unfilled gap at 247.4p, which was created on the 26th April 2019. This also corresponds with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the highs at 266.1p on the 17th April to the lows at 176.6p on 15th August 2019. The looks to be a reasonable level to take some short-term profit or initiate some speculative selling. The bearish looking candle on the daily chart adds further weight to the bearish argument. Stop: 250.5p Target 1: 232p Target 2: 217p Target 2: 197p Interested in UK Stocks? Join our free Telegram channel for up to date analysis on the best main market opportunities in the UK right now - t.me
RShort
by Investamate
BITCOIN COULD REPLACE BANKSIn this video I show a key level of support for BTC. It coincides with a 3-day ATR trendline for the north. I'm not saying Bitcoin can't go south. I deal with a far bigger issue, where in the heat of a financial crisis banks close. This has happened several times before (and Google is your friend on this point). There is a lot of chatter out there from very reputable experts about a serious banking crisis approaching. Stop - I don't listen to sensationalist nonsense. The 'big reset' is now a realistic probability for people in the know. I'm talking about people who understand the global financial system to the core. The reset will mean that not only stock markets meltdown but the money system globally is frozen. What are you gonna do when there is no money? Well, history has shown that people went back to bartering. At the moment Bitcoin functions as a store of value - even if unstable. The banks can't lock down Bitcoin. When the banks freeze up people will exchange BTC value for goods and services. That's just common sense. Not everybody will have Gold to exchange and physical gold is not available to everybody. But BTC is available to everybody right now. In the lead up to the banking crisis you will see BTC rocket north. How? Insiders always know and leak what's coming. Get prepared. I'm not saying that 'you' should put all your money into BTC. I'm saying a reasonable store of BTC is a good back up plan if worse comes to the worst. Disclaimers: This is not financial advice - even if so construed. It is opinion only. Your losses are your own. Sue yourself if you lose your money.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
Look to grab the bounce on Ally FinancialQuite possibly Ally Financial will bounce from its current price after dropping on an earnings beat. However, I am looking for it to bounce from the high-volume node at 30.01 tomorrow, and I've got a buy order set at that price. Ally has an attractive P/E of 8 and has a 95/100 valuation score from S&P Capital IQ. It faces some political risk from a possible third interest rate cut this year, but should perform well in the long term.
NYSE:ALLYLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
CBA.ASX finally giving inFrom everything I’ve read over the years commonwealth bank has been a widow maker for many traders looking to short. I almost bought some $65 put options earlier this year which would have expired in October. Lucky me! Any way, looks like this may finally be it. To me it looks like a big tripple top has been out in here. With the real estate market in Australia easing up a little and commbank being so heavily exposed to the housing market any dip will ravage them. Keeping in mind we have a prime minister who has taken a page out of draghis book looking to do what ever it takes to keep the Aussie housing bubble blowing. Circled in green are our three tops. It’s also important to note the 200 weekly MA has just punched through the 20MA. There are also two lower lows as valley between our tops. A break below $70 will be the final bell.
ASX:CBAShort
by MadButcherWA
Confluence of resistance for RBSFor a more in-depth analysis, see: www.quantiumresearch.co.uk RBS ran into an almighty price barrier on Friday. Today it reversed over 2%. Look at the significance of this resistance. 3 components are shown in the chart: 1) Fibonacci fan line 2) 100-day moving average 3) 2.618 extension of a price gap. The market has retested and responded to the 0.382 trendline from the fan 3 times before now. That makes it a validated trendline and solid resistance in its own right. When this was combined with the 100-day moving average, it gained even more significance. Now, the Fibonacci extension is measured not from a price range, but from a non-price range: a gap! The high of the top candle landed right on the 2.618 extension. This degree of confluence means something. That being said, the market had completed 5 waves down and developed a bullish divergence on the RSI . If this means the downtrend is over, then today's turn to the downside may be short lived, even it it was initiated by a very strong area of resistance. A very interesting chart to keep an eye on.
RShort
by Quantium_Research
Stop Hunts = Necessary Evil Every stops being taken out is to service one of the purpose = A) to push the price further in the institution trader's intention of price manipulation towards their ultimate intention i.e their ultimate intention is to buy at a low price say 1.0000, so they take out some stops at 1.0500 to provide liquidity for the short term move towards the cheaper price at 1.000. In this case, a sell stop at 1.0500 would have been consumed so the price could go further down. B) to get enough orders for them to consume so they will avoid or limit slippage when they execute their market order and/or their buy/sell stops gets filled. i.e They manipulate the price towards 1.000 and take out all the sell stops so they can buy it (sometimes the buy stops AND its stop losses. A stoploss for a buy stop is a sell stop and vice versa) For SGDJPY, if an institutional trader in Singapore or Japan wants to Short SGDJPY with a huge order, they need to manipulate the price to get more liquidity. If i was a reversal support/resistance trader and I already shorted this pair, I would definitely put my stoploss at the area I illustrated in the skyblue line at 77.35 to 77.50. My stoploss is FOOD for the bank traders. The rule of thumb is simple : The more obvious the S/R line is, the more likely it is becoming a manipulation zone/stophunt zone. So, if price breaks above Friday High and close above it, I would be looking a bearish signal. The higher it goes, the better . If the bank trader wants to go Long and there is not enough liquidity (it's a Monday, of course, it is more likely not enough liquidity), a stop hunt is basic modus operandi to make sure your Long order would get spilled without slippage/limited slippage (also they could split their order which on the chart would cause a lot "re-tests of support" and ugly whipsaws (accumulation). If the price breaks and close below Friday low (preferably going at 76.80-76.60 (the lower the better), then I will be looking for a bullish signal there Please read related post below.
Education
by sufiansaid
Risk Events - U.S and Canadian Jobs Numbers People sometimes confuse with trading the economic numbers' reactionary price action as part of "Team Fundamental Analysis" trader. I have a better word for that: Storm Catcher. I have a dear friend who trades this way, (@itsReal307 - his handle in tradingview) unlike most people I've seen, he's done it with success. I have tried it in the past, most of my big losses came from trading this way. So, that my friend of mine, I don't know how he does it, being a storm catcher (or chaser?). I, however, am a very defensive trader, risk-averse in nature, I would avoid the storm. The price action after NFP numbers, I tend to avoid and stayed on the sidelines, especially if it is against my technical bias and/or against the bias I've determined analyzing the underlying sentiment of the currencies involved (i.e I am bullish bias for USDCAD but the jobs number for the U.S is negative). I believe risk events like NFP, are a great hunting ground for the institutional to stop hunts/manipulate the price/ensuing liquidity runs, hence if you do not know what you're doing (like my friend who does), stay away from trading this at least after 30 minutes of the number's release. In this chart, showcases how my technical bias contradicts the jobs numbers. I stayed on the sideline for 30 minutes, which in this case, no bullish trigger warranted me to go Long until the following Monday. Risk Events provides liquidity but with the spreads tend to widen and slippages tend to happen, it's best that you just stay away from this risk event.
by sufiansaid
$126K Bitcoin by January 1st, 2022The last time bitcoin put out a golden cross on the monthly MACD (January 1st, 2016), there was a 14,819% return before the death cross (on June 1st, 2018). Bitcoin started at $430.89 and ended its run at $6385.71 with highs and lows between the two. The same return at our current golden cross would put us at $126,667.92 on January 1st, 2022. This is if history were to completely repeat itself and as we all know, it doesn't work like that. Let me know what your price predictions for January 1st, 2022 are below! Would love to hear if you are #short or #long and the reason for your position.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CptSafety
1
$FSRP Firstrand pref shares could bounce soonSince bottoming out in early 2018, preference shares on the JSE have been one of the best performing asset classes in our market. Always good trading practice to identify the strongest sectors in the market, and look for buying opportunities towards areas where there is a high probability of the trade working out. Looking at FSRP, I have identified that the 200 day moving average (green line) has acted as a good support area when the stock has corrected towards previously. In addition,the level of R82.00 has acted as both solid support & resistance over the last year and it is very likely to be this case once more. On this basis with a shorter term trade outlook, i would be happy to accumulate FSRP between R82.00 - R83.00 and look to bank profits on a bounce towards R86.00 - R88.00. (aware that the stock has recently paid a decent sized dividend, but this shouldn't change the technical view)
FLong
by MarcoOlevano
Worst case as mentioned if we bleedI have split $1000 between .17 and .11 for a worst case scenario dip. Something about that exchange glitching to .11 cents doesn't make much sense to me....therefore I am adding it to my "idea list" For you conspiracy theorist... could .11 be the bankers bottom???? Last time the news mentioned ripple being the worse performing asset of the year we got quite a huge jump a few weeks after... Im looking for the fireworks after 2020 (personally). Will have a best case scenario post after this.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by AschraM