BAC - BREAKING THE BANKA developing head and shoulder position of Bank of America
- A close out today below 15 would indicate a break in the cycle and a subsiqent sever sell off
- Inversely, a break above 16 would be an early sign of a bull run.
- MACD is approaching a critical inflection point as well.
Good luck & happy trading!
Banks
Is it breaking out of a weekly Triangle? Since its 2012- 2013 uptrend line was broken $BAC has been trading inside what looks like a weekly Triangle pattern (see black dashed line and the 17.5-18$ structure zone shown in the chart)
During July, $BAC has completed a weekly bearish Bat pattern (PRZ between 17.8$ and 18.3$ that managed to stop, for a while, the stock's rally.
The pattern's targets are 16.8$ and 16$, but for now we see that the price is finding support inside the structure zone.
The question now is how will the price will react to the 17.5-18$ zone. A close above it, could mean a weekly breakout from the weekly triangle. A close above 18.3$ will also violate the bearish Bat pattern.
A close below 17.5$ can be interpreted as weekly False Break and signal that the price will head lower towards the pattern's targets and possibly the bottom of the Triangle.
As long as the price remains within the PRZ, I'm sticking with the pattern, despite the fact that we saw the price bouncing from 17.5$ (warning signal for bears)
The R/R is great and Bats usually are reliable patterns.
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BAC looks bullish & could b/o of recent consolidation to 20 lvl.Looks bullish here as it has been in a consolidation range ever since 1/14' and has for the most part been btw 15-18 zone. Financials have come back stronger this year and with interest rates set to be raised soon which could lead to better earnings from banks......financials are set to continue to be strong. For BAC.....it has been stuck below 18 lvls. ever since 09' bottom lows & 18 is a major resistence lvl. for it to close above and hold for a few weeks.......if it breaks 18 w/ volume & holds above it then it will have b/o to the upside of the consolidation range & continue the bullish trend w/ tgt.#1=21.50 & tgt.#2=24......as always watch volume for confirmation.
Will the financial settle with this pullback? Financials, which have been driven higher by the Fed and the ECB, is in an interesting sell zone.
We have minor structure level as well as the top of a rising Wedge.
We've already seen false breaks in both sides of the Wedge as the ETF ranged from 25$ to 23$ and now, judging by the decrease in volume $XLF may be setting up towards its next strong move.
Above 24$ we will probably see the re-test of previous highs and even new high. I don't like the R/R for the upside trade.
The bearish setup here is to trade the sell zone and place a stop loss above previous high. The potential targets (if the price will break below the lower trend line (dashed green) will be the 200 SMA line and the 22$ support zone
Bullish Near-Term Setup In Wells Fargo SharesToday, 10,000+ WFC Mar 20 $56 calls traded with the vast majority being bought for $0.35-$0.45 each, against no previous open interest. For every put that traded in the session, 2.5 calls traded (18,568 total).
Talk of a Fed Funds rate hike later this year is bullish for financial companies like Wells Fargo and the stock remains relatively inexpensive. WFC trades at a P/E ratio of 13.25x (2015 estimates), P/S ratio of 3.42x, and a P/B ratio of 1.70x. The top line is projected to increase 3.9% this year and accelerate 6.1% in 2016 ($93B).
Looking at the daily chart above we can see another 1% or so rise in shares would confirm a technical breakout (confirming the fundamental analysis and options activity). A low risk way to play it would be via Mar 20 $55 or $56 calls or via longer dated bull call spreads (July $55/$60 call spread) for a favorable reward/risk ratio to the higher $50's/low $60's.
Range trading for a mini break out on the Italian MIBMaybe a little labour intensive for some but a safe way to book profit without much risk.
Buy and sell in 2 units at support and resistance. Move stops to protect positions. Take one unit profit at either support or resistance. Wait for break out in either direction. Repeat until breakout. Or leave it alone if it looses it's neatness and starts getting messy.
Low stress trading hopefully :)
Weekly bearish engulfing, trend line breakdown - $GS is a buy?I saw some analysts saying the $GS is cheap before earnings.
Last week we saw a weekly bearish engulfing candle (Outside bar).
This week we see trend line breakdown and a close below the 180$ resistance zone.
Even if $GS will bounce from a good report, can you really call it a "Buy"?
Ftse mib short termThe divergence between oscillator and price movement ended the up-trend started June, 2013. The price recently tested the long term support in 19.800 area, without confirming the break. The index is expected to approach the 19.600 area on the long term support, and then starting again towards higher levels.
The advice is to wait until the price reaches 19.600 zone, then buy if the support holds, or sell in the occurrence of the break of support.
BAC relative weaknessBank of America lags behind the market, ant usually that indicates some weakness. Key level in this action is $15.30, the breakdown of which previously led to a drop to $14.85. Now it acts as a resistance and underneath a bear flag has been formed, breakdown of which will attract more sales. Potential entry points are marked on the chart with orange bands.
NBG Almost finished Double Zig Zag Wave 2NBG Long term Chart:
I strongly believe we are currently in a corrective wave 2 of a long term wave C pattern that should complete near the fall, end of the year.
What I previously thought was an expanding diagonal () now appears to be a double zig zag corrective wave 2. If A=C in the corrective zig zag, then we can retrace as far as 2.95, but using channeling, fibs, and market sentiment as a whole, I believe we might start to bend up before that, around the 3.09-3.18 mark. That would be a great LONG entry.
If we dip below the bottom of wave 1 (2.90) then ALL BETS WOULD BE OFF, as wave 2 can never retrace more then wave 1. However, if this turns around when I intend, we should experience a strong wave 3 move to the upside soon.
Short Commercial BanksIndustry is underperforming the S&P
Double top was formed
losing upside momentum
The industry index has recently squeezed and had a breakout lower 2 days ago