Bank of America: Ascending Broadening Wedge Below S/R ZoneBank of America has confirmed the MA's and S/R zone as Resistance within an Ascending Broadening Wedge just as PACW did not so long ago, and now more interest is building at lower levels, which could suggest that BAC will be breaking down from this wedge very soon, and the measured move would take it all the way down to about $2, though we could see it try to hold $17 before that.
This is a little bit of an update to the BAC and PACW fractal listed in the related ideas tab, this time more focused on BAC as a whole.
Banks
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold JPM here:
or reentered ahead of the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 147usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-13,
for a premium of approximately $1.91.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
C Citigroup Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t bought the dip on Citigroup here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of C Citigroup prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 41.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.06.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
KRE ETF – are banking risks resurfacing? While the Fed’s Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) has been a key factor in supporting bank equity, the rapid rise in US Treasury bond yields is a concern, and so is the exposure to Commercial Real Estate (CRE). We can see CRE benchmarks rolling over of late and heading lower and this is keeping investors from buying into regionals. One for the radar, but if we see the price continue in the current trajectory then it could see signs of greater risk aversion kicking into markets. Staying in the ETF scene, I am also watching the HYG ETF (iShares High Yield Corp ETF) given we see that falling sharply but seeing some extremely oversold reads.
BANDHAN BANK - DOWNTREND BREAKOUT" DOWNTREND PATTERN BREAKOUT "
Entry Level : 260
SL : 225
Targets : 300,335,370+
52wk High : 275.90
52wk Low : 182.15
Mkt Cap : 405.30 B
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Berkshire Hathaway: Bearish Gartley Hinting at a 40-60% DeclineBerkshire Hathaway is currently trading at the HOP level of a Bearish Gartley and at this HOP level, upon close, will likely confirm a Bearish PPO Confirmation Arrow as the PPO Oscillator itself gets closer and closer to breaking below a well established trend line.
Along with that, we have some Bearish Divergence on the MACD and the price action we got at the HOP resulted in a green Shooting Star Candlestick Reversal Pattern that we are working on confirming via a Weekly Bearish Engulfing.
If all goes as expected, I would think that the shares of Berkshire Hathaway will first pull back 27% which would put at the 2022 lows but after that I think it will likely pullback around 40%-60% to fill an unresolved gap at $314,850.00
OZK Bank Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of OZK Bank prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 1/19/2024,
for a premium of approximately $2.72.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BMO Bank of Montreal Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BMO Bank of Montreal prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $3.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Royal Bank of Canada: Bearish Diamond AnticipationRoyal Bank of Canada has confirmed a Diamond Top pattern on the weekly, along with a breaking of the Moving Average. Upon breaking down, I think it will start a move down all the way to the 88.6% Retrace, likely near $46. Since the Diamond is a Neutral pattern and we have not gotten an official breakdown yet, I will still be on the lookout for a breakout in the other direction, but I'm primarily positioned bearishly in puts.
XBK.AX ~ Snapshot TA / ASX 200 Banks IndexChart mapping/analysis for ASX 200 Banks Index ASX:XBK
Constituents:
- Big 4 Banks = ASX:ANZ ASX:CBA ASX:NAB ASX:WBC
- Mid Tier = ASX:BEN ASX:BOQ ASX:JDO ASX:VUK
- Small Banks = ASX:ABA ASX:BBC ASX:BFL ASX:KSL ASX:MYS
Note: Macquarie Group Ltd classified as Diversified Financials but also facilitates Banking ASX:MQG
ASX ETFs
- Pure-Play Banks: ASX:MVB
- ASX Financials (Banks/Insurance Providers): ASX:OZF ASX:QFN
Global Banks ETF: ASX:BNKS
CAPITALCOM:AU200 ASX:XJO ASX:XFJ
NASDAQ Bank Weekly ChartNASDAQ Bank's market behavior is currently unfolding within the context of a cyclic wave pattern, specifically in its fourth wave. This cyclic wave pattern is a representation of the bank's price movements over time, and it is comprised of various phases that can be broken down for analysis.
Starting from its inception, the bank's journey has been marked by significant trends known as primary waves. The first of these primary waves, primary wave 1, was completed in April 1987. This was a period of notable growth or decline that had a discernible impact on the bank's stock prices. Following this, primary wave 2 occurred in October 1990, representing another distinct phase of movement. Primary wave 3 followed suit, transpiring in April 1998, with its own unique characteristics that influenced the bank's market performance.
Subsequently, primary wave 4 emerged in February 2000, accompanied by primary wave 5, which concluded in December 2006. These five primary waves collectively constitute what is referred to as wave I within the larger cyclic wave pattern. This initial cycle, termed cyclic wave I, reached its peak in January 2007, signifying a culmination of upward movement.
However, as market dynamics are characterized by both upward and downward trends, a subsequent downward movement, known as cycle wave II, occurred from January 2007 to February 2009. This phase might have been influenced by broader economic factors or specific developments within the banking industry.
Continuing the sequence, within the context of cyclic wave III, five new primary waves unfolded, each shaping the bank's trajectory in distinct ways. Following the completion of these primary waves, there was a retracement during primary wave IV, which spanned from an earlier point until May 2023. Retracements often represent periods of consolidation or correction in the market.
As of the present moment, the bank's market behavior indicates the initiation of wave V within the cyclic degree. This implies that the bank is entering a new phase of market activity, and its price movements are anticipated to be influenced by a fresh set of factors and trends.
In conclusion, the bank's journey within the cyclic wave pattern is a dynamic interplay of upward and downward trends, with each wave representing a distinct phase of market behavior. Understanding these patterns can assist investors and analysts in making informed decisions based on historical trends and anticipated future movements.
Disclaimer: The following explanation is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market behaviors are subject to various factors and can be unpredictable. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BMO: Broke Through and Confirmed Supply at a Demand LineBMO has broken down a previous Demand Line and Confirmed it as a present Supply Line. I am now looking for BMO to break below the 200-week Simple Moving average; upon doing that, there will be nothing left for BMO to hold on to and should take it down to about $43.
Goldman Sachs - Are Banks The Next Dumpster?Goldman Sachs is another one of those stocks that's traded like a can of dog food for a very long period of time that the masses are really drawn to, much like Target, Disney, and Paypal, of which you can find calls for that I've made in the linked section below.
GS is relatively significant in that it's one of the 30 components of the Dow, which is one of the big three indexes.
The Dow had previously been the leader in strength, and for a long time, but in the last several weeks has become the leader in weakness.
Although it looks like a minor blip on the radar, I feel it's something of a harbinger of doom.
And the problem for Goldman Sachs can be seen clearly on the monthly:
Clearly insofar that the bounce from the 2018 high should have lead to new highs.
Instead, the distribution block from the market highs served as resistance. 14 months later, it took out July's low and we can now safely theorize that lower prices are in order.
Weekly bars show us that a failure swing has formed and July's price action was just a local stop raid.
So, what could a catalyst be? Arguably, there doesn't need to be a catalyst. It's just that JP Morgan is long 15,800 puts with a strike of SPX 4,225 expiring September 29 that have never been in the money since they were purchased at the end of Q2.
And so when one index falls, all indexes falls, and the arbitrage algorithms naturally take component stocks down with them.
There's also the economic disaster China under Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party are facing. When you have a disaster hit the world's "Central Kingdom," nobody is an island and those macro equity flows will cause significant turmoil in other markets.
For the U.S. market makers, this simply represents an opportunity to kill longs, buy everyone's losses at the bottom, and rip it back to new highs while you short sell and chase the entire way because Reddit and Discord and Xeeeeeter told you to.
But "the best laid plans of mice and men often go awry."
What looms over the head of humanity is the CCP's 24-year persecution of Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners in Mainland China, which was launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999.
Although Jiang is dead now, the persecution still continues. Xi hasn't been a part of the persecution. Xi, to the contrary, has been killing the participants of the persecution in his "Anti-Corruption Campaign."
But much of the world has gone to Shanghai to do business with the Jiang Faction and that requires swearing vows to the Red Cult's Flag of Blood and leaving collateral.
This is going to be a roadblock to the future for the U.S. "systemically important banks" that cannot be passed, and the impact is going to be significant.
So, here's the trade on Goldman Sachs.
The target the algorithm is set up to pursue is definitely $275. Shorting from $320 actually really isn't that bad. Getting $45 on a put will do rather well for you even if you can only afford one.
Although optimal entry was definitely the $350s.
But the truth is that you aren't likely to be able to long $274 profitably. I'd say the first place you can look for a reversal or a meaningful bounce is $223.
Humans won't believe it until they see it. But once you see it, it's too late.
It only counts if you do something for yourself while the cards are still face down.
Just like poker, the river is coming, and there won't be any "running it twice."
Bank of America is Shaping Up to Be Just Like PacWestWhen comparing the price action between BAC and PACW, it can be seen that both stocks exhibit the same price action, which is a Rising and Broadening Structure leading into the PCZ of a Bearish Alt-Bat, which all eventually came to a halt upon getting Bearish PPO Confirmation. This led to a breaking of the 21-Month SMA before ultimately flushing down to all-time lows after months of treating the 21-Month SMA levels as resistance.
The same price action can be seen on Bank of America; it is just 1 step behind PACW at this point in time, which is the flipping of the 21-SMA into resistance. The next step would be for it to crash below the 2009 lows.
Old National Bancorp: 3 Falling Peaks within a Broadening WedgeOld National Bancorp has developed a 3 Falling Peaks pattern after confirming a Partial Rise of the Ascending Broadening Wedge it's been trading within. It has also confirmed MACD Hidden Bearish Divergence.
Based on the price action we've recieved the expected bearish target would be between $5.73 and $1.91
REM: Partial Rise within an Ascending Broadening WedgeAs the Fed Funds Rate rises and the rise in Consumer Credit Balances come to a halt, I think it will lead to Deflationary Pressure. This pressure would likely send Short Term Bond Yields lower starting with the ultra short ones like the 1 year and below, when this happens I think we could then see this be reflected within the Mortgage Back Securities (MBS) and if that's the case, this ETF will likely fall because it mostly holds a lot of very Short Term MBSs with maturities ranging between 0 and 5 Years, and as the rate of the MBSs fall so will the Demand for them which would likely lead to lower prices.
Due to what I explained above I think that this Harmonic ABCD BAMM break down will likely happen and send REM down to the 1.13 Fibonacci Extension.
HSBC: MACD Bearish Divergence with PPO Confirmation at Bat PCZWe have the strongest form of Double PPO Confirmation on the Daily and a weaker form on the Weekly, all at the PCZ of a Bearish Bat; if it performs it will very likely begin a severe decline of up to 62%+ especially due to how much exposure it has to chinese Real Estate.
Consumer Credit: Harmonically Set Up to Return Down To TrendConsumer Credit has recently risen to over $1 Trillion and this rise happens to align with a 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and the PCZ of a Bearish ABCD. If we view this based on the expectations of Harmonics and Fibonacci, we would expect that this is indeed the top and that we will now begin a retrace back down to trend, which could likely land us between the 50% and 61.8% retrace down at $600–$500 Billion as those retraces line up with the trend line we have formed.
$MQ reversal play 👁🗨️*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
This afternoon my team purchased shares of FinTech company Marqeta $MQ at $4 per share.
Our Entry: $4.00
Take Profit: unclear (we will use the fib-tool to determine a good take profit)
Stop Loss: $3.75
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
PABC.N0000Wait for a pullback to mentioned buy zones.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
💾 SPX Closes On Strong Bullish Bias +Bitcoin & Bank CrisisThis is the SPX on the weekly timeframe:
It has been printing higher lows since October 2022.
It has been going up and it is pushing/challenging resistance.
This week closes green with a long lower wick.
The RSI is really strong.
More than 7 months of consolidation.
The next target is set at 4,237 on the daily timeframe or the August 2022 peak/high.
The SPX & Bitcoin
A higher low was hit 13-March together with Bitcoin and the rest of the Cryptocurrency market.
After this higher low, we are seeing the resumption of the bullish move that started January 2023.
While Bitcoin bottomed in November 2022 the SPX bottomed October 2022.
The orthodox end of the bear market for Bitcoin happened June 2022 so we can still say that Bitcoin is moving ahead of the stock market.
Currently Bitcoin is already trading above its August 2022 high.
The SPX, Cryptocurrency & The Banking Crisis
It will be interesting to see how the SPX will behave once the banking crisis is resumed in June... Maybe this bullish chart shows the last hurray?
The SPX is bullish now but watch out for mid-June when the banks start crashing again, we will see how this affects the conventional markets but we know that Cryptocurrency will benefit based on past history.
Namaste.
The Overnight Reverse Repo Facility Looks to be Bottoming OutMoney that has been parked at the Fed's Reverse Repo Facility due to the attractively high interest rates the Fed has set for money parked there has been on a steady decline since late 2022, and recently, this year we confirmed a breakdown of a Bearish Dragon, which led to a BAMM move down to complete a Harmonic M-shape.
This then represented an influx of liquidity exiting the facility and effectively hitting circulation, which led to that money chasing assets and commodities. This chasing of assets and commdoities effecctively backed the 2023 Stock Market Rally.
The target I had set for this move was down to the 0.886 of a Bullish Bat and now months later we can see that we came very close to it, but it would seem that rather than getting a full 0.886 retrace we are instead getting a confirmation-styled RSI reaction as price Bounces from the 1.618 Extension, which just so happens to align with an AB=CD formation it's made on the way down.
I see this as an indication that the liquidity will soon stop flowing out from the facility and that liquidity will now begin to flow back to the facility, effectively taking money out of circulation, which would likely result in a decline in asset prices and a decline in the trading of Short Term Debt on the open market, which could then lead to Short Term Yields rising overall along with the US Dollar as institutions once again begin to lock up their dollars in this facility and chase yield rather than assets.
Recently, I have been seeing a lot of weakness in the banking sector. That weakness may act as a catalyst for these institutions to once again park their money with the Fed, just as it did before. As always, my target for an ABCD is back to the Level of C, so we should see this rising back up about 30% before we can start looking for signs of this topping out again.
Hilltop Holdings Bank: Bearish Cypher w/Double PPO ConfirmationHilltop Holdings has formed a W-shape, which I thought would complete an 0.886 and become a Bearish Shark, but it has since given 2-3 PPO Confirmation Circles around the 0.786 retrace instead. In addition, it has confirmed a lot of RSI Bearish Divergence within this zone; for that reason, I see a strong possibility that this ends up being a Bearish Cypher instead of a Bearish Shark and given that it is a bank, it will probably end up performing dramatically.
I will likely be looking into FAZ soon (The inverse ETF for the Financials sector) as it's sitting at the PCZ of a Bullish Gartley but just hasn't given any form of confirmation yet.