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👻The Movers and Shakers: Meet the Big Forex Players👻 🍀The forex market is a dynamic and complex marketplace, with billions of dollars changing hands every day. At the center of this volatile financial landscape are a handful of key players who wield immense power and influence over the direction of global currencies. In this article, we'll introduce you to some of the biggest and most influential forex market players. 🌸The Central Banks: "We set the tone for the entire forex market." Perhaps the most important forex market players are the world's central banks. These powerful institutions have the ability to control the supply and demand of their respective currencies, through interest rate policies and other monetary maneuvers. Whenever a central bank makes a move, traders around the world sit up and take notice. 🌺The Big Banks: "We are the gatekeepers of the forex market." Big banks are another major group of forex market players, and they play a critical role in providing liquidity to the market itself. These institutions act as intermediaries, buying and selling currencies on behalf of their clients and helping to facilitate trades between different market players. 🌼Hedge Funds and Trading Firms: "We thrive on volatility and uncertainty." Hedge funds and trading firms are a relatively new entrant to the forex market, but they have quickly become some of the most important players. These firms are often staffed by experienced traders and analysts who use complex algorithms and trading strategies to capitalize on short-term market movements. 🌹In conclusion, the forex market is a complex and ever-evolving landscape, but understanding the key players involved can help investors and traders make more informed decisions. Whether you're following the moves of central banks, working with big banks, or leveraging the insights of hedge funds and trading firms, the forex market is full of opportunities for those who are willing to take the risk. Please cheer me up with a like and a nice comment😸❤️ Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
Education
by AnabelSignals
7
Central banks navigate the last stretch of the tightening cycleThis week we learnt how vital Central Bank communication is to global financial markets. The trio of central banks – The Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) held their respective meetings. Each of the central banks tried to convey how they will navigate monetary policy amidst a slowing economy and avoid a hard landing. China takes small steps to shore up the recovery Even the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) surprised the markets this week, by announcing a cut in the 7-day Open Market Operations (OMO) by 10Bps to 1.9%1 which paved the way for another cut to the one-year medium term lending facility rate by 10Bps to 2.65%2. These recent developments mark a more proactive stance by Chinese policy makers in trying to tackle the Chinese slowdown in activity since the re-opening. Clearly more is needed. Policymakers are soliciting opinions from business leaders and economists on how to revitalise the economy in a number of urgent meetings3. While the Fed and ECB are trying to tame inflation, China has the opposite problem as inflation remains low. Manufacturing remains weak, exports are slowing, and credit growth is cooling. This is why it’s no surprise that the markets are prepping for a broader package of stimulus targeted towards the ailing property sector. A hawkish skip for the Fed The recent flurry of economic reports continues to show the US economy is holding up but losing steam, supporting the Fed’s approach of changing the pace of its policy tightening. The Fed kept the fed funds rate in range of 5-5.25%, by unanimous vote, in line with market expectations after 10 straight hikes dating back to March 2022. The Fed’s dot plot showed the median rate at 5.6% versus 5.1% a month back. In the summary of economic projections, the median unemployment rate forecast was revised lower from 4.5% to 4.1% by the end of 2023 while the core inflation rate was revised higher from 3.6% to 3.9% making the case for more hikes this year. This clearly was a hawkish skip. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was careful to point out that no decision was made on a July hike, but he did say it is a live meeting, leading the market to increase the probability of a move. What surprised me the most, was that Powell said rate cuts would be a couple of years out which is at odds with the dot plot forecast of 100Bps of cuts in 2024. Senior Economist to WisdomTree Jeremy Siegel believes the Fed is done hiking and that alternative inflation metrics which incorporate real time housing inputs show inflation running at 1.4% instead of 4.1%. This is based on alternative shelter inflation calculations using Case Shiller Housing and Zillow rent annualized at 0.5% instead of the 8% that is biasing Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) CPI higher. ECB’s revised inflation forecasts remain at odds After raising the deposit rate by 25Bps to 3.5%, the ECB was a lot clearer than the Fed in signalling that rate hikes are almost certain next month on July 27. The ECB remains too optimistic on growth, reducing their projection for 2023 real GDP to only 0.9% (from 1% in its March projections). While I would agree with the ECB’s view that (1) mostly labour-intensive services will support economic growth over the next two years and (2) the current hump in wage inflation will show up via higher prices for these services, I remain sceptical amidst the global headwinds for manufacturing, and a slower pace of overall growth could keep inflation as high as the ECB now projects. While wages are likely to accelerate slightly above 5% in 2023, they should begin declining to 4% yoy by late 2024. We believe, if core inflation continues to recede in the coming months and the real economy grows at 0.4% in 2023, the ECB will stay put in September after a final move next month. As expected, the ECB confirmed that it will stop to reinvest proceeds from maturing bonds under its standard Asset Purchase Programme (APP) from July onwards. It won’t offer new long term liquidity injections upon the expiry of the €477Bn of a TLTRO III liquidity measure on 28 June 2023. BOJ sits tight As expected, the BOJ kept all key policy settings unchanged, including the +/-50Bps band around the zero% Japanese Government Bond JGB yield target. Since taking the helm in April 2023, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda has stressed the high cost of premature tightening as the economy is finally seeing green shoots toward sustainable inflation. In contrast to the ECB, the BoJ's latest assessment and outlook for the economy and inflation were also largely unchanged from their update in the April Outlook Report. The BoJ continues to note "extremely high uncertainties" surrounding economies and financial markets at home and abroad." Japanese equity markets reacted positively to the BOJ’s status quo stance on monetary policy. Looking ahead, the Fed’s potential pivot back to a hawkish mode versus the BOJ’s dovish perseverance could pave the way for further upside for Japanese equities owing to the underlying weakness in the Yen versus the US dollar. Sources 1 Bloomberg on June 13, 2023 2 Bloomberg on June 15, 2023 3 Bloomberg on June 14, 2023
FRED:FEDFUNDS
by aneekaguptaWTE
UPDATE Nedbank heading nicely up to R238.56UPDATE from last time. I thought we would get a bit of a pull back before the upside push, but I was mistaken. Regardless, the price was expected to move up and up it is going. This W Formation that formed and broke out gave a decent Risk to reward 1:2. And At this point where the R:R =1 it's even safe to bank half profits and move stop loss to breakeven. 7>21 RSI>50 Target remains at R238.56 ABOUT THE COMPANY ~ Nedbank Group Limited, commonly known as Nedbank, is one of the largest banking groups in South Africa. (Part of the Big Five!) ~ The company was established in 1888 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. ~ Nedbank is a subsidiary of Old Mutual Limited, a financial services conglomerate. ~ The bank operates in various segments, including Retail and Business Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth Management. ~ Nedbank offers a wide range of financial products and services, including personal and business banking, loans, mortgages, investments, insurance, and asset management. ~ The company has a significant presence in South Africa, with a network of branches and ATMs across the country. ~ Nedbank has also expanded its operations internationally and has representative offices in several African countries, as well as operations in other regions such as the United Kingdom. HOW NEDBANK GOT ITS NAME Nedbank's name is derived from its historical roots. When the bank was established in 1888, it was originally known as the Nederlandsche Bank en Credietvereeniging voor Zuid-Afrika (Dutch Bank and Credit Union for South Africa). Over time, the name was shortened to Nederlandsche Bank voor Zuid-Afrika (Dutch Bank for South Africa) and eventually to Nedbank. The name "Nedbank" reflects the bank's Dutch heritage and its focus on providing banking services in South Africa.
JSE:NEDLong
by Timonrosso
💾 Truist Financial Corp. (7th Biggest Bank USA) | Crash AheadThe chart here looks almost identical to PNC Financial Services Group... We've been receiving countless spam from banks offering all sorts of products, dozens of emails and phone calls every week... Now we understand why... It seems like they are desperate for money. TFC Weekly Chart: ✔️ Notice how the green weeks have low volume vs the red weeks which have high volume. ✔️ The bearish cross on the MACD is very telling. It is already crashing. It started dropping in January 2022 and soon things sped up. It is the same as with the SPX and the rest of the indexes the only difference is that these banks produced the worst week in a long while while the averages still have to move below support. Major crash ahead looking for the bottom. After the bottom is hit a long-term recovery should take place. Namaste.
NYSE:TFCShort
by MasterAnanda
2
💾 U.S. Bancorp 2008 Type Of Crash IncomingWe are now at #5 of the TOP10 biggest banks in the USA, this one seems pretty bad as well. Let's start with the weekly chart and then we move to the monthly for the bigger picture: ✔️ This week USB had the worst week since Feb. 2020, Covid days. ✔️ A major support level failed in the form of 0.618 Fib. which can lead to lower prices. ✔️ We have a bearish cross on the MACD and RSI trending lower; I will show you the charts this time. USB Weekly MACD: USB Weekly RSI: ✔️ While the monthly chart lost EMA10 and EMA100, support was found at MA200. ✔️ The MACD is trending down while already bearish. How far down it goes will depend on the politics, how much money they decide to print, if the banks will get a bailout or not, etc. We have to see how it all develops. The side effects of raising interest. They wanted to crash the economy... It is working. Namaste.
NYSE:USBShort
by MasterAnanda
6
$DXY & Yield calls were on point, again. Banks ok for now?We post a lot of ANALYSIS with ideas & what we're seeing BUT Keep an eye out for the ACTUAL CALLS We called rally in TVC:DXY & #yields, we got that over last month + Recently we stated that #bonds likely found a bottom = yields topping & Stated that TVC:DXY was looking weaker #Dollar cratering & Yields falling This COULD save, at least for now, another wave of bank collapses TVC:TNX might be lil tougher call as the bounce was not as big
TVC:DXY
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Bank Nifty Trade Setup (29-May-2023)This will be my personal trade Setup, This is not an advice of any kind to initiate trade according to this setup. This is for only for my learning purpose and maintaining my trading journal. As posted in previous day setup that from price as Banknifty is in parallel channel with 44151 to 44071 as resistance zone and 43470 to 43370 as support zone and on 26-May-2023 price was near support zone after a sell off in previous sessions and it took support near that support zone and moved all the way up to resistance zone moving almost 400 points in a day. so far it was a good session and worked as per trade setup. ( Cannot post previous day chart to keep record of this price action have to look for previous day trade setup.) For tomorrow this will be my trade setup: 1.) If opens flat which is near resistance zone. if price doesn't hold near this resistance on 15 min TF then will look for selling after break of nearby support of 43880. If price took support on break of this resistance zone i will look for buying. (Views are bullish so will only trade against the primary trend with strict stop loss and target levels. 2.) If opens gap up above resistance zone and if takes supports above the resistance zone on 15 min TF with good candle pattern and volume. then will look for buying only for target will be open with stop loss of 44151 (ATH). 3.) If opens gap down at nearby support 43880 will look for price to take support or if it became resistance and target will be as per this parallel channel support zone which is 43750, 43650 and 43500. Things to keep in mind: As mentioned above views are bullish so will trade cautiously against the primary trend with strict stop loss and target level on downside. Hit like to keep me motivated for keeping my trading journal as it only take less then few seconds to hit like but it gives me motivation for preparing for my session. also one can comment how i can make it better or need any improvements in my trading setups and improving this journal. as this is my only trading journal not keeping any excel or any online sheets as i never used before.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by TradeInsights
They Will Protect the Banks, FRC is a LayupFirst Republic bank has been slaughtered due to the banking crisis in the US. FRC is backed by JP Morgan, the strongest bank on earth. Unless the Gov't wants all regional banks to fail and roll it all up in to the big banks, FRC should survive and if it survives, it can easily double from here. Obviously the sentiment on this stock and bank stocks in general are terrible right now, we'll see if that changes. If the stock falls into the single digits from here I will close the position.
NYSE:FRCLong
by inanis_
🔥 Is The Bitcoin Halving Causing Bull Markets? New Theory!The classical Bitcoin theory about halvings is that they "cause" bull-markets because the supply mined gets halved, leading to a negative supply shock and therefore increasing the value per Bitcoin. This is not a surprising theory since it makes a lot of sense and has worked in the past. But, is the halving really that important for the Bitcoin price? I've plotted the balance sheets of the largest central banks in white. If this line goes up, it indicates an expansion of the balance sheet (Quantitative Easing / QE), which can roughly be interpreted as printing money. It appears that Bitcoin bull- and bear-markets are highly correlated with central banks expanding their balance sheets. White line goes up, BTC goes up, white line goes down (or sideways) BTC goes down. I've marked two previous occurrences where the central banks started QE in purple. Bitcoin arguably started the bull-market from those points, and not once the halving (yellow) took place. From this chart we can conclude that the Central Banks are a decisive factor in the start and end of Bitcoin bull markets. Sure, the halving is a highly anticipated event among retail investors and manages to revive the interest into crypto, but I'd argue that QE (= a better investing climate) is the main reason why Bitcoin goes up and down in cycles. In other words, we can have a BTC bull-market during a period of QE without the halving taking place. We can't have a bull-market after the halving without QE. If you enjoyed this analysis, please give it a like. Share your thoughts below 🙏
ECONOMICS:USCBBSLong
by FieryTrading
9
Rs 53.80 to put buyers back in controlWhilst the long term trend remains very much in favor of the buyers, traders should be looking to buy strength as prices have a successful move through the AVWAP from the most recent high. Right now, prices seem to be building up for another leg higher but our jobs is not to speculate but rather react as the market gives us good probability signals. Clearing 53.80 would put the buyers back in control and likely see prices retest the 57 - 58 area. Breaching through this would likely see a move towards the mid 65 - 67 range.
CSELK:SAMP.N0000
by xTDGS
Artificial Banks Wane: Bitcoin Ushers in Financial Epoch This chart shows a view of the top 8 banks in the United States and the charts go back to at least 2008 so you may see how artificial the bubble is. As the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hikes, a cloud of uncertainty looms over the banking sector. This trading strategy anticipates potential instabilities in major banks, which could catalyze a significant migration towards decentralized finance solutions such as Bitcoin. Higher rates could strain over-leveraged banks, leading to a fall in their value, while Bitcoin could rise as an alternative financial refuge. COMBINED TOTAL OF ALL 8 BANKS = 1.5 Trillion 1. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM): $391.88 billion 2. Mastercard Incorporated (MA): $360.32 billion 3. Bank of America Corp. (BAC): $218.28 billion 4. Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC): $151.81 billion 5. Morgan Stanley (MS): $137.6 billion 6. Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS): $106.65 billion 7. Citigroup Inc. (C): $88.48 billion 8. U.S. Bancorp (USB): $46.62 billion The colossal $1.5 trillion valuation of these traditional banking institutions may give an illusion of robustness, yet this façade might not withstand the test of an evolving financial landscape. These banks, laden with their outdated models and susceptibility to Fed's rate hikes , represent a realm of finance that is increasingly becoming unsustainable. I believe a significant portion of the capital currently tied in these institutions is likely to flow into more resilient, decentralized financial systems such as Bitcoin. By doing so, investors may pivot from a seemingly sinking ship to a dynamic and emergent financial framework, embracing the future of finance with open arms.
NYSE:MSShort
by MichaelBsul
Is this our Bear Stearns collapse? In 2008 the Market rallied after the Bear Stearns collapse near March Trip Witch. Other banks stepped in to buy it up and disaster was averted! Or rather a 6 month stay of execution for the rest of them... The week of Sept 15th Lehman Bros collapsed, followed the next week by WaMu, then the next day by Wachovia. Wachovia would've probably survived if the other banks hadn't murdered financial stocks so bad. The dominos had started falling 6 months prior, tho. So, if the market rallies here, I'd look for a similar pattern to unfold. Compare mid-summer to see if it's valid.
AMEX:SPY
by Nicklaus68
SOFI: Bullish Head and Shoulders at a Bullish Butterfly PCZSOFI is currently trading and forming a Bullish Head and Shoulders at a shared confluence zone between the log scale 1.618 and the linear scale 1.272 Fibonacci Extensions which in both cases would be the PCZ of a Bullish Butterfly; While it is possible that it could go deeper into the linear 1.414 Extension I do believe that the action we're seeing from the price right now at the current level warrants a Bullish Entry. SoFi having just over $0.5B Under Management is overall a much smaller bank than many of the banks we've seen come down and may come to as an advantage as they have less liabilities and yet they are gradually growing.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by RizeSenpai