Cotton Long Hi there ! We post the next possible trading opinion to cotton CT1! which is possible after the terrible decline which took place this week after the escalated tensions of the trade war between U.S - China. As you see the diagram in daily timeframe the possible target price is at the level of the median BB. This bounce is also confirmed by the RSI. Also farmers price is by far the worst in 2 years.
Trade with safety.
Omen
(This is only a trading idea and not an investment advice ! )
BB
Entry 1/2Crowd Strike, although an incredible company that is rapidly growing, is a complete rip off right now. If you multiplied the total Class A and B shares by $ 70.00 high you would get a valuation of $14,135,982,257. This is obviously outrageous, even by historically low-interest rates/Trump Bull Run standards.
You can imagine the typical reaction you’d get if you said this to somebody who bought it; “It doesn’t matter, it’s a great company, just buy and hold and all those wrinkles will eventually flatten themselves out”. Think about it this way, a Mercedes Benz is a great car, but is it worth $10 000 000? Of course not. Please, wait for this company to come back down to reality before you jump over the deep end.
60% of the fully diluted outstanding shares are owned by 3 entities…That should ring some alarm bells. Once those shares start freely trading, the price will probably tank. Not good for the average mom and pop investor, that’s for sure. With only 18 000 000 Class A shares, the addition of 178 688 971 new shares would result in almost 90% dilution in the secondary markets…
Okay, brace yourselves people, we are going to do something that might seem rather unconventional; we are going to divide the total additional paid in capital prior to this offering by the total Class B stock…………
$493 000 000
Divided by 178 688 97
EQUALS…………..$2.75!!!
Let’s do some more fun little math problems. What was the closing price today? 64? Okay, let’s divide 64 by 2.75.
What do you get?
23.2727272727. That means the average gain on the Class B shares, if they were sold today, would be 2327.272727%!!!!!
Now that’s not completely fair. Yes, the average price is $2.75, but, the Series A-1 shares were priced at 50 cents, which is a bit of an outlier compared to the rest of the preferred shares. The image below is a table of each class of redeemable preferred stock
Lets us, just for fun, see what the implied profit would be for each letter in this varied alphabet of stock
The A’s………………………………. 12900% in profits
For the B’s………………………………………4571%
And for the C’s! 1422% in gains!!
Starting to understand why this valuation is ridiculous?
Okay, now let’s take a look at the book value. Even though this isn’t as relevant to this company since most of the value is intangible (i.e., people, know-how, intellectual property), it still sheds light on the extreme amount of dilution one would face if they were to buy this stock at the current price.
Pro Forma dilution is $30?….on a $34.00 stock?…….Makes sense. In order for profit margins like this to occur, almost always, there has to be a counter-party who loses big time, or else where is all this profit going to come from, especially when it is obtained without the receiver of these profits lifting so much as finger, as is the case here with Warburg Pincus, Accel, and “Capital G” (formerly Google Capital 2016, L.P…. so Google)
At least they warn us. A small remnant that is still remaining from the blue sky’s laws created way back following the Great Crash of 1929. Can you imagine the theatrics that went on back then?!
Gross profits of $162 million. That’s a pretty penny, right? Not so fast. The valuation of the company is 14 billion remember? Like we said before, we go against the grain here, do things others don’t do, so we are going to calculate how long it would take to break even if you were to buy the stock right now. …………….Here comes the magic people. Are you ready for this?
14 billion………………………………………………………………………………..
divided by…………………………………………………………………………………….
162 million………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
…………………………………………………………………………..
…………………………………………………………………………………….Equals
86 YEARS!!!!! Yes!!! Just a little over the average life span for an American Citizen. Think about it. If you bought a business that was priced 86 times higher then its yearly earnings, how long is it going to take to pay it back? 86 years right?
You see, it’s not that hard to understand. None of this is. Finance is very simple; it’s 2 + 2 =4, not rocket science. It’s just the people who control the industry; the bankers, the lawyers, stockbrokers, the fund managers; they all like to guard their knowledge, just like in any profession, so they use all this bullshit lingo to keep you ignorant so you keep coming back, like your local mechanic.
Oh, we left out one small detail. That number we just mentioned, it’s not their net income, it’s their gross profit, meaning the money they make BEFORE they pay their bills!
You see that number at the bottom, that $140 077? Yeah? That’s their yearly earnings, not the 193 million we talked about before. It’s NEGATIVE, not positive, NEGATIVE 140 077 MILLION……
Which is completely OK!! They are an AMAZING company experiencing RAPID GROWTH, but $14 billion!?! That’s a little much.
They even tell you that you can’t vote!!!
BB has compelling future. I bit.Here I have drawn a couple lines showing what look like some bullish divergences.
This stock surprises me with the lack of confidence. I feel comfortable buying here seeing basically zero pump, and what appears to be market deflation.. Im no expert by any measure, but this seems to be an excellent opportunity to buy into a company that has been making a transition from hardware to subscription software, in the late stages, and at a low price. Security is key, and if these guys can become top tier, I think market will reward for many years. They seem to be off to great start, and in diverse applications. Little trade exposure, but in position to profit from any advances that may happen.
Clearly I like them, please drop a note with your take.. no need for bashing.. i know many have been burned.
$BBNYSE:BB Cae fuerte el día de hoy donde anuncian que mejoró los estimados de ingresos. Se desploma -9% y posiblemente toque la línea de tendencia de color violeta que la utilizará de soporte. MACD indica venta con una pendiente bastante pronunciada, lo cual indicaría que seguirá cayendo luego de tocar este soporte dinámico para luego tocar mínimos en 6,57, línea de retroceso de Fibonacci de 0. Otra opción es esperar un rebote en el soporte dinámico que coincide también con un soporte estático del 31/12/2018, lo cual permitiría una corrección al alza para luego volver a testear el límite inferior del canal bajista
BYND Strong IPOBYND is in a strong and tight bull channel since the IPO. This bull trend from the open is what a trader wants to see when buying for long term investments. Last week formed a reversal attempt. When the market is strong, first reversal attempts fail 80% of the time and instead create the start of a second leg up. The bears will likely need some form of second reversal attempt like a large low 2 or failed bull breakout (they act the same), in order to increase the likelihood of reversing the bull spike. Even if there is a good bear reversal, the bulls will likely look to buy again around the 50 open. If the bear pressure is not strong, the bulls will look to form a spike and bull channel which usually forms after two legs sideways to down, and generally stem from a high 2 or wedge bull flag.
If you found this helpful please like and share! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
ICX-BTC Double Bollinger Bands The Double Bollinger Bands on ICX-BTC pair are now in the neutral zone again. Pay close attention to the price action at the middle BB (blue line in the middle). We will update the post once we see where the trend is going and provide you with a RRR setup. At this moment we are neutral and are waiting for price action on the BTC pair, however if BTC makes a move we will be waiting even longer to figure out where this is going.
A close below the middle BB will suggest that the downtrend is likely to continue. A strong close above the middle BB tells us that we are likely going to reverse the trend or at least touch the 1st or 2nd upper zone of the BB.
Extra info:
Green zone = bullish trend
Blue zone = neutral trend (break up or down this zone might indicate reversal)
Red zone = bearish trend
To be updated!!!
BTC LONG BASED ON TREND +VOLUME+BB8 EMA did crossover 34 EMA and we see a decreasing trend in BTC, It can be an opportunity to enter a long position. Volume increase and narrow BB will help its power. We should wait to enter the position. We see also narrow BB Bands, It shows us if there is a break to anywhere, it may cause big results.
Bollinger Bands | Gunbot trading strategyThis is an example of Gunbot trading with the Bollinger Bands (bb) strategy. Gunbot is a multi platform crypto trading bot.
About this strategy
With this strategy you can configure at which percentage from the lower Bollinger Band Gunbot should buy, and at which percentage from the upper Bollinger Band a sell order should be placed. Additionally, you can configure the minimum profit per trade and how much prices need to be below EMA for buy orders to be executed.
Settings used
This example uses the "pure" version of the bb strategy, meaning both the buy method and sell method are set to use bb. No additional trailing or confirming indicators are used.
The following relevant settings were used, all other settings were set to the defaults:
PERIOD: 60
EMA1: 20
EMA2: 10
BUY_LEVEL: 1
STDV: 2
SMAPERIOD: 30
HIGH_BB: 20
LOW_BB: 0
GAIN: 2.2
Full disclosure
I am the author the Gunbot wiki. This content is only meant as educational material to show an example of how Gunbot can be used, disclosing the full strategy settings used.
Disclaimer
While every effort has been made to ensure these simulations of Gunbot contain the same logic as Gunbot, they will not always buy or sell at the exact same time or prices as Gunbot (because of TradingView's inability to use ticker prices). This is close as you can get in TradingView to the real thing. Backtesting the past does NOT guarantee profit in the present or future.
Please don't use these exemplary settings without doing your own research. Results can vary depending on the chosen market and it's conditions.
When ISS Sir? My first bitcoin chart, BB and H&S BullishIT would appear that two technical indicators are signaling a break up. The BB upper bound has been surpassed twice following an inverted H&S pattern. Next major resistance at 10K. What do you guys think? I expect some volatility between now and 10K next month. No skilled enough to give opinions on the interday moment.
I am long with entries between 5800-8400.
Blackberry_(NYSE:BB)_May_16_2018Since the demise of Nortel, Blackberry was the darling of the Canadian Tech Sector till about 2008. However, the rise of Apple combined with the Great Recession of 2008 caused the stock price of BB to drop from $130 to $40. Proliferation of touch screen phones running on Google's Android platform since then further contributed to
the stock's decline.
The stock was trading around the $9-10 range in 2016-2017. However there has been some recent interest in the company owing to its expertise in developing corporate security products and how those same technologies could be leveraged for the Internet of Things (IOT) world.
Currently, the intermediate term trend is bullish; the short term trend is bearish. I think the chart pattern can be either classified as:
1) Descending Triangle
2) Symmetric Triangle
The burden of proof leads me to believe that a descending triangle is more appropriate. I think by the next earnings call (later this month) we will know which way BB will break out.
If the breakout is towards the positive side, I see the stock price trading in the $14 price range. If the breakout is negative, I see support around $10.25. Based on the last few earnings report, my guess will be that the stock will make a breakout in a bullish manner. however, I will wait a few more days to confirm the trend before buying in.
Happy Trading!!!
LTCUSD HITBTC LONG and some thoughts about crypto perspectives So lets start with cursory review of period from 23 of April. So, currently we see correction after growth from 117 (second reversal level after the downtrend began in early 2018), hight of this growth is 167.292 and now we see cup with handle (low of the figure 143.248).
Lets take a look on the support and resistance levels. Currently we see very strong support line build from second of three corrections of downtrend after 167.292. So this resistance level confirm "cup" and coincides another support level (RED one). Also we see wedge, this one is not that good as it could be, but we currently left wedge and MacD show us a pretty good perspective of growth. 153.355 this is level we should pass to confirm growth up to 167.361.
So, i expect for a good future for a 2-3 days.
BTW, as for me, at all i think that we can expect for a growth of all crypo growth because today is the last day of April futures on CME and investors will calm their BTC on 5th of May. Also, in my opinion we can expect for a new volumes on cryptocurrency markets, i believe thats people will return for a crypto after early year downtrend.
I'am going to add more charts soon.
Stay tune!
Please contact me via TW messenger if you want to somehow support mine project.
[BTC/USD] Easy Chart, You must watchHi,
This chart is re-upload of my private analysis since 30 March 2018.
I saw a lot of chart and analysis all day and a lot of them are true but we really need a new chart each hours ? Unless if you want trade small mouvement. If you "HODL" or trade like Swing trader you just need to know these 2 Support/Resistance where the price continue his road.
I will update and comment this chart later, i write this on my N*kia 3310 so it's really hard. -_-
Have a good day, GLHF.