XRP/BTC Preparing For A Big MoveOn the 1H chart, XRP/BTC is clearly forming a wedge. It's likely that this wedge will signal a bullish move since it's close to a bull-flag, but it could end up being a bearish signal as well.
Keep an eye out for price action and a convincing break-out above/below the confirmation lines, preferably on a higher time frame.
Either way, I think we're gonna see some fireworks soon!
Bearish-signal
GBP/NZD Broke Through Wedge: Bearish SignalFor several months now, GBP/NZD has been following a wedge. In the last two days it broke through the lower limit, signaling a bearish move.
Support 1 and Support 2 are areas of potential reversal, especially Support 2. Support 1 at 1.88 is not necessarily an important area, but since the market is very unpredictable 1.88 brings a decent enough R/R. Support 2 has an amazing R/R ratio, but is fairly risky.
GOLD Might Face a Major Sell-Off Soon: UpdateA week ago I made the prediction that Gold would be falling soon, and falling quickly. Little did I expect it would happen within a week!
Since gold is close to the $1800 support, we can either see a small bounce or a break through the support. If we get a daily candle which closes below $1800, expect a major sell-off towards Support 2 around $1720.
Apple Failed to Break OutApple has been following a perfect wedge pattern since August. Recently it tried to break out of it, without any succes. This rejection signalled a short term decline for the stock.
Consider exiting the short position around the green area, since its close to the trend line and therefore risky.
GOLD Might Face a Major Sell-Off SoonGOLD has been following a descending wedge since last summer. The elections caused a surge in demand, but things went better than expected and risk hedging died off.
With the current macro political and economic climate I see that the demand for gold is dying, which would cause the price to fall.
The descending wedge pattern is a classically bearish pattern, where the price makes lower highs but keeps on bouncing from the lower support line. Wait for the price to close below the yellow line before entering a short position on gold.
Consider support 1 and support 2 as good opportunities to take some profits. These numbers are chosen since they are based on nice round numbers.
For reference, check out my other post about my multi-year bearish analysis of gold.
ETH/BTC Falling to SupportETH/BTC is following a channel since early October. Recently it has hit the upper trend line of said channel and reversed direction. With Bitcoin showing very bullish behaviour, my guess would be that ETH/BTC will continue to fall in the short term.
Consider exiting your position around the green support area. If Bitcoin keeps on rising, you might keep the short position, but it would be a riskier trade.
EUR/CAD Reversing - Short OpportunityCAD/CHF has formed a channel since August. Currently the price is in an area of potential short-term reversal towards the lower trend line.
We want to make sure that the price is actually bouncing off the trend line , so wait for a 4H candle to close below the confirmation line before entering the trade.
Consider the Target line as a potential profit target. It's placed at the point where the price last touched the lower tend line of the channel.
ETH Possible Double Top - Beware of ReversalEthereum is starting to form a double top on the daily chart. It might be a short consolidation period before it takes off again, but if we get another red day we might see the price falling lower in the coming weeks.
In case you're in a long position, consider taking some profits if the price continues to edge lower today and tomorrow.
GBP/USD Weak Outlook with Brexit ComingGBP/USD reversed from the channel that it's been following for the current year.
GBP's outlook is bad. Chances of a "No Deal Brexit" happening are increasing by the day since the ongoing talks between the EU and GB are fruitless. Be careful with going long GBP in the coming weeks.
Consider exiting the short trade around the green area, the lower trend line.
NZD/USD Falling After Being OverboughtNZD/USD and all other NZD pairs have seen a bullish trend over the past week. It seems this trend is correcting for the time being. The RSI was severely overbought at the moment it hit the trend line, making the reversal from the resistance more believable (and tradeable)
Support 1 would be the most conservative target for a short trade. In case bearish NZD sentiment keeps persisting through next week, we could even reach Support 2.
GBP/NZD In a Free FallGBP/NZD just exited a wedge in which it has been for over a year. My guess would be that, especially with the volatility of the last week, GBP/NZD will continue falling the coming weeks.
Consider Support 1 and Support 2 as your profit targets, with Support 1 being the most conservative.
SP500 On a CrossroadWe've all seen the massive bullish movements of the markets today. And luckily for us, volatility means new chances.
In my previous post I argued that the SP500 was prone for a correction, especially after the massive rally it had since the election. Little did I know about today: a corona vaccin.
Currently the SP500 is above the (logarithmic) trendline that it has been following since 2008. Only two times to this day, see the yellow circles on the graph.
The first yellow circle made an end to the crazy summer rally we had this year. The second yellow circle marks today.
Does this mean that the market will fall soon? Maybe. I guess everyone can agree that we are in a very overheated market at the moment. It'd be too early to go short straight away, there's too much bullish force behind the current market. Wait untill today's gap has been closed at the very least.
On the other hand, if we keep climbing we might actually see 3800 points sooner than later.
LINK Bearish Bounce off Trend LineIn my last post I predicted that Link would follow the upward channel. It seems that Link will follow this channel at least one more time: the upper resistance held strong and major selling pressure emerged. Also, the RSI on the 4H chart shows that Link is massively overbought at the moment, signalling a short-term correction.
The green area would be a great spot to close your short position and consider going long again. In the long-term I'm still very bullish on Link, so going long (or staying it) would still be adviced.
If Link were to break through the dotted blue line, the channel is broken and could signal a big bullish move.
SP500 Bearish CorrectionA few days ago I made the preditction that the SP500 was likely to bounce from the lower trend line towards the uper trend line. Suprisingly that prediction came true within 2 days.
Now I see a new reversal on the horizon. The SP500 has hit its upper trend line and is falling again. The fact that the RSI was majorly overbought makes the reversal even more likely.
Before entering the trade, wait for confirmation. I chose the 3450 area for this, but you are free to chose which area you deem important to break. The marked Target area would be a great place to exit your position since it's at the lower trend line, which has already been indicated as a strong area of support.
USD/JPY 15-MONTH SUPPORT BROKENUSD/JPY has broken through its 15-month support, signalling the completion of the falling wedge pattern.
Today it broke through the support with sufficient force to signal a new downtrend. Consider Target Area 1 as the most conservative target in the coming weeks. If it succeeds to break through this support, consider exiting your position at the second target area.
The second target is to be considered a very strong area of support since its placed at the COVID-crisis low.
GBP/AUD FALLING: DEATH CROSS + CHANNEL BREAKGBP/AUD convincingly broke through its channel, which held strong since early September. Accompanying this break-through, a bearish cross of the MA50 and MA200 (so called death cross) happened a few bars earlier.
Target 1 should be an area where you want to unload some of your positions, in case the price will rebound from the support line. Target 2 could be reached with enough volatility, but dont be sure of it.