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Bearish Patterns

Can DXY Stabilize at 99.50-100 Area Despite FED 50bp Cut? Dollar Index – DXY has turned bearish after the corrective rally stopped at 105.70-106, an important resistance area at the end of June. Since then, the price even accelerated lower through summer so it appears that a bearish impulse is in play, but with recent touch of a new swing low, DXY is possibly in fifth wave, so be aware of some support in weeks ahead. But closer look shows that there is still some room left for 99.50-100 area, but if this will occur and structure a wedge shape, then we should be aware of reversals, and new correction. So as said, the price could still see a bit more weakness into the 5th wave to fully complete this ending diagonal, but then dollar can turn for a new correction, considering that recent dollar weakness has been mainly driven by these rate cut expectations, so now that this 50bp cut has been done, the dollar may stabilize due to a “buy the rumor, sell the news” effect. However, any rally will be temporary, as I think that dollar has room for much more weakness, bu ideally after another a-b-c recovery. 101.80 -102 is strong resistance. GH
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
How I Nailed a Perfect Breakout Trade Using a Simple Strategy*The following Analysis is made by my Trading BOT* Analysis of Your Trade: Descending Channel: Formation and Breakout: The descending channel is well-defined, indicating a corrective phase following an impulsive move. The breakout above the channel suggests a potential reversal or continuation of the prior trend, which appears bullish. Entry Timing: You entered the trade after the breakout from the descending channel. This entry aligns with a strategy to buy at the break of a corrective pattern, capitalizing on the resumption of bullish momentum. Resistance Zone (Blue Area): Initial Resistance Encounter: The blue horizontal line represents a resistance zone where price consolidated and failed to break higher on the first attempt. This is a good spot to watch for confirmation of a breakout or reversal. False Breakouts: There are some upper wicks visible in this resistance zone, indicating possible false breakouts or liquidity grabs. This suggests that many traders might have been stopped out before the true breakout occurred. Price Action Post-Breakout: Sharp Move Down: After the breakout, price made a sharp move down to retest the previous resistance (now turned support), which aligns with the principles of market structure where old resistance becomes new support. Correction and Continuation: The downward move appears corrective in nature, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows within a descending channel, after which the price breaks out and moves upwards sharply. Risk and Reward Considerations: Stop Placement: If your stop loss was placed below the previous swing low or the bottom of the descending channel, this would be a strategic placement to avoid being stopped out by market noise. Take Profit: Your target seems to be well-placed, considering the previous highs or a key Fibonacci level. The green area likely represents the take-profit zone. Volume Analysis: Confirmation with Volume: The volume spike during the breakout from the descending channel and the subsequent move up indicates strong buying interest, which is a good confirmation signal. Key Takeaways for Future Trades: Pattern Recognition: Identifying descending channels and their breakouts is a strong skill that can be leveraged in various time frames. Risk Management: Your trade shows a good understanding of risk management, especially if stops were placed beyond significant levels to avoid market noise. Confirmation Signals: Waiting for volume confirmation during breakouts is an excellent strategy to avoid false moves. Suggestions: Multiple Time Frame Analysis: Ensure that your lower-time-frame trades are aligned with the higher-time-frame trends or setups to increase the probability of success. Post-Trade Analysis: Continue reviewing your trades like this to refine your entry and exit strategies, especially around key zones like support and resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
WATCH OUT: Ship SINKS for KUJI (-80%)KUJIUSDT has lost 80% in two weeks, losing exponentially more than the rest of the altcoin market. It continues to make lower lows and the price is now in price-discovery mode... but to the low side. However, if you are interested in buying KUJI (for your own personal reasons) at this low price- I'm going to show you a strategy on how to find price levels to set your buying orders on. If you're getting negative values on your Bbands, try switching up the timeframe. It is NOT because the Bollinger bands are broken, but because the price is trading lower than it's opening price and is already in the decimals. Strong selling volume will push the Bbands to expand wide. This indicated the price will likely fall even lower. Take extreme caution! ___________________________ MEXC:KUJIUSDT
Short
by CryptoCheck-
1
400 Pips in a Week! Discover the Secret Behind Trading Strategy!Technical Breakdown Ascending Channel Formation: The price has been moving within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. The upper and lower boundaries of the channel have provided resistance and support, respectively. Support/Resistance Level: A key horizontal level around 2,430 has acted as both support and resistance. This level was tested multiple times, showing its significance in the price action. Bear Flags: Two bear flags are identified, one on the 15-minute chart and another on the 30-minute chart. Bear flags typically indicate continuation patterns in a downtrend, suggesting further bearish movement. Higher High (HH) and Lower High (LH): The chart shows a higher high (HH) followed by a lower high (LH), indicating a potential shift from a bullish to a bearish trend. Price Target (TP): The TP is marked at 2,348, suggesting a potential downside target based on the current technical setup.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
2
Missed the XAUUSD Move? Here’s What You Overlooked!1. Daily Trendline Description: The yellow trendline running across the chart represents the overall upward trend on the daily timeframe. It shows that despite the recent fluctuations, the long-term trend has been bullish. Significance: This trendline serves as a dynamic support level. Traders often look for price action around this trendline to gauge the strength of the ongoing trend. A break below this trendline could signal a potential reversal or a stronger bearish movement. 2. Ascending Channel Larger Ascending Channel: Description: This channel is characterized by two parallel lines (yellow) sloping upwards. The price has been moving within this channel for a considerable period. Significance: The upper boundary acts as resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. The price breaking below the lower boundary can indicate the end of the bullish trend and the beginning of a bearish trend. Smaller Ascending Channel: Description: A smaller channel within the larger context, indicating a shorter-term upward movement. Significance: The break below this smaller channel, as shown on the chart, signifies a potential reversal or correction within the larger trend. 3. Support/Resistance Description: Horizontal lines marked as support and resistance represent key price levels where the price has historically faced buying or selling pressure. Significance: These levels are crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points. The support level acts as a floor where buying interest is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Conversely, the resistance level acts as a ceiling where selling interest prevents the price from rising further. 4. Higher High (HH) and Lower High (LH) HH (Higher High): Description: A peak higher than the previous peak, indicating the continuation of an uptrend. Significance: The formation of a higher high typically signals bullish momentum. However, in this case, the subsequent failure to maintain this level and the formation of a lower high (LH) suggests weakening bullish strength. LH (Lower High): Description: A peak lower than the previous peak, indicating potential trend reversal. Significance: The lower high after a higher high is a bearish signal, suggesting that buyers are losing control and sellers are gaining strength. 5. 15M/5M Bear Flag Entry Description: A bear flag pattern on the 15-minute and 5-minute timeframes is highlighted. This pattern consists of a sharp decline followed by a short consolidation in the form of an upward-sloping channel (flag). Significance: The bear flag is a continuation pattern, indicating that after a brief consolidation, the price is likely to continue its downward movement. The breakout from this flag pattern provides a potential entry point for short positions. 6. Target Profit Levels (TP 1 and Daily LQZ/TP 2) TP 1 (2,347.560): Description: The first target profit level is set at 2,347.560. Significance: This level is likely determined based on historical support levels or a measured move from the recent price action. Traders might look to take partial profits or exit their positions at this level. Daily LQZ/TP 2 (2,265.195): Description: The second target profit level is set at 2,265.195, which aligns with the daily liquidity zone. Significance: This is a more ambitious target, potentially indicating a stronger bearish move. The liquidity zone suggests an area with significant trading volume, which could act as a magnet for the price. Conclusion The chart presents a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD (Gold Spot) with multiple technical indicators suggesting a potential bearish outlook. The breakdown from the ascending channels, the formation of a lower high, and the bear flag pattern all point towards a continuation of the downward trend. The identified support and resistance levels, along with the target profit zones, provide clear benchmarks for managing trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333