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Bearish Patterns

Continue To Monitor 5390 For Bulls and BearsWe are currently 1.5 trading days away from our original market top call, but this analysis will cover any new developments. Wave A appeared to have a good 5 wave structure with wave 3 having an extension. Wave B retraced 73% of wave A's movement quicker than expected. Wave C has most likely completed at least the first two waves and possibly as much as 4 waves. Wave 2 retraced around 64% of wave 1 and as wave 3 is currently marked, it extended 304% of wave 1. I have marked wave 3 based on my wave 3 indicator at the bottom. The shorter arrow pointing down depicts a wave 3 of 3 and the larger arrow depicts the end of a wave 3. The gap in the blue painted backgrounds at the bottom is the distinguishing feature of two separate wave 3s being signaled instead of just one wave 3. The retracement off of the signaled wave 3 was very quick although it was a 20% retracement and quite possibly the end of wave 4. If these four waves have concluded, wave 5 and the market could top as early as Friday. I will walkthrough the levels on the far right first to determine a possible top. The furthest right values are retracements from the original market top from mid-July. If the index moves back to the all-time high, it would have retraced 100%. A common retracement could be between 38.2%-61.8%. The next column left of this is the movement extension of C from wave A which topped at 5336.20. Basically, wave C should finish somewhere above 5336.20 which the index has now surpassed and therefore is capable of topping at any time. The next leftmost column are movement extensions from wave 3's movement inside of wave C. Once again, we are already above wave 3's top (5333.70) and capable of ending at any time. I try to find common levels among these three columns and monitor the index as it approaches. A 50% retracement of the macro wave 1 would occur at 5387.30, while an extension of wave A would of 123.6% is at 5393.31, coincides with a 138.2% extension of wave 3 at 5392.57. This very tight zone is certainly one to monitor for a top and it is not far away at the time of this analysis. I try to make similar identifications in other symbols to get a better read of the S&P500 index. Japan is moving the same, although it is unclear if they have completed wave 3 of C yet. They will most likely see more movement as their trading day gets in full swing during the overnight hours for North America. They may continue the momentum observed from America's Thursday session. Without marking their completed wave 3 with certainty, their area of commonality is between 37705-37782. JP Morgan Chase makes things more interesting because it is not clear if we are still in macro wave 1 or macro wave 2. The case for macro wave 1 has it in a micro wave 3 of C albeit in wave 4 of macro wave 1 here: If this holds true, the S&P 500 may not be in the correct place. If JPM is actually inline with the current wave structure as the index, waves 4 and 5 were very abbreviated based on the location of the wave 3 of 3 signals from early August. This alignment would slightly alter the retracement lines to the far right as seen here: The area of commonality is around 211.30 which is almost too much of a movement over the next 1-2 days for this stock. Amazon appears to fall inline with the theory of ending macro wave 2 soon. It has a target area around 170.5-171.32 and another much higher at 175.52-176.35. Based on the lack of obvious agreement, it is difficult to determine where the market is. I will continue to monitor the initial theory that the market topped in mid-July and has completed a five wave structure down and is about to finish a three wave structure up in the coming days. If the levels pointed out here are significantly surpassed, the market could continue upward to new all-time highs once again. Another downward reversal on or before Monday likely points to a new index low between 4100-4700 within the next month.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by StockSignaler
GBPUSD: Dovish BoE and Strong DollarHey Traders, Today, we’re focusing on GBP/USD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.27600 zone. The pair is currently in a downtrend and is undergoing a correction phase, approaching this critical support and resistance area. The British Pound faces significant pressure due to a dovish stance from the Bank of England, which has signaled a more cautious approach to monetary policy. This dovish outlook, combined with ongoing economic challenges and recession risks in the UK, is weakening the GBP. On the other hand, the US Dollar is strengthening, driven by the current recession risk USD is considered a safe haven. This combination of factors supports the likelihood of further declines in GBP/USD as it approaches the 1.27600 zone. We should watch for bearish signals at this level for a potential selling opportunity.
Short
by JoeChampion
4
DOT - Price hit accumulation zone #DOT/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + DOT price has hit accumulation zone and currently trading inside the accumulation zone. + Price is expect to trade in this range for upcoming weeks. + A clear breakout from this accumulation zone is essential for the trend reversal. + A breakout from the accumulation zone will push the price higher eventually result in a bullish trend. + Let's wait for the breakout before entering the trade. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
Long
by VectorAlgo
USDJPY Is Unfolding A Five-Wave Bearish ImpulseUSDJPY is in an impulsive decline from the highs, which is now even extended in the 4-hour chart, so it's probably wave 3 of a five-wave bearish impulse within higher degree wave (A). It recovered a bit, but it looks like a three-wave corrective pullback in wave 4 only, touching base channel support line as a resistance, so be aware of a bearish continuation for wave 5 of (A) towards 140 – 138 area before we will see a bigger corrective recovery within wave (B).
Short
by ew-forecast
Bitcoin UpdateOn August 5th, Bitcoin dropped below the 50,000 mark, invalidating a previously established channel. Currently, Bitcoin is testing the 57,000 level. If this test is successful, Bitcoin could rise to the 61,000 level, where it may face a minor retest before continuing its upward trajectory. However, the heavy order concentration and liquidations between the 60,000 and 63,000 levels could present significant challenges. Optimistic Scenario (Green Arrow): After navigating the fluctuations above the order block, Bitcoin successfully tests the blue line, confirming support, and continues its upward trend. Pessimistic Scenario (Red Arrow): Bitcoin faces substantial resistance within the 60,000 to 63,000 range due to high order activity, leading to a reversal and a potential decline back to the 45,000 level.
by LyricBridge5207