I'm Bullish, but... CHR / USDTEvening fellas,
My latest posts are bullish, and I did long some coins during the blood we had a couple of days ago.
But one must always be ready and I am seeing something interesting in a couple of coins, showing me that there's a hidden bearish scenario behind all the hype.
CHR is one of those coins, it's got good news, hype, etc, but I think MM'rs want to destroy some lives.
Keep an eye on it.
Trade thirsty, my friends!
Bearish Patterns
BITCOIN - WHERE ARE WE? When zooming out and looking at the Bitcoin chart, despite how crazy the market has been in recent weeks it comes down to a simple market structure with three separate clearly definable ranges:
RED RANGE (Accumulation) - From FEB '24 until the US election BTC chopped in primarily the top half of a range with five separate midpoint retests with progressively shallower rallies that eventually broke out with a catalyst from the political world.
BLUE RANGE (Expansion) - After a 10 month accumulation range the next phase in the bull cycle was expansion, a rally above ATH and into price discovery. An extremely thin inefficiency rally.
Now price currently is at the midpoint of this range and despite the geo-political waterfall of bad news BTC has held up better than I had expected given that usually a rally that goes straight up has no support levels on the way back down. The chart does suggest a retest at $73,700 at some point before deciding which direction to go in after that.
GREEN ZONE (Distribution) - For the last 3 months Bitcoins price has been extremely volatile, bouncing between $91-108K, the range containing price perfectly with weekly retests of the range bottom and a swing fail of the range high. That SFP set off the beginning of BTCs sell-off eventually breaking through the bottom and back into the blue range.
With Bitcoin at the midpoint of the middle range it's a perfect time to have a data release in CPI, A volatile news event that can be a catalyst for a larger market move and with Tradfi selling off, this CPI is the most important of the Trump administrations term so far:
CPI DAY
PREVIOUS: 3.0%
FORECAST: 2.9%
ACTUAL: ??
Bullish - sub 2.8% print. At least the market sell-off is having a positive effect on inflation and isn't painful for no reason. BTC reclaims blue midpoint with a view to retest blue high.
Bearish - 2.9% or higher. Market sell-off hasn't has an immediate effect on inflation so the sell-off is bad in all aspects, except for the Trump admin moving closer to their wish of a weaker dollar and lower interest rates. FWB:73K blue range bottom retest on the cards.
GBP/AUD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GBPAUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2.059
Target Level: 2.019
Stop Loss: 2.085
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9H
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP-CHF is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.135.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on EUR/CHF, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 0.948.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 103.479.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 103.100 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPUSD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.292.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.252 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps.
- Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales.
- President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023.
- As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done.
- Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully.
- Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls.
- Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.
Dow Jones Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 41900 zone, Dow Jones is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 41900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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SILVER uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 3,176.0 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the SILVER pair.
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EUR/GBP BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/GBP pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 8H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.831 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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USD/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.411 area.
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AUD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 92.334 area.
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SUI’s Wild Ride – Finding the Next Long Trade SetupSUI had an incredible 2024, skyrocketing +1060% in just 154 days. The price peaked at the psychological $5 mark, where multiple rejections signaled a momentum shift. By the end of January 2025, the trend turned bearish, leading to a sharp correction.
Trend Shift & Momentum Analysis
I've been working on a new trend identifier indicator that helps spot trends, allowing traders to identify swing trade opportunities and manage their positions effectively. This indicator clearly highlighted the momentum shift, confirming the bearish turn and the sharp price drop that followed.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Now that the bearish trend is in play, the focus is on identifying a solid long opportunity:
Point of Control (POC) from Previous Trading Range (~$2) – A major psychological level that many traders are watching
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1:1) at $2.0373 – Adding confluence to this critical support area
Fib Speed Fan (0.75 Level) – Aligns with the $2 region, reinforcing support
Anchored VWAP (~$1.885) – From the 2023 lows, acting as an additional support zone
What’s Next for SUI?
The market is in search of a strong support level where bulls can regain control. Let’s see if we find support at the $3 mark. The $2 zone stands out as a prime area for a potential long entry, given the multiple technical confluences. If price reaches this level, we’ll be watching closely for confirmation of a bullish reversal.
Final Thoughts
SUI has had an extraordinary run, but corrections are natural in strong trends. The key now is to see where price stabilises and if the bulls can make a strong comeback. Time will tell how this plays out, but for now, $2 is a level to keep an eye on for a potential long setup.
BTW: I've just launched a FREE TradingView indicator – Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support & Resistance Zones. It helps visualise key support and resistance levels across different timeframes. Check it out and let me know your thoughts!
Bottom Still Not in, Drop could hit low 70kBTC is falling due to markets and investor fear. The Bottom still hasn't travelled the length of the the FVG on the Weekly Chart that will be attractive to smart money and institutional investors
When looking at the Historical Data it shows that the price had a pullback and found resistance at the Weekly 21 day RMA .
Currently that looks like a point where Resistance once again will be established when combined with the FVG on the Weekly, Price will likely fall below and recover to hold the 21d RMA
Start of bearish cycle for equities $SPXSP:SPX confirming trend reversal on high time frame as it attempts to breach the 50 weekly MA for the first time since the start of the 2022 bear market. Macroeconomic environment is full of uncertainty and recession signals, with POTUS Trump openly confirming that some short term pain in assets is needed for the US economy to reset and go on a better path forward.
Is this the last line of defense for Bitcoin at the $78K mark?It’s been a tough week for cryptocurrencies following Trump's Crypto Summit, as the trend continues to weaken. There’s a possibility that Bitcoin's price may decline to at least $78K, which could pull altcoin prices down even further. Let’s hope Bitcoin doesn’t drop any lower.
Wishing you success!
MRHPx from CRACKadabra
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 147.500 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 147.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
10/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $93,745.25
Last weeks low: $80,029.90
Midpoint: $86,887.58
Last week in crypto saw the first White House Digital Assets Summit. An event that only as recently as the last bull cycle we could only dream of taking place. In the summit that hosted the biggest names in the space a vow was made by the US Gov never to sell their BTC, to establish stablecoin regulatory clarity and to stockpile various US made altcoins. A historic moment but how did that relate to the chart?
Well BTC dropped 14.6% from weekly high set at the beginning of the week to weekly low set at the end of the week. The most important aspect is how this now looks on the higher time frames, the once strong support level of $91K has now been confirmed as new resistance as BTC tried several times to reclaim it and in the end fell away. This now puts BTC in the FVG area from $91-73K. With no real support until the $73,000 level this is knife catching territory and with the SP:SPX rolling over too I would need a lot more evidence that BTC will turn around before going long with any real size.
This week I anticipate further sell-off, now I would be happy to be proven wrong on that however it does look like we are heading towards FWB:73K where I would like to see buyers stepping up and start to dominate the orderbooks. Structurally that would fill a large inefficiency area with an eye to bounce off support and move back towards currently levels ~ GETTEX:82K as that would be the midpoint of the FVG although that is a few steps in the future.
CPI takes place this week and so volatility may be expected but unless the result is wildly different to the forecast numbers the whipsaw PA should level out fairly neutral.
Invalidation on this idea would be a successful reclaim of $91K which is previous mini range low & 4H 200 EMA resistance.
NZD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so NZD-USD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.556.
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