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Bearish Patterns

How to Identify Double Top Formation - A Long-Haul Bear?How to identify double top formation? Is the US market still forming this double top formation, or has the pattern already completed, signaling a deeper correction to come? In this discussion, we will focus on the latter question: whether this bear is going to be a long-haul bear. 3 parts of today tutorial: 1. How to Identify Double Top Formation is completed technically? 2. How to cross reference to its related markets? 3. How do the fundamental developments confirm these technical studies? E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures & Options Ticker: YM Minimum fluctuation: 1.00 index point = $5.00 Micro E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures Ticker: MYM Minimum fluctuation: 1.0 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by konhow
Rollercoaster Continues For SPYMy overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I am estimating this symbol to be in wave position SuperCycle 2, Cycle A, Primary 1, Intermediate 3 (pink), Minor 3 (yellow), Minute 3 or 4 (green). I originally had this symbol nearly complete with Primary wave 1, but the continued declines received significant wave 3 of 3 signals (pink lines in bottom chart band). It is still unclear if we are in my theoretical larger decline or if we are in a simple corrective wave. It will take at least another two months to likely achieve the answer. Theory 1 is my hypothesis where we are about to finish Minor wave 3 in Intermediate wave 3 in Primary wave 1 in a multi-year market correction. This would see SPY bottom around 486 within two weeks and briefly head up toward 535 before continuing significant downward movement. Currently Intermediate wave 1 lasted 111 trading hours. Intermediate wave 3 is somewhat on pace to finish in the same amount of time around 17 April. Extensions based on Minor wave 1's movement could put Minor wave 3's bottom around 499. Theory 2 is that Intermediate waves 1, 2 and 3 (pink) are actually waves A, B, and C (white) in a short-term corrective wave. This would mean this symbol returns to all-time highs around the fall of 2025. Theory 3 places the stock in the third wave about to finish a wave A down over the next two months. Wave B up would last a few months before wave C takes the market to a bottom sometime around the end of 2025. All three theories will observe the same movement over the next few weeks with a low soon and then a bounce up. Theory 2 becomes the likely winner if SPY breaks above 576.33 within the next 3 months. Theories 1 and 3 will trade the same for quite some time. I will reevaluate this ETF once Minor wave 3 finishes. It should aid in providing a better bottom for Intermediate wave 3 in the next two weeks.
AMEX:SPYShort
by StockSignaler
More Downside For AMZN Before CrossroadsMy overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I am estimating this symbol to be in wave position SuperCycle 2, Cycle A, Primary 1, Intermediate 3 (pink), Minor 3 (yellow), Minute 5(green). I originally had this symbol nearly complete with Primary wave 1, but the continued declines received significant wave 3 of 3 of 3 signals (pink lines in bottom chart band). It is still unclear if we are in my theoretical larger decline or if we are in a simple corrective wave. It will take at least another two months to likely achieve the answer. Theory 1 is my hypothesis where we are about to finish Minor wave 3 in Intermediate wave 3 in Primary wave 1 in a multi-year market correction. This would see AMZN bottom around 148-156 within two weeks and briefly head up toward 180 before continuing significant downward movement. Currently Intermediate wave 1 lasted 201 trading hours. Based on the breakneck pace of Intermediate wave 3, it may finish well before the 201st hour on 5 May. Extensions based on Minor wave 1's movement could put Minor wave 3's bottom around 162.59. Theory 2 is that Intermediate waves 1, 2 and 3 (pink) are actually waves A, B, and C (white) in a short-term corrective wave. This would mean this symbol returns to all-time highs around the fall of 2025. Theory 3 places the stock in the third wave about to finish a wave A down. Wave B up would last a few months before wave C takes the market to a bottom sometime around the end of 2025. All three theories will observe the same movement over the next few weeks with a low soon and then a bounce up. Theory 2 becomes the likely winner if AMZN breaks above 206.21 within the next 2 months. Theories 1 and 3 will trade the same for quite some time. I will reevaluate this stock once Minor wave 3 finishes. It should aid in providing a better bottom for Intermediate wave 3 in the next week or two.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by StockSignaler
HOLY MOLY! ARE WE IN A RECESSION? $TSLA $120 BEAR FLAG PATTERNA bear flag trading pattern is a technical analysis formation that features a downward-sloping flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase forming a parallel channel. This pattern suggests a potential sharp decline or continuation of the downward trend I also notice a head and shoulders pattern, as well as an inverse cup and handle. Everything points to $120. Sell/Short NASDAQ:TSLA right now with fact check: +brand reputation risk, high competition, loss of EV market leadership, cyber truck/ product recalls, declining sales with lower margin, stock volatility concern, insider selling, investors buy it based on expected future earnings rather than its current profitability. + potential stagflation, tariff war, slow economic growth, inflation, rising public debt, geopolitical tensions, ai bubble, and more
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by sej4974
3
CHF/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! CHF-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 169.279 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the CHF/JPY pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUDUSD Bears "Flag Down" Potential OpportunitiesOn the Technical Analysis stand-point, FX:AUDUSD has been Consolidating in an Ascending Channel since the beginning of this year after having a sharp decline which started in October last year. Now the past 6 Months, Price Action seems to be forming a strong Continuation Pattern, the Bear Flag! Based on the Retracement from the Swing High @ .6942 to the Swing Low @ .60872, Price has made a 38.2% Retracement to .64081, resulting in a False Break, pushing Price back into Pattern! Price has been trading Under the 200 EMA since the start of the "Flagpole" and with the separation between it and the 34 EMA Band, feeds the Bearish Bias after we see Price heavily rejected after touching the 34 EMA Band! *Once Price makes a Breakout of the Rising Support of the Channel -> Bear Flag Confirmed *Increase in Volume after Break -> Breakout Validated If we get a True Breakout that is Validated by the checklist of factors, we could be looking at great opportunities to take FX:AUDUSD down to the current 5 Year Low of .55063 set back in March 16th 2020 (Initial Outbreak of Covid) based on the Flagpole and Potential Extension of a Valid Break and Retest of the Bear Flag! Now, Fundamentally what is driving the Weaker Aussie Dollar is the fear of the impact of what the US Tariffs will do to Australia's "Key Trading Partners" being China, Japan and South Korea all being high on the Reciprocal Tariff List. Because of this, the RBA has now priced in 100 Basis Points worth of Rate Cuts to come with the expectations of a "dampened broader outlook for global trade and economic growth." www.tradingview.com Stay Tuned!
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
More downside for BK?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I am estimating this symbol to be in wave position SuperCycle 2, Cycle A, Primary 1, Intermediate 5 and around the end of Minor wave 3. The overall target bottom for Intermediate wave 5 and simultaneously Primary wave 1 is below Intermediate wave 3's low of 79.2315 from 12 March 2025. A movement extension to target is 78.00738 (114.59%) or 77.3584 (123.607%) and is depicted by the far right levels and percentages. Intermediate wave 3 was 31 trading hours long. The application of Fibonacci percentages to 31 trading hours is displayed by the vertical lines. The green vertical line represents the start of wave 5. The solid yellow line is 31 bars (100% of wave 3's trading hours). 161% and 261% are the light blue dotted lines thereafter. The current target bottom is around midday on 10 April. If we are currently in Minor wave 3 of Intermediate wave 5, the target bottoms are 80.2234 (114.59%) or 79.5333 (138.197%) and depicted by the middle levels and percentages. The hourly chart is currently in the middle of signaling wave 3 which likely means we are looking to finish Minor wave 3 with today's close or within the first hour of trading tomorrow. As of the open tomorrow Minor wave 3 would only be 13 hours long which is shorter than wave 1. This likely means Minor wave 5 will be 13 hours or less whenever it begins. I will begin more specific calculations on Primary wave 2's top once we finished Primary wave 1 likely next week. The very preliminary estimate if Primary wave 1 ends around 11:30 on 10 April would have seen Primary wave 1 last 198 trading hours and drop nearly 13.00 points. Primary wave 2 could top around 85.38 around 7 May.
NYSE:BKShort
by StockSignaler
AUDJPY - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDJPY has been bearish trading within the falling channel in red. Currently, AUDJPY is approaching the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting a strong structure marked in orange. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
5
The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe.The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe. Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears: At the current price of 157.04, the market is in a tug-of-war between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears). Bulls are defending key support levels near 152.48 (Fibonacci 100% retracement of Wave C) and 154.34 (Expanded Flat target). A hold above these levels could signal a potential reversal. Bears are attacking resistance levels at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100% projection of Wave C) and 162.82 (Expanded Flat target). A break below 152.48 could accelerate downward momentum. Recent Price History: The market has been in a downtrend recently, with the price dropping from 191.18 (July 10, 2024) to 157.04. Key Fibonacci levels (e.g., 161.8% retracement at 159.84) and Elliott Wave patterns (e.g., Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate) have guided this decline. Momentum indicators (e.g., RSI at 47.51) suggest the downtrend may be losing steam, but the MACD histogram turning positive hints at a potential short-term bounce. Current Sentiment (Technical & News): Technical Indicators: Mixed signals. RSI (47.51) is neutral, while MACD shows a bullish crossover (histogram turning positive). The price is below key moving averages (e.g., 200-day SMA at 167.35), indicating a bearish bias. News Sentiment: Mixed to slightly negative. Ad revenue pressures and regulatory risks weigh on sentiment, but long-term growth catalysts (AI, cloud) provide optimism. Analysts maintain a "Buy" rating despite near-term challenges. Synthesis: The technical picture aligns with the news—short-term bearishness (price below MAs, ad revenue concerns) but potential for a reversal if support holds (undervaluation, bullish MACD). Key Levels & Momentum: The price is currently below the 50-day SMA (161.89) and 200-day SMA (167.35), signaling bearish dominance. Momentum is fading (RSI neutral, Stochastic not oversold), but the MACD histogram suggests a possible short-term bounce. 2. Elliott Wave Analysis (Contextualized to Current Price) Relevant Elliott Wave Patterns: Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate (Valid): Suggests the downtrend may be nearing completion, with Wave 5 potentially ending near 152.48-154.34 (Fibonacci 100% projection). Expanded Flat Upward Candidate (Potentially Valid): If the price holds above 152.48, this pattern could signal a corrective rally toward 162.82. Wave Count vs. Indicators/Sentiment: The Diagonal Ending pattern contradicts the bearish news sentiment but aligns with oversold technicals (RSI, MACD). This divergence suggests a potential reversal if support holds. The Expanded Flat pattern would confirm a bullish reversal if the price breaks above 160.31. Near-Term Projections: Downside: A break below 152.48 could extend losses to 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci projection). Upside: A hold above 152.48 and break above 160.31 could target 162.82 (Expanded Flat target) and 167.35 (200-day SMA). 3. Strategy Derivation (Realistic, Actionable NOW, News Considered) Primary Strategy: WAIT (due to conflicting signals). Why Wait? The technical setup is mixed (bullish MACD vs. bearish MAs), and news sentiment is neutral-to-negative. The upcoming Q1 earnings could add volatility. If Price Holds Support (152.48-154.34): BUY with confirmation (e.g., break above 160.31). Entry Zone: 154.34-156.13 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement). Stop-Loss: 151.44 (below recent low). Take Profit: TP1 at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100%), TP2 at 162.82 (Expanded Flat target). Risk/Reward: ~1:2 for TP1. If Price Breaks Below Support (152.48): SELL with confirmation (e.g., break below 150.06). Entry Zone: 152.48-151.44. Stop-Loss: 154.34 (above support). Take Profit: TP1 at 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci), TP2 at 145.90 (Wave 5 projection). News Context Check: Earnings uncertainty and ad revenue pressures favor caution. Reduce position size if trading. 4. Trade Setup (Actionable, Realistic, News Aware) Direction: WAIT (watch key levels). Key Levels to Watch: Upside: 160.31 (breakout confirmation). Downside: 152.48 (breakdown confirmation). News Reminder: Be mindful of Q1 earnings and ad revenue trends. 5. Summary Section ✅ Investor / Long-Term Holder Summary: Key Support: 152.48 (accumulation zone if held). Long-Term Outlook: Undervalued (DCF: $260 vs. $157). Focus on AI/cloud growth. Action: Wait for pullback to 152.48 or break above 167.35 (200-day SMA).
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by samibelca
EUR/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! Bearish trend on EUR/CHF, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 0.948. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1