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Bearish Bat

GBP/NZD Hits Highest Level Since 2016: Is a Move Down Ahead?The GBP/NZD is currently testing its highest price in recent years, nearing the significant resistance level of 2.1900. This area has served as a notable barrier since 2016 and often sees increased selling interest. The price action in this zone, combined with the emergence of a harmonic pattern, suggests a potential reversal or correction. Furthermore, recent price movements, particularly the candles from October 30 and 31 breaking below the low of October 29, indicate rising bearish momentum, reinforcing the possibility of selling pressure in the near term. Bat Harmonic Pattern Structure A Bat harmonic pattern is developing in the GBP/NZD chart, providing additional reversal signals near historical resistance: Point X: The starting point of the move, at a previous significant high. Point A: The bottom of the initial correction. Point B: The price retracement to the 38.2% level of the XA extension. Point C: The second correction reaching 88.2% of the AB move. Point D (Potential Reversal Zone): Near 2.1847, aligning with the 88.6% level of the XA extension and the resistance at 2.1900, indicating an optimal area for potential sell opportunities. The Bat pattern suggests a crucial resistance level where buyers might struggle, especially considering the proximity to historical highs. Price Action Analysis and Sell Signals Recent price action further highlights selling interest: Selling Pressure at Highs: The October 30 and 31 candles broke below the October 29 low, signalling possible exhaustion of the bullish trend and indicating increased seller interest. This behaviour raises warning signals for a potential short-to-medium-term reversal. Potential Move Down Ahead Given the convergence of the harmonic pattern and historical resistance, a short strategy is advisable between 2.1800 and 2.1900. Here are critical points to consider for GBP/NZD: Potential Sell Zone : The resistance between 2.1800 and 2.1900 represents a prime short zone, combining the D point of the Bat with historical resistance. Primary Target : The support around 2.1400 corresponds to the B region of the Bat formation, typically the first target when trading harmonic patterns. Secondary Target : Should a breakout continue, the next significant support is near 2.1000, coinciding with the C level of the Bat formation. Traders should remain cautious of any breaks above 2.1900, as this could indicate a breakout above a crucial resistance level on the daily chart. Conclusion The GBP/NZD pair is in a complex technical setup, presenting potential opportunities for short positions due to the confluence of the Bat harmonic pattern and the historical resistance at 2.1900. With signs of selling pressure evident in the recent price action, especially following the candles on October 30 and 31, traders should closely monitor this region as it may signal the onset of a correction. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
USD/CHF Bearish Setup: Technical Analysis & Trade OpportunityPattern Formation: Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern: The USD/CHF is currently forming a Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern, which suggests a potential reversal to the downside. The pattern is nearing completion at a key resistance level, providing a strong setup for a bearish entry. Key Resistance and Fibonacci Confluence: The pair has received a significant rejection from a crucial resistance zone, which aligns precisely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence strengthens the bearish outlook, indicating that sellers are defending this area effectively. RSI Analysis: Bearish Divergence A clear Bearish Divergence is evident on the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI), further supporting the bearish sentiment. As the price makes higher highs, the RSI is making lower highs, indicating weakening bullish momentum and signaling a potential reversal. Trade Setup: Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit Levels Entry Level: 0.86325 Stop Loss: 0.86955 Risk Management: The stop loss is set slightly above the resistance level to protect against false breakouts and unexpected volatility. Take Profit Targets: TP-1: 0.85695 - This level provides a conservative target for traders looking to secure initial profits. TP-2: 0.85065 - A medium target that aligns with further downside potential, giving room for extended profits. TP-3: 0.84435 - A more ambitious target for traders expecting a deeper retracement. Conclusion: The USD/CHF pair presents a compelling bearish setup based on the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern, resistance at the 0.786 Fibonacci level, and bearish RSI divergence. Traders should monitor price action near the entry point and follow proper risk management, as outlined in the trade setup.
Short
by trading_jupiter
USDJPY Analysis and Trade OpportunitiesLike I mentioned in our weekend live session, I don't see any BOJ intervention happening soon. The earliest I’m looking is when the market reaches 158.73, with the next level at 159.66. Around 157.74 is the level I'll be looking for a buying opportunity using the existing strategy that I've used for many years. Key Levels: Potential Intervention Levels : - 158.73 - 159.66 - Buying Opportunity : Around 157.74 Shorting Opportunities : 1-Hourly Chart : - Bearish Bat Pattern Completion : 158.15 - ABCD Pattern Completion : 158.39 if the Bearish Bat Pattern does not complete Strategy : - Buying at 157.74 : Use the tried and tested strategy that has worked over the years. - Shorting Opportunities : Monitor the 1-hourly chart for potential Bearish Bat Pattern at 158.15 and ABCD Pattern at 158.39. What’s your trade plan for USDJPY? Any valuable insights you’d like to share? Comment down below.
Long
by RaynLim
EURUSD Bearish Trend and Bearish Bat Pattern CompletionEURUSD Bearish Trend and Bearish Bat Pattern Completion Instrument: EUR/USD Timeframe: 1-Hourly Chart Current Direction: Bearish Analysis: EUR/USD is currently exhibiting a bearish trend. While the impulse to short immediately is strong, my preferred entry level is at 169.54. This price point aligns with the completion of a bearish bat pattern on the 1-hourly chart. Key Points: - Bearish Trend: The overall trend for EUR/USD is downwards. - Bearish Bat Pattern: Completion level at 169.54, which offers a high-probability short setup. - Entry Level: 169.54 - Chart Pattern: Bearish Bat Pattern - Timeframe: 1-Hourly Chart Strategy: - Wait for Price to Reach 169.54: Monitor the price action and wait for it to approach the 169.54 level. - Confirmation: Look for bearish confirmation signals around this level to enter a short position. Stay tuned for updates and trade wisely!
Short
by RaynLim
1
Understanding Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns Understanding Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns: A Professional Guide for Traders In the dynamic world of trading, identifying potential reversal points is crucial for making informed decisions. Two powerful tools that professional traders often rely on are the Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns. These patterns, grounded in Fibonacci ratios, offer insights into market behavior and help in predicting price movements. This article delves into the intricacies of these patterns, providing a comprehensive guide for traders. __________________The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern_________________________ The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern is a reversal pattern that indicates a potential decline in price after an upward correction. Here's how to identify and interpret this pattern: X-A Leg: The initial move where the price falls from point X to point A. A-B Leg: The price then retraces upwards from point A to point B, typically reaching 38.2% to 50% of the X-A leg. B-C Leg: The price falls again from point B to point C, retracing 38.2% to 88.6% of the A-B leg. C-D Leg: The final leg sees the price rise from point C to point D. Point D is the critical point, expected at the 88.6% retracement level of the X-A leg and coinciding with the 161.8% extension of the B-C leg. Key Fibonacci Ratios: A-B: 38.2% to 50% retracement of X-A B-C: 38.2% to 88.6% retracement of A-B C-D: 88.6% retracement of X-A and 161.8% extension of B-C Trading Strategy: Traders should look for selling opportunities around point D, anticipating a downward move following the completion of the pattern. Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Criteria: Entry: Enter a short position at or near point D. Stop-Loss (SL): Place the stop-loss slightly above point X to account for any potential false breakouts. Take-Profit (TP): Set the first TP at the 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg and the second TP at the 100% retracement of the C-D leg. _________________________The Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern_____________________ Conversely, the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern signals a potential rise in price after a downward correction. Here are the steps to identify and utilize this pattern: X-A Leg: The initial move where the price rises from point X to point A. A-B Leg: The price then retraces downwards from point A to point B, typically reaching 38.2% to 50% of the X-A leg. B-C Leg: The price rises again from point B to point C, retracing 38.2% to 88.6% of the A-B leg. C-D Leg: The final leg sees the price fall from point C to point D. Point D is the critical point, expected at the 88.6% retracement level of the X-A leg and coinciding with the 161.8% extension of the B-C leg. Key Fibonacci Ratios: A-B: 38.2% to 50% retracement of X-A B-C: 38.2% to 88.6% retracement of A-B C-D: 88.6% retracement of X-A and 161.8% extension of B-C Trading Strategy: Traders should look for buying opportunities around point D, anticipating an upward move following the completion of the pattern. Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Criteria: Entry: Enter a long position at or near point D. Stop-Loss (SL): Place the stop-loss slightly below point X to account for any potential false breakouts. Take-Profit (TP): Set the first TP at the 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg and the second TP at the 100% retracement of the C-D leg. ______________________Practical Application and Tips_______________________ To effectively utilize these patterns, traders should: Use Confirmation Indicators: Always combine harmonic patterns with other technical indicators, such as RSI or MACD, to confirm potential reversal points. Practice Patience: Wait for the pattern to fully develop and reach point D before taking action. Risk Management: Implement strict risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, to protect against potential false signals. Conclusion: The Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns are powerful tools in a trader's arsenal, providing a structured approach to identifying potential market reversals. By understanding and applying these patterns, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their trading performance. Remember, like all technical analysis tools, these patterns are most effective when used in conjunction with other indicators and sound risk management practices. Happy trading!
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BINANCE:ADAUSDEducation
by trading_jupiter
9
USDJPY Short Opportunity: Key Factors and Strategic EntryHello, traders! I’m on standby to short the USDJPY, and here's why this setup is compelling. This analysis covers two crucial parts, providing context and strategic entry points. Part One: Macro Fundamentals 1. China’s Treasury Offload : - China sold $53.3 billion of Treasuries and agency bonds in Q1 2024. This reduction in US dollar assets can impact USDJPY negatively. 2. BRICS Currency Moves : - BRICS countries are trading $4 billion in local currencies, sidelining the US dollar. This shift decreases demand for USD, potentially weakening USDJPY. Part Two: BOJ Interventions 1. Recent BOJ Action : - The Bank of Japan intervened in the FX market on April 29, 2024, but the attempt seemed to fail. Our community was alerted on April 26, 2024, giving us an early advantage. 2. Potential Future Intervention : - BOJ might intervene again, but this could upset G7 partners. If intervention fails or doesn’t happen, USDJPY could fall sharply. Trading Strategy: Bearish Patterns Confluence Key Levels and Patterns: - Entry Point : Short USDJPY at 159.27. - Confluence : This level aligns with a Bearish Bat Pattern and an ABCD Pattern, strengthening the case for a short position. Final Thoughts Considering the macro fundamentals and recent BOJ actions, the stage is set for a potential sharp fall in USDJPY. The bearish patterns at 159.27 provide a technical basis for entry, adding to the conviction. Stay vigilant and manage risk carefully. Happy trading!
Short
by RaynLim
SPX Showing Signs of Weakness at PCZ of a Bearish Alternate BatThe RSI on the daily has begun to rollover as the SPX appears to have rejected off of the Bearish Alternate Bat HOP level. There does not appear to be much nearby support within the range the SPX is currently trading in so if it gets back below the previous All-Time High I could see it coming back down to around $5100 maybe even $5000 - $4800. This all seems to be brought on by the increase in JGB Yields disrupting the Carry Trade. We may see them try to stabilize the carry trade around $5100 but there is a heightened chance of failure. More on the carry trade can be seen in the related idea below.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by RizeSenpai
Bitcoin Analysis: Potential Resistance AheadOverview: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is approaching a key resistance level at $72,295, which could impact its near-term price action. Here's a breakdown of the current analysis and potential trading opportunities. Technical Analysis: - Resistance Level: Bitcoin is approaching a significant resistance level at $72,295. - 4-Hourly Chart: A close above this level could indicate further upside potential, with the next resistance at $73,785. - Buying Opportunities: Potential buying opportunities exist at $67,923 and $65,244, where price action may pause or reverse. Trade Strategy: - Resistance Breakout: If Bitcoin closes above $72,295, it could signal a bullish continuation, with targets towards $73,785 and beyond. - Buying Zones: Look for buying opportunities at $67,923 and $65,244, with confirmation from candlestick patterns indicating a potential reversal or pause in the downtrend. Risk Management: - Set stop-loss orders below key support levels to manage risk. - Adjust position sizes according to risk tolerance and trading strategy. Your Opinion Matters! What's your take on Bitcoin? Do you anticipate an upward or downward movement? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👍 Like if you found this analysis helpful! Follow for more updates on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies! Remember to perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RaynLim
US 20 Year Yield: Bearish Harami at Bearish Bat PCZThere is a Bearish Harami at the HOP level of a Bearish Bat with Impulsive RSI BAMM Confirmation. Alongside that, we also have 2 Major Squareups significantly below the current level and also an unfilled gap. If these Bearish Signals at the highs are to play along, this should be the start of an even greater retrace to fill the downside gap and to complete the square ups. This would likely come with some Bearishness in DXY and upside in the TLT which may also spillover into the IEF.
TVC:US20YShort
by RizeSenpai
Potential Head and Shoulders & Early Trading OpportunitiesUSDJPY is showing promise with a potential Head and Shoulders pattern on the Weekly Chart. Here's the game plan: 1. Awaiting Bearish Shark Pattern Confirmation on Daily Chart: - Patient approach for a comprehensive setup. 2. Early Trading Opportunities on 15-Minutes Chart: - Spotted Bearish Bat and Bearish Gartley Patterns. - Potential for quicker engagements on shorter timeframes. Stay vigilant and let's discuss your insights on this evolving USDJPY scenario!
Short
by RaynLim
Waiting for ConfirmationIf you're seeking shorting opportunities on EURUSD, I've got two potential setups for you. Remember, always wait for candlestick pattern confirmation before making your move. Bearish Shark Pattern: Look out for completion at 1.0917. Bearish Bat Pattern: This setup is more intriguing to me, as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) aligns with the bearish trendline. Be patient and let the market confirm the patterns. Share your thoughts and trade plans on EURUSD below!
Short
by RaynLim
Exploring OpportunitiesGiven the current consolidation phase in the market, I'm open to exploring various trading opportunities this week. For counter-trend traders eyeing a shorting opportunity, the completion of a Bearish Bat Pattern at 1.2803 is a crucial level to watch. Alternatively, for those in search of a buying opportunity, a retest on the trendline, conveniently aligned with the 1-hourly chart, could provide an entry point. What's your strategy for GBPUSD? Share your insights!
by RaynLim
Potential Short Opportunity on Bearish PatternsDespite GBPUSD demonstrating a Weaker Bull Trading setup, my analysis suggests a more bullish outlook compared to EURUSD. However, I'm currently eyeing a shorting opportunity on a lower timeframe. The emergence of a Bearish Gartley Pattern retesting at 1.2752 or a completion of a Bearish Bat Pattern around 1.2803 appears promising for a potential short position. What are your thoughts or trade plans for GBPUSD? Share your insights below!
Short
by RaynLim
Balancing Bullish Signals And Counter-Trend StrategiesGBPUSD showcases a Bearish Bat pattern on the daily chart, signaling a potential shorting opportunity with a likely retest around 1.2691. Another approach would be to watch for resistance retesting, aiming for a double top with RSI divergence at 1.2606 on the 1-hourly chart. However, if you're leaning towards a buying opportunity, considering the Weaker Bull trading setup on the weekly chart, the 1-hourly chart reveals a Bullish Butterfly Pattern. Keep an eye out for a retest around 1.2522 as a potential entry point for a buying opportunity! 🦋💱🐂 What's your game plan for GBPUSD? Share your thoughts or trade strategies in the comments below! Let's discuss and analyze potential moves in this market. 💬📊
Short
by RaynLim
Balancing Bullish Signals And Counter-Trend StrategiesDespite GBPUSD showcasing a bullish trend, I'm eyeing a shorting opportunity on this pair. The daily chart signals the completion of a Bearish Bat Pattern, yet a direct engagement at this level poses considerable risk. To mitigate this, my strategy involves patience, awaiting a market retest on the 1-hourly chart. Coincidentally, this timeframe also displays a Bearish Bat Pattern, offering a more favourable risk-reward ratio with reduced exposure. Share your thoughts or strategies on GBPUSD below!
Short
by RaynLim