USDJPY: Bearish Continuation TradeUSDJPY Reversed on the MACRO from a Bearish Butterfly PCZ on the Monthly and has since gone down about 15% as seen here:
But recently it's had a bit of a rally as the DXY showed a bullish pattern that it indeed bounced from here:
However it would seem that the USDJPY is showing quite a bit of weakness with the MACD confirming Hidden Bearish Divergence and Crossing Bearishly after price was rejected from the 200 Day SMA and the PCZ of a more Local Bearish Bat and could be a sign that the rally in the DXY will be coming to an early close; but more specifically it could be showing that the JPY will start to show Dominance in the FX Markets again and that this Local Bearish Bat could be what sets off the Bullish Continuation of the JPY Dominance.
Bearish Bat
GBPNZD - Bat Pattern Forming SOON!Bat patterns on GBPNZD are very profitable on the 4H timeframe.
- Entry: 1.96189
- Stop Loss: 1.97407
- TP1: 1.94499
- TP2: 1.93456
I have set a limit order at my entry price. If price moves against me I will trail my take profit levels in accordance with the 38.2 and 61.8 retracement levels from the low of the pattern to the current price level.
If the pattern is invalidated before hitting my entry limit order, I will delete the order.
The Short Plan will be helped by Order Block (ADAUSDT)OKX:ADAUSDT
0.36 level seems very liquid for ADAUSDT
Last two Stop Hunt under this level and bull trap also support the importance of 0.36 level.
If the price moves on the direction of blue arrow we will be prepared to arrange a short position.
Opening position on the direction of blue arrow is also another plan but we need more bullish price action signals.
Good Luck Everyone!
A retest could save your some moneyIf you have managed to short the USDJPY trade on the Bearish Bat Pattern, congratulation is on the way. If you have not engaged the trade, perhaps you can wait for the market to retest 136.95 on the 1-hourly chart to engage the Bearish Shark Pattern could be the next best thing that could happen to you.
All you need to do is to wait and see if the opportunity presents itself.
You have not missed out on EURUSDIf you thought that by following the rules of the Harmonic Patterns caused you to miss out on profits of the 4-hourly chart Gartley Pattern, here is a second chance.
The Bearish Bat Pattern on the 1-hourly chart completes at the same region as the Bearish Gartley Pattern. This is amazing because should the Bat Pattern complete it offers a trade with a lower-risk trading setup.
A mistake that most traders might makeOn the right is the daily chart, and on the left is the 4-hourly chart. It is a common mistake for traders that have been trading for 3-5 years and believe that the higher timeframe always supersedes the lower timeframe.
Similar to corporate hierarchy, our superior is not always correct.
There are a couple of factors that determine that. One of it depends on the overall market bias on the currency.
My Bias on the US Dollar pairs remains bullish; hence, I'm not motivated to short USDJPY aggressively when the market has a Bearish Bat Pattern formation. I would require to see a further market confirmation, like a Double Top form at completion, giving me an RSI Divergence before shorting the trade.
On the other hand, I'm waiting to long the USDJPY at 135.00 on the 4-hourly chart, which happens to be the Key Support Level.
Harmonic Bat Pattern for traders can apply on any time frameThe Bat is defined by the .886 retracement of move XA as Potential Reversal Zone. The Bat pattern has the following qualities:
Move AB should be the .382 or .500 retracement of move XA.
Move BC can be either .382 or .886 retracement of move AB.
If the retracement of move BC is .382 of move AB, then CD should be 1.618 extension of move BC. Consequently, if move BC is .886 of move AB, then CD should be 2.618 extension of move BC.
CD should be .886 retracement of move XA.
An upsize trade coming upA Potential Bearish Bat Pattern is looking to complete at 0.9314. This allows me to trigger my upsize trades and gives me an opportunity to stretch my final target to the completion of the Bullish Shark Pattern on the daily chart.
In order for that to happen, a series of confirmation need to be in place, 1 of which require a violation of the Buy Zone/ Demand Zone(blue box).
WEEKLY MAPFRE: -36.1% YoY 2022Q4 profits and #batpatternFUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
FUNDAMENTAL
2022 EPS Q4 better than expected: 0.0503 (exp. 0.0388). Issued premiums revenue 5.895B (exp. 5.83B). Nevertheless, -36.1% YoY Q4 profits.
Final dividend of 14.5 cents, payout 69.5%.
Conclusion: weak 2022 results overall give the share price a PER of 8.83 at price 1.842. P of PER increases, an overvaluation could be happening at the moment.
TECHNICAL
Aside from the weak results, there might be a formation of a bearish bat pattern underway whose prophecy is not as good for investors as the previous inverse head and shoulders that appeared post-pandemic.
CVS: 3 Falling Peaks, Bearish Dragon, at PCZ of Bearish Alt-BatWe do also have Bearish Divergence on the monthly and some of the lower timeframes but the stucture looks the smoothest on the 2 week. We have Confimed the Bearish Dragon Breakdown and are working on confirming the 3 Falling Peaks Pattern if we Break Below $86.78
BTCUSD: Bearish Bat Looking to retrace back to $18448.51Bitcoin looks ready to begin creating the Potential Right Shoulder of this Potential Inverse Head and Shoulders as it is at the level of what would have to be the neckline while overbought and within the 0.886-1.13 PCZ of this Bearish Alternate Bat it's traded within.
If this Inverted Head and Shoulders plays out, the Alternate Bat will underperform and not give us the full 100% Retrace backdown to 15.3k; but if not the price will go much lower and perhaps even lower than 15k so i will be managing risks from here.
For the time being i will be taking a third of my profits off and buying a monthly strangle along with a seperate weekly slightly OTM put as a way to secure my position on price action at a lower risk.
Bearish Bat On EthereumETH has had a Massive Surge in Futures Positions and that has thrown off the previous trade and sent it to the .886 Retrace if it gets above this level it will likely see an even bigger 886 retrace of the highs up to $1600 but for now im still betting against that and will be trading this much more local Bearish Bat with the hopes of it breaking below the trendline and ultimately trading towards $1000 and below within the coming days.
FCFS: Bearish Bat Double Top With Bearish DivergenceWe have MACD Bearish DIvergence at the PCZ of a Bearish Bat on the Monthly with a very promising Double Top. On a side note this company is likely to face serious issues in not being able to cover it's debts as the economy tightens and willingness to pay premiums at secondhand retail decreases.
Bitcoin: 3 Falling Peaks In Harmonic RangeBTC is trading within a Harmonic Range today and while the Bearish Shark did perform well last night, ultimately price has come back up and created a Bearish Bat at the VAH while showing Bearish Divergence on Volatility. As the 89SMA approaches i'd want to see BTC come down towards and break the confirmation line to begin a move down to $16,500-$15,000 to complete the bearish wave down and start fresh on the new week.
AUDUSD - The Devil's TouchSince the analysis is unchanged, I won't be posting on the daily chart; check the link below and see how nicely the candlestick "respected" The Devil's Finger as it reversed on the trendline once touching it. That is the primary engagement method I will execute in my trade plan.
On the lower timeframe trading setup, you can wait for a break and close below 0.6673 for a breakout trading setup; you have to be aware there are a few road bumps along the road(bearish move) 0.6637, 0.6583. etc. If you shift stops to entry too early, your trade will close out without profits.
AUDUSD - The Devil's TouchThe Devil's Touch, YES, I called it!
I'm waiting for a shorting opportunity the moment the market retest the red trendline but not closing above it or when the market break and close below the red trendline, although a retest of the Bearish Bat Pattern would do just fine.
What is nice about this setup, is that, there is a RSI Divergence within the setup.