USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk4If you are in my community, you would know that I am still bullish on the US Dollar. However, I did say that I expected a sharp retracement in USD, and it seems like it has happened.
However, I know some of you might be waiting for a Shorting opportunity well, a Bearish Bat Pattern that completes at 151.22 might allow you to go on a short-term shorting opportunity.
Bearish Bat
NZDUSD H4 BAT PATTERNHi traders, NZDUSD is setting up for a downside move i am expecting from price to come around our mentioned bat pattern completion and also a third touch of trendline area, watch price action on the top and look for a short position opportunity if price drop from the current area and break 0.55126 level without hiting our mentioned entry level then this setup will be invalidate.
If you are taking this trade so please i request you trade with your acourding strategy do not depend on my analysis, this analysis is just a scenario and i would love to be wrong GOOD LUCK.
AUDCHF H1Hi traders, AUDCHF is setting up for a downside move watch price to complete our pattern and look price action on the top for a short position opportunity if price drop from the current area and break 0.62298 level without hiting our mentioned entry level then this setup will be invalidate.
If you are taking this trade so please i request you trade with your acourding strategy do not depend on my analysis, this analysis is just a scenario and i would love to be wrong GOOD LUCK.
NZDJPY - Bearish Bat RetestLast week's video analysis I did talk about this Bearish Bat Pattern. If you have engage this trade, congratulation, you have gain close to 100pips of profits.
Don't worry if you have not engage on this Bat Pattern, you can wait for a retest at 83.50. A retest Bat Pattern is also known as Type2 Pattern. Usually, the movement of such setup is more gentle than the type1 setup. Patience is required.
What I like about this setup, it gives me an opportunity to hop on the Daily Chart's potential bearish flag pattern.
MATICUSDT - 2H - Bearish batPattern is already complete and showing rejection from PRZ.
We have also a trendline and a previous structure as resistance.
If this idea is useful please like and follow.
Best Regards.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk1Last Friday, I shared this analysis in Tradingview; the comment I received is lovely yet scary. The reader felt that the Bat Pattern had completed and seemed like he had engaged in the trade. Oh nooo!!
First of all, no matter who the analyst was, never follow their trading ideas blindly. Secondly, for the Bearish Bat Pattern to be valid, the market has to touch the furthest end of the PRZ; in this example, it's at 1.1251 and touches the opposite end of the PRZ for it to be valid.
Engaged in advance of the pattern completion can risk riding on an invalid setup or put yourself at a major disadvantage when you enter too early.
Some of the obvious disadvantages is a lopsided Reward is to Risk; you risk more and earn lesser than other traders who engaged in the same trade. While others can shift their stop-loss to entry, you could only reduce your risk.
With that said, in this bearish setup, my analysis remains unchanged.
Bat Harmonic Pattern - Made Easy For EveryoneThe BAT pattern gets its name from the bat-shaped end product. Identified by Scott Carney in 2001, the BAT pattern is made up of precise elements that identify PRZs.
The bat harmonic pattern follows different Fibonacci ratios. One of the major ways to differentiate it from a Cypher pattern is the B point which, if it doesn’t go above the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement of the XA leg then it is a bat, otherwise it can turn into a cypher structure.
The market strategy of the pattern is suitable for all time frames and all markets types. Traders have to keep in mind that on lower time frames using the bat pattern market strategy has some challenges because the pattern tends to appear on less frequent on lower time frames.
How to Draw a Bat Pattern :
As mentioned earlier, the bat harmonic pattern looks very similar to the Gartley pattern. It has four different legs marked as X-A, A-B, B-C, and C-D.
X-A: In its bullish version, the first leg appears when the price sharply increases from point X to point A. This is the longest leg of the pattern.
A-B: The A-B leg then sees the price switching direction and retracing 38.2 to 50 percent using the Fibonacci retracement of the distance covered by the X-A leg. Have it in mind that the A-B leg can never retrace beyond point X. But if it does, the pattern is considered invalid. As you can see, if the price with a spike reaches a point under 50% but with the body above, this will be Valid. The candle Body's important.
B-C: Here, the price changes direction for a second time and moves back up, retracing anything from 38.2 to 88.6 percent of the distance covered by the A-B leg. If it retraces up above the high of point A, the pattern is considered invalid.As you can see, if the price with a spike reaches a point above 88.6% but with the body is below, this will be Valid. The candle Body's important.
C-D: This is the last and most significant aspect of the pattern. As with the Gartley pattern, this is where the bat harmonic pattern ends and traders place their long (buy) trade at point D. ( PRZ Potential Reversal Zone )
The 88.6% percent retracement of the X-A leg is our Entry Point. D POINT or PRZ
Before trying and trading the pattern, confirm from this checklist that the pattern is real. It should include these vital elements:
A-B : 38.2 to 50% max percent using the Fibonacci retracement
B-C : An 38.2 to 88.6% max percent Fibonacci retracement of the X-A leg
C-D : The 88.6% percent retracement of the X-A
Market strategy:
Step 1: Drawing the pattern
Begin by clicking on the XABCD pattern indicator that is found on the right-hand side toolbar of Tradingview
Identify the beginning point X, which can be any swing high or low point on the chart.
You should get 4 points or 4 swings high/low points that join and form the harmonic bat pattern strategy as explained Above
Step 2: Trading the pattern
The 88.6 percent Fibonacci ratio provides traders a more reliable risk/reward ratio which is why the market strategy of the bat pattern is such a very popular as a market strategy. The best entry point is the 88.6 percent Fibonacci retracement which is a very accurate market turning point.
It is recommended that traders should enter as soon as they touch the 88.6 percent figure. Oftentimes the harmonic bat pattern strategy doesn’t go much above this level.
Step 3: Placing a stop-loss
Usually, traders should place their protective stop-loss lower than the point X of a harmonic bat pattern. That is the only logical location to hide the stop-loss because any break below will automatically invalidate the pattern.We use as manual the 113% Fibo of X-A as a picture below.
Step 4: Take-profits
There can be several ways to manage your trades, but the best target for this pattern should be to use a multiple-take profit formula. For this pattern strategy, take the first partial profit once you hit wave-B level and the remaining half wave-C.
Once the price reaches the first target you should move the Stop Loss at BE ( breakeven - entry point ) or close the position in profit.
By doing this you will accomplish two things:
first, you’ll ensure that you accumulate profits and secondly, if the markets reverse, you ensure you’re stopped at BE and don’t lose any money.
There are many ways to calculate the Take profits Target, this is one of the most used and we suggest starting in this way.
Identical rules to draw and set parameters like stop loss and take profits are for the Bearish version. Nothing changed.
Please note this is an introduction to the BAT pattern, for beginners. I tried to make it more easy and simple as I can.
GBPUSD - Bearish BatA Bearish Bat setup within the sell zone work well for trend traders. Consolidation before completion could be a warning sign for the Bat Pattern trader; hence traders must wait for confirmation in the PRZ zone and not to rush into this Harmonic Pattern without waiting for further confirmation.
Bearish Divergence on S&P Volatility at PCZ of Bearish BatThis Bearish Bat would have me believe that the VIX Bullish Butterfly Rally will come to an end and go back down to atleast the area of $28.50 but i wouldn't be surprised if it went into the lower $20s if this played out.
For more context this was formerly a Bullish trade Setup but now it's reached the target and we are looking for a retrace downward again.
Check the relatted idea below for further context of the previous trade.
USDCAD - Bearish Bat comboThe Potential Bearish Bat setup on the 1hourly allows the "latecomer" to engage the trade and die-hard traders who got involved on the Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern a chance to increase their position without increasing their risk.
That said, candlestick pattern confirmation is essential before entering the trade, even though the Bat Pattern is formed within the sell zone.
Beat the BATS - Harmonic Bat PatternsHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📉📈
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
In today's analysis, we'll look at a different way to speculate the next immediate price action of an asset : the Harmonic Bat Patterns. There is a really cool tool on the platform that you can use called the Cypher Pattern, you can find this in your drawing toolbar, 5th from the top under the T for text. It helps you plot the points and identifies the correct distance for you clearly. I'm using it HERE :
From the chart, you can clearly see the bullish and the bearish bat example. If you move your mouse over the grey anchors, you will find the values that the distances between two points need to be. Spotting these patterns are extremely difficult and it takes a trained eye to spot them on a chart. However, if you're lucky enough to spot one, you have a clear trading setup with a high probability of win rate. NOTE that even though there are similarities, these are not the same as W-bottom patterns or M-patterns.
I hope you enjoyed and found value in this educational post today!
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CADJPY - Bearish BatCounter-trend traders, this is another trading opportunity, a Bearish Bat Pattern completes on the daily chart.
It will be a busy Monday for traders. Share this with your friends, so they won't sleep through Monday and missing lots of trading opportunity.
What I love about this setup, there are RSI Divergence on the lower timeframe.
USDJPY - Bearish BatAfter weeks of waiting, the Bearish Bat Pattern on the USDJPY has finally been completed. Counter-trend traders, this could be your chance to engage.
However, there are 2 warning signs I must point out.
The completion of Point D exceeded the little red box known as the PRZ. A more conservative way is to wait for the 3-bar reversal to happen.
Lastly, tonight(depending on which city you are in), there is a US ADP report, and this Friday is Non-Farm Payroll week.
EURJPY - Type2 Bearish BatEURJPY has a Bearish Bat setup. If you are waiting for a buying opportunity, you might just have the opportunity to long at around 136.87. This is possible because it is a legit support level.
If you are waiting for a shorting opportunity, 137.56 is an excellent level to consider to engage the trade based on a Type2 Bearish Bat Pattern setup.
USDJPY - Resistance LevelIf you read my last week's analysis, you should know that there is a potential Bearish Bat Pattern on the daily chart(the link is within the tradingview article).
If you are looking for a counter-trend trading opportunity, the Bat Pattern might not be the best setup, and that's because I don't like what I'm seeing(consolidation before the Point D completion).
I'm more inclined to wait for a shorting opportunity at around 137.56, which happens to be the 1hourly chart resistance level. First of all the initial risk isn't great; furthermore, it is a more important level of resistance.
EURUSD - Bearish BatTrend Traders, there are many opportunities for you to hop into the trade. I will be sharing 2 of the most obvious setup, the Bearish Bat Pattern that completes at 1.0155 and the Channel within the potential Bearish Flag formation.
It is important to wait for candlestick confirmation before engaging in the trade.