Bearish Butterfly
USDJPY - Short - Bearish Butterfly w/ Terminal Price BarClear harmonic butterfly with fairly precise D point that aligns with important weekly close level that has acted as both support and resistance in the past.
Price running into the top of the cloud on the monthly chart and a flat kumo level on the monthly is also acting as resistance in the same area
Bearish RSI divergence and both OBV/RSI also facing heavy resistance
Terminal Price bar gives solid SL above 112.8
Initial targets of 110.75/109.4
Cloud is beginning to flatten which should act as a magnet and aligns well with my first target.
AUDNZD I SHS Pattern and Long OpportunityDescription: As seen in the H4 Chart Timeframe, AUDNZD completed a Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern as a reversal of the minor downtrend. Our targets are 1.08300 and 1.08900. If the trade works as predicted we will look for a short opportunity at D leg based on bearish harmonic butterfly pattern.
So our AUDNZD Trade Idea:
TRADE: LONG
ENRY: 1.07700
STOP: 1.06800
TAKE PROFIT 1: 1.08300
TAKE PROFIT 2: 1.08900
Good Luck
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XAG/USD - Bearish ButterflyWhat's up traders. Looking at another bearish position today, this time we have a butterfly formation on silver against the dollar.
The price of silver has been moving sidewards for over a year now and we are starting to see price become very compressed. The daily chart is sowing price being squeezed into a triangle formation (the high of which is set around the same area.
As you can see price has began to drop slightly although it didn't exactly hit our PRZ at the 1.272 extension. The reversal signal came in the form of a bearish engulfing candle- unfortunately the close of this candle was too low for me and had too great an impact on the pattern's risk:reward. Should price push back and re-test this area we should then be looking for an entry.
Again we will be using our 0.382 and 0.618 levels as our TP levels whilst keeping our risk:reward as close to 1:3 as possible.
Butterfly ratios are as follows:
B = 0.786
C = 0.382-0.886
D = 1.618-2.24
X to D = 1.272
Harmonics in Play - Why we fell w/ Key LevelsThe chart above shows a nearly perfect Bearish Butterfly that has been playing out.
I say nearly because the only place where it has fallen short is the D leg. Which based on the rules of the butterfly, should have completed itself right at 10k (based on BitMex charts).
However, IF the local top IS in, based on fractals of recent harmonics (see previous post) I have set a primary target of 8.8k or Target 2 on the chart above.
Since this harmonic has fallen short. I am in hopes of it heading back up to test 10k before making a full completion, or even possible breaking through.
Therefore we all must be on our toes in this zone.
Especially with it being the possible first Target of the harmonic.
DISCLAIMER:
Please note I am only providing my own trading information for your benefit and insight to my trading techniques, you should do your own due diligence and not take this information as a trade signal.
BEARISH BUTTERFLY ON USD/CADOn the USD/CAD 4hr chart we see a bearish butterfly has formed. We expect price to fall from this high extension since the pair was ranging before this breakout. I believe the price is at a good point to go lower, good time to sell. Look for bearish evidence before taking this trade.
IOTA: Bearish Butterfly is setting upIOTA has had a really nice run up in price recently which has lead to it missing a number of central pivots (2 daily / 1 weekly) which lead me to take a closer look. When I did I saw that I dragged a fib and saw price react off the 78.6% level which looks to be like B in and ABCD of a Butterfly.
The Butterfly could turn at 1.272 or 1.618 extension, once price gets there I will be looking to short price back down to the missed weekly.
I will update once price is in the shorting zone.
Bearish Butterfly USDJPY 4HHi traders,
Bearish Butterfly on the USDJPY 4H has been completed. Wait for a double top (M) formation on the 15M or 1H chart for a clear sign to enter the trade. Best case scenario would be a double top at the high of the day or a sign of weakness at the ADR high.
An entry right as soon as the pattern fires is also possible, but further price action knowledge is required to manage a trade right at the peak. Please be careful.
For those of you who have little knowledge about harmonic patterns but wish to trade it (which is not recommended before you fully understand harmonic patterns):
.) They can extend, meaning, that the pattern appears but it might take time until price reverses.
.) They can extend and create a different pattern.
.) They can extend so far that the pattern becomes invalid.
Recommended profit targets are between 30 and 70 pips, depending on your own price action knowledge. This does not mean that more than 70 is not possible, but 30 to 70 pips is the average range.
This is not a trade recommendation and I am not responsible for your gains/losses.
Take care and trade safely.
Bearish Butterfly AUDJPY 4HHi traders,
Bearish Butterfly on the 4H has been completed. Wait for a double top (M) formation on the 15M or 1H chart for a clear sign to enter the trade. Best case scenario would be a double top at the high of the day or a sign of weakness at the ADR high.
An entry right as soon as the pattern fires is also possible, but further price action knowledge is required to manage a trade right at the peak. Please be careful.
This is not a trade recommendation and I am not responsible for your gains/losses.
Take care,
Ray