Bearish Logscale Butterfly T2 with Bearish MACD & RSI DivergenceBitcoin appears to be set up at the 1.902 HOP for a Type 2 retest of the Logscale Bearish Butterfly that resulted in a major Type 1 reaction from the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension back in 2021, where it dropped from $69,000 to $15,500 over the course of several months before ultimately bottoming at the PCZ of a smaller Log Scale Bullish Butterfly which signaled the Type 2 run up to the 1.902 HOP of the Bearish Butterfly where it is now. As it tests this level the MACD and RSI are both Diverging Bearishly and the RSI especially seems weak as it now struggles to even crack above 70 level. This signals to me that the RSI has confirmed exhaustion after divergence at the HOP and that it is likely ready to start declining further.
Saying as though this is the type 2 test, I'd suspect that we'd make a lower low than our previous Type 1 reaction low at $15k, perhaps landing us around $12-10k; but if those levels don't hold It would be technically viable to assume BTC would go for the 0.886 retrace at around $4.6k
Bearishdivergence
$DXY Weekly Analysis: Bearish Divergence and Trendline Breakdown
DXY Shows Bearish Divergence and Breakdown – Bullish Implications for Bitcoin, Gold, and Forex
The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has formed a clear bearish divergence on the weekly timeframe, indicating potential downside momentum. Additionally, it has lost key trendline support, further confirming weakness in the dollar.
Key Support Levels for #DXY
Next Major Support: 102 - 100 zone
If the 110 support level is breached, DXY could experience a sharp plunge, accelerating further downside.
Bullish Impact on Bitcoin, Altcoins, Gold, and Forex
Since the DXY moves inversely to risk assets and other currencies, its bearish outlook could support:
✅ #Bitcoin & #Altcoins: Potential for upward momentum
✅ #Gold: Increased demand as a hedge against a weaker dollar
✅ #Forex Markets: Currencies like EUR, GBP, and others could gain strength against the USD
The current bearish divergence and breakdown of trendline support in DXY suggest continued dollar weakness. If key support levels fail, we could see strong rallies in Bitcoin, altcoins, gold, and major forex pairs in the coming weeks.
XRP is forming a 'potential' bearish divergence on the weekly.XRP looks to be forming a potential minor bearish divergence on the weekly chart. I still think that XRP has plenty of room to run, but we need the bullish momentum to continue in order to negate what could be a minor bearish divergence on the weekly chart.
I'm not saying that it's definitely going to form, or that it will necessarily be bearish, but it has the potential to do so. This is something that we, as traders and investors, need to be aware of and take into consideration, depending on the trades you're considering.
Just something to think about.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
XDC is showing a clear bearish divergence on the weekly RSI.XDC has been struggling for a long time, but like many cryptos, it benefited greatly from the 'Trump Pump' on election day. However, after a spectacular run, XDC is now showing a clear bearish divergence on the weekly RSI.
Could this spell disaster for the price of XDC? Only time will tell, but I would exercise caution here if you are considering a long position.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
BITCOIN - Time to be Bearish!The 3-day chart shows a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator.
-A bearish divergence occurs when:
1. Price Action: The asset's price forms higher highs (uptrend).
2. RSI Indicator: The RSI forms lower highs instead of following the price
This divergence suggests that the upward momentum is weakening, even though the price is climbing, which could lead to a potential downtrend or correction.
Based on this a drop to the 80k region is expected, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
This decline perfectly corresponds to the fourth wave of the Elliott Impulse Wave.
Afterward, a significant recovery is expected, representing Bitcoin's final bullish wave in the Elliott Wave cycle (the fifth wave)
My outlook for the chart suggests a decline starting now and lasting until mid-February at most
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Reversal Trading Strategy Using GOLDEN RSI Divergence Indicator Overview
Reversal trading strategies capitalize on identifying turning points in the market where a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend, or vice versa, occurs. In this post, I will introduce a strategy based on divergence patterns spotted with a custom RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator.
This method enhances traditional RSI analysis by making divergence detection clearer and actionable. By combining it with a strong understanding of price action, traders can gain an edge in timing market reversals effectively.
Key Features of This Strategy
Divergence Analysis: The core of this strategy is to identify bullish or bearish divergences between the RSI and price action.
Custom RSI Indicator: The custom RSI indicator simplifies divergence detection by highlighting critical levels and marking divergence points directly on the chart.
Confluence with Price Action: Reversals are validated using trendlines, support/resistance zones, and candlestick patterns.
Chart Example: S&P 500 Index
In the attached chart:
Bullish Divergence:
The price made lower lows, while the RSI made higher lows (indicated by green arrows).
This divergence signaled weakening bearish momentum and potential reversal.
Entry Point:
A clear breakout above the trendline validated the reversal.
Enter long positions near this breakout level.
Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss just below the recent swing low.
Target Profit:
Aim for the next major resistance zone or use a fixed risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3).
How to Spot Divergence
Bullish Divergence:
Price forms lower lows.
RSI forms higher lows.
This indicates waning bearish pressure and a potential upward reversal.
Bearish Divergence:
Price forms higher highs.
RSI forms lower highs.
This suggests weakening bullish pressure and a possible downward reversal.
Why This Strategy Works
Strength of RSI Divergence
RSI divergence reflects the loss of momentum in the current trend. By detecting it early, traders can position themselves ahead of major reversals.
Combining Confluence Factors
The success rate of this strategy increases when RSI divergence aligns with other technical factors like:
Horizontal support or resistance levels.
Trendline breaks.
Volume spikes.
Practical Tips for Using This Strategy
Use Multiple Timeframes: Confirm divergence signals on higher timeframes for stronger setups.
Avoid Overtrading: Only act on clear and validated divergence setups to minimize false signals.
Risk Management: Never risk more than 1-2% of your trading capital on a single trade.
Conclusion
This custom RSI-based divergence strategy is a powerful tool to identify high-probability reversal setups. When combined with proper risk management and confluence analysis, it can significantly improve trading outcomes.
Start experimenting with this strategy on your demo account and refine your approach before deploying it in live markets. If you have questions or want to discuss this further, feel free to comment below!
Technical Analysis: EURNZD Bearish ButterflyHello Traders,
Below is my Technical Analysis of EURNZD.
EURNZD has formed a bearish butterfly pattern with points X: 1.79369, A: 1.7442, B: 1.78702, C: 1.76273, D: 1.80786. The current price is 1.80379. Expectation for a drop to 1.78808 in the coming weeks. Additionally, a bearish divergence is noted on the Awesome Oscillator, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Cheers and Happy Trading.
#GER30 bearish continuation moveAfter an impulsive bearish move in the GER30 last week, the price is now forming a bullish corrective move and a rising wedge pattern, which typically has a bearish bias.
Additionally, the price has reached the 1-hour 200 EMA, which could act as dynamic resistance. There's also a bearish divergence between the price and the momentum oscillator on this timeframe.
These factors together suggest a bearish outlook.
#GBPCAD bearish scenarioBearish divergence in the 4H timeframe, as well as price failing to create a new high, shows potential weakness in the uptrend.
Furthermore, from an Elliott wave perspective, it seems like we are at wave 5 of 5, with a high potential for a bearish move from here.
In the 1H timeframe, we can see that the price managed to break below the previous higher low, successfully changing the structure towards bearish in the 1H timeframe.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
#AUDNZD bearish move possibilityAs can be seen in the chart, we have bearish divergence in the 4H and daily timeframes, suggesting that the price might have reached the end of its bullish move.
Furthermore, in the 1H timeframe, the price has managed to shift market structure towards bearish by breaking below the previous higher low. Now, the price seems to be completing a pullback to the broken short-term trendline and previous support zone, which now act as resistance.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
GBPNZD - Bearish Breakout + DivergenceTaking a look at the 1 hour timeframe, it's quite noticable that we have a clean breakout to the downside along with bearish divergence with RSI.
This isn't much of a surprise as this pair is heavily overbought on the daily and weekly timeframes.
Next week we get the latest policy decision from the BOE which likely will contribute to stirling weakness heading into the meeting.
Bitcoin Head and Shoulders dip to $60,500OKX:BTCUSDT has created a classic Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe. If it confirms below the neckline, we could see a pullback to $60,500 - the same distance from the peak of the Head to the neckline from the breakdown.
This is not actionable until it confirms, when a candle closes lower than the first candle closing below the breakdown.
Given the institutional interest and price manipulation, this could be turned around by market makers, so I won't be entering a short, or exiting my spot positions, until I see confirmation on the daily timeframe.
However, I could also see those who manipulate the markets wanting a lower entry for large amounts of institutional capital - so the price could likely be manipulated either way. What the chart tells us is this is a big bearish signal to be monitored.
There is also a Bearish Divergence on the RSI, which isn't actionable by itself, but does add a layer of confluence.
AVAX/USDT is about to do a Bearish movement!!!Hi.
COINEX:AVAXUSDT
Today, I want to analyze AVAX for you in a 3D time frame so that we can have a mid-term view of AVAX regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts).
AVAX reached the resistance but could not break it. Also, we have a bearish divergence on MACD and RSI that the price will soon decline.
✅ Due to the Descending structure of the chart...
- High potential areas are clear in the chart.
- DIVERGENCE ON MACD
- DIVERGENCE ON RSI
Stay awesome my friends.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!