SPX - Bearish Divergence - Buy the Dip Opportunity?SPX is looking a little extended at these levels, with bearish divergence on the MACD signaling waning momentum, i would look to see a slight ease, from these levels
Looking at potential targets, the major pivot around $4050 USD also falls on the 50% fib retracement of the most recent leg up.
A less aggressive pullback could entail a retest of the 50 SMA. currently around $4120 USD
In any case the market has been running hot and a pullback to some degree is inevitable, however given the macro background, unless the Fed signals they will begin tapering/ raise rates and/or the federal government pulls the stimulus and unemployment support out from under the population (highly unlikely) I see the market still pursuing a "risk on" trade at least for the time being.
-TradingEdge
Bearishdivergence
How to analyse Divergences using RSI for BTCUSDThis tutorial on RSI Divergences is the second part of a RSI Masterclass series.
We have already discussed how to make use of the basic RSI indicator in our previous masterclass tutorial. We will understand the use of Divergence oscillators in short timeframes for BTCUSD.
A divergence happens when the price of an asset (BTC in this case) moves in the opposite direction to a momentum indicator or oscillator.
It is the opposite of a confirmation signal, which is when the indicator and price are moving in the same direction.
How to use Divergence in trading
A divergence is often seen as a sign that the current market action is losing its momentum and weakening, meaning it could soon change direction.
there is a significant chance of a price retracement
Bullish Divergence
A bullish divergence is the pattern that occurs when the price falls to lower lows, while the technical indicator reaches higher lows.
After a bullish divergence pattern, it is common to see a rapid price increase.
Bearish Divergence
A bearish divergence is the pattern that occurs when the price reaches higher highs, while the technical indicator makes lower highs.
There is a likelihood of a rapid decline in price following the divergence
Please note:
One of the most common problems with divergences is ‘false positives’, which is when the divergence occurs but there is no reversal.
The technique does not give a set price point at which to open or close a trade, just an indication of the strength or weakness of the underlying market sentiment.
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- Mudrex
Gold RSI Bearish Divergence And Bulls Are Over ExtendedGood day guys! I have noticed with the Euphoria and seeing how multiple indicators are revealing gold is in an over extended market. To me, it looks like the markets are in the process of forming the head of a potential head and shoulder pattern. However, just because the signs are there, does not mean the entry is perfect. I would love to see a sharp sell off to the downside. The dollar has fallen another 2% this past week and gold has had a rally. However, I still do not believe the big move in gold is in. With the sell off in most risky assets today, even in gold being a safe haven, that informs me that people are trying to take profit. Hypothetically, a lot of traders could be in margin trouble. I am not a predictor of the markets, but I do understand how the fundamentals and technicals work. I still see that the price of gold could go even lower, before we get our massive buying opportunity into the market. Usually, when interest rates rise, the price of gold fall and vice versa; when interest rates fall, the price of gold rise. However, I believe this time with the plethora money printing, this time we could see the price of gold going much higher. My sell entry is at 1887. Be sure to leave a comment below in regards to your thoughts in regards to gold. We appreciate you for checking out our post and remember, we will see you on the other side.
Rodrick (CEO)
Third Eye Traders
BTC Turns bearish on Daily - ShortBitcoin has dropped below the 20week and 200day moving averages for the first time since April 47th, 2020. With a triple bearish divergence, a break of the pitch fork trend and floating below the 20wk MA..I cannot help, but read this as bearish in the short term until we secure a weekly close back above the 20wk MA. Not sure how much lower we could go, there is no telling. How much longer until we reverse, unsure. Is this the end of the bull run? I don't want to believe so, but you cannot deny the chart. There is aways time to return when the whales give us a bullish sign that things are reversing, but I don't see on the chart right now. I remain bullish in the LONG. This is not financial advice, It is only my opinion.
Weekly Hanging man on NASDAQ (The Company)The company behind the Nasdaq Composite Index seems to be ready for a pullback and is showing signs of Bearish Divergence on multiple indicators I think if a pullback were to occur we could see it reach the next major level of price congestion at $138-$130 which is near the 55 Week Simple Moving Average.
NDX/SPY and NDX/DJI looks like the NASDAQ is popping a bubbleIntroduction
For my adult life the advice has been to buy just by ETFs. And for the last decade or so the advise has also to been buy the NASDAQ ETF because it over-performs the other indices. It seems that advice is on the precipice of ending due to some long term indicators on the verge of flipping their switches.
The MFV VSTOP is set to 3x and right now price action has gone below the stop. IF we confirm below the arrow stays in place and right next to it we get that black dot which means the move is confirmed. Not shown to keep the main chart clean is the VSTOP on the current time frame which has already flipped bearish.
Price action is also leaning heavily on the 20 month SMA which, due to its use in a variety of other indicators is rather important.
The Chart also declares that we have a lot of divergence on some popular indicators
indicators
I could almost exactly use the same write up for NDX/DJI but this chart has the RSI with a double top instead of clear bearish divergence.
A look at NDX, SPY and DJI to try and guestimate what this dump could look like is very bearish indeed. The dotcom bubble burst was a historical economic event and it seems its ghost has come to haunt us. SPY and DJI will be less affected by this downtrend but will still take significant beatings over the next coupe of years. The fact that they don't go down as much means they are less likely to get a playable/dupe-able bull trap
Here is a replay of the dotcom pop on NDX with my general thoughts. It is on the three day with the daily BB in orange and the weekly in blue. There will be a lot of technical bounces on the way down and a put/short strategy seems very advisable.
My Conclusions
I am not going to go on at length about the dollar or inflation in consumer staples or the wallstreetbets effect. It looks pretty bad out there when you compare the most bullish US index to its brothers and that is generally bearish for the broader market. I am not a financial advisor and I don't have a CMT... purely self taught. But I am going to look to short in one way or another these bearish continuation patterns and I might even take some opportunistic logs when the price action first hits the weekly bollinger band. There is going to be a lot of pain over the next couple of years but there is nothing moral about being bad with money, or losing money.
Here is TSLA based off of my linked idea. Plenty of chances to swing trade in this dumpster fire of an equity if I can get some indicators to back up the TA. The main chart suggest we will get a multi-month bull trap. The chart where I replayed the NDX bubble burst also suggest a multi-month bull trap. Even though the macro situation is bearish you still have to be nibble enough to deal with the rallies however you decide. My other linked idea is how I potentially see BTC affected by the everything bubble
Is a large drop possible for Bitcoin? Hello Everyone,
As alt coins are exploding, Bitcoin is starting to look not so great. There is a head and shoulders pattern forming on the daily chart which indicates a trend reversal in the short to mid term if confirmed. The neckline is around $52,500 and breaking it would confirm this pattern which would then lead to a movement to the downside. There are several factors giving validation to this pattern.
Here are the technicals:
1. There is a Head and Shoulders forming on the Daily Chart with a neckline of $52,500 area. Breaking this would indicate a short to mid term trend reversal most likely the low 40k to high 30k area or to my "Buy Zone".
2. MACD showed weak buying momentum and is now showing waning buying momentum. A bearish cross is possible. There is also bearish divergence as price was making higher highs and MACD tops were showing lower highs. MACD also failed to stay above the intersection point between buying and selling momentum. This indicates weak buying and further validates the right shoulder of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
3. RSI is showing bearish divergence as RSI is making lower highs as price is making higher highs. This indicates market exhaustion or in need of a cool off period.
4. Price Action: Price action is showing us a few things. Since the drop in late February, as price was moving up, volume was very stagnant and showing weakness or going down. This is bearish price action. This indicates market exhaustion or weakening of uptrend.
5. Dead cat bounce to retest $60,000 which gives more validation to the right shoulder of the Head and Shoulders pattern. Notice the largest pool of volume in these last 1.5 weeks came from a movement towards the downside.
With all of this said, Bitcoin still needs to break the $52,500 level to confirm the Head and Shoulders pattern. Bitcoin could easily bounce off $53,000 and continue upwards but the indications above are saying this is unlikely. I have thought bitcoin is overdue for a cool down period and a pullback to the low 40k to high 30k area would still keep Bitcoin very bullish. It has yet to test a 20 or 50 weekly moving average and it did so several times in 2017.
I hope this helps some of you manage your risk or helps your decision making in your next trade.
As always, manage your risk, be patient, and good luck trading!
GBPNZD Bearish Divergence + DisequilibriumOn the hourly and half-an-hourly timeframe, GBPNZD is showing bearish divergence signalling a pullback/reversal from its highs. Furthermore, price action is making higher highs while the Relative Strength Index is forming lower highs .
Additionally, there is disequilibrium between price and the conversion line (Fast Moving Average) on the hourly and 4-hourly timeframe. Price should retreat to meet the conversion line before potentially creating even more disequilibrium between the conversion line and base line which should also meet bringing price even lower towards it. Any tips/advice on how I could improve this analysis?
BTC - H4 - DOUBLE TOP ? YES OR NO ?H4 : Potential double top formation in progress coupled with a potential RSI bearish divergence also in progress.
Recent price is showing a sideways 56'500-58'550 trading range, holding on both Mid Bollinger Band and ongoing
uptrend channel base support line.
The former high @ 58'549, has, so far, not been retested yet, high being 58'315 (las long white bullish candle).
Nevertheless, some tolerance could be accepted and early signals of a potential double top coupled with a RSI bearish divergence
should not be underestimated !
On this H4 time frame, watch the following levels :
UPSIDE :
R1 : 58'549
R2 : 60'000
R3 : 61'075
R4 : 64'895
DOWNSIDE :
S1 : 57'190
S2 : 56'900
S3 : 56'500
S4 : 55'465
Watch H1 for clues
Ironman8848
FTM.USDT (Y21.P2.E2).Bearish Div. to play outHi All,
We have an ascending wedge with bearish div. which makes that 2 elements agreeing to this possibility.
On top of all time high, makes it x3.
I see a likely bearish div to play out and hence a nice pullback to the cradle to then re-enter to go long.
Risky but likely to go down as per fib levels.
All the best,
S.SAri.
ETH Bearish AB=CD, divergence @ 3K!Ethereum has had an amazing run after Bitcoin's recent dips, increasing by nearly 50% of its total price after dips from only a few weeks ago! However, it looks like indicators are starting to show some weakness for ETH in the short term on the 4-hour chart.
ETH now approaches its ascending channel's top (white line, note: linear is shown due to it being a short-term trend, but the trend looks similar on the longer-term logarithmic chart). As ETH approaches 3K, an almost perfect AB=CD pattern has formed indicating a potential bearish reversal for the short-term. This looks further confirmed by dwindling volume in addition to divergence forming against price on both MACD and OBV (red dashed lines).
However, with 3K being such a huge target for many ETH followers, there is always the possibility that FOMO kicks in causing an unexpected catapult upward. But in my opinion, the trend if heading downward from what I can see.
Hence, you should take the above solely as my opinion and not as financial advice. However, please also like or comment if you agree or see anything differently.
Bearish Divergence at PCZ of Bearish GartleyIt may be time for IBM to fill the gap at $133.50 as it has hit the PCZ of a Bearish Gartley and is showing Bearish Divergence on the Stochastic RSI, MACD, and MFI.
Gap fills rarely act as support or resistance so if IBM fills the gap i'd expect it to go a little lower than $133.50 and perhaps drop down to $128 before attempting a rally.
Educational: AB=CD pattern w/ BTC exampleOne fairly easy and useful pattern for determining reversals is the AB=CD pattern.
The pattern simply looks for two rising or falling legs up or down respectively. Then one simply measures the retracement level from point B followed by the projection from C (luckily tradingview has a tool to assist with this). If these values equal a 0.618 or 0.786 retracement followed by a 1.272 or 1.618 projection respectively, the pattern is likely to indicate a reversal of the current trend. For example, above we can clearly see the pattern almost perfectly matched the required levels of 0.618 and 1.272.
However, no pattern is guaranteed, so it is always recommended to seek out confirmation. As we can see in the above example, there is bearish reversal divergence that can be seen on both RSI and MACD (dotted green lines), whereby price is rising while oscillators are falling, indicating an even greater likelihood for a reversal.
Upon confirmation of a reversal, one can then target Fibonacci retracement levels as key points of interest as can be seen above.
A nice part about this pattern is how simple it is to spot and draw out particularly with tools available on tradingview.
Hopefully you are able to use this pattern as another useful tool in your arsenal!
Extreme Amounts of Bearish Divergence at PCZ of a Bearish BatThis is a follow-up to my previously successful idea for Litecoin that called the rise to $300:
We have both RSI and MACD triple Bearish Divergence on the 3 day time frame after hitting the .886 of a Bearish Bat Harmonic.
I believe that LTC could bearishly reverse between the $331-$416 area. If we get any significant price action above $420 then i will suggest stopping your losses.
Our profit taking targets will be between $105-$69which is our previous major Support and Resistance Zone.
ADA/USDT Update: Looking for an upper breakoutADA longterm is one of the most bullish coins and ecosystem around there.
However, currently updates are delayed and we look at a bearish divergence considering the volume and price action.
So be carefull.
It could breakout on the upside but it also could fail and print a bigger drop.
Basic rules:
- Never buy the top/ATH
- Take profit as long as you can
- Use Stop/loss for leveraged positions
- If you are not experienced, don't leverage in the first place
Enjoy the ride and don't be too greedy.
If you like the content, please like, comment and give this channel a follow.
Always do your own research and keep in mind that my charts and comments cannot be considered financial advice.
Cheers
ps.
Chart explanation:
Main lines:
- Green lines are tested support lines.
- Orange lines are resistance lines or, if we are above, possible support lines which were not tested yet.
- Cyan line is for volume trendline.
Helplines:
- Purple lines are trendlines we take a look at.
- Yellow lines are for visual help only.
Boxes:
- Either entry zone or support zone. Check the description.
Short BTC, bearish div. with RSI Chart BTC/USD in daily shows 3 bearish divergences between RSI and USD prices. Current price and lack of volume show sign of weakness.
Support 1: $56 000
Support 2: $51 300
Support 3: $45 300
An invalidation of these div. is still possible but I expect a pullback at least to the first support.
BTC needs to breathe and consolidate before to go higher.
A consolidation of BTC would permit an « alt season » with big pump of major alts in the next days, followed by mid caps and small caps later 🚀