BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance...
The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist.
The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400
At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57.
Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500
Support levels: 66500, 65000
After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Bearish Engulfing
SPY: A Dangerous Turning Point (D&W charts).The SPY chart exhibits some key technical aspects worth noting.
On the daily chart, the price action has recently tested the double support area around the 21-day EMA and the 550 level. This confluence of support has provided a temporary floor, allowing the price to bounce back. However, if SPY misses this key support level in the future, it'll officially trigger a bearish reversal to its next support levels, like the 542, or even lower.
On the weekly chart, the bearish engulfing pattern stands out. This pattern, occurring after reaching an all-time high, indicates a potential reversal or a strong corrective phase - if triggered. SPY's price would need to lose last week's low to trigger this pattern, which is very close to the 550 support seen on the daily chart. Therefore, this is a critical support area on multiplie time frames.
The price action following this pattern suggests a weakening of the bullish momentum that previously drove the SPY to new highs. The 21-week EMA will be crucial as it has historically served as a dynamic support level throughout the upward trend, and it'll be a technical target if SPY reverses the bullish sentiment.
The interplay between these support levels and the reaction to the bearish engulfing pattern will be critical in determining the next phase for the SPY. The trend is still bullish, but we are trading around a dangerous area, which could act as a major turning point for SPY.
For now, let's closely monitor the price action around these levels, especially the behavior near the 550 support and the 529.08 EMA, for further clues on the ETF's direction.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
NVDA: Pullback Ahead?Hourly Chart: Key Support and Previous Top
The hourly chart for NVDA emphasizes the significance of the support level at 125.59. This level was a previous top, and now it is acting as a support, following the Principle of Polarity in Technical Analysis. The chart shows that the previous top, which is now support, has been tested a few times, reinforcing its critical role.
Daily Chart: Bearish Engulfing Pattern
On the daily chart, a bearish engulfing pattern is evident, signaling a potential correction of the uptrend. This pattern forms when a smaller white candlestick is completely engulfed by a larger black candlestick, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. This pattern is often a precursor to further downside movement. The red line marks the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 115.82, which was a previous resistance seen on the 1H chart as well, serves as an additional support level.
Conclusion
The NVDA charts provide a mixed outlook. The double support at 115.89 on the hourly/daily charts is critical, while the bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart suggests a potential pullback ahead. For now, we should keep a close eye on the 125.59 support level. A hold above this level could indicate a buying opportunity, while a break below could signal further downside to the 115 area.
Keep in mind that the trend is still bullish and pullbacks would be buying opportunities as the price approaches its support levels, when the R/R ratio is optimized.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
NIFTY DAILY - 18/4/2024Nifty opens with positive note but bulls didn’t survive into the market and loss all the day gains at the end of the day.
Market falls another 152 points (around 0.69%).(nearly 774 points in last 4 trading session).
Nifty has formed red body big candle on daily chart.
Bearish engulfing pattern is formed on daily chart, which indicated more bearishness into the market.
Candle is trading below 20 days Simple Moving Average Line. Nifty is above it support level which is 21936 with resistance of 22152 level.
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 14
Decline - 36
FII Sell – 4260.33 crores
DII Buy + 2285.52 crores.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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NVDA shortBearish Engulfing and Gap down.
Est. Fib# ext to 4.618 ( 920 ), retracement to 2.618 (690)
Short 855
Stop 980
Target 690, 500
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
NIFTY DAILY - 28/2/2024Market opened on a positive note, but bulls were not able to sustain in the market and turned market negative, and made days low that is 21915.
Nifty has formed big red body candle with upper and lower shadows.
Bearish Engulfing candle is formed on daily chart which indicates bearish sentiments into the market.
Today’s candle is halfway crossing the 9 days Exponential Moving Average.
Nifty has broken the support of 22023 so next support will be at level 21854 and level 22115 will work as resistance.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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NIFTY DAILY - 21/2/2024Market falls from nifty’s new all-time high that is 22249 level and Bulls lose its winning streak in the market.
Nifty formed shaven head candle on the daily chart which indicates participants are selling from higher level.
Nifty has formed Bearish Engulfing Pattern on daily chart which indicates trend reversal.
We may see further weakness in market.
Nearest support will be 21986 level with resistance of 22381 level.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
GOLD → Bears are around. The fall may continue, but....FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is under selling pressure amid the global bull market. Earlier, the price updated the high to 2150, after which it formed a rather strong conglomerate of bearish patterns.
Last trading week, the market rattled everyone's nerves. And the reason for that was the incompetence of the Fed as a structure that has a huge influence on the market. The paradox of the Fed this week was that Fed Chairman Jeremy Powell gave a strong pattern on Tuesday that they are discussing rate cuts and are ready to do so in the future. As a consequence, an aggressive reaction is forming in the market in the form of a bullish momentum of 3%. And on Friday, one of the Fed's representatives, Williams, said that they are not even going to consider this issue anytime soon. He also added that the Fed is seriously ready to raise rates if necessary. the market reacts with strong sell-offs of $300 or 1.5%.
The price is testing one of the strong support areas and from the technical analysis point of view, there is a chance to see a rebound and a retest of the local resistance before a further decline.
In the coming week it is worth paying attention to the following news, the data on which can also determine the medium-term outlook for the market:
GDP QoQ, Initial Jobless Claims, Philadelphia FED MI
Core DGO, CORE PCE
Based on the fundamental data from last week, there are strong indications that we should expect the TVC:DXY to strengthen from the market opening and in the medium term. Consequently, after a small correction, gold may continue its decline towards the imbalance zones, which are obviously still of interest to the market maker.
The medium-term target may be the support area below 1975. The market may test the support of the global price channel before further growth. At the moment, the priority of forces is for the bulls, as there are a number of nuances and patterns that point to this.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDJPY SHORT ANALYSISOANDA:NZDJPY
Overall bias on NZDJPY is bearish with the daily, 4h and 1h confirming my bias. Price broke below 88.962 4h support and made a retest as 88.962 4h resistance with a bearish engulfing candlestick on the 30 min and also a break of countertrend structure on the 15 min being my confirmations to go short on NZDJPY
GBPUSD SELL ANALYSISFX:GBPUSD
Price broke below 1.26229 daily support breaking bullish structure. Price made a pullback and retested as resistance around the resistance area of interest with a bearish engulfing candlestick being my entry confirmation. Take note, today is a fundamental day thus low risk should be used to avoid big losses in case price goes against my bearish bias because of fundamentals today
Bearish Engulfing in Nifty Today.Bearish engulfing candle seen today which is not a good sign. If we get a negative confirmation candle tomorrow to end the week we will see further weakness. The support and resistances on upper and lower side are as under:
Nifty Supports: 19245, 19042, 18890 and finally 18688.
Nifty Resistance: 19775, 19887, 20K+.
Netflix Breaking Major Support Not a Good look Hi guys! This is an Update on Netflix (NFLX) on the 1 day chart.
We are currently at risk of a trend change in the makings due to a breakdown of Major Support.
This is a zoomed in look on the daily timeframe.
But if you look at my previous idea below, notice the Uptrend Channel that Netflix has been following since June 2022.
Todays candle is currently BELOW this Support trendline of the Channel.
Not a good look for Netflix.
But brings in opportunity for take a Short, once confirmation comes in.
Notie also that with the print of the Massive BEARISH Engulfing Candle, we are now below the 21 EMA.
Note the BEARISH Engulfing Candle indicates extreme selling pressure. It shows that the majority of the previous move up to the resistance was sold off by this 1 candle print.
With this daily candle & the engulfing candle it equates to the entirety of that move.
Being BELOW the 21 EMA, tells us declines are likely ahead of us. ALso if we are where we are with the close of our current daily candle, we will confirm BELOW 21 EMA.
Thus supporting probability of further declines.
Look to the Black Horizontal Line below us for our current target for this price decline.
BUT if we can somehow move back ABOVE the channel, by the end of the week before CONFIRMATION. This could support the probability of us resuming our Uptrend.
__________________________________________________________________________________
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Stay tuned for more updates on NFLX in the near future.
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DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
IWM Bearish Engulfing +5 CandleThe IWM ETF which tracks the Russel 2000 index put in an outside reversal, or bearish engulfing, candle today which eclipsed the 6 prior daily candles. When the body of a price candle completely engulfs the prior candle it is called a bearish engulfing candle. Since todays candle also engulfed the 5 candles prior to yesterdays it is called a bearish engulfing plus 5 candle(BE+5), for a total of 6 candles that were eclipsed by todays candle. The more candles that are engulfed by an outside reversal candle the more bearish the move and outlook.
Raising your stop-losses and/or taking some short bets against the market isn't a bad move here on an outside reversal day like today was, especially if markets close down going into the weekend. If markets close red on a Friday, they tend to close red the following Monday as well.
SPY Bearish Engulfing +2 CandleWhat started off as a strong move higher today with a slight gap at the open, ended with price filling the opening gap and finishing in the red for the day. In the process, SPY has put in an outside reversal, or bearish engulfing candle, which eclipsed the three prior daily candles. When the body of the current daily candle engulfs the previous daily candle it is called an engulfing candle, and on a down day like today it is a bearish engulfing candle. Since price also eclipsed the two daily candles prior to yesterdays candle it is called a bearish engulfing plus two candle(BE2). The more candles that are engulfed the more negative or bearish you can consider the candle and outlook. This BE2 also occurred near the apex of a rising wedge pattern which tend to be bearish patterns on their own that lead to downside moves in price.
Be careful out there, raising your stop-loss orders on long trades isn't a bad idea here, especially if you are in the green and want to lock in some profit.
Negative Closing and a bearish engulfing on daily chart. Negative Closing and a bearish engulfing on daily chart. Also in the hourly parallel channel 50 hours EMA is broken. In addition to this mid-channel support is also broken. This smell of weakness in the bull rally and perhaps a second signal of bear waking up from their comma. From the data available weekly closing below 19298 can change the trend of Bull rally and totally awaken the bears. Till we are above 19298 we can consider this fall as correction and consolidation within the Bull Rally.
Nifty Supports: 19641, 9578, 19507, 19373. and 19298.
Nifty Resistance: 19743, 19823, 19874 and 19939.
🐻📉 AUDUSD Alert! Bearish Bat Pattern Signals Sharp Correction 🚨 Attention traders! We have an exciting bearish setup on AUDUSD that you don't want to miss. Our previous bullish setup on AUDUSD was a resounding success, allowing us to secure profitable gains. Now, it's time to switch gears and capitalize on a new opportunity as the tide turns bearish. 📉🦅 The formation of a bearish bat pattern, coupled with two strong confirmations, suggests a sharp correction is on the horizon.
The bearish bat pattern has emerged, indicating a trend reversal. This harmonic pattern is known for its high success rate and presents an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the downward movement.
confirmation n°1 : Adding to the bearish thesis, the last candlestick has formed a rejection pattern precisely at the resistance level, highlighting significant selling pressure in this area. This optimal entry point allows us to ride the anticipated sharp correction.
confirmation n°2 : Furthermore, the RSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This further supports the bearish setup and increases the probability of a downward move.
To take advantage of this setup, I recommend entering a short position around 0.68775. Our first take profit level is set at 0.67900, which coincides with a liquidity pool where potential support could be found. Our target stands at 0.67000, representing a significant downside potential.
Keep in mind the importance of proper money management. It is essential to respect your risk tolerance and avoid risking more than 2% of your account on any given trade. Stay disciplined and protect your capital. 💰💪
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Bitcoin in MAJOR Trouble?Recently I posted an idea about bitcoin breaking out and running to much higher prices and shortly after, the number 1 cryptocurrency asset attempted to take the first step to doing so. However, there was no follow-through in price action and now Bitcoin finds itself in a very vulnerable position. It is still very bullish in my opinion and I do believe more price action to the upside is coming, but right now Bitcoin has painted several bearish signals on its chart that must be discussed.
One of them being a bearish reversal candle on the daily chart. More specifically referred to as a bearish engulfing candle. They form at areas of resistance and are often validation of weakness in price action such as bearish divergences for one example. There are other bearish reversal candles as well.. this is just one of them.
We also have major weakness in relative strength as we have now confirmed triple bearish divergence on the daily RSI. There is also a strong case for bearish divergence on the weekly timeframe as well. For now it is expected for us to remain in the trend but with all of this major weakness in the market, follow through sell pressure could come at any moment. We are now heading into the weekend, so the price action over the next few days will be unreliable. This could be a good thing as this may give unsure traders time to adjust or hedge their positions.
If and when that breakdown occurs, there are levels of interest that we will discuss. But for now as we head into the weekend, we must simply wait until institutional markets open back up on Sunday evening.
Gold 1D Analysis , Bears comingHello friends.
I saw a three top pattern in 1D chart and a bearish divergence included too.
after the 3rd time price touch 2050 Resistance level , we can see in picture below ,
Buyers couldnt lead price upper and Sellers came in strongly.
So , as you can see in Zoomed Chart , we have a Bearish Engulfing pattern there and
in the main chart , we see a decrease in RSI tops but 3 tops placed in a line.
this means the Trend will weak and the price will Drop.
I think our Swing targets are 1958 (Former Bottom)
and 1933(EMA 50).
Thank you for reading my IDEA.
PLZ share me your opinion.
Have good trades.
<<< LEARN first , then Omit L & EARN >>>
USDJPY high around 143.800The dollar has been in a weak uptrend for the past few hours so I decided to take advantage of some indecision at a high. Price presented a shooting star on the 30minute chart as well as a strong bearish engulfing on the 5min at the exact area needed for a short. This area is exactly where price closed at then was immediately rejected on last Friday (6/23). This retest could be early considering NY session is hours away. Also the lower timeframes haven't began creating lower low yet.