QQQ Bear Flag (Potential Correct Start)Classic trend reversal retracement
-Bear flag directly into one of the last imbalances (on 30m timeframe)
- Breakdown to 393 area very possible in the next month or two
- ~10% drop from current levels, would put QQQ squarely in correction territory
- Upside is that 393 area looks to be a very strong (and fresh) support
Bearish Flag
DXY (dollar index)The dollar index creates a bearish flag after the breakout of the 105.00 level. The market is ready to break the bearish flag because tomorrow is the federal interest rate and Powell's speech a big day. There is also a resistance level at 107.00. If the bearish flag breaks then the market moves toward resistance level.
GOLD Bearish Flag! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a local
Downtrend and the price
Has formed a bearish
Flag pattern and we are
Already seeing a bearish
Breakout so we are
Bearish biased and we
Will be expecting
A further move down
Sell!
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It appears that the metaverse & gaming cryptos are waking up. Just as we are finally seeing mana pump and gala, we are now likewise seeing sand follow suit too as it seems to have finally broken up from the extended descending bear flag it was in for the longest time that I have posted charts about in the past. There are two possible measured move targets for the yellow channel its breaking up from. The dotted pink line represents th target if the slightly lower top trendline is the more valid top trendline of the channel, and the dotted yellow line represents the breakout target for if the highest of the potential top trendlines of the channel is the more valid one. Often times they both end up being validated. The dotted dark bluish purple trendline is the measured move for when sand breaks above the top horizontal bluish purple neckline which is the neckline of the double bottom pattern its currently printing on the chart. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin Bears Roar: Flagging Down to $52K? 🐻📉📉 Bitcoin Analysis: Rejection from Bear Flag Pattern on 4-Hour Chart
📊 Analysis: Bitcoin appears to be rejecting from a bear flag pattern on the 4-hour chart, indicating potential further downside.
💲 Current Price: Bitcoin is priced at $64,100, showing signs of downward pressure.
📉 Measured Move: The measured move of the bear flag pattern points to a target of $52,000, coinciding with a .382 Fibonacci retracement level.
🔍 Invalidation: Invalidation of the bearish scenario would occur if Bitcoin breaks decisively above the upper boundary of the bear flag pattern and establishes a new uptrend.
🛡️ Risk Management: Implementing risk management strategies such as stop-loss orders and position size management is crucial in volatile market conditions.
🔄 Stay Updated: Market conditions can change rapidly, so it's essential to stay updated on price movements and adjust strategies accordingly.
GBPUSD Update: Potential Bearish Flag Trading Setup IdentifiedTrade Setup:
- Entry: Sell at retest of trendline
- Target: Extended towards Bullish Butterfly Pattern completion zone
- Trade Management: Utilizing upsize trade strategy
Analysis:
While many analysts see consolidation, I've identified a potential Bearish Flag trading setup on GBPUSD. The series of lower highs on the 4-hourly chart indicates a possible continuation of the bearish trend. I'm waiting for a retest on the trendline to execute a short position on GBPUSD. Using my trade management system, I plan to implement an upsize trade strategy to extend the target towards the completion zone of the Bullish Butterfly Pattern.
Trade Management:
- Upsize Trades: Leveraging trade management system for increased position size.
- Entry: Selling at the retest of the trendline.
- Targets: Extending targets towards the completion zone of the Bullish Butterfly Pattern.
Risk Management:
- Prioritize risk management to safeguard capital.
- Adjust position sizes according to risk tolerance and trading strategy.
Your Thoughts?
Do you also see potential for a Bearish Flag setup on GBPUSD? Share your insights and trading strategies in the comments below!
👍 Like if you found this update helpful! Remember to conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions. Trading involves risk.
$QQQ Day Trade breakdown As a day trader one of our best trigger levels come from the previous day low/closing price. Well this happened to be both here on QQQ and we have a steep correction into $443 level which was the previous day low/close. We see the bear flag form back into resistance and we look to take it short here for a move further to the downside.
AUDJPY - 1H - Bearish Flag - Short EntryIn this chart we have observed a Bearish Flag, but we also spotted that there is a Bullish Divergence and candle sticks are making HH & HL which indicate it is a Bullish trend.
There might be a chance of UPTREND, but we are following Bearish FLAG and we have executed entry & exit points accordingly.
Mana in a similar bear flag as gala was.Just like my previous idea I posted on gala, mana is also currently inside a similar bear flag where the flag is also a descending channel. The full breakdown target for this would be negative 1.80 so I think it’s more likely this bear flag breaks upward…the descending channel on its own usually breaks up so often when you see it as the flag of a bear flag it can increase the likelihood the bear flag breaks upward instead of down like they usually do. It could still break downward and not hit the full 100% breakdown target of course but I think its more likely it could break upward…it could also only reach the smaller bullish breakout target of just the channel instead of breaking up the length of the bearflag’s pole. Will have to wait and see….unlike gala we aren’t seeing any super significant bullish volume candles on mana yet, it also has zero candles above its channel as of yet…but that could change in the very near future. It has slightly less breakout potential as gala currently has as it would only go roughly 3x if it reached the top price target where gala could as much as 5x. *not financial advice*
SNOW - buy the disappointment discount sale LONGSNOW beat the earnings estimates by 150% and slightly exceeded revenue estimates. Price
dropped in printing a bear flag in a 22% move yesterday at the close. Buying from the bottom
has begun and I have the idea that I should join. My pre-earnings play was closed going into the
earnings in the high liquidity that proceeds it. I got my ask price on that position. The chart
shows today's buyng volume and volatility. On the slow resumption of bullish price action, I have
taken a long trade from the near bottom after this morning's reversal and call options
ITM for the July monthy.
Bearish flag pattern Price will potentially move towards taping into the 90% Rule area to retrace and move down towards taping into the previous weekly support area, which will form an area of equal daily lows. Price is potentially going to shoot up towards or close to target area, if not, price will move further down to the lowest weekly support area. Enter at 15min timeframe to maximise RR.
Paytm - Royal Trapping of Retailers (or) Real Bullish Reversal ?Paytm is Hot News for the past couple of weeks on all Social Media channels for obvious reasons. While RBI and Central Govt turned their back on Paytm, the once famed as Hero is now on the verge of becoming Zero.
Right from the IPO valuations, Paytm is not in good books of many investors and has been losing its value continuously from 2000 all the way down to 300 range now
While Many Retailers who are Trapped in there - looking up to the almighty for a saving hand, many feel the new about Axis bank taking up the role of Paytm Payments Bank is that Light at end of the Tunnel.
Do the Technicals support this view ? or is it one more ploy by the Biggies to Royally Trap the Already Beaten down Retail investors ? Let's review below
Technical Analysis:
Monthly Chart: Right from IPO the price fell, then moved upside inside a Parallel Channel forming a Bearish Flag pattern then Breakdown of Flag which is so bad
Weekly Chart: We published the Weekly Chart on Feb 14 - clearly calling Paytm to be a dangerous script to invest in right now. It Broke-down from the 2 Year Upward Parallel Channel and broke the Last 3 Rays of Hope (the 3 Support lines). It was a Classic case of Breakdown-Retest-Fall
Daily Chart: On the Daily chart - for the past 3 days, Paytm is hitting 5% UC, but where is it heading ? Heading right to the Previous Bounce Zone - 395.
Now Why is 395 so significant ? Its not just the Resistance Now - but rather on the Fibonacci Retracement scale - 395 is sitting right at 0.382 Retracement Level. Remember Fibonacci Retracement rule ?
If any stock happens to Retrace to any one of Fibonacci Levels and It also happens to be a Support / Resistance then it adds more power to the Support or Resistance. In this case, its a Resistance. If the Price gets rejected from 395, then again its the classic case of Breakdown-Retest-Fall
What is Safe Zone now ?
Anyone Already Holding Paytm - continue to Hold and wait for confirmation of Rejection / Breakout of Resistance at 395 zone
New Entries must strictly be avoided at this stage - No Bottom Fishing - else you wont survive to have your Sunday Fish Fry :)
The Bullish Confirmation starts only after successful and decisive Break-out of all 4 Resistances (395, 440, 480, 525). Until then - it is still Bearish
Play Safe..Advice Caution...No New Entries
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ROKU falls after an earnings beat dissapointmentROKU on the 30 minute chart had a sell-off after earnings which were okay not great. Traders
reacted. The question is whether it was an overreaction. I think it was. I am looking for a slow
recovery over a week or more to at least the standard retracement level which I will call 98 as
drawn by the tool. further upside targets are 101 and 104 based on VWAP bandlines.
Buying on the discount is sometimes an excellent tool to reduce risk and use the reversion to
the mean to best advantage and seize an overreaction in the market.
TSLA Reports and goes for a deeper dive SHORTOn this 4H Chart, I find good cause to continue my lot of 10 put options on TSLA. TSLA has
dropped another $ 25.00 per share price during the earnings report time frame. While the
overall long time frame supertrend is up, TSLA is presently in a sustained pullback likely due
to significant fundamental and economic factors. The antics of its CEO demanding an award of
more shares so he can launch a big AI initiative within TSLA is not helpful. He has taken a big
haircut but he can easily afford it.
In the analysis, TSLA has put in a bear flag which suggests more bullishness in the continuation.
The ceiling of resistance right now is the POC line of the volume profile at 230. If price can
get through that then 265 at the top of the volume profile's high volume area might be
achievable. A bottom may be the second lower VWAP band at 175 which could be reachable
in the latter part of the upcoming week. Weakness in the Chinese economy is a heavy weight
on TSLA right now. Bright days ahead but some pain and chaos in the meanwhile
Trade plan: I will hold the puts until I see a reversal pattern on the 30-60 minute charts and
then close them. If no reversal pattern in the upcoming week, for purposes of time decay
complications I will roll the puts out another 28 days. Overall, TSLA continues to pay traders
well some of them might buy a TSLA to return the favor with the profits received especially
if there are more price cuts on the horizon that do not adversly effect margins and fec\deral
subsidies are extended they would be an uplift to sales, revenue and outlook overall.
PLCE crash and flush on pre-emptive warning from executives LONGPLCE as shown on the 30 minute time frame had a "waterfall" event when a bad news catalyst
hit the wires. Executives announced earnings issues one month out from the report due about
March 14th. Maybe is real and may not. The are no filings available to show any insider sell-
off unlike what is going on at General Dynamics at its all-time high. Could those executives
push traders to bail on the stock, force it to crater and then buy even more at the bottom or
have friends and family help them if they are well informed ? Who knows ? Does the CEO of
TSLA have a plan to help share prices drop so when his new compensation plan is set up he
gets even more shares and price rises to make his unrealized losses magically disappear.
Is there manipulation in the market ? Is this a case of it ?
Anyway enough said. PLCE is in early reversal and recovery. It has crossed the moving averages
on the chart and there is a massive volume of buyers scooping from the bottom in the
closing Friday afternoon. I was one of them. My shares and options are few. ( compared with
the CEO/COO/CFO guys at Children's Place.- they typically buy 100,000 shares at a pop - after
all they have the confidence of already knowing what is going on inside) I typically want to
see 2-3X relative volume to put on a big position. This is 4X. Seems the risk is low compared
with a 60% upside back to price levels before the news. Price has already recovered partially.
My stock trade is 5% above break even after less than a day and now has a 3% trail stop so
I don't need to pay attention to it. The call options targeting $19 for March 16th are up 16%
in the first day. I will sell to close a day or two before earnings to hedge my suppositions.
If earnings are as bad as these executives say. The call options will plummet.
My alternative is to keep the call options running but hedge them with a single put option
below ITM for a strike OTM expiring the same day setting up a strangle to take much of the risk
way. In that case, the call options would still fall with a bad earnings miss but the put option
will provide insurance buffering the loss. It remains to be seen how this plays out and I will
check for SEC filings at intervals. For now, I will chase the relative volume because it is higher
than the typical for similar scenarios. Best of luck to any traders who take this trade.
EURUAD potential sell updateas you guys can see euruad is playing out as planned ill make sure to put analysis i shared a hour or two ago to this description but now ill just waiting on a pull back for confirmation so ill just be watching closely because this move could happen really fast.
*EURAUD/SELL
Bearish Flag on EUR/USD @ D1A bearish flag pattern has formed on the daily EUR/USD chart following a downtrend that lasts since the end of 2023. The pole and the flag's borders are shown with the yellow lines. The stop-loss level (the red line at 1.07953) is set to the highest point of the flag area. The take-profit level (the green line at 1.06210) is set to the pole's length subtracted from the stop-loss level. I will open this short position only if the currency pair closes significantly below the flag's lower border.
Potential Bear Flag?? - EJHere I have EUR/JPY on the 4Hr Chart!
Ever Since the beginning of the sight of the Double Top Reversal Pattern on the Weekly Timeframe, Price for EJ has been slowly forming what looks to be a Bearish Channel!
Now over the weekend of Jan. 19th - 21st, Price crested inside the Channel and made a strong decline signaling the Buying Power has waned allowing Bearish pressure to come in and take over!!
Now if my Bearish Bias turns out correct, we will be looking at a potential Trend Continuation pattern called a Bear Flag!!
The caution area price must battle with will be the price range 158.580 - 157.950 acting as support currently but could potentially become RESISTANCE IF BROKEN!
*For Prediction to be correct we must first see a VALID BEARISH BREAK of this pattern with a VALID RETEST!
Fundamentally this week:
EUR - Clear
JPY - Clear
Oil Remains Channeled!Here I have USOIL on the 4Hr Chart!
The beginning of this week seen what was a Fake-Out of the Bearish Break of this Bullish Channel!
Now typically in this case, a Bullish Channel preceded by a Strong Downtrend move signals a Trend Continuation pattern in the potential form of a Bear Flag!
With this possible trade idea, my expectation is that we look for a VALID BREAK to the DOWNSIDE!!
BUT there is always the possibility Oil was able to find enough Support after having visited the 68 - 67 Support Area!!
With that being said, Lets see which way OIL BREAKS?!
SEIUSDTSEIUSDT is in strong bearish trend and also form bearish flag pattern. Recently the instrument has break through important support zone.
Now the price is trading within the bearish flag and seems like it getting ready to break it.
Will the sellers took benefits from these bearish confluences?