Bearish Flag
Bearish Continuation?? - EJHere I have EUR/JPY on the Daily Chart!
Ever since price made its High on Nov' 15th, it has been in a decline.
With current Price Action making a series of Higher Lows into Higher Highs all while the RSI is below 50 leads me to believe we are looking at a very convincing continuation pattern called a Bear Flag!!
With the Bear Flag, we suspect Price will give us a Solid Bearish Break below the Support Leg of the Rising Channel to continue LOWER!
Strengthening my Bearish Bias is the Flattening of the 200 EMA with Price working LOWER out of the Consolidation Zone and the Interaction of the EMA with price showing strength possibly switching!
*Still waiting for Break and Close BELOW 200 EMA to confirm*
Be Aware! Price is still playing within the Parameters of Consolidation so I've marked the potential reversal area as the Support Zone.
Fundamentally this week:
EUR - Holiday (Mon) PMI (Wed) CPI (Thur)
JPY - Holiday (Mon)
*Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!
-Pattern Prediction-
**If Price Breaks and Closes above Rising Channel, Pattern INVALIDATED!
**If Price Breaks and Closes below Rising Channel, Pattern CONFIRMED!
RAREUSDTRAREUSDT is in strong bearish trend and also form bearish flag pattern. Recently the instrument has break through important support zone.
Now the price is trading within the bearish flag and seems like it getting ready to break it.
Will the sellers took benefits from these bearish confluences?
Seizing Opportunity: GBPJPY Unveils Bearish Momentum on 4H ChartThe GBPJPY currency pair is currently exhibiting a discernible bearish flag pattern on the 4-hour time frame. Noteworthy in this context is the presence of a bearish divergence, adding an additional layer of significance to the technical analysis. Consequently, our strategy entails initiating a trade position upon the confirmed breakout of the bearish flag, anticipating a downward trajectory in line with the established bearish momentum.
AUDNZD: Bear Flag SetupThe AUD is forming a Bearflag against the NZD on the Daily as the RSI cracks below the Mid-Line, if it plays out we could see the bottom half of the range soon.
It also should be noted that the NZD has outperformed a lot of big currencies recently such as the CAD and USD so it would be somewhat expected for the AUD to underperform against it.
I'm going to try this againPrice is retesting the broken support. We have here several bearish patterns (see my previous post lines below) and the stock need much more for a come back. It might try to break the resistance but I don't think is going to make it. If my puts expire out of the money I'll buy more and try again.
Money Making Opportunities in EURUSDEURUSD is currently navigating a weaker bullish trend on the weekly chart, adding an interesting layer to the market dynamics.
On the daily chart, a bearish flag pattern setup unfolds, creating an intriguing scenario. Furthermore, the 1-hourly chart reveals a bullish bat pattern, while the 4-hourly chart showcases a bearish bat pattern.
In the week ahead, I'm poised to engage in whichever trading setup comes to fruition first.
Now, I'm keen to hear about your trade plan. Do you carry any trend biases, and if so, what factors influence them? Your insights matter—please share them below!
If Solana hits full target it will gain 358% from recent bottomMany cryptos are testing the breakout up from a bear flag right now (gala, mana, qnt to name a few). Many of these bear flags flag is also a descending channel. Their flags seem most valid on a weekly chart…I just took a look today at solana and sure enough it also formed a bear flag with a descending channel for a flag, but it is already way further along in its breakout than many of the others. If it reaches the full measured move target which is the length of the flag pole than it will have made 358% gains from the bottom. Also the fact that it has clearly broken upward from its bear flag should increase the likelihood of the other alts currently in the same pattern breaking upward from theirs as well…of course this is not always the case….there has been plenty of times in the past when the entire market was forming cup and handles and only 4-5 of the cup and handles broke up and reached their targets before the rest failed…failures like that usually only occur after we have been in an uptrend for awhile, so since this would be a reversal breakout from the current downtrend it increases the likelihood that most of the patterns should trigger since the bullish momentum is only just now getting started. A good early indicator will be if solana hits the full 100% target. *not financial advice*
Potential Bullish and Bearish SetupsThis week, GBPAUD introduces an element of confusion into the FX market.
On the Daily Chart, two opposing trading setups vie for attention. There's the Bearish Flag Pattern, offering a shorting opportunity, yet simultaneously, a Type2 Bullish Fib3 Bat Pattern emerges. With the right filter, one can discern which trading setup is likely to be the more profitable choice.
For those inclined towards a shorting opportunity, the Bearish Bat Pattern on the 1-hourly chart presents a viable trading opportunity.
Now, it's decision time. What's your pick? Your insights matter. Please share your perspective below!
Potential Retracement Week AheadThe overall setup for EURUSD leans towards a Weaker Bullish stance. However, given the impact of Friday's NFP Candle, I anticipate a series of correction moves in the upcoming week. Therefore, I'll be ready to execute whichever trading strategy emerges.
Potential Strategies:
Daily Chart - Bearish Flag Pattern:
The Potential Bearish Flag Pattern is nearing the sell zone. You can opt to wait for candlestick confirmation, possibly during Tuesday or Wednesday's opening. Alternatively, consider heading to lower timeframes to await a double tops setup before entering a short position.
Support Retest - 1-hourly Chart:
Trend traders might want to keep an eye on the market's retest of the support level on the 1-hourly chart, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
Now, the crucial question: Which side of the chart aligns with your trading strategy? I'm eager to hear your perspective. Please share your insights below!
Simon Property Group: Bear Flag into Bearish BAMMSimon Property Group is going to close the month below a Bear Flag as the RSI breaks down and the MACD crosses bearishly.
If this Bear Flag plays out, it will begin to push SPG below the B point of this potential harmonic BAMM, which would only complete once SPG reaches the 0.886 at around the $47.30 level. SPG is simply yet another REITs play that I will be on the lookout for a major correction in.
ETH's Nested Flags: Bull Flag within a Bear FlagPrimary Chart: Weekly Candle Chart of ETH/USD with Competing Flag Scenarios
Longer-Term Analysis
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD has been largely in a trading range since making its low in June 2022. Yes, some of the moves within that range have been quite substantial. The move off the June 2022 low to the early August 2022 high was about +130.59% higher. The next leg higher from the early November 2022 low to the April 2023 high was about a +99% move. In between those moves was a substantial -47.29% downdraft. (Downdrafts may have quite a smaller percentage because the starting point begins much higher than the starting point for an up move.)
But big volatility, huge moves, don't guarantee a strong trend either way. A stock can chop up and down in a volatile way while its overall progress remains relatively insignificant given the volatility and moves. Consider the 1-year uptrend on the Primary Chart. The trend does not form a powerful, steep upward slope, moving sharply higher for many weeks consecutively like other charts we have come to see in recent months, e.g., NVDA, AAPL.
Instead, the trend has largely been sideways with a modest uptrend with only a gradual incline despite the big moves within this well-defined channel. This could be a bear flag, though that is not yet confirmed. It's a scenario in any case that should be kept in mind on a break of the upward trendline from June 2022 lows.
1. Bear-Flag Scenario: Chart A (also shown on the primary chart)
Notice how the VWAPs confirm the largely sideways ranging action. The VWAP from the all-time high and the VWAP from 2022 lows have been containing the price action YTD in 2023. Despite the gentle uptrend slope, the anchored VWAP from the all-time high reminds us of a more dynamic and flexible measure of trend, which is down from the all-time high in 2021.
2. Anchored VWAP from All-Time High: Chart B
The anchored VWAP from the all-time high remains formidable to price. Notice is power in resisting price up until now. However, the last rejection did not send price to new lows. This confirms the choppy sideways thesis for now. While the dark-blue VWAP from the ATH did reject price in April 2023, price has remained well above the anchored VWAP from the major June 2022 low. Currently, the ATH-anchored VWAP lies at $2,038. A close above this level suggests at least further upside in the near term. Traders of all time frames should keep this area in mind—it's sort of like a super-highway. You don't want to run out in the middle of it without looking carefully both ways.
The measured-move area is also shown here. Note that this is a logarithmic chart, so the measured move is somewhat higher than on a linear chart. This post will attempt to display measured moves on both.
3. Three Anchored VWAPS from Key Pivots: Chart C
The anchored VWAPs on this chart confirm the consolidation thesis discussed above. The VWAPs are anchored to key swing lows and highs since the all-time high. NOtice how the VWAPs from these various pivots have been compressing and flattening for months. This signifies another major trend move is likely to occur when this long-term consolidation completes. Many hope it will be an upward move back to highs. SquishTrade is less confident of that conclusion given inverted yield curves (see prior posts on this); however, over the coming weeks, maybe months, choppy to somewhat higher prices can occur.
4. Triangle Patterns within Triangle Patterns: Chart D
Triangles are consolidation patterns. The fact that we see triangle patterns within triangle patterns supports the idea that this 1-year channel is potentially consolidative of the move that preceded it. No guarantees, but that seems to be a logical inference. Some might counter that this is a major "cup base" though others may struggle to see anything resembling something that might hold one's tea. We'll see. Note: This is a linear chart, with a measured move based on the linear scaling.
5. Triangle pattern on a Logarithmic Chart: Chart E
This chart shows a triangle on a logarithmic scale. So now, switching to log scale doesn't necessarily change the thesis just yet. The measured move for the log scale gives a 1-year measured move off of June 2022 lows around $2467. If we extend the measured move to a 1.272 projection of the first leg off the June lows, then it runs up around $3000.
Long-term view summarized: As long as the uptrend from June 2022 lows holds, as well as the VWAP from that same bar, price can continue to remain supported, i.e., not crashing, sideways, rallies and dips within the defined ranges. In SquishTrade's view, $2,400 - $3000 is likely the maximum level ETH may achieve between now and the likely recession foretold by the yield curves. But higher-for-longer monetary policy in major European and North American countries may keep the ceiling even lower than that. Caution is warranted unless / until certain persistent (and 40-year record) yield curve inversions have proven that they finally gave a false signal for the first time ever.
Shorter-Term Commentary
Directional traders may be disappointed in the coming 2-3 weeks. A flag within a flag suggests more choppy price action overall—at least until a breakout of either occurs. The smaller flag may breakout first to the upside and lead us to the upper edge of the channel. The larger flag may breakout to the downside, and lead us to new lows. But neither has happened just yet. So price action for now may respect the ranges that are in play—both horizontal ranges and diagonal ones (channels). But it appears that price could largely could remain rangebound from a broader perspective for the coming weeks.
Conclusion
Traders and investors love a major directional move. It sparks adrenaline (maybe) and a combination of dreams / hopes or fears / frustration. Some traders wait eagerly at various levels to fade the move (long or short) once it has started to progress in earnest. Others who may have timed a good entry may be busy counting their profits, while trying to calm down enough to figure out a proper exit, and writing on their foreheads a reminder to "move the stop to breakeven." And still others may be sitting back patiently on the sidelines for months or years and hoping for an ideal capitulatory low after the dust has started to settle between buyers and sellers who may finally seem to have exhausted themselves.
In short, the confusion and choppiness of sideways to slightly upward price action is merely the market doing price discovery between all sorts of players including long-term underwater buyers who bought above 3500 and keep hoping the price will rise just enough to make them whole (increased supply), long-term holders who are true believers in the holding (reduced supply unless emotions shake them out), short sellers (supply and potential demand when a squeeze starts), derivatives traders (supply and/or demand due to hedging flow), intraday traders, scalpers, and, let's face it, some gamblers too. In general, the market action is a device for transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient, according to one investing legend, Warren Buffett. But sometimes the patient can be the short-term trader and the impatient can be the long-term investor—because a long-term investor may lack the patience to enter or exit properly, and a short-term trader may have the patience and discipline to execute some excellent swing trades, provided risk is managed and entries and exits are well-planned, well-timed and well-executed.
Minor disclaimer: This post is in no way advocating any particular investing or trading strategy. Short-term trading and long-term investing can both be either devastating or profitable (or somewhere in between those extremes) to the person engaging in it.
And thanks for reading this and for your encouragement and support.
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Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed.
Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
Reversal Bearish Flag pattern in GNFCGujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 On 1week Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Bearish Flag Pattern.
📈 It can give movement upto the Reversal Final target of Below 562-.
📈 There have chances of breakdown of Resistance level too.
📈 After breakdown of Resistance level this stock can gives strong downside rally upto below 142-.
📈 Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss Above 738+.
Double top retestingI'm buying puts here expiring 11/03 strike 120. I think is going down very hard by the end of this week and the next one. Usually bearish flags push the price down very fast and on top of that we have a double top. You may want to close almost all your positing before earnings on the 11/01.
IWM: Breaking Down From A Bear Flag Visible on the MonthlyThe Russell 2000 has broken down from a Bear Flag that is visible on the monthly timeframe; at the same time, the RSI is breaking below trend and the MACD has flipped Bearish. If this goes like last time, it will result in a deep bearish retrace, perhaps all the way down to the $70s or even the $50s. One thing to keep in mind is that the Russell is heavily linked to Finacial Stocks and Banks, so this Bearish Setup here is likely more indicative of what's to come for the financial sector, including Banks, REITs, and other Services, than anything else.
BTC Professional Analysis on $Bitcoin Weekly #NFAMake it or break it moment is right here.
40k+ breaks channel or 9k if failure here. Just like the old-school game of pong, once that ball bounces at the top and doesn't break whatever it touched, it goes in the other direction. Bitcoin doesn't break up here, it breaks down to Goblin-town aka bottom of channel in blue.
Navigating Market Turbulence: Unveiling the Bearish Flag Pattern
In the world of technical analysis, patterns often provide valuable insights into potential market movements. One such pattern, the bearish flag, is a vital tool for traders seeking to identify and capitalize on bearish trends. In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore the bearish flag pattern, uncovering its characteristics, formation, and implications. With real-world examples, you'll gain the knowledge to spot this pattern and make informed trading decisions in bearish market conditions.
Demystifying the Bearish Flag Pattern
What is a Bearish Flag Pattern? 🚩
The bearish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that occurs during a downtrend. It resembles a flag on a flagpole, hence its name. This pattern suggests a brief consolidation or pause in the downtrend before the price resumes its downward trajectory.
Key Characteristics of a Bearish Flag
1. Prior Downtrend: The bearish flag pattern forms after a notable downtrend, indicating bearish sentiment in the market.
2. Flagpole: The flagpole is the initial sharp decline in price that precedes the flag's formation. It represents the strong selling pressure.
3. Flag Formation: Following the flagpole, there is a period of consolidation where the price moves in a horizontal or slightly upward range. This forms the flag itself and indicates a temporary pause in the downtrend.
4. Volume: Ideally, the volume should decline during the flag formation, reflecting a decrease in trading activity.
5. Breakout: The bearish flag is confirmed when the price breaks below the lower boundary of the flag, resuming the downtrend.
Bearish Flag in a Stock
Bearish Flag in a Forex Pair
The bearish flag pattern is a valuable tool for traders seeking to navigate bearish market conditions. By understanding its characteristics and monitoring its formation, traders can identify potential opportunities to profit from the resumption of a downtrend. However, like all technical patterns, it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis to make well-informed trading decisions. The bearish flag pattern is a powerful addition to any trader's toolkit for analyzing and interpreting market dynamics. 📉🚩
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AMZN bear flag. Must touch white TL before turning bullish. ~120This is a classic bear flag and trendline rejection on the daily.
There is no floor for AMZN buyers to keep the price up here.
Next floor and support is the white TL.
We also saw NASDAQ:AMZN breakout under a long term trend here. 120 is just a mini target. They'll tell you markets are turning bullish but give it 1-2 weeks until they start pumping out, "Gov Shutdown Looming" headlines again. Manipulation is common and allows the markets to be liquid. Stop falling for it.
In my opinion, today was a bull trap.
Look at the SP:SPX AMEX:SPY CAPITALCOM:US100 chart:
I said yesterday in a minds post that we'll pump to 430 then re-evaluate. I did not expect 430 to hit the next day. This is crucial and is usually a sign of weakness. Could be wrong.
Welcome to follow & trade with us - many callouts this month including NASDAQ:NVDA @ 415 NASDAQ:TSLA @ 234 NASDAQ:AMD @ 95