SPY Overnight Bounce to trap EARLY BULLS 🤔CME_MINI:ES1! CAPITALCOM:US500 CME_MINI:NQ1! CAPITALCOM:US100
Hourly consolidating in a bear flag. Incomplete bear count and looking for a one more low for Wave 5 followed by a big bounce. Not a buyer of first bounce after the big sell off.
One more low and stop out early bulls and trap late sellers and send it higher.
Bearish Flag
EURUSD: Potential to Extend Bearish Targeting Down to $0.83This is an update and continuation of this previous setup:
EURUSD has reached the full target of the Bearish Butterfly it formed a few months ago and is now sitting below the lows of the range and is back below the macro trend line. There are a few options one can go with now: take full profits, take partial profits, or hold for a macro break down to the big levels below 1 dollar as it goes for a Type 2 Return, which in this case is the Gartley PCZ between 99-98 cents and the Gartley HOP level down at $0.83. I personally will opt to extend my first main TP down to around 99 cents before holding the rest until around 85 cents, as this looks to be the start of a Monthly ABCD BAMM that is confluent with the HOP at $0.83.
If you count with a market crash this one goes firstMonthly timeframe chart. Price is building up a huge bearish flag, it may try another push to the flag resistance (I would open a short then) but it doesn't look good at all for the Russell 2000. Another strategy is to open a small position now and add if price hits the resistance and is rejected or add is price breaks down the flag support in the weekly timeframe. This is a long term trade it could take several weeks to play out. TP at 145 support. SL at 205 level.
ARBUSDTARBUSDT is in strong bearish trend and also form bearish flag pattern. Recently the instrument has break through important support zone.
Now the price is trading within the bearish flag and seems like it getting ready to break it.
Will the sellers took benefits from these bearish confluences?
Breaking the channelPair is trading just over the bottom of the channel. It tried to push up a few times but was pulled back down at every attempt to go higher (wicked off 3 times). It looks like a bearish flag about to break. Just opened a short position, my SL triggers if a 4H candle CLOSES above the flag.
SOLUSDTSOLUSDT is in strong bearish trend and also form bearish flag pattern. Recently the instrument has break through important support zone.
Now the price is within the flag and seems like it getting ready to break it. Will the sellers took benefits from these bearish confluences
What you guys think of it?
Keeps fallingMultiple bearish patterns. Last week just confirmed a bearish flag and broke an important support at 125. Price may try to test back the broken support now resistance at 125, but I really don't think is going any higher, too much bearish pressure. You can open a small position tomorrow and if it tests back add more. It has a lot of room to go lower. It may also trade sideways for a few days but eventually will fall. Hold it and wait.
Early entry, multiple bearish patternsApparently price is forming a HS after a false break out. It makes sense since the market rejected very hard the first attempt to break up the resistance. Now is accumulating into a bearish flag. I have a short position here, it could open with a gap down any day from now on. I don't want to miss that gap. My short position is moderate and I will add after the break down.
Ethereum - 76% crash to 389 USD! (must see, bear flag)
My analysis shows an impressive crash is prepared on ETH after 427 days of consolidation in this bear flag on the weekly chart! It was a long time, and ETH has been going pretty much sideways. Now we have to expect huge volatility!
The trendline of the bear flag is clearly breaking down with an ABC Elliott wave corrective pattern, which strengthens the bearish bias. It also looks like a wedge, but a wedge should have a 5-wave structure (a leading diagonal Elliott wave pattern). So this is a bearish pattern, and a 76% crash is absolutely coming in the next few months.
You probably don't have too much time to think about what to do with your investments, but consider if you can handle a 76% crash on your spot or futures holdings. My recommendation is to sell, as it's too risky to hold it, and buying cheap ether later in 2024 is definitely juicy!
Now what is the target, and where will the bottom be on ETH? We have a strong confluence at 389 USD and 387 USD because this is the Fibonacci 0.618 level of the previous bull market on the LOG scale and also because this is a 1:1 Fibonacci extension from wave (A) -> wave (B) of the current bear market! What's more, we have a first point of control over the volume profile, which you can see on the left side of the chart.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
As you know from my previous ideas, I expect Bitcoin to hit 10k next year. What would be really weird if BTC dropped and ETH rose? So 10k on BTC and 389 on ETH are my targets.
I also checked more altcoins, such as DOGE, SHIBA, XRP, and LTC, and none of them looked bullish. The best is to stay in USD.
Write a comment with your opinion, because I look forward to it!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
ETHUSD: Building Up to a Minimum 66% DeclineEthereum, after having been denied at the local ABCD PCZ, has begun to set itself up to continue its macro move down. All it has to do is break below the $1800 level, and that would be a breakdown of the ascending channel and the weekly 55EMA and 89EMAs. The PPO has already broken below trend and confirmed a lower high and is now working on breaking below the 0 line. The expected target would be the 0.886 retrace, but given the log setups that I've posted in the past, it could go much lower as those log setups are still valid.
Until DXY beats this price, this is just a bear flag!Traders,
The dollar continues its journey down. So, is my H&S pattern still intact? Well, on the weekly it is. Does that count? I think so.
It's not like the dollar has turned the corner here and growing stronger. We are still very much in a downtrend. Even that right shoulder is still valid. And, like I said, on a weekly chart that neckline still holds. Once broken, the dollar is in trouble.
What would invalidate my H&S pattern? Well, if the dollar beats that 50 day moving average and then proceeds to move up and above that 103.53 level with confirmation, I might be wrong and would have to re-evaluate at that point. Until this time, the DXY has formed a classic bear flag and I expect weakness to continue. The weaker the dollar, the more dollars it takes to buy a thing. The more dollars it takes to buy a thing, the higher the prices will go to reflect what is needed. This includes stocks.
Stay tuned as we keep our eyes on this unfolding event.
Stew
EURCAD I Bearish flag breakoutWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!