Bearish Gartley
BTC/USD - Obstacles AheadBitcoin is still very bearish as you can see from this chart above. The latest higher low on the 4H chart provides a glimpse of hope for the bulls but this needs to be followed up by breaking above downtrend resistance lines and horizontal resistance levels shown on the chart.
14,000 will likely to be the most significant level to break because it is where a confluence of bearish factors come together: bearish Gartley completion, previous horizontal resistance, previous downtrend line. It is also an important big even number.
Of course, we can reverse even sooner. The lower downtrend line seems to be a strong obstacle on its own. This aligns with the 11,900 horizontal resistance level. Thus, we can retest the double bottom before testing the resistance levels above. What we know for sure is that price needs to break these levels if it is to go higher. When that happens, I don't know.
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$BTCUSD fall is not over yet$BTC fall is not over yet in my opinion.
The cross will likely turn bull temporarily to let the market brethe but will soon revert into the third wave and the cross could lose another 20% or more till it reaches its next support level around 8000$.
From there, even if it is too early for a "prediction", seems like the market could return bull since the chart is forming a sort of bearish Gartley.
Foundamentally speaking seems like governments (China, South Korea and even France) are more and more trying to "hard" regulate the crypto market and especially exchanges. This is not entirely a bad thing if you think about it. Putting your money at stake in highly unregulated exchanges where liquidity is not granted, may put investor at an even higher risk than investing in an highly volatile market. Although big players (professionals) are into the market we need to take into consideration that lots of small unexperienced investors joined it given the hype around such a commodity. There are lots of money at stake in the market and a crash or the failure of some exchanges can create a contagion effect that will hurt the economy as a whole. Be advised.
As usual, this is not a trading advise, just my idea and analysis.
AUDCHF short potentialBearish Gartley in the making on the 1-hour timeframe. Huge divergence in play and trendline breakout could create a significant move down.
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Bearish Gartley Formation 15min ChartAs price action is in consolidation right now the fight is on to either make a higher high and push up to the 1.38500 resistance level or start its bearish rotational pull back.
We could possibly have a bearish Gartley formation currently at market forming which could also be a signal that there may be a turn in trend
Entry 1.38147
Stop's 1.38260
Target 1 1.37965
Target 2 1.37845
BTCUSD correcting after a bearish gartleyThe daily market for BTCUSD , after forming the bearish Gartley I reported in a previous chart, is correcting.
If the figure completes "by the book", the target price should be around 11000$. It is indeed unlikely to reach that level given the volatility and the tumultuous market so I traced that level as a strong support.
It seems more likely that the drop will stop at an intermediate support (dotted line) to possibly revert the trend and become bullish.
Harmonic Pattern in Wave 2 As I am plotting out possible senarios to this complex correction on the 240M Chart, I am having to get into the lower time frames to help me sort out these movements.
I see on the higher time frame (240M) :
-Impulse completed.---Then price makes a wicked irregular Flat, breaking the top of wave 5 and falling pretty far.
-Price then rose to the 61.8% fib of the complete initial fall. This happen over a series of complex correction combinations.
-Inside this correction seems to be a harmonic pattern (gartley?) I used the wave C of the first irregular flat as the impulse wave. (see Gartley? post)
This puts the end of harmonic pattern at B of a higher degree. Which means wave C is coming..
ON 15 MIN TF
- we have completed 5 wave move down in a lower degree.
-an ABC correction up and I am looking to complete another harmonic pattern in the same degree.
Note I am learning. I use this as a means to excersise my analysis skills. I can be wrong and invite input.
BTCUSD Bearish Gartley forming?Actually, the trend is bull but on a closer look seems like a bearish Gartley is forming. If so, once the figure is completed on point D ( at a price close to 17800 c.a.), the cross should turn bearish. Completely missed this figure in my previous analysis where I forecasted a bull market only. It is bull but will likely exaust before the 20k level.
BTCUSD Bearish Gartley Pattern Part 2!I've had two trade ideas for the price of one here, not sure what the etiquette is on that so apologies if I'm not doing it right. Bitcoin has risen quite a bit today and is approaching the final point of my Gartley pattern plot. Once it hits D it's time to open a short position or two using the levels above for profit targets and stop loss.
BTCUSD - Bearish Gartley pattern forming - Long to D then shortBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
I previously posted a similar idea, I have now updated the position of C and feel more confident that price will rise to D before reversing on completion of the Gartley pattern. I am publishing this as a long trade, and the TP recommended is at D price level. I will update or add a separate idea to detail the short trade that I will favour if the Gartley pattern completes.