Bearish Trend Line
Bearish Trendlines in Logarithmic Scale... Defeated !I am going to make it very simple in this publication by sticking to the most obvious and unavoidable visual cues.
But I remind you under this description my "Related Idea" that lists my technical indicators.
I reported in a previous publication, there remained a psychological threat:
THE BEARISH TRENDLINES OF THE 2018 BEAR MARKET IN LOGARITHMIC SCALE.
With the bullish breakout of the ascending triangle predicted in my previous publication, this double psychological barrier has been crossed!
We are not immune to a short-term bearish retracement of this green candle along the secondary downtrend (in red), but the new long-term bullish cycle seems to assert itself more and more... to follow (with inevitable waves of Elliott) the proportional fractal of 2015? (that I simplify you here by a simple line), heart of target of my previous publications!
DISCLAIMER: This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Trust your own judgment, do not follow any "prophet".
USDJPY Sell IdeaH4 - Price is nearing the downtrend line and if we didn’t get a valid breakout here, we may then expect the price to respect this trend line and move lower again. continuing bearish divergence.
H1 - We have a critical zone that has formed based on the fibo levels of the cycles and the H4 dynamic resistance.
We may now expect one more push higher from the current zone towards this critical zone and then we may start looking for sells with more bearish evidences.
EURGBP Sell IdeaD1 - Price reached the downtrend line, if we didn’t get a valid breakout here, we may then expect the price to respect this trend line and move lower again.
H1 - We have a critical zone that has formed based on the cycles and the downtrend line.
Price has currently reached this zone, we may now look for possible sell setups in order to join the bears.
SHORT Strong opportunity on GBPJPYFX:GBPJPY reached a critical point today, big resistance at this point as it is an intersection between a downtrend and 50% fibonacci resistance ... we will go down for sure, with an entry on 142.450, a stop loss on at 143.988 (23.60% fibonacci) and a first target at 141.002, a second target at 139.512 and 3rd target at 138.591 ...
AUD/JPY price action, 5 key levels to watchOANDA:AUDJPY
As you can notice recently, price action appears often disconnected with fundamentals. As for example the sharp retracement after the RBA no rate increase announcement or the last retracement in progress despite all news about US-China difficulties to reach a deal.
In other terms, we may say that the Forex market is definitely no longer WYSIWYG (What You See Is What You Get).
For that reason, I am considering very cautiously the current AUD JPY retracement keeping in mind that we will get likely a further impulse in extension to the first one.
% key levels to watch in that 240 minutes chart
USDCHF possible Short opportunityIn the last 2 months the USDCHF has created a Bearish Trendline. The price is now getting close to this Trendline and that sugfgests us that the price might be bouncing down again as it did in the past. Combined with RSI in Overbought condition and the MACD that is starting to form a cross, this makes a great Short opportunity.
AUDUSDAUDUSD - Downtrend Continuation move anticipated from the retracement.
Great opportunity to short the market.
Weekly time frame provides sufficient confluence of the downtrend and retracement raly down opportunity.
4H time frame on the other hand provides entry reason because consecutive bearish candles.
Decent risk/reward ratio with potential with second target.
AUDCAD Sell IdeaD1 - Price reached the downtrend line. If we didn’t get a valid breakout here, we may then expect the price to respect this trend line and move lower again.
H1 - Price broke above the critical zone, potential bearish divergence.
If this turns out to be a false break, we may then start looking for sells with bearish evidences. If this turns out to be a valid breakout and if the price holds above this critical zone then this setup will be invalidated.