Potential Bearish Reversal in BTC/USD Approaching Critical ResisBTC/USD has been on an impressive run, showing resilience and strength as it climbs the charts. However, as we approach significant resistance levels, a keen eye might spot the early signs of a potential shift in momentum. On the daily chart, we are hovering near the R2 pivot point resistance, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8% – a critical juncture for traders.
Technical Analysis:
The price action near the R2 resistance level is beginning to show hints of exhaustion. After a prolonged uptrend, such signals are noteworthy. The R2 level has historically acted as a robust ceiling, and coupled with overextended indicators, it suggests a possible retracement.
The Fibonacci retracement levels, drawn from the significant swing low to the recent swing high, provide a roadmap for potential support levels on a downward move. The 38.2% and 50% retracement levels could act as interim supports, but the target of 28000, close to the 0% retracement level, is where the eyes of bearishly-biased traders are set.
Trading Strategy:
Given the confluence of technical indicators and the reaction at R2, a cautious approach would be to consider short positions, with a clear stop-loss just above the R2 level to mitigate risk. Scaling into the position could be prudent, adding to it if and when we see confirmations of the bearish thesis in the form of bearish candlestick patterns or increasing sell volume.
Risk Management:
It's essential to remember that no prediction is set in stone. Markets can be unpredictable, and external factors can sway the price in either direction. Therefore, maintaining strict risk management protocols is vital. A stop-loss is recommended above the R2 level, and adjusting it according to the price action is crucial.
Conclusion:
While the bull run has been nothing short of extraordinary, all trends must eventually retrace. The current technical setup provides an intriguing opportunity for those with a bearish outlook on BTC/USD. As always, keep an eye on market news and sentiment, as they can quickly alter the technical landscape.
Bearish Trend Line
XAUUSD_13 Oct 2023_Several Reasons to Seek a Sales PositionThis analysis uses daily timeframe , and here are some reasons to support seeking a sales position:
1. Currently XAUUSD in bearish position
2. The price in bearish resistance
3. The price also in fibonacci retracement area 78.6
4. The price has the potential to develop a pattern AB=CD
So, we can wait to seek a sale position like waiting for bearish candlestick pattern.
Notes:
This is not a recomendation to buy or sale, this is my own analysis.
So, all all responsibility is yours.
Thank you.
Ethereum is starting a new bull market! (after 2 years)
After almost 2 years, ETH is starting a new bull market. It's still a great time to buy before ETH reaches 10,000–20,000 USDT per coin!
So why is ETH bullish? To answer this question, we need to use the Elliott Wave theory and chart patterns on the weekly chart. As we can see, we have a strong Elliott Wave nest (1-2-1-2) with a combination of the previous ABC Zig Zag (3-3-3). This combo is indeed powerful! What's more, we can see an ascending triangle at the bottom of the trend, which is an even stronger bullish sign!
You want to buy Ethereum and Bitcoin as soon as possible to earn a lot of money, as the price is still very cheap.
Profits are already insane, so be greedy and enjoy the ride!
What is the profit target? You do not want to sell ETH for less than 10,000 USD per coin, that's for sure. As per my analysis, ETH could reach 20,000 USD in 2025, which you will see in one of my next analyses, so make sure you are following me! But of course, in the short term, we have some strong resistances, such as the 0.618 FIB at 2534 USD. Definitely a good profit target for swing traders.
I really look forward to 2024 and 2025, which will be bullish months! At this moment, probably 95% of traders are gone; they left the crypto space because, of course, they lost money during the previous bear market and were forced to sell their holdings. Some people may say that people should hold strongly and never sell, but if someone has to pay the bills, they are forced to sell it. So it's easy to say, right?
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and privately.
That's my outlook; be bullish and have a nice day!
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Bitcoin - Ready to reach 30k! (watch this trendline)
Bitcoin is bullish and is ready to reach 29167 in the next few days or at the start of October. Of course, 30k will follow, but 29k is a strong resistance, and we should see a pullback from it!
Watch this yellow trendline, which is a gateway to the ultra-huge bull market. Once it breaks, I expect a massive uptrend, but be aware of a possible retest first. Your stop-loss needs to be safe!
So why is the 29167 level of resistance strong? We have the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous downtrend, and we also have a point of control on the volume profile. What's more, it's the start of the fair value gap. I am definitely expecting a pullback from it!
It's always important to do an Elliott Wave analysis because it gives us an outlook on the overall trend and market structure. In the downtrend from 31k to 25k, I see a complex correction—the triple-three pattern WXYXZ. This is a corrective move and shows a lot of weakness. That's why I am bullish!
26k is still a good price for Bitcoin to buy in the long term because I expect 120k in 2025. Why 125? Check out my profile or my previous analyses!
It's also important to watch altcoins and how they are doing because it gives us another good indicator for Bitcoin. Of course, altcoins such as ETH, XRP, and DOGE are bullish. This was a quick update on the local price of Bitcoin.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and privately.
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Not so OPtimistic moving forward on OPUSDT. See commentsOP/USDT 1-week: OP is looking weak after the "D" rejection at the upper trendline of this large descending channel. Also notice the inability to cross the 50 level on RSI, highlighted. Fisher descending trendline in effect. A potential bounce to the 1.45-1.60 level should be treated with scrutiny, as the long term picture indicates a prolonged bottoming process that could take us all the way to 0.30-0.35. Fib extension tool confirms this view with 1:618. Crucial support at 0.62 price level and that is the pivot point from Oct '22 as well as 1:1 Fib ext.
For more insight follow PIK at EXMO Study!
Bitcoin - This week 10% pump or 10% dump! (BREAKOUT)
This week is going to be huge! We have this head and shoulders pattern that is ready for a massive breakout. I give it a 70% chance of breaking down and a 30% chance of breaking out of this pattern.
The most important thing is to let me know in the comment section what you think about this upcoming crash or pump! Up or down?
Bitcoin is on the road to 20k and potentially 15k later this year if this pattern breaks down, so for the bulls, it's important to defend this support and start a new uptrend from here.
As you probably already know from my previous ideas, September is the worst month for Bitcoin, with an average negative return. That means the price of Bitcoin usually goes down in September. This is a statistical fact, but of course it's not a guarantee. It's likely for Bitcoin to go down based on historical data.
The halving event in April next year is still too far away, so you cannot rely on it. Most likely, we are going to find the bottom on Bitcoin in March 2024.
This is a quick update on the price of Bitcoin. I always give you a complete outlook for Bitcoin to stay updated on all time frames. From monthly to hourly. Make sure you follow me so you do not miss out on my next update!
We all know that the price of Bitcoin can sometimes become very boring when it's stuck in a range and volatility is at its historical minimum. But it is how it is, and that's why if you are a crypto trader, you can trade altcoins as well for diversification purposes.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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Bitcoin - Secret patterns for professional traders!
The price of Bitcoin is forming a head and shoulders pattern inside this descending parallel channel! Both of these patterns are bearish, so the probability of going down is really high at this moment. To become bullish, Bitcoin needs to invalidate both patterns. Then we can think about a long position, but at this moment, not at all!
You probably want to trade with a trend, and the trend is bearish on this particular timeframe. But in the immediate short term, we could go up to form the right shoulder of the major pattern; of course, that would be an excellent opportunity to short bitcoin at a great price!
Where is the profit target for the big short? I already market it on the chart, and it's between 23064 and 22853 because it is the POC of the previous expanding triangle + 1:1 FIB extension (wave 3 -> 4).
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, last week we printed a new impulse wave, which is very clear and visible. Everything in confluence suggests that we are bearish, and continuation of the downtrend is extremely likely and almost definitely a guarantee. Sooner or later, we will break the support of 25k.
This is my outlook on BTC for this month; do not forget to let me know in the comment section what you think about it and if you are prepared for another crash. I need to know your opinion!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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Bitcoin - The next crash is coming! But first, bullish action.
The next crash is coming for the price of Bitcoin, but first we need to correct the recent downtrend! This correction can be pretty significant up to the 0.618 FIB retracement, which is at 27,609. You probably want to set your limit orders to short BTC at this level!
After a bullish correction, I expect another huge crash, kindly to 20k. But of course we are not going to go down in a straight line; there will be a lot of bullish corrections, so you need to be clever on when to short Bitcoin.
Resistance 2 (start of the GAP + 0.618 FIB) is at 27609, and Resistance 1 (end of the GAP + 0.382 FIB) is at 26406. I see only these 2 levels where the bears should step in again!
Above the current price, we have an unfilled CME gap exactly between resistance 1 and resistance 2. These gaps tend to be filled, but of course, it's not mandatory.
Bitcoin spiked significantly last week on the GBTC news; a lot of people were really optimistic and bought the pump, but a huge crash followed. It's similar to the XRP news: XRP pumped by 100% and then went down below the starting point of the pump.
From the Elliott Wave perspective on the chart, we can see a strong impulse wave, which is a sign of weakness for the price. The expectation is that we need to make an ABC bullish correction before continuing to the downside in the downtrend.
This is my current outlook on BTC; I am still bearish, but we need to open short at higher prices!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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Bitcoin - Bull trap of the year! (fake pump)
Bitcoin pumped significantly, but it's definitely a bull trap, so do not fall for it! We can see that the chart is printing a huge head and shoulders pattern, which is a very bearish sign.
This pattern is not confirmed yet as the neckline is holding, but the price is below the major blue trendline, which increases the probability of a breakdown!
The trend is not bullish anymore, and this pump is a great opportunity to short Bitcoin.
Where to take profit or buy bitcoin? I strongly recommend the 0.618 FIB retracement in confluence with the CME unfilled GAP. This is an extremely strong support, and we should see the start of a new bull market or at least a significant bounce from it!
I don't know about you, but I am bearish! Let me know in the comment section: are you bullish or bearish? I want to know your opinion!
Altcoins don't look good at all. I can see a huge crash on DOGE (70%). This indicates to me that Bitcoin is still not ready for a bull market.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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EURUSD will higher moveThs is my psychological view about eurusd .it has already printed double bottom in the 1H time frame but ,due to the weekly close of the market may be reduced the strength of the doble bottom .so to breakout this bearish channel EURUSD has to form a new patter like head and should to make a bullish reversal .so i am expecting a bullish bias for the next week on the EURUSD
Bitcoin - Be aware of the final dump! (triangle)
This is a quick update on Bitcoin's short-term price action! Bitcoin is moving in 3 wave structures, which indicates a triangular formation that usually breaks in the direction of the main trend!
I am bearish on BTC until we hit my price target of 24800, which is a significant swing high from June. The triangle suggests it as well.
I expect a final impulsive wave to the downside before a pump back to 27,000. I think this break of the triangle will be only a fakeout to take liquidity, so make sure you take profits and do not stay in the short position for a long time!
Now the question is, will we see another bounce from the ascending trendline of the symmetrical triangle? It's really possible because, from the Elliott Wave perspective, triangles have 5-waves in them, as ABCDE. Now Bitcoin is in the D wave. But sometimes triangles are shorter, and we could go down sooner rather than later.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Overall, you probably know that I expect 21k to be hit later this year and potentially 15k next year, so do not buy any Bitcoins at the current price!
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USDJPY, Bearish, Swing tradeGood afternoon,
I hope everyone had a great weekend and previous trading week. Here I present a premarket forecast for UJ for this trading week. Last trading week UJ was bullish, breaking a key daily supply/demand area @142.118. Toward the end of the week, price reversed and closed below the same daily area of supply/demand @142.118.
Price rejected at a key 4hr level @141.731 with potential to retracement back to area @142.118.
If anyone has any questions, comments, concerns, or similar analysis, please share, comment, or boost.
Bitcoin - Falling wedge will send BTC to 32k! (act quickly)
The price of Bitcoin is currently forming a bullish falling wedge pattern, and we are very close to a breakout! Trade it properly.
We can see that the price broke out of the strong horizontal line (at 29500), but the bears are weak and they are not able to continue in the downtrend. What is now likely is that the bulls are going to push the price back above the line and pump bitcoin to 32K! 32k is a strong resistance because of the ascending trendline, so make sure you take profit or open a short when the time comes!
On the way up to 32k, we have some minor resistances, such as the previous unfilled FVGAP and 0.618 FIB retracement. Good for intraday pullbacks, but nothing huge.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we clearly see an overlapping structure in the downtrend. I marked it as WXY (double three pattern). Also, the X wave looks like a triangle, which suggests that the downtrend is almost over.
This is my update on BTC. I expect higher prices for the crypto market in the next few weeks! Alt season is ready, so make sure you buy some altcoins if you haven't already, as per my previous analysis. Set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
What do you think about Bitcoin? Let me know in the comment section; I look forward to your opinions!
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GOLD → Breaking the trend on Friday, BUT...OANDA:XAUUSD market is still bearish. Breaking through the resistance of the descending channel may not play a key role. The price is in a global wedge and we see a bounce forming from support.
On Friday, we saw a strong rally that many did not expect. The price was bullish on the inflation related news. Looking at the technical picture some things might become clear.
Pay attention to the D1 chart below. A global wedge is forming. At the moment the market is still in a consolidation phase in a downtrend format.
The retest of the wedge resistance is forming. At the moment, there are no prerequisites for the price to break the resistance of the wedge in the area of 1935-1939.
Breaking through this area will form a strong momentum that will start to strengthen the price.
At the moment there is a high probability of price fall from resistance. Consolidation may continue.
The Fed is not going to cut rates, therefore, the strengthening of the dollar after a small correction may continue, and gold may fall in the medium term.
Support levels: 1912
Resistance levels: 1920, 1938
I expect a correction to the support and possible strengthening of the price to the resistance. If the price breaks through 1912, it will head towards the area of 1902.
Regards to R.Linda!