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Bearish Trend Line

S&P 500: Bearish Momentum BuildsAs we move further into 2025, the S&P 500 continues to show signs of weakness, intensifying the bearish outlook from my last post. The Rising Channel breakdown and Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern remain dominant, with the price now trading firmly below the 50 EMA. Attempts to reclaim the Rising Channel have failed, confirming that the long-term bullish structure is no longer in play. The neckline of the H&S pattern, previously broken, has become a strong resistance zone, reinforcing the bearish momentum. The 50 EMA has flipped to resistance, making it even harder for bulls to regain control. Currently, the 200 EMA is providing critical support. If this level fails, the downside momentum could accelerate significantly, leading to much lower targets. Key levels to watch include 5,687.33, 5,600.45, and the channel projection target of 5,119.26. Bulls will need to defend the 200 EMA and push the price back above the 50 EMA to have a chance at reversing this trend. Otherwise, the market seems poised for further downside. Let me know how you’re approaching this setup shorting, waiting for a bounce, or something else? Stay sharp and trade carefully! 🚀
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
8
Arb Analysis BINANCE:ARBUSDT BINANCE:ARBUSDT.P MEXC:ARBUSDT Here’s a detailed analysis of the ARB/USDT (Arbitrum/USD Tether) weekly chart, including Fibonacci retracement levels, support and resistance zones, and possible price movements. --- ### **1. Key Levels** - **0% (low)**: **0.4224**. - **0.618 Levels**: **1.1879** and **1.1238—Fibonacci's golden pocket area, representing a strong resistance zone. - **0.5 Level**: **1.4244—the midpoint of Fibonacci retracement, acting as a secondary resistance level. 100% (High)**: **2.4263**. --- ### **2. Price Action and Current Situation** Current Price**: **0.8310**, sitting near a support zone. Support Zone**: **0.812**, where price has found stability so far. Key Resistance**: Fibonacci levels between **1.1238–1.1879**. --- ### **3. Support and Resistance Zones** - **Support**: -0.812: Current support level holding the price. - **0.4224**: Strong historical support, acting as the last defense if the price drops significantly. - **Resistance**: 1.1238–1.1879: The golden pocket zone (strong resistance where a pullback or slowdown may occur). 1.4244: Secondary resistance at the 0.5 Fibonacci level. --- ### **4. Fibonacci-Based Trading Strategy** Buying Opportunity (Buy)**: Consider entering near the **0.812** level if support holds. Stop-loss: Place below **0.812**, such as at **0.750**, to limit losses. - **Take-Profit Targets**: First target: **1.1238–1.1879** zone. Second target: **1.4244** level. --- ### **5. Technical Analysis and Possible Scenarios** Bullish Scenario (Upward Movement)**: If the price holds above **0.812**, the next move could be toward the **1.1238–1.1879** resistance zone. A break above this zone could push the price to $**1.4244** or higher. Bearish Scenario (Downward Movement)**: If the price breaks below **0.812**, it might revisit the **0.4224** support level. --- ### **6. Trading Recommendations** Current Buying Opportunity**: Buying near **0.812** can be a good entry, considering clear stop-loss and take-profit levels. - **Confirmations**: RSI: Check if the price is oversold or overbought to validate the entry. MACD: Use to confirm trend strength or weakness.
Long
by YokubjonUmedovich
HAL Swing trading Setup - Descending TriangleChart Analysis: 1. Descending Triangle Pattern: • The chart shows a descending triangle with lower highs (LHs) forming resistance and a horizontal support zone. This pattern typically indicates a bearish continuation, though an upside breakout can happen. • The trendline resistance appears well-respected, with a downtrend line pushing prices lower. 2. Resistance Levels: • There is a resistance zone marked above current price levels. • Resistance 1 and the trendline serve as a major area where a potential pullback could be seen. 3. Support Levels: • A clear horizontal support level is visible, which has been tested multiple times, increasing the significance of a potential breakdown. 4. RSI Indicator: • The RSI shows a downward trend but does not appear to be in oversold territory yet. This implies room for further downward movement but also warrants watching for a potential reversal signal. Swing Trade Setup: 1. Bearish Scenario (Preferred based on the chart): • Entry: Consider entering a short position if the price closes below the marked support zone with strong volume. • Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the descending trendline resistance to mitigate risk in case of a reversal or fake breakdown. • Target 1: Use the measured move from the widest part of the triangle to estimate the potential target level for the downside move, aiming for key support levels below (e.g., 3,200-3,000). • Target 2: If momentum is strong, trailing stops can help capture more of the move downwards. 2.Bullish Reversal Scenario: • Entry: If the price breaks above the descending trendline with strong volume and closes in the resistance zone, it may invalidate the bearish pattern, indicating potential bullish momentum. • Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below the breakout candle’s low to avoid potential false breakouts. • Target 1: Aim for key resistance levels above, including previous swing highs. • Target 2: Monitor RSI and volume for signs of overbought conditions. Risk Management: • Position Sizing: Ensure your position size aligns with your risk tolerance, ideally risking no more than 1-2% of your account balance per trade. • Monitoring Volume: Increased volume on breakdown or breakout moves strengthens conviction in the trade direction. • Adapting to Market Conditions: Be prepared to switch to the bullish scenario if the market sentiment shifts unexpectedly. Caution: • False breakdowns are possible, especially if volume is low or market sentiment shifts rapidly. • Keep an eye on broader market trends and sector performance for additional cues on stock direction. Disclaimer : This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk, and you should be aware of your risk tolerance and investment objectives. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author of this analysis is not responsible for any financial losses you may incur based on the information provided.
NSE:HAL
by tintinhawk
Major Top Forming on SPXHello Everyone, a simple analysis of the RSI and current price action appear eerily similar to the 2022 peak. During the 2022 top we had financial experts and the media claiming victory stating that this bull market will continue, however we crashed soon after. Now the SPX is currently forming a topping process, this could be done or we could go a little higher before the bear market continues. It's clear that the SPX is making new highs while NDX and IWM fail to make a new high suggesting that this is the top. If this economy is doing so good, then why does the FED need to cut interest rates? The fed is cutting interest rates because we are either in a recession or we are very close to one. There is no such thing as a soft landing. The truth is we may already be in a recession and it wouldn't be declared until we are deep into one. If anything we are no longer going into a recession, we are going into a depression. Do not get lulled into a false sense of security like many others during the 2000 and 2008 top.
SP:SPXShort
by justaturboman44
I'm not buying the Brian Niccol hype. SBUX is in trouble. NASDAQ:SBUX , NYSE:CMG , NYSE:YUM This 24% jump in SBUX stock as a result of recent news of them hiring Brian Niccol seems a bit excessive. Sure he is a wonderful CEO and he has made significant improvements in both companies he has run, but this situation seems significantly different. With NYSE:CMG he was able to trim the fat and cut all costs possible while creating specialized food items people were willing to pay up for like carne asada, al pastor, and guac. The situation with NASDAQ:SBUX is very different. Their workforce demands more from their employer. It is no longer looked at as an entry-level job, people believe they are working for a company they can work up and develop in. In addition, what sets SBUX apart from other coffee shops like #Dunkindonuts and #TimHortons is the customization the customer has in the app and at the store. Every coffee chain has "specialty" and "seasonal" drinks. The only way I see he will be able to make a significant change is by automating the store as much as possible, but if he does this, will people still look at it as a local cafe they are going to sit down and enjoy a cup of coffee in? In addition, consumers are becoming more health conscious and they are likely to continue to decrease their spend on luxury-priced drinks filled with sugars. With inflation continuing to impact the consumer, a high-priced coffee is likely at the top of their cost-cutting list. With both the USA and China consumers feeling the heat, this company is likely to continue to feel the pain in both markets. If I were to guess, Niccols is going to slash projections previously made by upper management, and the stock will respond in a negative way. With all that being said, the stock has recently shot through all of its moving averages and is now retesting the upper band of a previous negative channel. Once the Niccols hype starts to decrease, I can see this stock easily retesting the 200-day MA and 100-day MA.
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by Average_Joe_Options
GBP/USD Key Points Tuesday’s UK Construction PMI came in above expectations at 55.3, the highest reading in more than two years Time will tell whether traders are overly optimistic that the BOE will be able to cut rates relatively slower than its major rivals or whether more rate cuts still need to be discounted GBP/USD’s bias remains to the downside and traders may look to sell this rally as long as rates remain below 1.2760 and the RSI holds below the 50 level. In an eerily quiet week for UK economic data, GBP/USD has been taking its signal from developments elsewhere and general risk trends. The only notable data release this week was Tuesday’s Construction PMI, which came in above expectations at 55.3, the highest reading in more than two years. Despite the strong reading (admittedly on a second- if not third-tier economic indicator), sterling has struggled to get into gear this week. Outside of the Swiss franc, the British pound is the weakest major currency since Sunday’s open. This weakness has emerged despite the BOE being one of the least dovish major central banks looking forward. According to Bloomberg data, OIS traders are pricing in just 44bps of interest rate cuts from the Bank of England this year, or a bit below two 25bps rate cuts, compared to roughly 100bps (four 25bps rate cuts) and 68bps (almost three 25bps rate cuts) for the Fed and ECB respectively. Time will tell whether traders are overly optimistic that the BOE will be able to cut rates relatively slower than its major rivals or whether more rate cuts still need to be discounted, potentially keeping GBP/USD under pressure. British Pound Technical Analysis – GBP/USD 4-Hour Chart Turning our attention to the chart, GBP/USD remains in its 4-week bearish channel, despite the big rally during the first half of today’s US session. One tool that traders can use to help handicap when a trend may break is the RSI indicator. In this case, the 14-period RSI on GBP/USD’s 4-hour chart has been stuck in a well-defined range between 30-50 since shortly after the bearish channel formed, signaling consistent, but not excessive, bearish momentum. Accordingly, bulls may want to watch to see if the RSI can break above the 50 level to either foreshadow or confirm a breakout in the exchange rate itself. For now though, the bias remains to the downside and traders may look to sell this rally as long as rates remain below 1.2760 and the RSI holds below the 50 level. -- Written by Matt Weller
Short
by WHSelfInvest
Officially still in the bearmarketIt nuked down to 53K range but feeling its not over it ; it will still go below 57K. This is pretty mid-short sell. Do have a 50K feeling will hit even dip below 50K can happen Im keeping it short as possible cuz i don't see any sign of buyers and bullish quite yet until the correction is finish. Ill say the prediction won't be finish until we hit 50K even or somewhere around 40K area and i heard rumors that the bulls will get back until reach about 30k-35k Im not a financial advisor so please don't ask if we hit a good trade; if its a stay away then don't trade and use your own analysis instead. Safe trading yall
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JoyBoyVegae
EURUSD - Secret pattern no one talks about! (big crash coming)In my previous EURUSD post, I analyzed the historical chart (1971 - 2024). You know that EURO is heading for a big crash. If you haven't seen this very important post, please check out the related section down below. You have to see it if you are a real EURUSD trader.  Today, let's take a look at the actual 2023/2024 price action to see what is going on here. We have a secret head and shoulders pattern, that no one knows about. In general, the head and shoulders pattern is a reversal pattern and usually occurs at the top of the trend. These patterns are pretty much never perfect, so it's not always easy to spot them. This one is really hard to see, but I made it easy for you. We have 2 shoulders, and each shoulder is composed of a parallel channel. Neckline / HEAD is in the middle. This is of course an important level and strong support/resistance. Right now, it's a support, but once we break it, it turns into a resistance. Of course, I expect a breakdown on this bearish pattern, so make sure you are prepared for what is coming! Is it good to short EURO now? Yes. Where to take profit? It depends on how long you want to wait. I have market 3 strong levels on the way down. The first is the neckline of the HaS pattern. The second is the POC (Point of Control) of the previous market structure. The third is the previous major swing low. From the Elliott Wave perspective, I see a bearish Elliott Nest, that is composed of waves (1-2-1-2). This is an extremely strong fractal because once wave 3 starts, a steep downtrend begins. Usually, wave 3 is the strongest of all waves. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Short
by Xanrox
47
📈DYDX is going to retest or fall further📉 BINANCE:DYDXUSDT KUCOIN:DYDXUSDT Hello traders. I believe in DYDX, why? Because this all-season (before or after halving) DEX (decentralized exchanges) are going to be under more attention. right now, there are 3 scenarios in front of the traders. in 1 & 2, the price can retest the 2- or 4-hour Bollinger midline and then retest the lower level of the pitchfork. in 3, due to the heavy sell pressure, the price can sorely decrease below the 3.498 level. In that case, the bearish target would be $3.153. ✌💥If you are satisfied with my analytical content, please share my ideas💥✌ ✍🐱‍👤Otherwise, make sure you leave comments and let me know what you think.🐱‍👤✍ 🍾Thank you for your support. I hope you will gain profit by following my analyses.🍾
Short
by CrazyS
3
XAUUSD 4H FVG Area and Finding Lower HighXAUUSD still on bearish trend on 4H TF and want to find their lower high (2047 - 2049). If trendline break very possible to going into their lower high before (2064 - 2065) or maybe higher at their higher OB (2085 - 2088). I am looking for Buy setup on LTF at 4H FVG. On LTF there is a support area too on 4H FVG. Pretty good for entry and waiting for rejection candle and CHoCH. But if there is a rejection after hit the trendline, we looking for sell setup.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by BagasRG
#DXY possible bullish reverse head and shoulder patternI believe this bearish move, which we are observing in the 1-hour timeframe market structure, is a bearish corrective move. Consequently, there is a possibility of a bullish continuation move in the Dollar. Upon closer inspection, we can see the formation of a reverse head and shoulder pattern , which is an intrinsically reversal pattern and signals a potential bullish move. If the price manages to break above this bullish pattern and a short-term bearish trendline, we could assume that our higher timeframe bullish move would possibly continue. If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
TVC:DXYLong
by mohemati
Bitcoin price action analysis can reach 30k ranges The price has lost 50 Moving average and EMA top. Heading to 100 and 200 moving averages. Hopefully 200 MA must give some support or else it can reach more downside .The lower low price action indicates bearishness and no sight of uptrend . On weekly scale a large bearish wick is worrisome .if price retraced from rectangular box with good volumes there can be hope to reach 48k ranges again for retracement. if price goes down and down the 1 day MA and EMA will print death cross which can lead to more downside in next month mid. thank you.if helpful like and follow for more updates.
Short
by Zakir-Ahmed