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Bearish Trend Line

Bitcoin is starting something big! (Elliott Wave) Bitcoin is very bearish, and I expect lower prices. We have a strong bearish Elliott Wave base (a symmetrical triangle), and on the chart you can see my primary Elliott Wave count. This strong Elliott Wave base is an indication of a big crash. The price should not go above 27666 (only a wick is allowed above this level). This is a strong resistance because of the previous wave (1), and wave (4) should not go into wave (1) territory. But I have an exception for this ruse, so I allow a very small overlap. Usually there are a lot of orders, and the market wants liquidity, which is why sometimes they overlap. Also, it depends on exchanges. The bullish Elliott wave count is different. The symmetrical triangle could be an ABCDE triangle wave B, and we have just finished the ABC correction. In this case, the ABC correction could be completed, and we are ready to go above 31k. It's possible, of course, but my primary outlook is bearish. But if you are bullish, you can take this count into consideration. In the next few weeks or months, Bitcoin will reach 21k and 15k after that at the end of the year. 10K is possible. We need more data to establish the target for the bear market, and we need to wait for the price to develop. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. What I personally recommend is to take only shorts on futures and avoid longs until the end of the year. This s a quick update on BTC. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
138
Bitcoin to 1 USD - Whales plan revealed! it's over! (99% CRASH) It's over for Bitcoin because the whales started to manipulate the price. But fortunately, I know their plan, which is why I have to share it with you as soon as possible! First of all, whales. They want as low a price as possible because why should they buy at the current expensive price when they can send Bitcoin back and buy it cheaper? This is an analysis of the monthly chart with full history. We need to take the FIB retracement for the whole uptrend and look for the 0.618 value. Whales love to buy Bitcoin at the 0.618 FIB retracement, and in this case, it's 0.80 USDT. FAIR VALUE GAP BETWEEN 0.97 - 1.99 USDT (UNFILLED GAP) is another confluence why we should go down. All gaps tend to be filled sooner or later. The impulse wave from 2009 to 2021 has finished, and we are looking for an ABC correction. No doubt about it at all. The MACD indicator is absolutely terrible. We can see that the histogram was at the lowest level in history, this is not good. What's more, if we take a look at the volume indicator, we can see absolutely low volume. The whales are not buying at all. The whales will send Bitcoin temporarily to zero until there are no orders in the orderbook from retail traders. (It happened with OIL before, so why not?) I hope you like this secret gameplan from whales; do not tell anyone, because it should be only for my followers. Today is April 1, so happy Easter and April Fools' Day! If you think this analysis is for real, then you have been pranked! Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
198
DOT PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE NEXT 1-3 DAYS The total evaluation for the Polkadot asset is bearish in both long-term and short term time frames. The weekly chart has an obvious arch to the downside but in the hourly chart, you can see a more detailed scenario of where and when you can put a proper short position with confirmation of resistance. The projection can easily go to the downside up to 5.15$ with a MAX weekly downside up to 4.8-5$ -- After that, DOT is a barren wasteland to trade so its better to trade other assets for a better idea on direction and position. Please take in consideration as well the upcoming CPI inflation data report and make sure to take profits appropriately. DO NOT BE GREEDY. ----- If you like the content, please feel free to comment, boost, react, or share. I would appreciate it. Thanks! -Wamses
BITFINEX:DOTUSDShort
by Wamses
3
XRP - Final 50% crash, life-time opportunity to buy! XRP will give you a life-time opportunity to buy for an extremely cheap price, around 0.18 USDT! It's going to happen probably very soon, so make sure you are prepared! This is a whole chart of XRP from 2016 to 2023. As you can see, the massive pump in 2017 was very strong, and right now XRP has been consolidating in this bullish regular flat pattern (3-3-5). My calculations say that we are at the end of the pattern, specifically in wave 5 of wave C. If we look at the local price action from 2022–2023, we can spot a bearish head and shoulders pattern. The bears are going to send XRP lower, to around 0.18 USDT. What's more, there is a falling wedge pattern. It's hard to see a breakout at this moment, and it's likely to hit the bottom of the wedge instead. Which is a 50% drop. We should find a support at the bottom of the falling wedge! This is your once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for a 20x profit in the next few months / years. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. We don't know how the pump is going to look, but you will not have too much time to enter because the market moves aggressively to the upside while going sideways very slowly. I expect a huge green dildo on the weekly and monthly charts. This analysis is like no other. No one will give you an Elliott Wave count on XRP from the beginning. If you know about anyone, let me know in the comment section; I want to follow him. My plan is to buy/long XRP around 0.18 USDT for a 20x minimum gain. I am telling you it will be a massive pump, and for the best feeling you want to be in the market. The bears have been waiting for an incredible 5 years, but you do not need to wait; you can simply catch the bottom and take advantage of the massive pump in a short period of time. After that, you can buy some tasty Japanese wagyu. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
48
📉 Downtrend ID Cheatsheet *UPDATED*What Is a Downtrend? A downtrend is a gradual reduction in the price or value of a stock or commodity, or the activity of a financial market. A downtrend can be contrasted with an uptrend. Downtrends are characterized by lower peaks and troughs and mimic changes in the perception of investors. A downtrend is fueled by a change in the supply of stocks investors want to sell compared with the demand for the stock by investors who want to buy. Downtrends are responses to changes that surround the security, whether macroeconomic or those associated with a company's business activity. 🔹Understanding and Identifying Downtrends As much as it is important to look out for uptrends when trading, it is equally important to understand and identify downtrends. A trader may potentially save money if they decide to sell off a declining stock. If many traders decide to sell a stock at the same time, it will result in a sharp decline in the stock price. The stock market is sentiment-driven, and fear of a further decline may result in even further selloffs of a stock. Some traders that frequently day trade may decide to implement stop-loss orders to protect themselves against a downtrend. A stop-loss order placed with a broker helps a trader sell once the price of the security reaches a certain price. Downtrends can vary from a gradual continuation to a sharp decline. A sharp decline may occur as a result of news-related topics, such as a poor quarterly earnings report or loss of a lawsuit. A downtrend can be identified and understood through various forms of technical analysis. One simple area of technical analysis is the use of trendlines. Trendlines connect a series of high or low points. The reversal of a declining trendline signals an uptrend. Another simple area of technical analysis is the moving average technical indicator. The moving average takes the mean of prices over a period in the past. If the price of a stock tends to stay below the moving average, it signals that the price is on a downtrend. 🔹Trading on a Downtrend Many traders look to profit from sell offs of a stock. While many traders will sell, taking the view that a price will decrease further in the future, some traders take the opposite view of hoping for a price increase. Downtrends may also lead to attractive valuation and present new opportunities for traders to purchase shares of stock. In another sense, downtrends allow traders to make money by short-selling stocks. In order to short a stock, a trader borrows shares and immediately sells them, in hopes that the price will fall. If the price of the stock goes down, then the individual will repurchase the shares back at the lower price and return the borrowed shares. The difference between the old price and the new price is the profit that a short-selling trader holds. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
9
📉 Downtrend Identification CheatsheetWhat Is a Downtrend? A downtrend is a gradual reduction in the price or value of a stock or commodity, or the activity of a financial market. A downtrend can be contrasted with an uptrend. Downtrends are characterized by lower peaks and troughs and mimic changes in the perception of investors. A downtrend is fueled by a change in the supply of stocks investors want to sell compared with the demand for the stock by investors who want to buy. Downtrends are responses to changes that surround the security, whether macroeconomic or those associated with a company's business activity. 🔹Understanding and Identifying Downtrends As much as it is important to look out for uptrends when trading, it is equally important to understand and identify downtrends. A trader may potentially save money if they decide to sell off a declining stock. If many traders decide to sell a stock at the same time, it will result in a sharp decline in the stock price. The stock market is sentiment-driven, and fear of a further decline may result in even further selloffs of a stock. Some traders that frequently day trade may decide to implement stop-loss orders to protect themselves against a downtrend. A stop-loss order placed with a broker helps a trader sell once the price of the security reaches a certain price. Downtrends can vary from a gradual continuation to a sharp decline. A sharp decline may occur as a result of news-related topics, such as a poor quarterly earnings report or loss of a lawsuit. A downtrend can be identified and understood through various forms of technical analysis. One simple area of technical analysis is the use of trendlines. Trendlines connect a series of high or low points. The reversal of a declining trendline signals an uptrend. Another simple area of technical analysis is the moving average technical indicator. The moving average takes the mean of prices over a period in the past. If the price of a stock tends to stay below the moving average, it signals that the price is on a downtrend. 🔹Trading on a Downtrend Many traders look to profit from sell offs of a stock. While many traders will sell, taking the view that a price will decrease further in the future, some traders take the opposite view of hoping for a price increase. Downtrends may also lead to attractive valuation and present new opportunities for traders to purchase shares of stock. In another sense, downtrends allow traders to make money by short-selling stocks. In order to short a stock, a trader borrows shares and immediately sells them, in hopes that the price will fall. If the price of the stock goes down, then the individual will repurchase the shares back at the lower price and return the borrowed shares. The difference between the old price and the new price is the profit that a short-selling trader holds. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
4
Bitcoin - 20k or 18k before 40k! CME GAP The solution to this analysis is to find the most probable reversal point for this corrective move, that is currently happening on Bitcoin. Bitcoin failed to make a parabolic move. If we compare the start of the bull market in 2018, it was different because Bitcoin parabolically rose. But this time is different! We must now concentrate on catching the bottom of this correction so that we can ride wave 3. Waves 3 are usually the most impulsive and most parabolic, so you really want to be in the market. To catch the bottom of this corrective move, we need to use the most effective tools, such as FIB, GAPS, and Elliott Waves. Elliott Wave works best with crypto and stocks and worst with forex, so you want to use different tools for each environment. On the chart, you can see 4 possible reversal points. Which one do you think is the most probable? Let me know in the comment section; I want to see your opinion! In my opinion, the 0.618 FIB seems the most logical level for a trend reversal. But POC and the start of the gap at 16859 are also pretty juicy. But it's too low; it's hard to believe that the market will go back to these levels. On the other side, everything is possible. Also, we have a CME gap on BTC1! futures, which is between 19995 and 20460. The chances of a pullback in this area are very high! This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. The true issue and threat is the unfilled GAP between 16.8K and 20.4K. Usually, all gaps tend to be filled. You can do a backtest, and you will see that this is pretty much true. We don't need to close the gap completely, but partially, yes. That's why it's almost a guarantee that Bitcoin is going to touch 20500 sooner or later. It can be this month, next month, or even later next year, in 2024. I hope it's going to happen sooner rather than later! I am not shorting anything, just to be clear. I rather prefer short-term longs with low RR rather than shorting. I don't want to play against the main trend, which is bullish! I believe we will hit a new all time high on Bitcoin this year or next year. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
78
ETH May Reach $1826 after a Pullback to ConsolidatePrimary Chart: ETHUSD on a 2D Time Frame The Primary Chart shows ETH's major down trendlines over the past 14 months. The first down trendline (magenta) remains effective and has contained price since the all-time high in November 2021. The second down trendline (gold) has been broken. The anchored VWAP from the all-time high (teal) is currently at $2230. Fibonacci levels are also shown on the primary chart, as well as major support and resistance levels from the past few months. This is a short-term bullish idea. It's odd having a bullish idea in the crypto space—but this idea is very short-term. Despite recent progress, much more structural change is needed before bulls can call victory with a new primary degree uptrend. Bear markets commonly see multi-week and multi-month corrective rallies. SquishTrade is *not* calling a new bull market / long-term uptrend in ETH. To the contrary, this is just a corrective rally until the weight of the evidence proves otherwise. Down trendlines can break and be readjusted without a new uptrend being established, and inversely, up trendlines can break and be readjusted without a new downtrend being created. In any event, long-term buy and "hodlers" should be careful here and use stops consistent with prudent / professional trading principles. If the time horizon is extremely long (forever) because you believe no other technology could ever possibly render ETH obsolete, then maybe you have inside information that does not require any caution whatsoever. The key technical points are summarized below: The logarithmic down trendline remains intact currently. BTC's equivalent down trendline (on a log chart from all-time highs) has been broken, and it remains to see if that break will hold. It might hold for some time as the shape and structure of the downtrend is reestablished. The best the bulls can achieve, however, is a sideways to neutral trend for some time. Major bear markets do not typically reverse in a V-shaped fashion. Price is currently contending with a key Fibonacci level, the .618 retracement of the mid-August 2022 to November 2022 decline. This level lies at $1664.82. Price could push a little higher from here if it wants to extend a bit more. The move in BTC and ETH has been nothing short of explosive, typical in bear markets, likely fueled by shorts covering and a lot of upside hedging and FOMO. But in all likelihood, a consolidation / pullback is in the cards soon. See the RSI divergence (bearish) on Supplementary Chart A that has now arisen on daily charts. Divergences also appear in momentum on the 8-hour and 4-hour charts using RSI and other indicators, including the Bollinger Bands. Supplementary Chart A Because the November 3, 2022, high was broken, this sets up a shorter-term bullish structure potentially. The key word here is shorter-term. Again, this is not a call for a new bull market. But traders can try to capture upside moves with tight stops at logical supports. Right now, price is extended. Don't recommend chasing unless you really know what you're doing! If the down trendline (magenta) is broken, the measured move target is the more aggressive target for this move. That target lies at $2473. This target is not worth discussing, and not viable, unless and until the down TL from the all-time high is convincingly broken. Thank you for reading this post. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by SquishTrade
11
Bitcoin - 25% CRASH from this level! Be prepared. The bulls are incredibly strong! This may be the best January in Bitcoin's history. But the bears are waiting patiently to short bitcoin at the key level! The Resistance 1 level is strong because there is a POC of the previous structure, the start of the massive previous GAP, and a horizontal level from 2021. With this strong confluence, we can short bitcoin on the futures market for a potential 20%–25% profit. Like I have said many times, I am here for the bulls and bears. So this is clearly an analysis for the bears. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. I am a professional trader with almost 6 years of experience in the crypto market. I can tell you that with this major resistance, we will see a pretty strong rejection! What I recommend you to do is to short Bitcoin between 28,750 - 30,100 . I will specify this level more precisely in one of my next analyses on lower time frames or privately! If we take a look at the volume profile, we can see there is no volume area. These areas tend to be filled, and at the end of the area, we should see a big rejection. We have only 4 strong resistance levels on the way up to the new all-time high. However, it may take some time to break it all down. Bitcoin started its new bullish cycle in November 2022. I expect another bearish cycle to start sometime in September 2025. I have predictions for years or even decades in advance! Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
64
Ethereum - Big overview of the bear market. The bears are in full control because ETH is below the two major trendlines and also below the 200-day moving average. We have a FTX GAP between 1545 and 1352. This gap was caused by a huge panic sell-off of traders due to the collapse of the FTX exchange and by CZ Binance, who tweeted that he was not going to buy FTX as he wanted. This gap can be filled, but of course it doesn't have to. Also, there is a 0.618 FIB at 1415 + the top of the yellow trendline + the 200-day moving average, which is another strong resistance. The bulls need a lot of strength to break this zone, and even if they are able to do it, there is another white trendline, which is the top of the parallel channel at around 1800. It's hard to say if the bulls will be motivated enough to break it. I don't want to be bullish about this strong resistance, but we can definitely touch it, no problem. At this moment, my trades are only short-term swing and intraday trades, so I am not thinking about buying any coins for the long term. I still think the bear market will continue in 2023 because other coins look extremely bearish, including Bitcoin. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. As you can see on the chart, the price is moving in two parallel descending channels. The top trendline of the first white parallel channel has only two touches, so the third touch should be rejected strongly. This is a bearish Elliott Wave count, and we are currently at the 3rd wave of the 5th wave. I suggest continuing lower to complete this impulse wave. I would love to buy ETH for around 250 - 300. I believe it is possible to get there, based on other assets such as stocks. TSLA, META, NTFLX, etc. are experiencing the biggest crash in history. And ETH is also, basically, in the IT sector. If ETH drops below the key resistance of 1073, I expect a huge flash crash to the bottom of the descending channel. Overall, I am bearish, and we may definitely see some relief rally. But don't get rekt by the main resistance I mentioned earlier. Look at my idea about SOLANA (exponencial growth) in the related section down below. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
59