Bitcoin - Last valid bullish EW count was invalidated, what now?
I studied this market structure for several hours, and my conclusion is that there is no valid Elliott Wave bullish count. Simply, a valid Elliott Wave count does not exist. Is this a problem?
From the Elliott Wave perspective, there are 2 possible options:
1) If we want to stay bullish, we have to accept the fact that a third impulsive wave can sometimes be a diagonal, not only an impulse. which I think could be true.
2) This was a huge WXYXZ corrective structure and we must go below 17622 USDT to confirm this count, make a new low, kindly by a wick, and then we can start a brand new uptrend or continue lower to 13-15k.
Which one of these options do you see? Let me know in the comment section what you think about it!
This technical analysis shows an impulsive wave with a non-standard diagonal third wave.
We still have a total of 9 waves, which indicates a bullish movement as per the simple rule that 5, 9, 13, 17,... waves are generally impulsive structures.
Market structures are not perfect. Sometimes you can see a weird triangle or a weird wedge, as well as a weird impulsive wave.
I don't trade Bitcoin, because my strategy and system is a strict pattern that occurs only sometimes in the market. That's why I watch 1000+ altcoins and pick only the most promising ones as per my strategy. But I do have Bitcoin for the longterm hodl.
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Bearish Trend Line
MDX - Prepare for a massive breakout! + Huge parallel channel
MDX is forming a well respected descending channel on the daily/weekly chart and we are very close to a breakout!
Regarding my Elliott Wave analysis, this massive impulse wave has been completed and that's why we can expect an ABC correction to the upside.
Also we have a local rectangle consolidation, which is always very good to see at the end of the downtrend for a potential breakout trade.
The first profit target is at the strong resistance - wave (4) + double TOP, but i think we can go even higher later.
I think MDX is a great choice together with KP3R!
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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BTC.D - The Alt Season just started! + Elliott Wave
The 14-month consolidation period has ended; it was truly an endless period of price action, but nothing lasts forever!
ABCDE rectangle/triangle has been successfully finished and now we can finally continue in the direction of the main trend.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, we are now in the 3rd wave and this could be huge!
Bitcoin Lightning network is still not supported by major exchanges because it is not in their business plan, and this is definitely a positive sign for altcoins.
What to do during the alt season? It's good to pick promising altcoins, which is not an easy task, but even very bad coins can easily pump.
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TA 2022-08-04: ETH/USDT1. There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,660 on the hourly chart of ETH/USDT
2. If Ethereum fails to rise above the $1,670 resistance, it could start another decline.
3. An initial support on the downside is near the $1,620 zone.
4. The next major support is near $1,560, below which there is a risk of a sharp decline.
5. In the stated case, ether price may perhaps decline towards the $1,505 support in the near term.
6. Any more losses might call for a test of the $1,450 level.
FileCoin FIL - Ready for a bullish action! + Elliott Wave + Base
For a confirmation trade, buy a breakout above 6.41 USDT, which I strongly advise you to do here!
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, the huge impulse wave has been finished successfully and now we are ready for a bullish retracement.
As you can see on the chart, we have a local base (rectangle pattern) and this is something i like to see!
The last trendline of the last impulse wave has been destroyed by the bulls, so another great sign.
The profit target for this trade is 6.5 USDT, which is totally doable, but in the long term, I think we can go even higher.
Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below.
I expect tremendous pumps for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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EURUSD - The downtrend is over! New bull market + Elliott Wave
EURUSD successfully maintained the 1.0 USD level.This is a significant psychological level!
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this huge downtrend should be over, and now I expect a corrective move to the upside.
An impulse Elliott Wave has been successfully completed. Let's see how big this correction is going to be.
On the daily chart, we can spot a beautiful descending parallel channel, and I think the bulls can step in to destroy this pattern!
As you can see on the chart, we had 2 fakeouts during this downtrend and this indicated a corrective move. Usually, the third breakout is real!
The profit target is at 0.618 FIB + the start of wave 4.
Look at my ideas about Gold, Bitcoin and Ethereum in the related section down below.
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Radicle RAD - Great opportunity! Bullish base + Elliott Wave
We have a local bullish rectangle / base and if the bulls can break this level, then I expect a massive uptrend!
Also, on the daily chart we can spot a huge descending channel / falling wedge and I think it's the right time for a breakout.
An impulse Elliott Wave has finished, so I expect an ABC retracement.
Profit taget 1 is on top of the trendline + wave (4).
The second profit target is on the main resistance + wave (4) + 0.618 FIB.
I expect tremendous pumps for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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Voyager VGX - Downtrend is over! Impulse completed + Record VOL
VGX is currently number #1 bullish altcoin on Tradingview Binance USDT list.
We have a record volume at the end of the downtrend, which is a significant event.
As per my Elliott wave analysis, this huge Impulse wave should be completed successfully.
Now i expect a retracement at least to 0.382 FIB + previous swing low (for conservative traders).
You can wait for a breakout above the yellow trendline for safe entry.
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Fantom FTM - Time for the bullish action! Elliott Wave + 200 MA
On the daily chart we have an impulse Elliott Wave that has been completed and because of that, I expect an ABC retracement to the upside!
A very strong resistance is at 1.13 - 1.00 USDT, we have a great confluence in this zone as you can see on the chart.
Confluence: start of the gap + end of the wave 1 + end of the second wave 1 + 0.618 FIB retracement + 200 daily MA + psychological level 1.00 USDT.
Price is printing a local descending channel and if bulls can break through this channel, then we can definitely go higher!
Overall structure on the daily chart is bearish and I recommend only a short term counter trade here.
I expect tremendous pumps for selected altcoins, you can find them in the related section down below ↓
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Synthetix SNX - Bullish head and shoulders! Elliott wave
SNX is ready for an upcoming uptrend!
On the daily / 3D chart we can spot a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern that is very close to a breakout!
The impulse Elliott wave (5-3-5-3-5) has been successfully completed and because of that I expect an ABC retracement of this bear trend to 0.618 FIB / end of the wave (4).
You can set your profit target here, between 9.19 USDT to 8.02 USDT.
We have a huge descending parallel channel and I think we can definitely break through this channel!
I recommend only a short term trade here, because I think we need more time for this altcoin to gain strength again.
I expect tremendous pumps for selected altcoins, you can find them in the related section down below ↓
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Bitcoin BTC - New bull market just started! Elliott Wave + Wedge
The price is currently above 22 000 USD and we have had a capitulation wick to 17 600 USD to kick out high leverage traders.
I do not see any reason why bitcoin should not respect the previous all time high support from 2017 (around 20 000 USD)!
Bitcoin on the weekly chart is currently sitting on the main support: Previous 2017 Swing high + 0.382 FIB + ABC correction completed!
The price is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is definitely a good sign that can lead to a new bullish trend.
As per my Elliott wave analysis - ABC correction (ZigZag 5-3-5) should be completed successfully and we can start a complete new impulse wave.
Only Bitcoin is a safe bet for the longterm. It's the best store of value and altcoins are awesome for short-term to mid-term massive gains.
I expect tremendous pumps for selected altcoins, you can find them in the related section down below ↓
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TOTAL crypto cap - New bull market! Bull flag + Elliott wave
We have a tremendous confluence to buy cryptocurrencies for a long term at this moment!
It is a common thing to test the previous all time high (in this case from 2018) on the weekly chart.
200 moving average is considered as a strong support by huge instituions and hedge funds and bulls successfully defended this area!
0.382 FIB retracement is also a noticable support level on the LOG scale.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis - ABC correction has been completed on the macro scale and now we are ready for another bull market!
We have a falling wedge or a bullish flag - noticeable patterns on the weekly chart.
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Shiba Inu - Head and Shoulders is breaking out! + Elliott Wave
On the daily chart the price is printing an inverse head and shoulders that is currently breaking out!
Also we have a huge descending parallel channel, so be careful, because there is always a possibility that we will be rejected at the top of the channel.
As per my Elliott wave analysis - the ABC retracement should be completed (ZigZag 5-3-5) and now we should go up at least temporarily.
Wave B is always a strong resistance + 0.618 FIB, place your profit target here.
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Marlin POND - Very bullish pattern! +150% in few days + Triangle
This altcoins has an amazing trade setup for bulls!
On the daily chart we can see an ascending triangle, the most bullish chart pattern and we are close to a breakout.
As per my Elliott waves analysis, the impulse (5-3-5-3-5) has been completed, so we can expect an ABC retracement now.
On the log scale the price is printing an descending channel and this is a nice profit target for our trade.
This will be a quick trade that can take just a few days.
You can buy a breakout above the triangle, If you want to increase the probability of success.
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PolkaDot DOT - On a massive weekly support! 0.618 FIB + Channel
PolkaDot was a very strong altcoin in 2020-2021 as you can see on the historical chart and we can cleary spot an impulse wave here.
The coin in 2022 fell to the strongest support (0.618 FIB + Wave 1 horizontal support + POC + ABC correction).
If you like fundamentals of this coin, this is definitely a good time to buy, because we have a strong confluence.
The missing part is the descending parallel channel, because the price is still inside the channel, but we have had a nice touch on the bottom.
After an impulse wave - ABC correction is expected and in this case, the ABC correction has been sucessfullly completed with an ending diagonal pattern.
If want to make a short term trade, you can place your profit target at the top of the channel, otherwise next stop is below previous all time high.
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Dominance BTC.D - ALT SEASON STARTING! + ABCDE Completed
The 14-month long consolidation is over, it was truly an endless price action, but nothing last forever.
ABCDE rectangle/triangle has been successfully finished and now we can finally continue in the direction of the main trend.
According to my analysis of Elliott waves, we are now in the 3rd wave and this can be huge!
Bitcoin Lightning network is still not supported by major exchanges, because it is not in their business plan and this is definitely a positive sign for altcoins.
What to do during the alt season? It's good to pick promising altcoins, which is not an easy task, but even very bad coins can easily pump.
Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin BTC - Explosive breakout soon! + Elliott Wave + Channel
IF you are an Elliott wave trader, you have to confirm that this is a valid EW count.
As per my Elliott analysis, this impulse wave (5-3-5-3-5) has been completed successfully together with major ABC correction from 2021.
On the daily chart we can spot 2 parallel channels and they are both close to a breakout, so with this confluence we can increase our probability!
Next stop is major previous horizontal resistance + start of the gap + 0.618 FIB (around 36 500 USDT - 37 500 USDT).
It is possible that we see this low price for the last time, because Bitcoin is very bullish asset and we are on a major support on the monthly scale (from 2017).
Look at my idea about Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe in the related section down below ↓
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Binance BNB - Strong buy signal! + Elliott wave + Triangle
Elliott wave analysis on BNB was really hard, but this is my outlook on the 4h / daily chart.
Don't forget that BNB on the weekly / monthly scale is extremely bullish, so we should follow the main trend.
We have a broadening wedge / descending channel, which are usually both bullish patterns.
Also the price is printing a local ascending triangle in the end of the trend - good to see!
Impulse Elliott wave for this huge downtrend should be completed and it is possible that we will never see this low price again.
BNB is indeed one of the most bullish altcoin in crypto.
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Ripple XRP - Finally huge opportunity! + Elliott Wave + Channel
XRP can finally make an uptrend, we have a local descending channel on the daily chart, which is very close to a breakout!
As per my Elliott wave analysis, the ABC correction can be completed, so we there is a great chance for an uptrend.
On the RSI indicator we can spot a bullish divergence with higher lows.
We haven't retested the massive yellow triangle yet, so we can definitely do it in the immidiate short term.
Your profit target can be end of the wave (1) + retest of the triangle + 200MA.
Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
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TrueFi TRU - Downtrend is over, can pump hard! + Elliott Wave
Due to my technical analysis, i think this downtrend can be over and we can expect a pump anytime soon!
On the daily chart we have a broadening wedge and also a local ascending triangle, both bullish patterns.
If we take a look at the RSI indicator - we can spot a bullish divergence, always great to see.
As per my Elliott wave analysis, the massive impulse wave to the downside should be completed and because of that, I expect an ABC retracement.
Main Profit target is 0.618 FIB + end of the wave 4 (High liquidity area).
We can also get stopped by the descending blue trend line, but i think it will break up!
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DOUBLE LOWER TOP FORMING: CPI COMINGLooks just like Feb 2-10, just playing at lower price. CPI numbers next week can crush this hopium rally.
ERs coming later likely to disappoint and guidance has hardly been rosy so far, can't expect much imo.
Stupid happy fool rally not getting much higher imo, just another bottomfishing bull trap.
Still waiting for capitulation and real panic, dip buyers not fully crushed yet. RSI back at rollover level.
Time and price projections suggest a lower low in late July. Follow the TL.
Fat Lady didn't sing yet...
FORTH - Ready for a breakout! Channel + Elliott wave
On the daily chart, we can clearly see a descending channel / falling wedge, which is ready for a breakout!
Buy a breakout above rectangle + 200 MA + trendline of the channel, we have a nice confluence here, that is very important!
This coin never made an all time high, so it is safe to set the profit target to 0.618 FIB + end of the wave 4 (High liquidity area).
Due to my Elliott wave analysis - Impulse Elliott wave has been completed successfully and we can expect at least a retracement.
200 daily moving average is considered as a massive level by huge instituions and hedge funds.
We have a high bullish volume and I don't see any bearish pressure on the indicator.
If we take a look at the RSI indicator, there is a horizontal level, so if we break this level, that would be great!
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Stellar XLM - Prepare your buy orders! + 0.618 FIB + Wedge
XLM is very close to the 0.618 FIB retracement of the huge Impulse wave from 2020-2021.
Also the price is close to a massive horizontal support line from 2020.
I expect last wave to the downside to finish this downtrend and then I can see at least a retracement back to 0.25 USD.
As per my Elliott wave analysis - an impulse wave to the downside is almost completed as you can see.
If we take a look at the volume indicator, we can see there is absolutely no bearish pressure, which is always great to see.
On the weekly chart we can spot a falling wedge - bullish reversal pattern and the price is currently near the support line.
You can set a limit order to buy XLM at 0.0888 USD if you want to speculate on this move.
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