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Bearmarket

AUD/USD 4H still bearish.As we analyze recently. We might see a bullish change of character in the 1H time-frame. But when we spike into 4H, we still see a clear bearish continuation trend. If the Dollar continues to be stronger these days than the AUD volume. We will see this continuation of bearish trend into AUD/USD. We use Fibonacci Retracement to see where our zone of pull-back would most likely be. We have a clear FVG on the 4H chart. By our analysis, we speculate that the price will bounce from the FVG level (Which is into the Fib premium zone as-well) and continue to the swing bullish order block. That's where we might exit. Will update further.
Short
by RumbaCash
SOL PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE LONG TERM (UPDATED) HELLFIRE!What is up guys? I have been off for a decent while since I have been very busy with life however I am back. Please be reminded that a high probable trade is among us with SOLANA and other assets which will begin to go down this day up to a maximum of 19.6$ with an expected pullback up to 22.2$. As you can see in the chart, the Relative Strength Index has clearly given an image of consistent long-term (daily chart btw) losses of buyer interest which could only mean one thing -- an impending doom of a massive sell. How does the Relative Strength Index help confirm the foreseen downtrend? It is mainly a tool that shows the strength of a particular movement whether if it may be bearish or bullish. In this scenario, the RSI shows that each pump is considerably weaker in momentum than the previous one and the price action demonstrates no further upside action and is now entering a slow-downtrend or a consolidation period. Buyers are uncertain if they can keep up with the positive sentiment and bears are now preparing their moneybags. If you have any more questions, please feel free to chat, comment, react and share! ---------------------------------
Short
by Wamses
BTC Bull Flag Breakout or Re-Test of Cycle Lows?This monthly chart of Bitcoin shows we're either setting up for a Bull-Flag breakout, or potential breakdown to re-test the $15k-$16.5 lows. Either way, I think the bottom is in or almost in. The big questions is whether we see the re-test like in the 2015-2016 bottom, or push through and never look back like in 2019. If we push higher here and have a daily close above $25,300 then it's likely a quick push higher to the $30k zone, where we'll see profit taking and a pull back to the new higher support. Our proprietary ERI indicator (Green Arrow) is showing that the bottom is in (which also signaled Green in all 3 prior market cycle bottoms). So we're waiting to see what happens in the coming weeks. Our TSI indicator has also turned Green and heading higher. The confirmation will be the break above the 20% line on the monthly chart. The third confirmation will be our Signal line turning from Red to Green, and crossing the mid-line (Olive). These have been accurate in all prior market cycle bottoms, but as we all know, 'this time could be different'.. That being said, I trust our indicators and analysis... So we'll see. Also waiting for the monthly MACD to break above the center line and turn Green. Thoughts, comments, feedback? Please share below.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by BrettFogle
bitcoin, it is until its notbearish market structure remains sfp of the previous lower high until this changes we remain in bearish territory no one wants capo to be right but until this is broken he could very well be right "biggest bull trap ever" - would give him legendary status if we descend to lows now Imagine 15k May, 12k August not sure where 100mma would be by then as its slowly creeping up, maybe 150ema could prove an ultimate bear target (over to you to look at time frames) ;-)
Short
by TBTS
VIX: VOLATILITY CYCLES / POINT OF CONTROL / RAISING THE CEILING DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a SEMI-MACRO analysis of VIX a volatility index on the 4 hour timeframe. This is a brief update on VIX as we have had some interesting momentum taking place. POINTS: 1. Deviation of 7 points continues to stand and justifies Supply & Demand Pocket Placement. 2. RSI is currently OVEREXTENDED but PRICE ACTION continues to exhibit compressed behavior by only GRAVITATING around 20 POINTS. 3. MACD signals that past cycles have at least seen 2.00 POINTS on MACD'S deviation from Median but has only seen 0.50 since the beginning of this VOLATILITY CYCLE. IMPORTANT: With a new ceiling confirmed by price actions recent upward momentum it is safe to say that if price action surpasses 23 we will come to see elevated VOLATILITY for SPY, SPX, ES1! or NQ1!. I would consider a BULLISH & BEARISH scenario when it comes to VIX but no recession has ever come to an end without VIX first touching 40 POINTS but here it is. SCENARIO #1: In a BULLISH scenario for VIX we see an eventual RETEST of 19 followed by further consolidation and a BREAK of 23 POINTS by MARCH 8th. SCENARIO #2: In a BEARISH scenario for VIX we come to see a break of 19 POINTS to the downside followed by an inevitable RETEST of the 8 YEAR TREND LINE & would elongate capitulation due date. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com TVC:VIX CBOE:VIX
TVC:VIXLong
by DGSTBROKERACC
Correction I see for bitcoin This is how I see bitcoin right now and don’t say we are bottomed, we aren’t bottomed yet and yet the winter is already over but the bear market is not over yet. As you can see CPI Data is almost 7% and the inflation is still over 6%. Even so we should expect the long drop follow along with a downtrend, down to 14 or 15K then finish up the correction to mid-Recovery up to 31 or 32K; then the bear market should finish up during the bitcoin halving in 2024 and expect the Feds pivot and cut rates; so the liquidity won’t have an issue. 10K is still the bear market target for bitcoin bottom somehow most of us said could go a lot lower than 10K we will see. We won’t see a bullrun starts around 2024 Bitcoin right now is still Volatile; the buys will be short and the sells as well please be very careful and don’t get too greedy. What bottom you see for bitcoin ?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JoyBoyVegae
3
BTC Outlook 2023 - 2027BTC Outlook 2023-2027 (Revised) I think its almost confirmed with high confidence that this rally is bear market rally, not a rally of a new cycle that ends the BTC bear market. 25k is already its highest peak, it will going sideway for a while before resuming the drawdown to a lower level. Q1 2023 is one month left before it ends. This rally is the corrective move of wave 4 of the 4th cycle ABC move. After we have the truncated bull market of 2021, now we also have a truncated bear market. Its a textbook Elliot Wave cycle but its just not the ideal one. But it is the ideal one to model the current cycle. We can see that the peak of the current rally has touch multiple important moving averages. That's it, the unbreakable wall of the rally. Next move we will see again another massive drawdown, the wave 5, the last wave of the ABC move. My prediction is that BTC will be asking for a major support between 12-14k liquidity area, touching 1M 100 SMA and 50% of Fibonacci retracement level, and surely a weekly bullish divergence will be formed, and that would be the best time to buy before a new cycle started. Approximately the bottom will be formed around Q2-Q3 of 2023, but I think Q3 is preferable considering the macroeconomic condition. The identification of almost-confirmed-with-high-confidence wave 4 of ABC move also stating that the current cycle has been going a time period of more than 4 years tradition and still counting due to a longer bear market. The first time that BTC breaking this tradition after going 3 Elliot Wave cycles and 3 halvings. For the next cycle, we will have the first wave peaking between 32-37k, the 3rd wave peaking at around 2021 ATH and for the 5th wave, the blow off top will be around 130-170k. Let see if this post will age really well in the coming years.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by derahmanov
Bitcoin looks ready for a runBitcoin reacted at the 886 level as shown in last outlookbut came right back up, ignoring every potential sell zone in its way and is now about to break the area. Some kind of "disbelief" move is very likey to happen at this point with a quick rally to 30k as a very important psichological level and has many fibonacci confluence. Overall market sentiment still seems to be bearish, the more people doubt this move, the higher it will go. Still thinking the bootom is yet to be put, if we break 30k i might change my mind.
Long
by Filipe_forner
1
25 year monthly study of ESAnnotations included on the chart: This chart is essentially demonstrating just how far the market is capable of pulling back. The chart includes key levels and the years of notable highs / lows as well as + / - rejection boxes showing where price pivots as well as how perfectly, years later, price is capable of traveling far distances to perfectly tap back into an old rejection block. Most notably the 2020 pullback that perfectly filled the small rejection block created when price was finally able to make a break above in 2016.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by puapwr
STILL 100 % of track NEXT LEG OF THE BEAR IS ABOUT TO START I am now getting another major sell model long term sp 500 to total Long term bonds is been given in my models I personally have moved into 6 month and 1 year till bills today I manage six large trusts And told my group to shift All funds into insured accounts I will be moving to 50 to 75 % % short on any rally into 4183 and 100 % at 4212/4222 or on a stop of 3988 . sp 500 to bonds ratio is near BELL RINGING now as of today I see the lows of dec and oct taken out I have two targets based on the cycle low projection 3510/3490 . . I came up with in dec 2021. target is 3390/ is the alt the main target is 2785/2985 the decline should be in time cycle march low 2024 and should unfold in another clear 5 waves .. BEST OF TRADES ! WAVETIMER
FRED:WILL5000INDFCShort
by wavetimer