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XAUUSD - Short Term Bullish Momentum XAUUSD is currently showing signs of a short term bullish momentum. After showing a break of structure and reversing to the downside it looks like XAUUSD has met a nice level of support where it may continue showing bullish movement until it reaches around the 1900-1925 level where we should see a strong resistance. After reaching the 1900-1925 level we should see a strong bearish movement. To further this bearish sentiment this level would also be the second wave of the Elliott Wave Theory which would be followed by the 3rd wave. The 3rd wave is usually regarded as the most volatile and impulsive wave of the EWT which would be a great place to enter. The next form of support that can be seen after should be around the 1777.500 area. Upgrade your trading with me For FREE SIGNALS and if you would like to see updates on this idea and many more please follow: @wrightwayinvestments @wrightwayinvestments @wrightwayinvestments ✅ Hit the like button, and share for more!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
US30 Dow Jones ShortDear friends and new viewers, So far it seems that the Dow Jones is experiencing some resistance on its current price pullback. IF we break through the 50-day MVA and break through this key level of resistance we could see a return in an upward trend. Even though it may seem tempting to enter a long here I would recommend a short instead since I am still bearish on the overall market. This could end up being a bull trap and could lead to a bearish outcome. With the REX not showing a buy signal and since we are below the 50-day MVA as well as Jerome Powell still hiking interest rates, I believe this will be a bearish outcome. Trade with caution, ~MC www.forbes.com (FED rate hike for March, the meeting occurred and rates did get hiked.)
UShort
by MasterChef23
#BTCUSDTMy hart says price will directly hit the 21700 price, and my brain also says the price need to do a correction movement to hit the upper side blue lines which placed on 23343 maximum upper line...price is doing a death cross on 4H chart and 21700 OB and 20750 Ob the last hope for bulls...unless we can see the price will kiss 12,000 level as soon as possible....in short term it will going to touch the upper key level of the falling wedge....all things can be happened or not.....
Short
by BabyRusk
Macro and crypto: What should traders and investors expect?Hello, everyone! Today we would like to discuss macro and crypto, what affects that, what depends on that and what to expect from the market and when the new bull cycle will start A LITTLE BIT OF THEORY 1. US PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) – macroeconomic indicator that shows the level of business activity. 2. DGS 1&5 – average 1 and 5 year US Treasury yield. 3. FED Funds Rate – the interest rate at which U.S. banks lend their excess reserves for short terms to other banks. Let’s figure out what's GOOD and what's BAD for the crypto market 1. PMI Values above 50 are a good sign, the economy is growing, markets have more liquidity. Values below 50 are a bad sign, the economy is shrinking, there is less and less liquidity in the market. 2. DGS 1/5 High rates are bad, people are used to investing where there is a clear yield and clear rules for receiving returns, where there is less risk. Low rates are good, bonds do not bring profitability, people are forced to choose more profitable, and therefore risky instruments for the preservation and multiplication of capital 3. FED Funds Rate High rates are bad, the interest on capital and liquidity is becoming more and more, the required level of profitability must be higher than the prime rate + the rate of the individual counterparty. Liquidity becomes less and less, access to it becomes more and more difficult. Low rates are good, liquidity is available to everyone, everyone can take funds to realize their goals and objectives, the overall profitability of any business is quite low. Lots of free money in the market. Which market can be called BULLISH? 1. US PMI values above 50 2. Low DGS values 1/5 3. Low FED Funds Rate That's the kind of market we had from April 2020 until November-December 2021. At that point, many realized that the music was no longer playing. The FED hammered the last nail in the coffin of the bull market in February-March 2022, and that's when all the fun and the official bear cycle began. How do we know if the market has flipped and we're growing up again? Recommendations for PATIENT TRADERS 1. US PMI will come out of the crisis – current values are ATL from May 2020 2. The FED will do a soft landing, beat inflation and start lowering rates – very bullish signal. The important thing is to beat inflation, otherwise our bull market will be very short-lived, or the next bear market will be super painful. 3. DGS 1/5 will fall to spring 2020 values If you see all of this, then unpack your stackable piggy bank and get ready for a hot period, we will be back in the game and the market of universal profits. As practice shows, everyone will have 3 to 6 months to get into their positions and get ready to take off. Also, remember that the market can be irrational, the main thing for everyone is to let their strategy survive it. Markets are capable of being irrational longer than traders will be solvent. What to do now? We’ve tried to give an answer to the question in our previous article. And we still stick to this local position. This article will allow you to look at the crypto market within macro analysis and the overall picture. But then everything depends on you! Tell us if you study the macroeconomics rates, which indicators you use and which topics you would like to discuss! Don't forget to check links below and check our trading terminal! NFA & DYOR
by Samura0x
42
AUD/USD 4H still bearish.As we analyze recently. We might see a bullish change of character in the 1H time-frame. But when we spike into 4H, we still see a clear bearish continuation trend. If the Dollar continues to be stronger these days than the AUD volume. We will see this continuation of bearish trend into AUD/USD. We use Fibonacci Retracement to see where our zone of pull-back would most likely be. We have a clear FVG on the 4H chart. By our analysis, we speculate that the price will bounce from the FVG level (Which is into the Fib premium zone as-well) and continue to the swing bullish order block. That's where we might exit. Will update further.
Short
by RumbaCash
SOL PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE LONG TERM (UPDATED) HELLFIRE!What is up guys? I have been off for a decent while since I have been very busy with life however I am back. Please be reminded that a high probable trade is among us with SOLANA and other assets which will begin to go down this day up to a maximum of 19.6$ with an expected pullback up to 22.2$. As you can see in the chart, the Relative Strength Index has clearly given an image of consistent long-term (daily chart btw) losses of buyer interest which could only mean one thing -- an impending doom of a massive sell. How does the Relative Strength Index help confirm the foreseen downtrend? It is mainly a tool that shows the strength of a particular movement whether if it may be bearish or bullish. In this scenario, the RSI shows that each pump is considerably weaker in momentum than the previous one and the price action demonstrates no further upside action and is now entering a slow-downtrend or a consolidation period. Buyers are uncertain if they can keep up with the positive sentiment and bears are now preparing their moneybags. If you have any more questions, please feel free to chat, comment, react and share! ---------------------------------
Short
by Wamses
BTC Bull Flag Breakout or Re-Test of Cycle Lows?This monthly chart of Bitcoin shows we're either setting up for a Bull-Flag breakout, or potential breakdown to re-test the $15k-$16.5 lows. Either way, I think the bottom is in or almost in. The big questions is whether we see the re-test like in the 2015-2016 bottom, or push through and never look back like in 2019. If we push higher here and have a daily close above $25,300 then it's likely a quick push higher to the $30k zone, where we'll see profit taking and a pull back to the new higher support. Our proprietary ERI indicator (Green Arrow) is showing that the bottom is in (which also signaled Green in all 3 prior market cycle bottoms). So we're waiting to see what happens in the coming weeks. Our TSI indicator has also turned Green and heading higher. The confirmation will be the break above the 20% line on the monthly chart. The third confirmation will be our Signal line turning from Red to Green, and crossing the mid-line (Olive). These have been accurate in all prior market cycle bottoms, but as we all know, 'this time could be different'.. That being said, I trust our indicators and analysis... So we'll see. Also waiting for the monthly MACD to break above the center line and turn Green. Thoughts, comments, feedback? Please share below.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by BrettFogle
bitcoin, it is until its notbearish market structure remains sfp of the previous lower high until this changes we remain in bearish territory no one wants capo to be right but until this is broken he could very well be right "biggest bull trap ever" - would give him legendary status if we descend to lows now Imagine 15k May, 12k August not sure where 100mma would be by then as its slowly creeping up, maybe 150ema could prove an ultimate bear target (over to you to look at time frames) ;-)
Short
by TBTS
VIX: VOLATILITY CYCLES / POINT OF CONTROL / RAISING THE CEILING DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a SEMI-MACRO analysis of VIX a volatility index on the 4 hour timeframe. This is a brief update on VIX as we have had some interesting momentum taking place. POINTS: 1. Deviation of 7 points continues to stand and justifies Supply & Demand Pocket Placement. 2. RSI is currently OVEREXTENDED but PRICE ACTION continues to exhibit compressed behavior by only GRAVITATING around 20 POINTS. 3. MACD signals that past cycles have at least seen 2.00 POINTS on MACD'S deviation from Median but has only seen 0.50 since the beginning of this VOLATILITY CYCLE. IMPORTANT: With a new ceiling confirmed by price actions recent upward momentum it is safe to say that if price action surpasses 23 we will come to see elevated VOLATILITY for SPY, SPX, ES1! or NQ1!. I would consider a BULLISH & BEARISH scenario when it comes to VIX but no recession has ever come to an end without VIX first touching 40 POINTS but here it is. SCENARIO #1: In a BULLISH scenario for VIX we see an eventual RETEST of 19 followed by further consolidation and a BREAK of 23 POINTS by MARCH 8th. SCENARIO #2: In a BEARISH scenario for VIX we come to see a break of 19 POINTS to the downside followed by an inevitable RETEST of the 8 YEAR TREND LINE & would elongate capitulation due date. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com TVC:VIX CBOE:VIX
TVC:VIXLong
by DGSTBROKERACC
Correction I see for bitcoin This is how I see bitcoin right now and don’t say we are bottomed, we aren’t bottomed yet and yet the winter is already over but the bear market is not over yet. As you can see CPI Data is almost 7% and the inflation is still over 6%. Even so we should expect the long drop follow along with a downtrend, down to 14 or 15K then finish up the correction to mid-Recovery up to 31 or 32K; then the bear market should finish up during the bitcoin halving in 2024 and expect the Feds pivot and cut rates; so the liquidity won’t have an issue. 10K is still the bear market target for bitcoin bottom somehow most of us said could go a lot lower than 10K we will see. We won’t see a bullrun starts around 2024 Bitcoin right now is still Volatile; the buys will be short and the sells as well please be very careful and don’t get too greedy. What bottom you see for bitcoin ?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JoyBoyVegae
3
BTC Outlook 2023 - 2027BTC Outlook 2023-2027 (Revised) I think its almost confirmed with high confidence that this rally is bear market rally, not a rally of a new cycle that ends the BTC bear market. 25k is already its highest peak, it will going sideway for a while before resuming the drawdown to a lower level. Q1 2023 is one month left before it ends. This rally is the corrective move of wave 4 of the 4th cycle ABC move. After we have the truncated bull market of 2021, now we also have a truncated bear market. Its a textbook Elliot Wave cycle but its just not the ideal one. But it is the ideal one to model the current cycle. We can see that the peak of the current rally has touch multiple important moving averages. That's it, the unbreakable wall of the rally. Next move we will see again another massive drawdown, the wave 5, the last wave of the ABC move. My prediction is that BTC will be asking for a major support between 12-14k liquidity area, touching 1M 100 SMA and 50% of Fibonacci retracement level, and surely a weekly bullish divergence will be formed, and that would be the best time to buy before a new cycle started. Approximately the bottom will be formed around Q2-Q3 of 2023, but I think Q3 is preferable considering the macroeconomic condition. The identification of almost-confirmed-with-high-confidence wave 4 of ABC move also stating that the current cycle has been going a time period of more than 4 years tradition and still counting due to a longer bear market. The first time that BTC breaking this tradition after going 3 Elliot Wave cycles and 3 halvings. For the next cycle, we will have the first wave peaking between 32-37k, the 3rd wave peaking at around 2021 ATH and for the 5th wave, the blow off top will be around 130-170k. Let see if this post will age really well in the coming years.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by derahmanov