Get started

Bearmarket

Bear Market or Short-term Sell-Off?The March CPI was reported at 3.5%, higher than expected on April 10. This development triggered a sharp decline in the stock market, with a total drop of 8.5% from the recent high. Could this downward movement signal the onset of a major bear market, or is this sell-off simply a retracement, setting the stage for the bull market to resume? We will explore this question by studying the following hypothesis: • A rising CPI is a leading indicator of a bear market. • A declining CPI is a leading indicator of a bull market. Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
12
AAPL in Risk of Bear MarketApple is having a tough period with weakening China demand, lack of growth and innovation, AI lag, regulatory challenges that threaten its lucrative walled garden business model and other headwinds. These challenges weigh on the stock, which shed more than 10% in the first quarter. Along with Tesla, they were the only stocks to fall, among the Magnificent Seven. The situation deteriorated further in April, as AAPL hit the lowest levels in a year and is now in risk of a bear market . Moves below $160 would mean losses of 20% and more from the December record high, which is generally viewed as the threshold for a bear market. On the other hand Apple is still one of the most valuable companies in the world and investors are unlikely to give up on it and there are reasons for optimism. iPhone sales have shown resilience and the smartphone market is poised for a rebound. Its CEO appears determined to not let China fall, but also looks to India, which has significant untapped potential. Apple also launched the Vision Pro AR headset this year, looking for an early entry to a nascent market, while AI progress could be showcased soon. AAPL is having a good week and although we could see further rebound, the upside contains multiple roadblocks. Closes above the EMA200 would be required for the downside momentum to halt. The stocks trajectory will be influenced by the upcoming earnings report, which is due on May 2. Top and bottom lines, China & India performance, guidance and AI progress, will be some of the focal points. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by FXCM
Major clues in USD indicate Bear market Late summer/ early fallHi guys. When trading its always important to learn/educate to find an edge on the markets. There are so many charts you can access to analyze/compare, etc. Its known that many ticker symbols can be used in certain ways to help understand markets in a deeper way. The DXY or U.S. Dollar Index is an asset that i use to assess Risk mentality. So keeping it simple: If dollar RISES -> it indicates a RISK OFF mentality -> so people leave risky investments to enter the safety that is cash If dollar FALLS in price -> it indicates a RISK ON mentality -> this means peoplpe are leaving the safety of the dollar to take risk in other investments. Im bringing you this analysis to assess the health of the broader markets and whether or not we are at risk of a down fall/ recession especially with tensions significantly rising in the Middle east. So jumping right in. I got 3 Red resistance trend lines drawn. This trendline, in part reflects Bull runs in broader markets. 2 from past history 1 which is associated with our current Price action. As you can see, this Resistance begins at the TOP price of DXY. Price is then supressed from a certain amount of time, before a breakout back ABOVE. Everytime we have broken the resistance trendline. The dollar starts a massive Bull run when measured: The 1st one lasted about 700 days The 2nd one lasted about 460 days. So the question i asked was how does this relate to the S&P and other markets. Does the breakout above resistance from the start cause drops in all markets? When i looked, i was surprised. Fall in other markets does NOT happen right off the breakout. In fact, when i measured after the resistance breakouts it takes roughly 133-189 days before S&P begins a BEAR market. As indicated by black lines. 1st example it took 133 days after breakout 2nd example took 189 days after breakout. We have recently broken out ABOVE the red resistance trendline. So if you consider previous history, our next Bear market i believe will begin sometime late Summer or early Fall. Now remember previous history does not have to repeat. It just helps us find patterns and consider things. It is however possible, if actual war does breakout. Things may change, as it would be considered a Black swan event. However, until it happens this is the likely scenario in my OPINION. Our current movements i think is just a pullback before continuing higher. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on DXY in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
TVC:DXYLong
by SafofAllTrades
Nvidia - Entering a bear market!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than 6 years, Nvidia stock has been trading in a long term rising channel formation. We had the last retest of support in 2021 which was then followed by a +650% rally towards the upside. As we are speaking Nvidia stock is retesting the upper resistance of the channel and we might see a short term correction towards the downside to retest the previous all time high. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDA
by basictradingtv
64
House Prices have likely reached a topParty's over. Now comes the bill. Housing prices have experienced an artificial inflated price surge from march 2020 that needs to be corrected. RSI sell signal MACD just crossed the signal and it's bound to change direction. Stochastic RSI at virtual 0 also signals a possible change to a bear market that is still yet to occur, which often happens at a second bounce to a lower high. First target is 345. Using 2008 as reference price index can go as low as 310, to the 0.38 retracement, however back then - from the shock reaction to the bubble bursting - we didn't experience the recession we would have had if the Fed didn't eased the economy, quantitatively speaking, if you know what I mean. If the Fed lets the house market drive its natural course, and if we experience a deflationary economy in the mean time, I wouldn't be surprised if we went as low as 290 or 260 on a longer term. DYOR
ECONOMICS:USHPIShort
by Zerkaalo
NIFTY 50 120 MINS CHARTThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart). Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. please keep your comments useful & respectful. Thanks for your support..... Tradelikemee Academy Sanjay K G
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Tradelikemee
Still bearish outlook in bigger pictureLast week after a bearish movement gold rejected around psycological support level 2000, wich is also daily support level. GOld managed to move around 380pips without a proper rejections at certain resistance levels. Posible gold moved on fundamentals because off wars going on around the world. GOld remains a save asset. Technical in the bigger picture were still in a bearish market. From my perspective i see 2 scenerio's. Next week we will focus on selling the market either from resistance level 2032 or wait for gold to climb towards around trend resistance level(yellow line) In the daily timeframe we broke out off the support and is currently retesting this zone. But we should not enter on such high timeframe and look for confirmations in lowertime frame such as m30,m15 and m5.(See updated post for the daily timeframe overview) resistance: 2032, 2040, 2050, 2070 Support: 2025, 2016, 2005, 2000
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexGoldIntraday
Bitcoin bear market is overI think we have made the bottom for bitcoin at 15-16k area and now we are in the accumulation phase of the crypto cycle. It is hard to say how long it will take, but I am more convinced towards the accumulation phase based on my analysis of the weekly chart. There are 3 major occasions during which we have tanked below weekly 21 moving average and immediately seen a spike in volume and came back above it. Every single time that this has happened, we have made new all time highs! I have also shared my thoughts on what will happen in short term going into 3rd May 2023 fomc rate decision.
Long
by chartmaster1991
New bottom in Q1 2024In recent weeks, it appears that market makers have managed to generated significant hype around positive news to get the market excited. However, it looks like they immediately capitalize on this momentum and sell off their bags. A good example of this behavior is when NASDAQ:NVDA last week reached alot of liquidity above $500, only to then dump. If we align the speed of the market pullback with the resistance line indicated in yellow, the possibility arises for a new bottom in Q1 2024.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by arcone
2
Bitcoin Market State - June 2022Looks like our 4 year bear market is being accelerated. The base action plan has not changed, we're still unloading between Dec 2022 - Jan 2023, however the price targets are likely different. I don't think that Bitcoin has a high probability of making a new ATH from here in the coming few years, most likely it will peak at around 37k-42k in December / Jan, before continuing the bear trend down to 7.2k-7.6k. That said, I won't exclude the possibility of an alt-season during this year (2022), before the BTC bear market takes hold in full force. We may well see some Alts hitting new heights before the year ends. After that, bear market across the board. -Hawk
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Alien_Algorithms
Its time for SOL searching! I love the smell of napalm in the morning! Solana Compass data shows that the Solana network Epoch 370 will unlock 49,973,143 SOL. At the current price of $18.82, the unlocked Sol is worth more than $900 million, which will happen in 20 hoursAfter what happened to FTX and FTT the next victim is Solana and its ready for lower levels targets 17.5 , 17 , 16 and 15. 16$ is very important support and if it lose that area then be ready for 14 and 13$
Short
by moonypto
4
The Dead Cat Bounce on the JSE ALSI 40 & why trading is so hardYou know why bear markets are so hard to trade? Because when the market bounces up (just a little), some stocks fly up. ANd this results in stop losses getting hit, before the market comes back down. That's why we need to determine the volatility movement within the indices and stocks and WIDEN stop losses and take profits - to not be victim of these short term bear market rallies. It's probably one of the most difficult aspects to getting right... We clearly see the JSE ALSI is in the bear market with the diagonal resistance along with price below the 200MA... The best we can do is short markets BUT also go long and hedge a few markets just in case we have a relief rally to make up for the stop losses hit with the shorts... That's the way of trading well.
JSE:J200Short
by Timonrosso
Paypal Close To Dropping Through $50!Apple's foray into the payment industry is impacting PayPal's stock price, causing concern among investors. Analysts are closely monitoring PayPal's third-quarter earnings report to assess the company's current standing and future prospects. Despite projected earnings of $1.16 per share, PayPal's stock has been struggling, experiencing a 32% drop since the beginning of the year, despite positive earnings reports. So far this year, the stock has declined by 28%, with a 13% drop in October alone. This downward trend raises doubts about PayPal's ability to recover, especially since it lacks strong historical support levels. While the stock may find some support around the $50 mark, a significant rebound is necessary for a complete recovery. In fact, to reach its all-time high, the stock would need to surge by a staggering 505%. Another significant obstacle is surpassing last year's low of $66. The upcoming third-quarter earnings report, scheduled for release on November 1st, will be crucial in determining PayPal's near-term outlook and its ability to navigate the challenges within the industry.
NASDAQ:PYPLShort
by Sublime_Trading
Bear market rally before the crash? We stated that since the price broke below the 200MA, that we entered and have remained in a bear market. And during bear trends, the market tends to zig zag along the way with strong downside pushes... Right now, the price is heading up to retest the most recent resistance. This is normally, where traders and retail traders will buy in and believe the market is heading up. But this is where we need to be cautious with our decisions. Yes we will see upside in many stocks, but we mustn't think this is the start of the bull market UNTIL we see the price go above the 200MA... The target for now remains at 56,483
JSE:J200Short
by Timonrosso
TAke profits from longs on Meta Sure, here's the analysis of Meta (formerly known as Facebook) based on the information you provided: Stock Performance: Meta has recently experienced a stock price increase of over 160%. This is a significant rise and may indicate that investors were enthusiastic, and the stock's performance exceeded typical expectations. This is an important factor that can impact the future stock price. Overbought Zone: Your mention of a mildly overbought condition on the weekly chart is important. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a useful indicator for identifying overbought or oversold conditions in the market. If RSI reaches values above 70, it can signify that the stock is overbought and may be due for a correction. Bearish RSI Divergence: The formation of a bearish RSI divergence on the daily chart is a crucial signal. A bearish divergence suggests that the strength of the uptrend is weakening and could be the beginning of a reversal. This is an important signal for technical analysts, indicating a potential price decline in the future. Profit-Taking: Meta has seen substantial growth since its last decline. When investors witness such significant growth, they may be inclined to start taking profits. This can lead to increased selling of shares and a decline in the stock price. Based on this information, it might be expected that the price of Meta's stock could decline in the near future. However, it's important to note that financial markets are unpredictable and can be influenced by many other factors, including news, geopolitical events, and market trends. It's important to consider that investing based on technical analysis is just one of many approaches to investing. Before making any investment decisions, it's advisable to consult with a financial advisor and consider all available information about the company and the market.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by RC_CRYPTO_SURFER