Tesla & Nordstrom OpportunitiesBear market is here and we are seeing swings up & down today. Nordstrom reporting earnings willthey go up or tank?
Bearmarket
BTC New Bear Pattern IncomingBTC new trading range before capitulation. I'm expecting a dump with the new moon around May the 30th. Fake rally with a top at 40k or slightly below. Then downtrend continuation way below the weekly MA 200
BTC - another Dead Cat Bounce is Here.If you ask me, what will be the price action for Bitcoin in the coming months, here is the answer.
You can agree or disagree with the reasons only.
Not financial advice.
FTM Double TopFTM shows a clear double top (bear formation), like other top alts ( in a more shy way). Others show also double top but last peak higher is than the first one (like BTC), but we should imho play safe and considerer double top the same.
Due to the delicate macro situation, pre war cenario, inflation, tax rates, sp500 double top, btc domination rise, and so on, I believe 99% of all crypto will go more downwards than up, during a long period of time: 12-18months.
I may be wrong of course.
Good luck.
BTCUSDT potential fractalPotential fractal predicting with Fibonacci time frames based on Fisher Transform oscillator fractals. I'm expecting a retest to upper trendline @ 29.7k before the potential dump. It's require patience for 2D more. On Ehlers Stochastic CG we can see a bullish momentum to wait.
NASDAQ 100Look at the Correlation Matrix heatmap for stock-bond correlation.
See you at 10.700 level
Short every spike.
Bear market?Bear market? Yes, an increasingly similar 2022, even worse, to 2018. This is already what we are experiencing on the financial markets.
Hard times for long traders, for swing traders, while golden opportunities for day traders, for those who know how to take advantage of moments of volatility. Volatility that hasn't been seen in a while, especially on the S&P500.
As for me, having a very very strict risk management, for swing or day trading operations, I prefer to focus on the long-term portfolio, accumulating and rebalancing my ETF portfolio which is my real "safe haven" in difficult times.
It is during the downturn that stocks pass from the hands of traders to those of investors. One of the most truthful phrases I've ever heard since doing this job.
Returning to trading, the expectation for June 15-16 is felt by the market; uncertainty has never brought anything good, paradoxically a further .50 point hike from the FED but with falling inflation it would be welcomed by the market. The level of inflation is the most important thermometer, and it has reached such high levels that it bothered some analysts to remember the Volcker maneuver.
I don't think so and I hope it will go that far. What is certain is that the Fed has waited too long to raise rates and international tension and the consequent increase in commodities has aggravated the situation.
It is no coincidence that the oil trade and my commodity ETF are the two biggest gains this year as far as I'm concerned.
I close by summarizing my recent activities:
Purchase (accumulation) on Apple (AAPL) close May 19
MSCI World ETF purchase (accumulation) 19 May close
Buy (accumulate) emerging markets ETFs May 19th close
Happy trading
Lazy bull
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. These posts, videos, and any other contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.
S&P 500 Bear MarketWe are Officially in a BEAR MARKET
A bear market is defined as a 20% drop from a major stock index's peak, and S&P 500 index is down 20 percent.
Now the question is , is there a recession coming?
Well, when you travel back in the chart to the Great Recession in 1929, you'll see how S&P 500 indice almost looks the same of what it is now, S&P 500 has risen by 500% over 8 years since 1921, followed by the great recession in 1929, S&P 500 fell down 85 percent, and now the same indice has risen up 620% since 2009.
Thinking objectively, this comparison looks scary, we have seen the bear market many times, but we haven't witnessed a significant drop like what happened in 1929.
Maybe it's just a regular bear market, Who Knows?!
$BJ $WHR Short Ideas still early in phase 4 downtrendFor the shorts, more trade ideas on stocks that are still early in phase 4 downtrend IMO.
BJ - see more downside, although would like a retest of breakdown for another opportunity however we may not get one, started short small size, looking for $48 zone to cover
WHR - Better setup IMO, broke down then retest and rejected. Looking for $154 zone to cover
$SPX $AAPL $TSLA $ITB Chart breakdownClosing the week red again. Bears seem to be in total control, charts breaking down across the board (less VIX/ Bear Funds of course)
SPX less than 3850 (-20%) funds go officially "Bear Market"
3700 Capitulation levels
Less than 3500 massive de leverage , margin-calls , and breakdown
We need one of those "bear market rallies" I keep hearing about ...
7 red weeks in a row, very historical price action, caught a lot of people off guard, including me : )
BTC - Playing out as per analysis.Fake-outs will be there, but ultimately it has to drop to the demand level. Be cautious in the current bear market.
Not financial advice.
BITCOIN IC CONSOLIDATING AROUND $30KCryptocurrency as a whole has seen hell in recent times. However, BITCOIN has been able to maintain its position as the king of the market.
Bitcoin is trading within a descending TRIANGLE & CONSOLIDATING around $30K and below the weekly trendline that started from the 2018 PEAK of $20K.
QUESTIONS:
1.Will BTC be able to break back above the trendline any time soon?
2. Will the $30K consolidation hold as resistance to follow by bull run?
3.Do we expect BTCto continue the fall?
KINDLY share your thoughts, like, comment and FOLLOW.
$XOP Swing ShortXOP looks like it's rolling over, or at the very least consolidating and heading back to sub 130 after rejection from trendline resistance and 30MA .
Whale trade short, bearish divergences on indicators. Price target sub $130
The Pause before the Storm! Is your #ALTCOIN capsizing?Follow up my to my last Video on April 7th.
I cover #BTC.D & #Total2
#stablecoins #USDT, #USDC dominance
Crash season looming September/October
#MSTR, #GalaxyDigital
#Sol
#LTC
#MKR
#PlanB #Bitcoin Maxi's and #HEX
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/19/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2022
- PR High: 11923.25
- PR Low: 11883.75
- NZ Spread: 88.50
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Gap: = N/A
- Session Open ATR: 456.33
- Volume: 42k
- Open Int: 251k
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From ATH: -29.0% (Rounded)
! GETTING CLOSE TO THE 'MAGICAL' -30% !
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 14105
- Mid: 12960
- Short: 11820
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
SPY DIE PART 3Looks like we might get another leg lower before a big relief rally starting in June (most likely during OPEX).
20sma continued decline.
HUGE sell off today after JPOW's remarks yesterday. Why were they not reflected in price yesterday?
"I thought we were gonna have a relief rally after yesterday's bullish run!"
Vanna, Charm, dealer positioning, hedges unwinding.
It's the same story over and over and over.
Bulls needed to get a huge run over the 20sma and recapture it to the upside. They failed to do that.
The "rally" that took place over the last week was weak. And it's ominously telling of the further decline that is to come.
Seasonality is usually bullish to end the month, but without recapture of that 20d sma, further decline is coming. The lows will be revisited and will likely grind down lower.
This is a grinding bear market with occasional rallies here and there. I have a feeling the next face ripper rally will be around June OPEX, where people are going to be overly hedged and all that unwinding into OPEX will lead to explosive movement upwards (coupled with tech earnings imo).
Supports listed as always.
Unless bulls can explosively move markets higher into tomorrow OPEX and beyond into next week, this market will continue downward as listed above.
Best of luck traders.
If you're a long term investor, just be in cash.
You remain in cash until FED reverses course.
There are NO exceptions to this rule.
DO NOT FIGHT THE FED!
I will reiterate: The FED HAS BEEN CLEAR! They are removing support/liquidity from the markets - the same support/liquidity that propped up the markets to bubble like levels especially the past two years.
Now is not the time to yolo on calls. And now is not the time to yolo on puts either. It is a grinding bear. Only experienced traders should trade this.
The rest of you should be in cash again as listed above.
You're welcome.
BTC Bear Bottom CheatsheetFirstly, apologies for the size of the chart - I had to fit in 3 cycles, so the size is a little small. Also, ignore all Fib levels above the 1. I forgot to remove them.
The chart in itself is very simple, and as close to a cheat-sheet as you are likely to find, in my opinion.
I have used 3 indicators to produce this chart:
1. Fibonacci Retracements
2. 200 Week Moving Average
3. RSI
If we look at the past two BTC bear markets, the 2013-2015 cycle, and the 2017-2019 cycle, we can see 3 things:
1. The -0.5 Fib level, with the cycle top as the 1 and the mid-cycle bottom as the 0, is the bear market bottom.
2. Although the bottom may wick below it, reaching the -0.5 Fib, the 200 Week MA is the support line, and the wick below it will be very brief, and it will return above it as support almost immediately.
3. When the RSI touches the Oversold line on the Weekly timeframe, it correlates with the two indicators above, and indicates a bottom for the bear market.
So, looking at all that, where are we now?
Well, almost there, is where. We don't have far to go. IF we wick down to the -0.5 Fib, before bouncing back and holding the 200 Weekly MA, we're looking at ~$19,000 bottom. If we don't wick down and hold the 200, we're looking at ~$22k-$24k bottom.
Remember, anything can happen in crypto - black swan and unforeseen events, but this is as good as predicting the future as I can do. :)
PS - This is not financial advice. ;)
Bear flag with scary target of 20K We have this scary bear flag on the 4 hourly that nobady is looking at. Bear flag break-outs are usually the most accurate break-outs from all patterns.Thats why i entered short position at 29.9k but we have so much support under my entery price so i am going to take my profits at 27.3k,25.5k, 24k and possibly at 20k.
Be smart, trade safe and i wish you good luck.
What do you think about this scary bear flag ?
Feel free to leave a comment.
If you like my ideas please follow me and like because you can always find something interesting on my profile, i am new to Treadingview but i have 6 years expirience in trading.
DON'T SELL YOUR CRYPTO
BTC TO THE MOON!!!
Bitcoin BearMarket Begin As per Past Date So Must Read this IDEA#Bitcoin Bear Market Alert
- As per Recent Data & Analysis we are In #BearMarket for sure because all Past bear Market was minimum 1 Years ( In this one year BTC was test Bottom )
- Everyone who is claiming Bull market, Misguiding. Truth is BearMarket already Started ( so Do your own research before starting any trade. because Fund is your not Influencers )
- Bear Cycle may end in April 2023 ( As per Last data this bear market will end before April mean to say that in this time interval we can see Bitcoin Bottom for Sure so this time is best for Accumulate more Bitcoin at every Big Dip.)
- We can see #BTC May test 15k-18k Bottom ( This Area may be the Bottom of Bitcoin Because No one Predicted 100% bottom area so the best strategy is to Buy at every big dip and do DCA )
Hope you understand this analysis.
do please LIKE and Share and appreciate
Thank you
EUR/CAD: UpdateEuro/Canadian Dollar went from $1.3471 CAD from $1.3411 CAD in this bearish movement that I believe that this will be an opportunity to short.
I use Fibonacci level and I see that EUR/CAD make reaction in the 0.618% Fibonacci Gold zone and for that, I entry in the early in my analysis of my iphone. But now, this it's by computer now. Also, I move the SL to $1.3485 pips to cut loss as my SL was $1.3517 CAD to cut loss an also protect pips of cuts loss. And also ,I update my take profit to $1.3340 CAD.(+131 pips) of potential to earn.
This it's the H4 timeframe and the trend it's clearly bearish in this par.
In Daily timeframe, we formed like triple top and that it's a bearish continuation side in this bear market what EUR/CAD move it.
So guys, at the moment, we have approximately 56 pips earned in this trade.
I hope that this update work you!!!
NASDAQ 100 (Fibonacci Analysis) Base Case: "The Final Rally"
Blue dots provides good dates & price levels to enter short or long position(s).
Idea (1):
LONG
Entry Price: 11,500.00
Entry Date: June 6, 22'
Price Target: ~$14,350.00
Date Target: Mid to Late Aug. 22'
Idea (2):
SHORT
Entry Price: ~$14,350.00
Entry Date: Mid to Late Aug. 22'
Price Target: $12,800.00
Date Target: Early October 22'
Idea (3):
LONG
Entry Price: $12,800.00
Entry Date: Early October 22'
Price Target: $15,350.00
Date Target: Late Jan. 23'
Idea (4):
SHORT
Entry Price: $15,350.00
Entry Date: Late Jan. 23'
Price Target: ~$10,000.00
Date Target: May 2023
Idea (5):
SHORT
Entry Price: $14,000.00
Entry Date: Early March 2023
Price Target: $10,000.00
Date Target: May 2023
Bitcoin to $23,700 - $24k USDI see Bitcoin dropping to $23,700 - $24k USD , to test the pivotal COVID-19 anchored VWAP. This target could move up or down slightly as time progresses but generally with the current bearish markets, I think it is a reasonable target. The trigger is a monthly candle close below all green pivotal anchored aVWAPs highlighted on the chart.
