Bitcoin targeting $15,000 after peaking in the next few months?I am about 90% convinced that the stock market will peak and so will bitcoin between now and APRIL/MAY then we see alt coins go crazy and then we will more than likely see the bear market confirm around AUG of this year in both stocks and crypto.
Lots of confluence and technical analysis pointing to this happening using the dot com bubble bursting fractal and also a previous fractal from bitcoins 2018 bear market. I believe SPY will be targeting 250 into the first quarter of 2023. I believe Bitcoin will be testing the 15K area by that time as well. We should have some time to prepare our portfolios over the next couple of months. I will be planning to add to my longer term SPY short once we get closer to 450s. I am being extremely selective with my long positions these days and I am also 110% hedging those positions. Now is the time to start making a plan if you do not already have one:
Bearmarket
When is good time to buy ETH or Alcoins?Idea:
End of Bull market is the Bear market will be start.
And anytime when you buy BTC is safety than buy an altcoin.
But when will you buy an altcoin for get more profit than buy BTC and low risk?
Caculation:
- Base on BTC marketcap and altcoin marketcap.
- Index % = Altcoin MC/BTC MC * 100%
- When if:
+ Index% < 50 and going up: buy altcoin--> you can get x3 profit than BTC if in bull market.
+ Index >100: do not buy alcoin --> low profit than BTC and high risk , this time is end of bull market or bear market will be start
--> What do you think about it? Comment below :)) Good luck!
Bitcoin About to CRASH! This happened THREE times in 10 Years!Hi All,
Hit the Like and Follow button before we get started!
One of the biggest signal that Bitcoin is going to crash soon just flashed again! This happened THREE times in the past 10 years and yesterday it did it for the FOURTH time! (see the green arrows on chart).
1. The first time it happened on September 2014, it crashed 60% from $400 to $150
2. The second time it happened on August - November 2018, it crashed 50% from $6,400 to $3,200
3. The third time happened on March 2020 (aka COVID Crash), it crashed 40% from $6,400 to $3,800
4. The fourth time is happening now on January 2022, currently at $35,000 and it could potentially crash 40-60% to $21,000 through 14,000
Each time this happened, we reached the final bottom and full capitulation.
Place buy/long orders at $21,000-17,000 and $14,000-9,000 and wait!
Thank me later.
Note: It could take days or few weeks or couple of Months before the crash happens.
Happy trading!
Carl M.
Check out my previous analysis
BTC to 29K !!!!Hi everyone!
Daily 4H 1H
As previously said on my previous post mentioned that BTC had a chance to test 45K. But unfortunately the current circumstances across all markets are NOT looking good all this as been referred to the current situation with Russia and Ukraine.
But NOT everything is bad as good outcomes come from Red markets: We can accumulate Long term potential coins with solid projects. Forget meme coins and focus on solid structured projects, much suggestion is to stay away from Scalping unless you know what you are doing.
I mentioned that "If failing to hold above this level and( a) daily candle closes below $40.8K (White broken line)Would mean that the Price Channel is broken BTC cloud drop to $35k or even lower." My $34.5k New trend line in blue has touched for the second time and is playing a key support If failing to hold we can see it going down to $29K.
ALWAYS look for extra confirmation before making any trade.
Happy trading people
(No financial advice)
DISCLAIMER
The trading ideas, analysis, and comments above should not be considered financial advice or recommendation to trade or invest in any financial product. Your personal situation has not been taken into consideration in the trade ideas. This page is for general educational purposes only. Do not buy or sell any product discusses on this page before doing your own research DYOR. Always do your own analysis and research and be aware of the risks involved in trading any financial product :)
Using the Keltner and Gaussian Channels to prepare for another NTLDR:
If we see the NASDAQ enter the Gaussian Channel or NDX/SPX enters the Gaussian Channel it is a time to start looking for long term investments. If you see something you like (and maybe that includes giving you dividends) you would buy the base of the keltner channel.
Analysis
I think Have done a good job of putting the information on the main chart in an easy to understand way. One thing I have tinkered on in the past but am not going to detail in this post is how I often see a lot of curious price action occur within important wicks or candle bodies. You cannot always guarantee what kind of price action that you will get in one of these wicks. After all, they could be continuation or reversal. Either way, if you are doing this analysis on a monthly chart or something similar you might be looking for a pattern to develop on that time frame. And if you are on a monthly chart looking for at monthly candle sticks to make a pattern that can take years to develop. Another thing I am not digging into is other indicators looking for bearish divergence. They are there, but I am kinda time bound right now.
A look at the weekly chart of NQ1!/SPXUSD shows after price went above the last monthly wick of NDX/SPX that price formed a double top and price is right at the valley low. Sure, they may be a bounce, for some odd reason, but I am not betting on it. I use the NASDAQ Futures versus SPXUSD because that gets me the most time based data but the inclusion of SPXUSD prohibits me from using any volume analysis, but that is fine for some pure charting technical analysis. I use the fib tar getting on that is pretty solid and while price may zigzag down on NDX/SPX the target shows that NDX is going to take a slagging compared to SPX. If you are familiar with your US indices, then you know generally that NDX is going to take the biggest hit, then SPX, then DJI.
If this is similar to the dot Com bubble pop then Gold should be looking pretty good. And after Gold looks good, silver and the other precious metals should get a run. Here is a look at NDX and Gold. We might be in a decades long bull run of Gold against NDX.
A look at GoldFutures/NDX seems to have a lot of bullishness in the monthly chart with your classic bullish divergence on the monthly.
Gold versus Ethereum also looks very bullish divergence on the MACD and the Stoch picking up.
What I am doing (for now)
My crypto account is either in Tether, PAXG, or taking shorts. My normie employer restrictive retiremnet fund is poised for interest rates to rise. My own trading account is building a portfolio around precious metals and miners.
Bitcoin's Next Bull Market CycleHi everyone,
Thank you for considering reading my idea. Please note that this is just my opinion and is just a rough pattern. It can be invalidated easily.
This chart assumes 64K as the peak on April 2021 even though we created a new ATH at $69k. Please see related idea why I think that.
In the chart, there are 3 colors highlighted:
1. Stop (Red) - After a top, we tend to crash, bounce off the 50 week moving average (yellow line), break down the 50 week moving average, then touch the 200 week moving average (green line).
2. Ready (Orange) - After a bottom at 200 week moving average (green line), we tend to go up before we reach the Bitcoin Halving (white broken vertical line).
3. Go! (Green) - After the Bitcoin Halving, this is when Bitcoin starts to go parabolic and reach the peak.
Where are we now?
In my opinion, we are in the red area. We bounced off the 50 week moving average back in July and September 2021 but eventually broke down off it on January 2022. We can stay in the red area for an average of 308 days starting from the peak.
What to expect next?
I expect the price of Bitcoin to at least touch the 200 week moving average currently at $20,000 but may go higher over time. Possibly we could touch it at around $23,000. Note that we don't know yet when to expect the bottom so the red area may adjust. We can stay in the orange area for an average of 483 days starting from the end of the red area.
What happens after the bottom?
We go to the orange area. The orange area may adjust depending when we get the 200 week moving average bottom. I think this is the good time to really buy Bitcoin.
When is the peak?
Historically, it took between 336-518 days before we reach the peak. If we were to start counting from the 4th Halving, it estimates Bitcoin to peak between February-August 2025.
At what price?
This chart unfortunately does not estimate the next peak but you can see use other models what is the price of Bitcoin by Feb-Aug 2025.
Please note that this is just a pattern and can be invalidated easily.
Thank you for reading my idea. Like this idea and follow me for more ideas like this. NFA . TAYOR. DYOR.
Cheers,
Juvs
USDT DOMININCE 4HOUR UPDATE Welcome to this quick update, everyone.
If you are reading my updates for the first time do follow me to get more complex charts in a very simplified way.
I also post altcoin setups on Spot, Margin, and Futures.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
As my previous chart USDT DOMINANCE got rejected from this middle resistance of this big ascending channel pattern now we have 21MA as local support. let's see the price can hold this ma or not.
As we can see in the chat in a shorter time frame USDT DOMINANCE has already broken out this ascending triangle pattern and it got already Bounce 11% from the breakout of this pattern according to this pattern we will Bounce from here up To 24.8 6%
Let's wait and see how the market reacts in a few hours.
What's your thought on this?
Do hit the like button if you like this update and share your views in the comment section
2018 vs 2022 Comparion of Bitcoin Bear MarketsHi All,
Hit the Like and Follow button before we get started!
This comparison of the Bitcoin 2018 vs 2022 bear markets will surely trigger some OGs and influencers out there that have been uber bullish and wrong all the way down calling a bottom at 49-50K, 45K, 39-40Ks then 37Ks and finally 34-33Ks. Special mention to the "on-chain" so called experts who use on-chain lagging indicators and the other fear/greed experts to give wrong calls as well.
But this is straight to the point, we have the exact patterns and sentiment from Feb 2018 compared to Feb 2022!
- Falling Wedge
- Higher low observed
- Short-lived dead cat bounce or relief bounce
- All OGs screaming back to ATH and $33-50K and refusing to acknowledge they have been wrong all the way down!
Note: This idea gets invalidated with a move to 48K+
Happy trading!
Carl M.
Check out my previous analysis
Bitcoin About to CRASH! This happened THREE times in the past 10 Years!
Sell-Off Continues Target Mapped!The trendline was broken through decisively. Now the selling pressure continues and I've mapped on the chart the next support zone shown in the turquoise horizontal line. that will be a nice area to add to your position and anticipate a bounce. If that area fails, we can expect AVAX to drop to around $35 and worst case $15.
Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading, Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
2 Years UP 2 Years Down!?Do you believe we are now in a bear market? If so, Where are we heading to? This chart looks very dangerous to me and I hope everyone's developing a strategy to secure their bags in case we see a move to the lower 20ks or even the 10k-15k range. Anything is possible in this volatile market. I'm curious to hear the communities thoughts.
Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading, Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
$FB continue down trend$FB continues to down trend after the disappointing earning, backlash from the whistle blower, and continued pressure by the congress about the privacy.
with the overall market continue to trends down, there's highly likely that $FB will get dragged by it. i think in my personal opinion FB will be a dip buying
opportunity for long term. I think the metaverse will save Facebook 5-10 years from now when it fully lunched. but that future is still a bit far for now.
specially with US economy facing inflation or already are, plus the possible war with two countries Ukraine and Russia where US trying to get involve.
things might get complicated from here.
Day trade or scalp target play: 02/22/22
Buy call above 209.05 sell at 211.05 or 212.95
Buy puts below 203.98 sell at 201.98
Hello everyone,
welcome to this free technical analysis . ( mostly momentum play )
I am going to explain where I think this stock is going to go over the next day or week play and where I would look for trading opportunities
for day trades or scalp play.
If you have any questions or suggestions which stock I should analyze, please leave a comment below.
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that LIKE button, share and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for stopping by and stay tune for more.
My technical analysis is not to be regarded as investment advice. but for general informational proposes only.
ATOM Perfect Channel!When looking at this massive channel ATOM has printed, we can see it is now struggling to stay above the current support zone and may move lower to the $17.50 area. Lower highs into support is a bearish sign. Let's see if it will continue lower or bounce from here. Bitcoin is a good coin to watch closely because ALTS tend to follow its movements.
Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading, Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Bear boy😂😂Hi guys
Why am I so interested in bears ??
Everyone tells me, you are on the decline, but I am moving forward with knowledge.
From the day we entered the bear market, I became interested in it.
And our analysis today ...
As you can see, we are inside a large downtrend, which I have drawn all the support and resistance with the help of Fibonacci.
============
I'm still waiting for the bear's last move (30 or maybe 26)
But we will still be in the bear market for 3 months (my prediction)
The last bear movement will occur in any case.
I suggest you read my last two analyzes.
After the last move, we enter the tedious bear market.
down up, up down and ...
Who agrees with me? Have your say
Bitcoin Targeting 35k Zone For A Higher Low When looking at the chart above you can see Bitcoin has now broken through the previous support and turned it into resistance, shown as the yellow line. The RSI has made a lower high which shows bearish divergence. We can expect another 10% - 14% drop for an attempt at a higher low. If we manage to create a higher low. Let's watch these zones and remember 32.9k is the level we need to stay above or it can get very bearish.
Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading, Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
We have huge falling wadge on the daily BTC chart!!Everybody is now looking at the ascending channel on the weekly and i also saw it but at 34k (you can look at my profile).
Now everybody on YouTube is talking about it and that is why i think that we are going to break it to the downside to make them even more bearish.
So i think we are going to low 30k levels even maybe slightly below.
This huge falling wadge has already multiple touch points on the upside and downside.
We have one small fake out and after that 2 times we findet a support on the bottom line, however on the weekly we dont have this fake out because we closed above it.
As we all know at that levels we have massive support and i dont think is going to be broken.
Another indication of the revrsal at that level, is the RSI on the weekly, because is most likely going to be at 30, whith has heppened only 2 times at the bear market low in 2015 and bear market low in 2018.
What do you think about this falling wadge?
Feel free to leave a comment.
If you like my ideas please follow me and like the post because i am posting every day and you can find always something interesting on my profile, i am new to Treadingview but i have 6 years expirience in trading.
BTC TO THE MOON!
Bitcoin and rate hikes. A short term analysis of cryptoBINANCE:BTCUSD
I'm expecting bitcoin to go down more in the coming days before the rate hikes. The market had a strong reaction on the announcement of the promised rate hikes after the crazy inflation. I think we've seen the worst of it and I'm expecting the market to recover after the hikes because there is no bad stuff happening in the future anymore. The announcement of an event has in many cases a stronger effect then the actual event happening. Obviously if the rate hikes are higher then expected we could see the markets dropping lower. Personally I'm acquiring more bitcoin in the "Buy Zone" on my chart if we don't see any new negative or positive information that could have an effect on the price of the markets. Obviously do your own research don't copy people of the internet.
#Bitcoin Following 2018 Pattern (Start of Bear Market?)Hi everyone,
Thank you for considering reading my idea.
This is the 4 hourly chart of Bitcoin during March 2018-July 2018 and today. Looks like we are currently in the green circle below the 50 week moving average (yellow line). We have been waiting what's going to happen if we reach the 50 week moving average again. See related ideas below why.
Thank you for reading my idea. Like this idea and follow me for more analysis like this. NFA . TAYOR. DYOR.
Cheers,
Juvs
Case for a Bear MarketThis is strictly reading the chart, and it looks like a possible bear scenario/recession could be on the horizon. Using the same bear market pattern from 2000 but scaled correctly for current price action it looks like we could finally see a retest of previous highs from 2020 and consolidate/digest the past few years of over spending by the fed. If its a typical bear market of 1-2 years that would set us up for the bottom sometime in early 2024 just in time for the next presidential election, which will likely be a campaign talking point. Lets see what happens!
Btc seems bearish to meI feel like what we are seeing now is a bull trap. There is clearly bearish divergence since we made the last all time high. Usually crypto bear markets don't go straight down. Normally the bottom of a bitcoin bear market is around 500 to 550 days before halving. So that would made us bottom somewhere end september this year.