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Bearmarket

Massive Bearish Signal - Expect a big move to the downside! The present circumstances clearly indicate that the closing price has descended below the 20-week simple moving average (WSMA), a historical signifier of notable bearish market trends. While it is acknowledged that the 20 WSMA is not an infallible indicator, observing its historical behavior reveals a consistent pattern of significant downward movements in price. Consequently, it is logical to anticipate a substantial downward shift based on this historical precedent. The bear market probability index is currently at an all-time high, which suggests that the ongoing rally could be considered the biggest bull trap ever witnessed in the history of Bitcoin. While relying on a solitary model is insufficient for drawing definitive conclusions, numerous indicators suggest a downward price trend in this case. The US interest rate has reached the same level as it was during the onset of the 2008 Financial Crisis market decline. This should be taken into consideration. Despite this, on Twitter, someone claims almost every other day that BTC will reach 100k soon. However, in my opinion, this is complete nonsense. Given the current state of the financial market, it's not ready for a sustained uptrend. Lastly, the market is experiencing a notable increase in fear, likely due to multiple factors simultaneously impacting the market. Based on historical precedent, it is reasonable to anticipate significant downward market movements should prior trends repeat themselves. With regards to DXY The current market analysis indicates a significant double-bottom reversal in the DXY index, with expectations of reaching a minimum index level of 105 soon. Moreover, should resistance zone 1 be surpassed, a subsequent movement towards resistance zone 3 is expected! It is crucial to note that if the DXY index maintains its upward momentum, it may exert considerable downward pressure on both the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Consequently, it is advisable to closely monitor the movements of the DXY index, particularly for those involved in stock or cryptocurrency investments.
Short
by MBM_Crypto
46
BNBUSDT Inexorable drop about to happenInexorable drop event expect while a Bump & Run formation is popping. The correlation on price action and time, as the precedent drop correspondent w/ the Chaikin Money Flow divergence, is so much reliable to me. Price on 1h chart just formed a hidden bearish divergence on CMF in conjunction w/ Awesome bear divergence. Fisher transform is beautifully suggesting direction Whales like to sell retailers confidence. Retest to the neckline accomplished.
Short
by firmestudio
1
Crypto capitulation eventThis is the capitulation event for crypto that I was waiting for. My previous Bitcoin idea and target are still valid, anyone long right now is going to get wiped out by the crash of Binance coin. I’m currently short. I also shorted Bitcoin and sold most of my alts here. If wrong then I will buy back higher on bullish structures. Even with the massive pump Bitcoin had here, Binance coin wasn’t able to invalidate the bearish structure. Absolutely terrible performance. Binance is still being sued, BNB is being artificially pumped by “someone’s” creative syphoning of client money. “Allegedly”. This pump was extremely profitable for me on my alts, an absolute lifesaver of a hedge. Sold most, will use profits to buy lower.
BINANCE:BNBUSDShort
by JaimeDeRothschild
AUDNZD Is Finishing A Corrective RallyAUDNZD pair made an impulsive sell-off at the end of 2022 on a daily chart, which we see it as a wave (A). Since then, we can see it trading in a larger A-B-C corrective rally within wave (B) that can be now approaching important February highs resistance, from where we should be aware of another sell-off for a higher degree wave (C). Basic Elliott wave pattern with an impulsive five-wave 1-2-3-4-5 decline, followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction indicates for more weakness.
Short
by ew-forecast
NZDCAD - Oil Price On The Rise, Could Mean A Bullish CAD!Analysis: Firstly just by looking at the charts we're able to tell that price is in a downwards trend. We've seen a series of lower lows and lower highs being formed confirming that we are in this downwards trend. We're now approaching a key level that has held as support and resistance multiple times so we expect this to happen again this time around. To add confluence to our area price is about to touch the 50% fib retracement level which we expect sellers to be sat at wanting and willing to enter into short positions pushing price down further. For more added confluence even though our trendline isn't at the area we're interested in it is still key as it shows that price is respecting this downwards trend that we're in, signifying that price is likely to hold the level we're at currently. Fundamentally the NZD is the 4th strongest major currency where as the CAD is the 2nd weakest major currency. This fundamentally really doesn't look good for our setup however if we dig a little deeper we'll see why we actually favour the CAD over the NZD. We have a speculation that oil prices will soon be on the rise again. Now why does this matter? Well Canada is the 4th largest oil distributer in the world meaning that the CAD is very often correlated to oil prices. If we see oil prices rise then so will the CAD. With our speculation on oil it starts to show early signs of a bullish CAD which is why we are bearish on NZDCAD both technically and fundamentally as well. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
GBPCAD - Break Of Long Term Trend!Analysis: We were looking at this pair not that long ago for long setups, however we didn't get this in the end and price actually broke below our level that we were interested in. Looking at current price action we've now got a bearish outlook on this pair for multiple reasons. As we saw price break our level we are not longer in an upwards trend, meaning that we don't want to be looking for longs but instead we want to be looking for short setups. We're at a very key level which has been tested multiple times and we expect that it will be respected again this time for resistance. We've got added confluences as well which give us more confidence in this setup. Firstly the 50% fib retracement level is at our area which we expect sellers to push price down from so this goes in our favour. Another confluence that we have is the downwards trendline that is present. We expect that price will bounce off of this trendline and continue its move to the downside. Our final technical added confluence we have is the break of a long term upwards trendline. This shows us that the long term trend has been broken and we expect to see a change in the market momentum which goes with our bearish thesis. Fundamentally the GBP is stronger then the CAD so this doesn't go in our favour but like we've said before we expect that oil prices will rise again soon and with this the CAD will also rise. Canada is the 4th largest oil distributer in the world so if oil prices rise so will the CAD. This is why we don't really mind that currently the GBP is stronger then the CAD because we think that this will soon change. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
8
BTC - respecting the bear market resistance!Here's a quick comparison of two periods in bitcoins history The current market period appears to unfold similarly to the one observed in 2021. If this trend continues, the market will likely experience a downward movement, potentially leading to a decline in value to 13.5k. While it's true that history doesn't necessarily have to repeat itself, it is often observed that historical patterns tend to rhyme with the present. Moreover, the price of Bitcoin was recently rejected from the bear market downtrend resistance, indicating a potential move to the previous bottom of $15.5k, which is consistent with the concept of the price following a pattern reminiscent of the 2021 summer period. It's also worth mentioning that the S&P 500 has been showing some weakness, and since BTC typically moves in lockstep with the S&P 500, it can be prudent to monitor its movement. The bear market probability index is currently at an all-time high, which suggests that the ongoing rally could be considered the biggest bull trap ever witnessed in the history of Bitcoin. While relying on a solitary model is insufficient for drawing definitive conclusions, numerous indicators suggest a downward price trend in this case. The US interest rate has reached the same level as it was during the onset of the 2008 Financial Crisis market decline. This should be taken into consideration. Despite this, on Twitter, someone claims almost every other day that BTC will reach 100k soon. However, in my opinion, this is complete nonsense. Given the current state of the financial market, it's not ready for a sustained uptrend. Lastly, the market is experiencing a notable increase in fear, likely due to multiple factors simultaneously impacting the market. Based on historical precedent, it is reasonable to anticipate significant downward market movements should prior trends repeat themselves. With regards to DXY The current market analysis indicates a significant double-bottom reversal in the DXY index, with expectations of reaching a minimum index level of 105 soon. Moreover, should resistance zone 1 be surpassed, a subsequent movement towards resistance zone 3 is expected! It is crucial to note that if the DXY index maintains its upward momentum, it may exert considerable downward pressure on both the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Consequently, it is advisable to closely monitor the movements of the DXY index, particularly for those involved in stock or cryptocurrency investments.
Short
by MBM_Crypto
15
XPDUSD - Palladium Surplus?Analysis: When we take a look at the technicals we can see that price is in a downwards trend. We're seeing lows get broken showing us the bearish momentum. Price has recently broken below a key level of previous support which we now expect will hold as resistance. We don't really have any other added confluences to this setup like a trendline or fib retracement levels which is why this isn't one of our favourite setups but still one that we are looking at. To add more clarity to this setup we need to look at the fundamentals. The USD is very strong at the moment and each week we see the USD getting stronger so this isn't something that we want to be going against. One of the main uses of palladium is for catalytic converters in car exhaust systems but with EV cars taking over the market we're starting to see less demand for palladium and it seems like there could be a surplus of palladium which would push price down further. With all of the confluences factors that we have we see price continuing its downwards trend that it is in. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
OANDA:XPDUSDShort
by jpeacockfx
22