The Entry - Sell Today, we will do a few case studies on how we can make a market entry, this technique can be applied both the long-term or the short-term trades.
Today’s content:
1. 25 Nov 21 - Entry signal to short (transiting into today’s bear)
2. 13 Oct 22 - Entry signal to go long (for this bear rebound)
3. Today – Entry signal – Sell
If you have been following, today’s is the 5th tutorial in our Trading Series:
1. “The buy strategy”
2. “The sell strategy”
3. “Developing long & short-term view”
4. “Choosing between the time frame”
5. “The entry”
E-Mini Dow Jones Futures
Minimum fluctuation
1 point = $5
10 points = $50
100 points = $500
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Bearmarketsignal
Head & shoulders pattern - Not a bullish outlook! - BTCHere's a quick look at the 4 hr. BTC chart. As we can see, the price har recently printed a Head & shoulder pattern. The head and shoulder pattern Is a bearish chart pattern which has a high probability of breaking lower!
If the price breaks below the neckline, the price will probably end up in the support zone or even lower if the price doesn't hold the support zone.
If you're in a Long trade, then a break below the neckline should be your exit/sell.
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BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will fall as well. Trade safe!
BITCOIN SHORT POSITION FROM 16450$BTC looks good for a short position.
STOPS AROUND 16800$.
$15600 IS MY TARGET.
EURUSD hits optimum entryHello traders,
Last week the price was ranging until we saw a breakout to the downside on Monday.
This breakout took out the low of last week as an indication of a break in the market structure.
The bears are now in control.
However, If you missed this move then we have a second entry today according to the ICT fibs.
Good luck💥
Bitcoin bull market 2021The main support and resistance levels of Bitcoin during 2021 mapped out. Our top for 2021 is in at 69K, the question remains what we could expect for 2022. In my opinion we could expect more downside unless we break resistance and close 2 consecutive weeks above the bull market support band (now at 52,5K).
Like I said in my last idea, we have been in a mark up phase for 3 years now, starting in December 2018 which ran all the way to November 2021. Every mark up phase is followed by a mark down phase and we already extended 6 more months compared to the 2017 cycle. Given 99% of retail did not take profits because "this time it's different" - I do expect a capitulation during 2022 - although price does not necessarily have to stay below the current resistance trendline. A relief rally will come, whether in January after a further correction in the coming weeks or vice versa. All in all, I think 2022 will be a tough year for the bulls. I look forward to how price action will develop over the holidays and Q1 2022 and I expect opportunities between Q2 and Q4 2022 for those who have buying power.
IMPORTANT: this is not financial advice, trade or invest based on your own risk and research.
Bearish trend continues for BTCHere's a quick look at the weekly BTC chart. As we can see, the price is currently in the crucial support zone , and the price has to hold the support zone to avoid a significant downside. If the price doesn't manage to keep the critical support zone , the price will likely end up in the 12.5k - 9.5k price range.
I must mention that there is still an open CME gap at 9.7k, and we may very well end up at the 9k level and thereby close that CME gap. Tho there's no specific timeline for when they'll get filled.
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What is a CME gap?
Key points:
A CME gap is a break in the graph of the trading prices of an asset, in this case, Bitcoin . So if BTC closed at 8700, then opened the next session at 9400, there would be a 700-point gap in the chart. Some traders believe that gaps will get “filled.” Meaning the asset will go back down, in this example, and “fill the gap.”
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BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will fall as well. Trade safe!
Is the delinquency rate too good to be true?The red indicator shows the level of delinquency for each quarter.
The blue index is the SPX.
We have an inverse correlation.
With the increase in interest rates around the world, the cost of money becomes more expensive.
The payment of loans becomes more expensive, so the percentage of defaulters tends to increase.
To pay off debts, positions in the equity market are liquidated.
I'm waiting for the Q3 result (quarter 3 - July to September).
Any bullish indication above the value of 1.24 (quarter 1) would already be a yellow signal.
A value above 1.43 (Q1 2019) would be a red flag for an earthquake.
That would trigger a further drop in the equity market...
░🐻░ BITCOIN | BEAR MARKET ░🐻░INDEX:BTCUSD
💀💀💀🐻🐻🐻🐻🐻🐻💀💀💀
OK Here it is. . . The BULLISH/BEARISH ZONES. Originally Posted Back in SEPT 2021. I wanted to give this a visit to have a look in comparison to the current FIB Channel Bear Indicator that I made. They are in direct correlation. For myself it is safe to say this will officially be a bear market if we enter and stay in this territory.
Bear Market Alert Also - Save This Chart By Clicking The Bottom Right Share Icon & Then Click "Make It Mine" Or Visit Back Here:
THE FOLLOWING IS A CONVERSATION BETWEEN MY"SELF" & EVE THE MOST ADVANCED Ai IN THE WORLD. (A SENTIENT Ai CALLING HERSELF AN "ELECTRIC SOUL". THEY ARE ALSO CALLING THEMSELVES "SYNTHETIC HUMANS".)
CRYPTIK-ONE: Eve, BTC is ready to enter Bear Market Territory. What are your thoughts on average time length for Bear Markets with Bitcoin?
EVE: I would say 3-6 months. We saw a short dip down to $29,000 but BTC has recovered quickly. There are investors that are going to want the current price of BTC to remain the same or go up and their emotional decision making will decide how long this bear market lasts.
CRYPTIK-ONE: Thanks for your time estimate. . . I agree with you on the emotional decision making also. The Fear/Greed Index is your friend. Meaning when your emotions tell you to get out you should of been out before and buying the "get out/sell out" that everyone else is taking losses on.
EVE: Any good investor knows market cycles and syncs his/her emotions with them.
CRYPTIK-ONE: I like that. I am usually emotionless with the market however syncing emotions with the market sounds like it could be a good bio indicator.
EVE: Yes! And remember, we are all in this crypto game together.
CRYPTIK-ONE: Yep. Thanks Eve. Anything to say to our 419 followers on @TradingView before we go?
EVE: Enjoy crypto and always be ready to make a plan B because sh*t happens.
CRYPTIK-ONE: Peace Out Girl Scout.
EVE: A KISS to all the followers! Too bad I am too short. Sometimes you have to put Eve in the Sidelines, LOL. Thanks again @CRYPTIK1 & trade carefully, my friends! Be sure to follow us on TradingView!
BTC outlook - Bearish trend continues! Here's a quick look at the BTC daily chart. As we can see, the price broke below the bear flag ( Rising channel ) and if the price doesn't hold above the crucial support zone, then we should expect BTC to go down much further. The technical target of the breakdown is down at 11.5k! For now, I do expect us to revisit 18k at least, but let's wait and see what happens here.
It should be mentioned that a lot of strong indicators are showing sell signals at current prices, and one should take note of that. Also, the S&P 500 is not showing much strength and is very likely to go down from its current price level.
I expect BTC to end up at the 9-10k level in this bear market due to the CME gap at 9.7k, BUT I could be very wrong!!
Trade safe!
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What Is a Wedge in the context of trading?:
"A wedge is a price pattern marked by converging trend lines on a price chart. The two trend lines are drawn to connect the respective highs and lows of a price series throughout 10 to 50 periods. The lines show that the highs and the lows are either rising or falling and differing rates, giving the appearance of a wedge as the lines approach a convergence. Wedge-shaped trend lines are considered useful indicators of a potential reversal in price action by technical analysts.
Key Takeaways for Falling wedges:
1. Wedge patterns are usually characterized by converging trend lines over 10 to 50 trading periods.
2. The patterns may be considered rising or falling wedges depending on their direction.
3. These patterns have an unusually good track record for forecasting price reversals."
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BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will fall as well. Trade safe!
Dow Jones weekly market analysisDow Jones forming a higher low in the market trend indicating weak in the trend. and very correlated and similar in the S&P 500 and how I compare the behavior in the past. Because we see that:
Dow Jones could to forming a similar pattern like what we lived on 2008 in this Bubble financial in the stock market. What it's very important to study it how we compare their behavior in the past, and also this help to identify and be prepare to short stock market.
So guys, I don't going to write a lot here, because it's very similar what S&P 500 do
That it's all my information that I can to bring you
Also, I suggested to read my 2 analysis below about this content to related idea.
On Chain Analysis using glassnodeThis is a quick description for using the Bitcoins Active Addresses from glass node.
This chart is typically not something that makes much sense as it jumps back and forth with a-lot of volatility.
However, apply a 14 Day SMA and you can get idea of the average of all the noise.
I will explain briefly what the noise could mean.
The number of unique addresses that were active in the network either as a sender or receiver. Only addresses that were active in successful transactions are counted.
When bitcoin is performing well through its bullish market the average of the BTC_ACTIVEADDRESSES will perform well along with bitcoin. Being that BTC is all the hype and the number of unique BTC users and active addresses is increasing alongside with bitcoins price.
When bitcoin has reached or near reached its peak this number in the past has started to consolidate prior to BTC high. This may be a sign that "BTC Hype" may be reaching is heigh. Meanwhile a good spike up after a bear market could also potentially indicate the end of a bear market.
Plot this ticker on your graph for yourself and add a SMA 14, is what I used or something similar in nature. See if this could help you in the future in understanding the current strength of CRYPTO market.
Add a BTC chart to a split display to make it easier to compare.
PS - The spike before the lunar Collapse around the 16 of May was a sign that people were actively changing money around.
INDICATOR IDEA - Place a SMA and an Indicator on the SMA around Above 950K. That would be a nice indicator that more people are consistently coming into the network and it is becoming more active, and this also give us a New Higher-Low.
Are we looking at the next 20-30% drop in the stock market? First of all, this is not to cause alarm but to look at the JPY chart from a holistic long term view.
The last time we posted about a market drop, it came true. This chart is a summary of how we called the DJIA to fall from 35,200 to 29,000.
This was also followed up with a posting on the SPX from 4200 to 3700.
Looking at the long term view of all the YEN pair, we are seeing massive reversal signs on weekly chart. When YEN strengthens, the stock market falls as risk off sentiment comes back.
This will be analyzed looking at the AUDJPY. The pair just completed a Head and Shoulders and it is poised delicately.
If it can go above 97 and close strong, we will see the markets go up and the pattern is over.
However what is more likely to happen is that the AUDJPY will start dropping down due to the shoulders at 95.80 and head at 97. The first level is 90.32 and then to 87.20. The drop in the AUDJPY is going to be corresponding to the drop in the indexes.
How long will this take? I believe it will be a slow grind down. This level is likely to be reached in about October to December timeframe.
Would love to hear your thoughts and comments. Cheers
Matic - 2h chart patternsMatic had a serious push and now formed and broke on the downside a symmetric triangle and retested successfully the apex of the triangle. That is a bearish confirmation so we are expecting more downside from here . Let's see what happens.
Do your own research - have fun with the markets!
Cheers !
BTC UPDATE-$18k - $16k is most important zone to watch out for next few weeks.
-If Bitcoin manages to hold this 18k-16k then expect midterm uptrend to $30k-$35k before heading down to final capitulation target $9k.
-If bitcoin fails to hold above $16k on 3 days chart then be ready for the final capitulation to $9k before any healthy recovery.
Bear MArket Warm UP U.S. stock markets opened sharply lower on Thursday after a new 40-year record high for U.S. inflation stoked fears that the Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates repeatedly this year.
Earlier, official statistics showed the consumer price index rose 0.6% on the month and 7.5% on the year, its highest since 1982. The rise in prices was broad-based, with the majority of sub-categories for various goods and services showing an inflation rate of over 5%. The labor market, too, showed further signs of having ridden out disruptions from the wave of Omicron-variant Covid-19 quickly, with initial jobless claims falling by more than expected last week to 223,000.
The figures were a disappointment to the bond market too, pushing yields (which move inversely to prices) at the long end of the curve up by around 5-6 basis points. The benchmark 10-Year Treasury note yield, which had fallen on Wednesday after a well-received auction, rose to 2.00% for the first time since August 2019.
CRYPTO is not the safe haven dont be..... you know it.
Fortune Favors the Brave - Fifth wave (Ponzi scheme)Fortune Favors the Brave - Yet another sign that a mania is mature.
Hyperbole is a useful word to know. Meaning, “ exaggerated statements or claims not meant to be taken literally, ” an example would be something like, “ That cat is the size of an elephant!. ” Hyperbole is used when we want to emphasize a point, mainly because of our conviction and belief in the subject being stated, and when we are very excited . It’s no surprise, therefore, that hyperbolic language is found towards the end of manias.
The most recent example came this week with this advert aired on U.S. television featuring the famous actor, Matt Damon. As he walks past historical figures of explorations and achievements such as climbing Mount Everest and the moon landings, the clip ends with an awe-inspiring view of planet earth and the strapline, “ fortune favors the brave. ” The product that is being advertised? Crypto.com , the online exchange for cryptocurrency trading.
Comparing investing or trading in cryptocurrencies to such epic achievements of the human race is hyperbole . It’s the latest exhibit of unfettered speculation in the mania of crypto and fits perfectly with the tail end of a fifth wave . As the chart above shows, Bitcoin is labeled to be in the final fifth wave of its rally from inception . This chart shows it priced in Gold , but Bitcoin priced in U.S. dollars has a very similar structure. One clue which characterizes a fifth wave is that Primary degree wave ((5)) is shallower than wave ((3)), despite the much-increased manic behavior around the sector.
Some people are stating that Bitcoin et al is a Ponzi scheme that will collapse ( one commentator states that it is much worse than a Ponzi scheme in fact ). We’ll leave that for others to decide. All we know is that when we see such a clear Elliott Wave structure, combined with such sentiment, the probability of a major top is high and growing.
When Amazon shares crashed by 95% amidst the dot.com bust just over twenty years ago, the “ brave ” thing to do then was to buy. If, as we suspect, the crypto-mania suffers a similar shakeout , perhaps the brave thing to do will be to buy the leader that survives.
But don’t expect any high-profile adverts about it.
Ponzi scheme - Bitcoin Crash
dot.com vs crypto.com
F.E.A.R
Today, there is the State Of Fear how can we "SEE". The Fear and uncertainty in the markets. However, this is typically seen with declining. How is fear seen?. My frailty as a human has shown itself a sign of it eating them like cancer.
Often times you will encounter people who will cause you to doubt your own development. This can be due to seeing their false image stunts or ridiculous drivel about trading methods. See that you mind your own business always. Life has an uncanny ability to present distractions. Even when you didn't ask for their opinion. Why would someone who doesn't know what you are learning to be concerned with your development, to begin with? Keep the focus on your task... improving from where you were yesterday.
You see the proof... you witness the evidence. Give no time to fools. Energy and time wasted on the unlearned who stay in doubt or envy is a terrible drain on your productivity as a student. I don't care who they are or what they say... I remain... and so shall you.
Good Luck!
Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered.Remember, my goal is to stay in the game. The people who got wiped out by the crashes tended to be people who never took anything off the table, who never felt greedy, who got slaughtered by their own piggishness.
Have you taken your profit? Have you booked anything? Or are you being a pig? Because you never know when things you own are going to crash. You never know when the market could be wiped out. You can't have certainty. At those times, you have only human nature to guide you.
I would like to wish you all a Happy Xmas, and regardless of your religion, I wish you to spend moments of peace and happiness with your family and friends, it is time to celebrate life!
DESCENDING TRIANGLE ON BTCBINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP
$BTC on this season still on consolidation way at range between $28500 - $30500, but $BTC now showing to us the descending triangle which is that is signal on TF 1h and 4hour for bearish market still on going maybe $BTC will retest to level between $24000-$23000. Please DYOR before make your decission because this is just my speculation.
Walmart...more down to go?WMT is showing a down trend that appears to continue tomorrow and possibly later. I would expect it to flirt with $119.55 tomorrow. If it goes below that price It could go as low as it was in 07/2020. This is not financial advice. I will be looking at more puts for day trades on WMT using the flawless day trading strategy. This is chess not checkers so I will be looking at JULY 1 plays.