Bearmarketsignal
Litecoin it's in the bear marketIn this overview, Litecoin it's in the bear market and we see that this cryptocurrency it's leading to the previosuly minimum historical price on 2020 and part of them see on 2018 and 2019.
So, in this weekly timeframe, Litecoin forming a bearish descending triangle and retest of this chartist pattern indicating a bearish trend.
And now, in the monthly timeframe it's extremely bearish in Litecoin and the trend it's very clearly that this cryptocurrency it's dominate by bears in this market.
Bear MArket Warm UP - U.S. stock markets opened sharply lower on Thursday after a new 40-year record high for U.S. inflation stoked fears that the Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates repeatedly this year.
Earlier, official statistics showed the consumer price index rose 0.6% on the month and 7.5% on the year, its highest since 1982. The rise in prices was broad-based, with the majority of sub-categories for various goods and services showing an inflation rate of over 5%. The labor market, too, showed further signs of having ridden out disruptions from the wave of Omicron-variant Covid-19 quickly, with initial jobless claims falling by more than expected last week to 223,000.
The figures were a disappointment to the bond market too, pushing yields (which move inversely to prices) at the long end of the curve up by around 5-6 basis points. The benchmark 10-Year Treasury note yield, which had fallen on Wednesday after a well-received auction, rose to 2.00% for the first time since August 2019.
CRYPTO is not the safe haven dont be..... you know it.
BTC Danger $20KI've been watching the market very closely the past couple of months and this does not look good. What I see is a bear pennant that just broke down. BTC has already had a monthly MacD cross down, broken this bear pennant, and is about to have a bearish 4hr 50/200SMA death cross. All bad news to me. If this does play out with a 50% correction, just imagine what that does to Alts. Tread carefully over the coming days.
BTC TO 30K AND BELOW LEVELS Bitcoin price broke 38K level with a massive bearish bias down trend, this put BTC in a critical point as it's placed below most of reliable moving avergaes, previous demand areas, pivot points as well as no REAL support is on the way till 30K, with the fear and fud spreading, considering the fact that bitcoin investors or crypto in general are no longer limited to Pro traders, experts or even famous people. NO, crypto is now occuipied with tik-tok and teen noobs who can be called NOOBS and have no control over emotions compared to experts and well trained traders, paper handed are panic selling.
There is no sign of bounce from here. hope to be wrong actually!
Bitcoin - Is $36,000 our target down?In this video:
* Further review of the current broader market price action and potential rollover
* How this data correlates with crypto and how it could give crypto some time to stay afloat or even de-couple from the broader markets
* Time frame of market rollover
* Is the DOW forming a Head and Shoulders pattern?
* A look at Bitcoin and Ethereum price action and where we might go from here
Is BTC in a bear market?Hey guys, quick update here.
Yesterday Bitcoin went down again. Now, everyone is very fearfull and now it's time to start thinking wether the bull party is over or not.
What do wee see on the chart?
- You can see that Bitcoin is still in a falling wedge pattern.
- Bitcoin is now testing a critical support level.
- Bitcoin has been trading below the 50 EMA since November 2021.
- Fear and greed index is at 19.
- RSI didn't break the support level. RSI still shows momentum loss for a downwards continuation.
Conclusion:
My conclusion is, that although the chart looks very bearish. The falling wedge pattern has not been broken yet. And BTC didn't break the 40k - 38k support level. So I think 2 things. You should've been shorting BTC a very long time ago, if that's what you wanted. And if you're still looking for the reversal, there's still a chance.
Market Update - BULLISH! - And how I trade levels in a downtrendIn this video:
* A quick review of the current market sentiment
* I am bullish!
* Everything is moving as expected
* I review and instruct on a more advanced trading technique/strategy - How to trade levels in a correcting or bearish market?
* You can make gainz by going long in a bear trend!
Happy New Year Traders!
3 STAGE CONFIRMATION OF BEAR MARKET IN S&P500The expanding triangle environment (distribution at high level) is at ending stage in S&P500 .
Yes in all world indices.
Today12/22/21 if SPX not breach 4656 (62% of wave''A'') then first confirmation for weak bulls.
IF SPX falls below 4495 then second confirmation of weak bears.
Finally IF SPX FALLS BELOW 4326 (OUT OF THE EXP,TRIANGLE) then final confirmation of STRONG BEARS
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Bitcoin Tell me we topped without telling me we toppedIt's getting pretty obvious to me that we topped. We have a beautiful rising wedge here. Unless an insane amount of volume come back and invalidates everything I believe we are in a Bear Market!
The market tells you everything you need to know.
You just have to listen.
Enjoy!
2022 is the next 2008 (but way worse)Last night (12/10/21) CPI data came out reporting a 6.8% increase. This is exactly what I had predicted as I've mentioned multiple times prior on other platforms. However, I am here to say that it is FAKE! In a couple of months the true CPI data of today will "unexpectly" show up. Markets will freak out and you will end up becoming a bag holder like 90% of retail does every recession.
There is a reason why the ultra-wealthy are now monstly risk-off. For an example,
Elon Musk, just a little over a year ago had said that he would never sell a single share of $TSLA, but in this past month he sold 10% of his entire equity in $TSLA
Warren Buffet is now holding a record $128 Billion in cash
Chamath pulled the rug on $SPCE, despite his insane shilling in prior months to years.
The list goes on and on.. But you get the point.
It is time to at the very least hedge your life savings you put into $SHIB and start re-allocating your assets.
I am currently 10% short and 90% cash (previously 90% short from 20x shorting $BTC at the top at $69k and have since taken most profits/ de-risking myself - despite the likelyhood of a potrential crash/depression which I am personally expecting to occur).
I don't have crystal ball nor am I saying this is a certainty. Actually no I take that back... This IS a certainty. May not happen tomorrow, next week, or even a couple months, but it will happen and you want to be ready when it does.
Be prepared folks.
Best of luck,
Matt Park
This post is not financial advice and is simply me putting out my opnions on the current state of the market. More details in regards to my opnions of the market is to come soon so stay tuned!
Fear Greed Index at 16 - Bitcoin touches 200 & is oversold - BUY
Fear & Greed Index hit 16 - Amazing!
Bitcoin touches the 200 day MA
Bitcoin oversold on RSI
Stock market pumps before the weekend
Honestly, I can't really think of a better time to start buying this s**t up! Amazing deals everywhere!
BUY! BUY! BUY!
💪💎 🙌
What if BTC was in corrective stage since April 2021?Just a thought. I adjusted my initial BTC chart plot for Elliott Wave (expanded flat 3-3-5). Not financial advice since I'm not really sure or confident of marking the Elliott Waves. Is this the bearish outlook that @BCBacker had warned us before?
SPX: IS IT THE END OF THE CORRECTION?SPX:
Inflation numbers and tapering discussions have put many investors on guard since mid-September.
You can see on the chart that the market has broken down a trend line started in March and is now in a bearish channel since the September top.
With a succession of lower lows and lower highs, it's fair to say that bears are in control.
Is this the end of the bull market?
Yesterday (Oct 13) we got a reaction from the bulls despite high inflation numbers and tapering news from the Fed.
So where do we go from here?
I have 3 scenarios:
1. The bullish scenario:
SPX formed a higher low yesterday and has bounced off a strong support (EMA 100). From an Ichimoku point of view, the lagging span has not crossed the top of the cloud, thus not confirming more downtrend (for now).
If we consider that tapering in November is now expected and that inflation will not last, all bad news might be priced in already.
History does not always repeat itself, but, if we consider seasonality, stocks tend to perform very well from mid-October until the end of the year and towards January. Add to that the banks earnings which are good so far.
To confirm the bullish view, a first signal would be to break out of this bearish channel. Then the next target would be to fill that open gap on the chart (between 4420 and 4435) and resume higher to the top of September.
2. The bearish scenario:
We are below the Ichimoku cloud and in the bearish channel. If we don't break out of the bearish channel, pressure to the downside might resume and the next supports are on the chart, with the 200ma in sight.
We could also break out of the channel, fill the open gap, and go down again.
Incertainty would remain as long as we don't form higher lows and higher highs.
Provided this scenario wins, I would expect SPX to reach the 200ma. It would then be a nice buying opportunity to benefit from the next bullish wave.
3. The consolidation scenario:
My third scenario has a neutral tone as we could also go side ways for several weeks/months. We would therefore assume that the low of October is in and that we won't reach an all time high anytime soon.
Let me know what you think.
Trade safe!
More on Ichimoku (by Investopedia):
The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
Key takeaways:
The Ichimoku Cloud is composed of five lines or calculations, two of which comprise a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in.
The lines include a nine-period average, a 26-period average, an average of those two averages, a 52-period average, and a lagging closing price line.
The cloud is a key part of the indicator. When the price is below the cloud, the trend is down. When the price is above the cloud, the trend is up.
The above trend signals are strengthened if the cloud is moving in the same direction as the price. For example, during an uptrend, the top of the cloud is moving up, or during a downtrend, the bottom of the cloud is moving down.
Watch for these levels on BTC for a breakdown or a pump upWe hope you practiced some risk management for the last big BTC move, but here is your chance to protect yourselves again. It is safe to say the Bull Market run is over. The best we can hope for now is a few pumps to help us get out of some over-leveraged positions. None of this is financial advice and please understand that we are a neutral party. Not a Bull and Not a Bear, just calling the charts how we see them. If we get support over 45K on the 4 hour, look for a bit of a pump, but it is highly unlikely. If we stay in the lower channels with the RSI continuing bearish divergence, next price target in the 41K range and much further to go from there. We do expect some minor correction pumps up before continuing down, but the overall bearish dumps have begun. Please do your own research and do not make any investments you have not researched on your own. Happy Trading!!!
Is the Bear Market Upon Us?Hello Everyone,
Quick analysis for today. There has been a question in the air for the last 2-3 months. "Are we in a bear market?". Well there is not a simple yes or no answer for this and I would say it is a little too early to call. I am personally leaning more bearish as I am seeing rallies with bearish price action representing dead cat bounces. Not to mention the huge loss in momentum and exit pumps in random small cap alt coins by whales.
I have provided several pieces of analysis in the last few weeks but here is a more simple weekly chart.
As we can see, each time the market "tops" it is followed by a large relief rally that does not exceed the all time high. The biggest take away is the much lower volume or bearish price action as the price tries to climb back up. Each time this happened, the market saw the entry way into the bear market. Another note is the blue Moving Average which is the Hull Moving Average . This MA has been consistent in determining the start/end of the bull/bear market. Not to mention we are at a 20x from the March 2020 low.
I would also like to include a partial monthly analysis here. If you look at RSI, each bull market ended with RSI just above 90. The bear market followed. This bull market hit 90 right around the 60k area.
This does not mean there are not bullish swings in the bear market. There are 4-7 on average per year. I will be looking forward to trading these as well as DCAing in the bear market (if it is here to stay). I made some very good gains in this bull market. Things can change and we may still continue this bull cycle but at this point I think it's unlikely.
As always, be patient, use risk management, and good luck trading!
Update more detail added for BITCOINs next big reversal downSo just adding some additional price areas to my chart.I have also provided the RSI indicatorto show the major hidden bearish divergence, along with the regular bearish divergence. These are both yet to play out and paint a picture of a solid move-reversal down to the areas i have charted here, trade safe and have a plan. Love to hear anyones thoughts, cheers $urfbeach73