Long term Dollar biasLong term bullish bias on the dollar index.
A daily ICT Fair value gap is revisited at a discount price.
The low on 18/10/22 is swept out.
on a lower time frame at 8:30 (GMT-4) you would look for the same thing to occur, a short term low to be swept, around the 8:30 news, and then anticipate a bullish market structure shift where your entry would be at a discount fair value gap in that market structure shift.
But im not trading the dollar...im using it as an "indicator".
when they DXY is long term bullish, foreign currencies and stocks will find it difficult to go higher. This is a risk off situation, meaning that my long term bias on stocks and foreign currencies is bearing.
Bearseason
What about the bear season? we watchBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Greetings everyone, do you think that the world's leading cryptocurrency, as you can see from the bear season, can see a big decline in difficult economic conditions, do you think that the bull season is at the door ? , let's watch and see if we can see strong breaks or if the decline will continue.
if we can see a break above the key level, a double bottom could be very beneficial for us, but the market still does not inspire confidence and we think we will go down a lot
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Delivers Hopium as the Ascending Wedge ContinuesMy continued Bitcoin analysis gives me great indication that the Digital King has yet to reach its regional bottom.
$32.7-8 is expected to be a very key range as for resistance.
Based on Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci sequencing, $22K-$25K are also expected to be key levels of support.
All indications are based on the science of price action! No other indications are used primary however, RSI levels are often considered secondarily.
Bitcoin Pauses to Give Bulls Early Dose of HopiumBased on recent and continual analysis of Bitcoin, I believe that an upside trip to $32070 is minimally required (based on my perspective of the Elliott Wave count). This will serve as the final resistance level before Bitcoin takes an anticipated dip to $24K. From here, the crypto world will re-enter the "BTC to $100K" mindframe but that may become a troublesome idea.
See recent Bitcoin related posts for more perspective. For continued, near real-time analysis join the Digital Surf Trading Community.
Luna Prepares Descent to $4Luna Bulls have limited opportunity to defy perceived price action and claim a higher high (above $106). Without a deviation from expected PA, all signs point deeply to the south. If traders find themselves attached to the asset rather than their profits, it could be a very painful journey down to $4 (no typo).
DigitalSurf: Bitcoin's Corrective Flat Continues Towards $43KBased on recent and continued analysis of BTCUSD, I expect that Bullish traders are to delay the drop and force PA up near $43K. The overall expected pattern at play has not changed however it could but only if we break above $45.5K (orange line).
Bearish traders should enjoy yet another sizeable 20%+ retracement, so long as the orange line does not break. This is FOMOYOLO in action.
Grab a board. Let's surf.
BTC Macro Drawdown Historical ReviewUsing historical BTC drawdowns on the weekly charts, I calculate a simple average duration and drawdown percentage based on the starting point of the bearish LMACD cross and again on the first bullish LMACD crossing, and use the historical averages in duration and price drawdown to estimate potential scenarios for a similar drawdown position here.
Buy Bitcoin; Just Not Right Now! Let The Bears Eat.Based on Elliott Wave analysis and what's determined to be the most likely outcome for Wave 4, I suspect that we're currently in the 1st of 3 phases for the total completion of the Wave 4 correction.
Typically, a primary Wave 4 will retrace down towards the zone of the previous sub-wave 4 (aka Wave 4 of primary Wave 3). In Bitcoin's case, Wave 4 of Primary 3 is near or slightly under $40K.
With Primary Wave 2 being a sharp correction, Wave 4 will be what's called a 'sideways' type of move. As in, the correction takes plenty of time and does not make sudden, descending moves; not at all once anyway.
A flat correction consists of a 3-3-5 wave sequence. We're likely in the first 3 wave sequence with (A) being a running flat. Should B wave not break the highest point of Wave A, we can fully expect more correction down to the C Wave target range, near or directly below $40K.
Stay woke :)
BTCUSD SHORT - Target = ~5700 END OF MONTH!?BTC is inarguably in a strong bearish trend ever since the bubble popped at 20k.. we're seeing lower highs and lower lows with no reversal in sight.
We have been bouncing up and down off the descending triangle for the past couple months and I believe a continuation in this trend is highly likely.
My next target on the ride down is ~5700 as that has proved itself as a strong support several times before.
Let me know your thoughts.
Bad scenario to BTC.Dears,
O Bitcoin depois de ter rompido a LTB e que sem força e voltou abaixo da linha e acabou perdendo força compradora deixando somente um topo duplo. Depois de uma semana de queda forte o preço testou e perdeu suportes importantes encontrando um ponto de suporte proximo a retração de Fibo em 61.8% e acabou por fazer um pequeno "pullback" que acabou devolvendo praticamente todo movimento. Então no momento temos uma lateralização. Com uma volatilidade bem menor do que o esperado.
Acontece que depois da formação de topo duplo temos agora uma BEARFLAG, uma figura que continuaçao, onde teriamos a continuidade portanto do movimento de queda. Podemos projetar o preço caindo mais uma vez abaixo dos 8k.
O preço deve testar pra isso novamente a região de suporte em 8300 e tambem a LTA.
O final da projeção de queda é perto de 6800.
Por outro lado tambem podemos ter a formação de um fundo tripo nesse suporte de 8300 e a retomada de alta buscando a LTB com mais força e finalmente rompendo.
Isso é nesse caso uma visão otimista para o preço.
The Bitcoin after having broken the LTB and that without strength and returned below the line and ended up losing buyer force leaving only a double top. After a week of strong fall the price tested and lost important supports finding a point of support near the retraction of Fibo in 61.8% and ended up making a small "pullback" that ended up returning almost all movement. So it's not a moment, a last back-up. With a much lower volatility than expected.
It turns out that after the top formation, as low as possible, a BEARFLAG, a figure that continues, where is a continuity, therefore the movement of fall. We can project the falling price once more below the 8k.
The price should test for this time in the 8300 support region and also the LTA.
The end of the fall projection is close to 6800.
On the other hand we can also have a formation of a tripod bottom in the support of 8300 and a high resumption seeking a LTB with more strength and finally breaking.
This is a case of an optimistic view for price.