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Bearsish

Harmonic Gartlay Pattern for traders can apply on any time frameThe “perfect” Gartley pattern has the following characteristics: Move AB should be the .618 retracement of move XA. Move BC should be either .382 or .886 retracement of move AB. If the retracement of move BC is .382 of move AB, then CD should be 1.272 of move BC. Consequently, if move BC is .886 of move AB, then CD should extend 1.618 of move BC. Move CD should be .786 retracement of move XA
Education
by BasharatAliMaher
Warm your brains and observe dataHello everyone In this scenario price at NZDUSD currency pair haven't confirm any fact, but it's good to have NZDUSD in our minds. This pair might be good for trading later, we just need more data, more facts, before we hit a button for buy/sell. At the moment NZDUSD currency pair is in bearish trending and bearish territory. One interesting thing at this pair is that bulls confirm lower low level at the last swing 0.67409 where they got stable and probably they're are not letting bears to get away so easily. This explanation is mean for 4H timeframe. If we are following price from very start where last territory started, we can see strong bearish movement where red zone is marked. Things got complicated ones bulls snap back from confirmed lower low area at 0.67409. Price eventually reach up to 0.68190 new resistance level (buyers H1 higher high level). And here we go, we have one bearish movement on H4 timeframe and bullish movement on H1 timeframe. Bullish movement is now also observed for H4 timeframe, because price broke 0.67878 resistance level which was important for H4 bears. To sum this up, I want to tell you price is headed downside with possible sideway trading or price is going to reach buyers H1 higher high second time. at 0.68190 level. This will cause rangging on h4 timeframe. If bulls can hold that position, we have to count in our analysis daily timeframe to. Anyway, if price can broke 0.67409 support level, bearish side will continue trending. Do not miss GBPCHF analysis.
by EliteFxAcademy
BITCOIN - Bakkt’s & VanEck’s ETF - Part 1A Bitcoin sell off does not always mean it is trending, it is all a matter of perspective. If you focus on one hour charts, you will see a trend! For those who do not realize yet, losing is part of this game. When I was a beginner, I hated losing and used to make the mistake of letting my performance determine the value of my self worth. Back then, a colleague of mine used to always remind me that in order to win, you have to be able and willing to lose. It took years for me to fully appreciate those wise words. If you can't lose, you can NEVER win. Losing provides opportunities to develop, improve and grow if your level of emotional intelligence brings them to light. Over time these opportunities will lead to experience that will contribute to developing a personal process. We follow a process that allows us to make the best use of our time and attention while participating in broader movements when the market cooperates. In other words, once the criteria lines up, and we are triggered into a trade, it is up to the MARKET from there. We DO NOT react to noise, over think or second guess. As long as our risk is defined, it is up to the market to do the rest. Many may be over reacting to the bearish movement and assuming a trend. They will use trend following strategies, while over looking the fact that Bitcoin is still gyrating within a broad range (14K high to 9K low). Since price has not made any progress outside of this range, we continue to view it as a consolidation UNTIL it proves otherwise. Proof will have to come in the form of a break out, either below 9K or above 14K. We don't predict, we adjust and prepare. What if price breaks lower? The 9K area is the extreme support where a fake out can most likely occur. We trade the long side only, so this is an error that we automatically avoid, but many will get sucked in. IF price can clear 9K decisively, ONLY then will we consider the 8500 support level in play. For our investment strategy (SEPARATE from swing trades), the 9K to 8500 - 7500 area is attractive when it comes to accumulating more inventory. In summary, Bitcoin is fluctuating around the lower region of a broad range, it is NOT trending on the degree to which we place the most weight on. For our swing trade strategy, this means the probability of the location favors long setups. We make every effort to remove ourselves from the equation and let the MARKET determine when to enter and exit a trade. Reacting is what often leads to errors and losses compared to letting the market present and trigger a trade idea. What are your rules? How do you define a market that is in a trend? Or in a range? How do you measure your risk and reward relative to the current price structure? If you can't answer these questions clearly and decisively, then you should not be risking real money. Most new traders and investors come to this arena focused on profit, and overlook the value of consistency. Risk is the only variable we can truly control which is why our process begins with a defensive mindset. This is why we can be right less than 50% of the time, yet still produce a positive return overall. BTC Back in Business Hope you all had a restful labor day! Nothing quite like a respite from the usual to hit the reset button and start the week fresh. Speaking of fresh starts, BTC found renewed vigor as it unexpectedly jumped from $9,400 up to $10,700. The run-up from $9,600 was particularly vigorous. Ascending volume matched bitcoin’s rising price tag tit for tat before topping out in a stride. The latest move confused anyone seeking logic behind it. However, it correspond very nicely with the news that VanEck SolidX is offering a limited bitcoin ETF to institutional investors. In the short term we have: • VanEck’s unexpected ETF offering • Bakkt’s bitcoin futures live date on the 23rd • Final ETF decision arriving mid-October The takeaway is that we’re entering a precarious time rife with potential for extreme volatility. Remember, volatility is not just to the downside, but to the upside as well. Bitcoin’s obvious strength over the past couple of days tells us that with only an additional bit of fuel thrown in the fire, we may find ourselves firmly breaking out of the descending triangle in the chart below. A move up towards $11K may be nothing more than a fake out attempt at breaking from the triangle, but banking on that by being short now is more risk than we’re willing to stomach. After all of these weeks spent sideways and slipping lower We’re monitoring the situation closely and will keep you up to date.
Short
by ferGOD
4
Bearish Triangle Break + Support/Resistance ZonesTriangle has broken multiple bars in the 1H and 2H time-frame in to Bearish signals. RSI @ 3H has turned Bearish as well. Willy @ 6H is indicating a dump in near future. I have labeled zones of varying degree of support/resistance (Green, Red, Yellow Lines) These lines were drawn with 2H, 4H, 6H, 12H time-frame modified Ichimoku Kumo Clouds (hidden). The question: where is the bottom? If price breaches the yellow line inside the red square area - we will have a medium/strong indication we have entered a new Bearish Trend - and may see a short bounce @ $1150. However, if we hit $1150 I give it very low odds of holding for long. The first likely target would be around ~$1085. This would be the bottom of the 6H Kumo cloud. If we breach this odds are extremely high for a retest of last months lows or a temporary bounce around ~$1000. We have extremely strong support in the ~$950-$975 area where we may see some sideways action for a bit. Worst case scenario is a flash drop to at minimum ~$887 (last lowest low) Now would be a good time to put in limit orders spread between $825-$890
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by member00
2