BTC/USD Swing Trade Analysis - Starting to RecoverHi everyone,
I have decided to focus on swing trading for now. It was my original goal and I've been too busy (+need to learn a lot more) to properly do Day Trading.
So here is my BITFINEX:BTCUSD analysis for today.
*Patterns:*
If what I am seeing is a channel (pink and then pink+blue) it is getting narrower. That means things are probably going to change.
There also seems to be a triangle (bright green) indicating a trend reversal.
Volume seems to agree. Higher volume means people are active on the market, unlike a couple of weeks ago (Feb 8-16) where everyone was sitting on the fence and the price barely budged. Even from Feb 16 to yesterday (before the major sell) lots of people were waiting to see what would happen (myself included). Now in the last 16 hours there seems to be a massive volume of trading, sginaling that many investors are returning to the market.
*Indicators:*
The MACD and RSI are showing a small signs of a potential recovery, but it will be a hard fight.
The tough recovery trend can be confirmed looking at the volume. After massive buying in the last 4 hours (almost as much as the selling at Feb 22 23:00 EST) the bulls are starting to move the MACD out of the red and into the pink. But it is still not enough to get the MACD out of the negative and the RSI into 40% (both strong indications of recovery).
*Conclusion:*
For the more adventurous investors, this is already a good time to buy, as there is an indication of recovery.
For a more conservative strategy, you can wait until the MACD has crossed the 0 line, as that will be a stronger indication that the price is on the way up again (but of course your gains will be less).
If this has helped you in any way, please leave a comment below. I'm a (fairly) beginner at this and any feedback is welcome!
*Disclaimer:*
None of this is financial or investment advice, just my opinion. Cryptocurrency investing is highly risky. You should make your own analysis before investing and only invest what you are comfortable losing.
Beginner
Technical Analysis 101: Support and Resistance In this video I cover the basics of the support and resistance levels and how to chart it out, If you enjoyed this video please like it and share it with your friends. Also please drop a comment, feedback, suggestion for me to cover or just to work on, and that would be much appreciated. Next video I'll cover the Fibonacci retracement and extension to plot targets. So we covered the trend lines and support and resistance levels, so please practice with those and send me charts if you need someone to look over it! As the main goal is for all of us to learn from each other and become better chartist and traders!
Beginner BTC Ranges 2.15.21Trying to develop understanding of ranges. Seem like the recent weeks have given us some clarity with the $32k-ish and $38k-ish levels, I have some confidence there. Will watch the the rising wedge, but not necessarily confident in formations like that when it comes to BTC (ha!!). Not very confident in the trend line, but perhaps could come in handy if we get nuked. Green lines Im fairly confident in (although less so than weekly candle ranges in Blue).
BTC/USD Intra-Day EST Morning Analysis - Price ConsolidationHello everyone and welcome to another BITFINEX:BTCUSD update!
This time we have a good chart without skewed trades from whales.
Like I (sort of) predicted yesterday morning, the price did fall down again around 1PM.
Looking at the next 2 hours, what will happen?
*Candlestick Analysis:*
There's some sticks that are long and some that are short, both in the buy and sell candles, so this tells me that prices are back to their normal variation.
The wicks are also varying, which means the market is back to normal. I'll look at a subset of them later.
Volume has gone down significantly compared to yesterday, which tells me that there are a lot of people waiting to sell or to buy. Let's look at a subset of this later.
*Support and Resistance:*
This is where things get interesting now
I see a head-and-shoulders pattern (blue line) from yesterday 19:30 to today 7:15. This means that the bull trend is coming to an end.
However, the MACD seems to be pointing to it going up, while the RSI says it is going to stay here.
We can see that the volume is dropping, which means people are waiting to see what happens.
Let's look at some candles again.
The wicks are still varying so there's not much we can say. However the bodies are not too small, which means that volatility is still happening. Ok, that wasn't helpful at all.
I'm having a hard time figuring this one out. I think I need to learn more patterns. I will take some time out to study or do other things and check back later.
*TLDR:*
My hunch says it will stay stuck around the current price (~$46) for the next 2 hours.
*Legal Notice:* Nothing in this publication is investment or financial advice, please trade at your own risk and comfort level.
BTC/USD Intra-Day EST Morning Analysis - Moving SidewaysHi everyone, this is my first analysis publication.
I am a beginner trader so I'd love to get your feedback on my ideas.
I'm using the teachings from a major Cyrpto Trading YouTube Channel (please message me for links, from what I understood I'm not allowed to post links to other social media or news sites).
*Candlestick Analysis:*
Since 8:15AM, trading is taking place on a somewhat narrow price range (candle bodies are small).
Massive FOMO happened at 7:45 AM, but market is calmer now (large candle body).
At 8:00 AM, there was a long wick on bottom of the red candle, which means that price was still bullish. We can see that confirmed at the 8:15 candle which closed with a price rise. However, there was also a long wick the top of the candle, which means people were already itching to sell as well. I think this was the first clue that things were going to start moving sideways. This continued in the 8:30 AM candle, confirming the sideways move.
But wait... we need to factor in the volume.
From 7:45 AM to 8:45 AM there was a high volume of trade. This means that what we just explained is confirmed (at least for this time period): when the price was going up, it really was heading up due to the high volume. And when the price started moving sideways, people started sitting on the fence.
Now let's look at what happened after 8:30 AM:
Still small candle bodies, which means trading is happening on a very narrow price range. For me, this says most people are on a "wait and see mode".
The only big wicks were at 8:30 and 10:00 AM. A slightly big one at 9:15 as well. This means that people were getting more and more itchy to sell.
Looking at the volume, it seems to confirm this idea. A low volume means people are sitting on the fence waiting to see what will happen.
*Support and Resistance Analysis:*
(done mostly with my experience of trading in 2017 (and learning from a major Crypto News Site) since I only have access to 2 indicators here).
From 8:15 to 10:30 (now) I see a symmetrical triangle (in blue).
Looking at the MACD (at 10:45), the bars are going down and the blue is also about to cross the red. Both mean that the price is about to go down. The bars are not below 0, so this means it will not crash down too much.
The RSI is still signalling overpriced, so this means the price will likely consolidate at a lower value than it is right now ($43,890).
*Final update (11 AM) and conclusion:*
Despite the large volume at 10:45, we can see that the candle stick/body was very short, which tells me that the market is still on await and see mode.
The triangle (pink) is still symmetrical, which says (?) things can go either way (that's probably why people are still on the fence).
However, the RSI and MACD are both saying it will go down.
Based on this trading window (9-11 AM EST) I will say that the tendency is to go down, or stay sideways for the next 2 hours.
I will check later this afternoon to see if my idea was right.
*Bias disclaimer:* I did sell a significant part of my holdings at ~$39, thinking that it would keep on testing the top for a while, so I am doing this to try and see when to buy. I am trying to be as unbiased as I can, but there might be part of me that is seeing what I want to see.
*Legal Notice:* Nothing in this publication is investment or financial advice, please trade at your own risk and comfort level.
#technicalanalysis #beginner #crypto #bitcoin
My Analysis | Provide me insights where I am Wrong ? What I have done and What I believe -->
I have analyzed this chart on the basis of supply-demand and SR lines.
I have used RSI and Parabolic SAR and I am hoping the price will not bounce from the upper level, Because this level of demand served 3-4 as demand level in previous months and most probably it will serve the Demand area Also.
Please tell me where I am wrong and provide me positive feedback.
SOLO Possible breakoutNASDAQ:SOLO
Hope it closes green tomorrow, then expect breakout from triangle.
First Trade on MT4 for EURUSDI've structured the market in 2 dimensionalities of time. One small than the other and got to the conclusion that you see on the graphic. I'm just a beginner testing my learnings so feel free to comment any improvement you'd do if you were on my shoes. The order is going, so let's learn!
ETHUSD 4hr Analysis: First Time Posting, How am I doing?Okay. Take this as you will, first time I have posted on this forum. Looking for some feedback on my use of these analysis tools as well as obviously your thoughts on the near term trajectory of ETH! Thank you all for your support, wish you all the best!
WKHS is that an Opportunity zone to buy I'm actually new in trading filed, i learded trading from different sources, colleges, online courses and experiences in forex market (and yes that was a fault for a beginner) , now i'm more interested in stocks and learning step by step, I'm basically like technical analysis and want to share my though with trading community
ENJIN Price Prediction (Need Expert Advice)Ok so I'm fairly new to understand indicators, pricing patterns and other such charting tools but I'd really love some expert advice and thoughts on a extreme beginners first attempt at a price prediction in a strange strategy and mix of polar opposite indicators that I believe could still provide an accurate outcome.
Ok so my prediction is sometime around 8:00 on Jan 19 the price for ENJIN will settle somewhere around 0.22280536
I came up with this by placing swing trading pattern indicators on my chart then seeing the difference between the pivots in highs and lows
With around . 02 to .05 movements on average,
Leading me to believe the recent spike in volume occuring in the 17th was FOMO buying resulting in ENJIN finding new support at 0.22404000 then bouncing through to the 19th settling right around the new support level at
0.22280536
The main way I came up with this prediction was making the trend line run along the swing average give or take and then using bill williams 3 lines to determine if the spike was going to be a constant up trend or a flash buy.
Anyone who knows what they're talking about I could use some advice or thoughts on this strategy and charting. (The fans just for me to weigh out P/L)
Where Will The Bird Land?Where is TWTR going to land? Seemed to hold that 47.5 area incredibly well...lot of buyers coming in there to pick it up. But then we see the seller pressure come in around the early 49's. Ultimately I think we make our way back up to the 52-53 area this week, but I want to see a goo confirmation above 49.5 before I enter. Shorts if we break 45.5 but I don't see that happening unless we get more bad news. 10% seems to be a healthy enough correction for a company like Twitter.
Please leave any comments or feedback below! I'm relatively new to charting.
AMC Reversal Chart- 15 minute (please read description)Quick Introduction:
I am brand new to trading and have been working on learning the technical side of trading. I am hoping to do this for a living one day. I am currently in the practice and learning stage. I have been doing a lot of practice charting lately and would greatly appreciate feedback and pointers to help improve and refine my skills. I would love to get some feedback on this chart if anyone has some extra time to check it out. Thanks!
AMC Chart Explanation:
This chart on AMC is intended for a reversal move. There are monthly, weekly, daily, 4 hour, 1 hour, and 15 minute trends charted. Each time frame has a relevant wedge charted, relevant up/down trends, and untested levels marked at the trend high of the relevant downtrends. The charting is all fractally done from the monthly to the 15 minute time frames. Lower time-framed levels are not visible on the larger time frames to prevent chart congestion. Each time frame has been put in its own object tree. The chart starts at the beginning of AMC's monthly downtrend.
AMC Chart Key:
Monthly Trends- White
Weekly Trends- Purple
Daily Trends- Red
4h Trends- Yellow
1h Trends- Teal
15m Trends- Pink
PS: I do not plan on making this trade nor do I think AMC will see a reversal. This is just for me to get some charting practice and to receive feedback from more experienced traders. I have also posted my other fractal charts on AMC .
AMC Reversal Chart- 1 hour (please read description)Quick Introduction:
I am brand new to trading and have been working on learning the technical side of trading. I am hoping to do this for a living one day. I am currently in the practice and learning stage. I have been doing a lot of practice charting lately and would greatly appreciate feedback and pointers to help improve and refine my skills. I would love to get some feedback on this chart if anyone has some extra time to check it out. Thanks!
AMC Chart Explanation:
This chart on AMC is intended for a reversal move. There are monthly, weekly, daily, 4 hour, 1 hour, and 15 minute trends charted. Each time frame has a relevant wedge charted, relevant up/down trends, and untested levels marked at the trend high of the relevant downtrends. The charting is all fractally done from the monthly to the 15 minute time frames. Lower time-framed levels are not visible on the larger time frames to prevent chart congestion. Each time frame has been put in its own object tree. The chart starts at the beginning of AMC's monthly downtrend.
AMC Chart Key:
Monthly Trends- White
Weekly Trends- Purple
Daily Trends- Red
4h Trends- Yellow
1h Trends- Teal
15m Trends- Pink
PS: I do not plan on making this trade nor do I think AMC will see a reversal. This is just for me to get some charting practice and to receive feedback from more experienced traders. I have also posted my other fractal charts on AMC.
AMC Reversal Chart- 4 hour (please read description)Quick Introduction:
I am brand new to trading and have been working on learning the technical side of trading. I am hoping to do this for a living one day. I am currently in the practice and learning stage. I have been doing a lot of practice charting lately and would greatly appreciate feedback and pointers to help improve and refine my skills. I would love to get some feedback on this chart if anyone has some extra time to check it out. Thanks!
AMC Chart Explanation:
This chart on AMC is intended for a reversal move. There are monthly, weekly, daily, 4 hour, 1 hour, and 15 minute trends charted. Each time frame has a relevant wedge charted, relevant up/down trends, and untested levels marked at the trend high of the relevant downtrends. The charting is all fractally done from the monthly to the 15 minute time frames. Lower time-framed levels are not visible on the larger time frames to prevent chart congestion. Each time frame has been put in its own object tree. The chart starts at the beginning of AMC's monthly downtrend.
AMC Chart Key:
Monthly Trends- White
Weekly Trends- Purple
Daily Trends- Red
4h Trends- Yellow
1h Trends- Teal
15m Trends- Pink
PS: I do not plan on making this trade nor do I think AMC will see a reversal. This is just for me to get some charting practice and to receive feedback from more experienced traders. I have also posted my other fractal charts on AMC.
AMC Reversal Chart- Montly (please read description)Quick Introduction:
I am brand new to trading and have been working on learning the technical side of trading. I am hoping to do this for a living one day. I am currently in the practice and learning stage. I have been doing a lot of practice charting lately and would greatly appreciate feedback and pointers to help improve and refine my skills. I would love to get some feedback on this chart if anyone has some extra time to check it out. Thanks!
AMC Chart Explanation:
This chart on AMC is intended for a reversal move. There are monthly, weekly, daily, 4 hour, 1 hour, and 15 minute trends charted. Each time frame has a relevant wedge charted, relevant up/down trends, and untested levels marked at the trend high of the relevant downtrends. The charting is all fractally done from the monthly to the 15 minute time frames. Lower time-framed levels are not visible on the larger time frames to prevent chart congestion. Each time frame has been put in its own object tree. The chart starts at the beginning of AMC's monthly downtrend.
AMC Chart Key:
Monthly Trends- White
Weekly Trends- Purple
Daily Trends- Red
4h Trends- Yellow
1h Trends- Teal
15m Trends- Pink
PS: I do not plan on making this trade nor do I think AMC will see a reversal. This is just for me to get some charting practice and to receive feedback from more experienced traders. I have also posted my other fractal charts on AMC.
XAUUSD SHORT IDEAWhat is happening here?
We can clearly see that the price is currently on a descending channel, the price broke the resistance line which is the top yellow one to induce retail traders to buy.
After the market maker makes his move he's going to stop inducing retail traders to long (buy), and shift from that zone to a major bearish move.
Wait for StopHunt to the high and a peak formation to enter the trade.
EURCHF BUY POSITIONIts not signal , its just my idea on EURCHF ( I've been learning forex 2 months and please support me and tell me my mistakes to become good at forex marketing . Im seeing its buy position but if it broke the trend line it must me strong so if it break trend line it will go down to " Resistance that become Support " .