Behavior
BTC Beginners Evaluation - Historical Market Behaviour Looking into the trend behaviours for large sized duration (1 year) we can see that in January 2013 there was some interest in the bitcoin market for the first time with early-early adopters showing a bull run with the low volumes that were present.
The first bull run rose +1727% over 89 days. Due to the non-linear behaviour, this cannot be averaged into per day terms. Looking at the relative length to height ratio (1727% / 89d = 20 for this one bull run). We will take this as a 'typical' long-term bull run in cryptocurrency terms due to the relatively long tail where the run started.
This was then followed by a fall (bearish) of -68% over 7d = 10.
The second bull run we saw rose +1412% over 152d = 9 (half of 20 we previously experienced with the first bull run). This may be contributed to the larger volumes of trades having a larger effect on the behaviour of how high the price rose. However the price rose fairly similar (+1727% & +1412%) but over a much shorter duration.
This was then followed by a fall of -51% over 14d = 4 (again half of 10 we previously experienced with first fall).
Summary ratios
Term Bull Bear
long 20 10
short 9 4
Note: Percentages (%) are a good common base unit to look at as this is normalised to suit any volume at any price. These ratios are a first glance at what market behaviours are typically like. These indicators may be adjusted to upper and lower bound of short and long term behaviours depending on risk tolerance.
EXAMPLE ON HOW PRICE CHANGING BEHABIOUR / EURCAD /1W (CASE ONLY)Market moves in Trends
1)Uptrend
2)Downtrend
3)Sideway Trend
These trends could be generated by the policymakers (Central Bankers)of respected currencies, Politician's decisions , Geopolitical Situations, Elections, Referendums, Reports, Surveys,Natural Disasters, Etc.
Price could move in million ways. But certain cases of pattern repeat. "History Repeats".
This is simple a idea how price is changing in different conditions. These trends could happen in even in 1minutes charts or even in large time frames. Our duty as successful trades is to identify these patterns before they happen. Specially rates and inflation and political situation majorly affect a countries' currency.
If you think this post is useful press a like
Thanks Shyamal
STELLAR WITH FULL TA PATTERNS AND A IMPORTANT WARNING !!!To everybody:
The chart I think does not need much explanation.
On my first chart of this coin I took the time to see his full story, his white paper, his roadmap and his behavior. In the second I made a chart to see its possible trend.
I found that it was forming an upward triangle, within which the price was handled correctly until after a doji, there was a sale to the zero level of fibonacci in poloniex in one candle.
Maybe not Us, but for me this kind of behavior, attentive to the transparency, the health of the market and above all to the trust deposited in the people, with which I feel guilty making charts that finish in this mess.
Because with money and people's trust u can not played.
Thanks for your time!
ETH AGAINST ALLThis is my second Ethereum chart.
Ethereum against the BTC growing power, the hackers, the hard forks, ETC, DAO, ZEC, REP.
In summary, Ethereum against Ethereum. I am talking about TRUST and all the weight that this word represents.
I pointed out with vertical lines the most significant highs and lows and they dates, supports and resistances.
The two dotted red lines are very important to my point of view.
Huge loss of volume and the free fall since 09/2016.
The yellow line are the BTC/USD and how much it affected the last time to ether
On the first ETH chart a saw a inflection point, as well as a possible change in the trend, but on different time frames, I don´t look a defined north, signs or vestiges of weakness and I can not confirm the rebirth of this currency technically yet.
Thanks for your time!
US FEDERAL RESERVE DICTATES MARKETS BEHAVIORChart describes relationship with Federal Funds Rate X Federal Reserve US Bond Holdings vs. S&P 500
Increasingly throughout the years markets behavior has been dictated by actions of US Central Bank Federal Reserve.
Following actions and words of Federal Reserve officials have been important elements in forecasting overall market behavior and direction.