BEST
FINDING THE BEST ROI BETWEEN SIMILAR ASSETS 📚 With Alpha's PoP💬Introduction :
Today we are comparing the Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and the S&P by their annual performance to show how our open source indicator "Alpha Performance of Period" (PoP) can be used and why the results are useful. We will also look at other markets later in the writeup to see how they compare and to get a sense of which markets provide the best risk-to-reward and ROI.
The idea here is to compare highly correlated markets over time to see which of these markets preforms the best overall represented by a period chosen by the user. This will help tell us which of these indexes is the best/worst to trade/invest with on average.
For this article we will assume "best" equates to "best for long positions", but the indicator could be used for other purposes such as best shorting opportunities (largest drawdown amounts).
Comparing these indexes shows that the NASDAQ has historically outperformed, while the DOW underperformed, and the S&P has been somewhere in the middle since the tech bubble on a year-over-year basis.
You can also see this on the chart as represented by the indicator's metrics contained within its label, but we will summarize it below:
NOTE: The figures below are rounded up to the nearest .01%, see charts for exact %'s.
Equity Indices Total Annual performance results: (main chart)
(Jan. 2000 - present)
SPX = +111.79%
NDX = +156.10%
DJI = +117.65%
Now let's look at the quarterly and monthly performance:
Equity Indices Total Quarterly performance results:
(Jan. 2000 - present)
SPX = +104.57%
NDX = +160.75%
DJI = +111.65%
Equity Indices Total Monthly performance results:
(Jan. 2000 - present)
SPX = +91.22%
NDX = +125.274%
DJI = +101.68%
Equities Summary:
While the NASDAQ has had periods of underperformance (for example the dot com bubble burst), on each of the charts you can see that not only has the NASDAQ outperformed (and the Dow underperformed) over time, the NASDAQ has also generally outperformed during each different period measurement. We won't do the math for each period here as that's the main purpose of this indicator, but you can apply the indicator on your own chart and take a look at it yourself.
The main takeaways for us are this:
1. You are better off trading and/or holding the NASDAQ when compared to the 3 main indexes.
2. You are better off trading the S&P than the DJI.
3. The performance of the NASDAQ during COVID isn't an anomaly, and it doesn't necessarily indicate a tech bubble, outperformance in a specific period and overtime is the norm with this index.
Now that you see how this works on the indexes, let's showcase how it can work for other markets.
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RARE EARTH METALS~
Rare Earth Metals Total Annual performance results:
(Jan. 2000 - present)
GOLD = 193.87%
SILVER = 186.72%
PALLADIUM = 361.27%
Rare Earth Metals Total Quarterly performance results:
(Jan. 2000 - present)
GOLD = 201.80%
SILVER = 197.60%
PALLADIUM = 304.04%
Rare Earth Metals Total Monthly performance results:
(Jan. 2000 - present)
GOLD = 206.59%
SILVER = 209.60%
PALLADIUM = 283.25%
Rare Earth Metals Summary:
As you can see, despite the general public's love of Gold, Palladium vastly outperforms it. Meanwhile, we can confirm Silver underperforms. Many people wouldn't suspect Palladium was superior, but we now know from the resulting data (Hooray!).
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FOREX~
Main Forex USD pairs Total Annual performance results:
(Jan. 2000 - present)
EURUSD = 19.48%
GBPUSD = -9.03%
AUDUSD = 23.90%
Main Forex USD pairs Total Quarterly performance results:
(Jan. 2000 - present)
EURUSD = 20.75%
GBPUSD = -16.53%
AUDUSD = 20.98%
Main Forex USD pairs Total Monthly performance results:
(Jan. 2000 - present)
EURUSD = 19.57%
GBPUSD = -16.70%
AUDUSD = 21.93%
Forex Summary:
As you can see against a USD base-pair, GBP is the worst performing from the 2000's by all periods. One might assume the more popular EUR pair preformed better than for example AUD, but the reality is AUD takes the cake and preformed better than both EUR and USD by each period over time.
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CRYPTOCURRENCY~
Main Crypto USD(T) pairs Total Annual performance results:
(Jan. 2017 - present)
BLX = 1351.18%
ETHUSDT = 8967.62%
LTCUSD = 5012.80%
Main Crypto USD(T) pairs Total Quarterly performance results:
(Jan. 2017 - present)
BLX = 504.60%
ETHUSDT = 1124.81%
LTCUSD = 824.44%
Main Crypto USD(T) pairs Total Monthly performance results:
(Jan. 2017 - present)
BLX = 357.63%
ETHUSDT = 739.39%
LTCUSD = 530.67%
Crypto Summary:
Crypto has the largest period losses, but it also has the largest period gains (by far). Of all the crypto pairs, ETH offers the best ROI. Interestingly, ETH offers the best ROI of all markets mentioned in this article as well (although it also has the biggest losses and highest risk associated with its uptrends). Some might find it odd that Litecoin outperforms Bitcoin (although like with ETH, the drawdown is notably more intense).
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Conclusion:
Use "Alpha Performance of Period" (PoP) to compare markets for what is best suited to your portfolio depending on your individual risk appetite. It is meant to be used on highly correlated markets, but as you can see you can also compare different sets of markets together to get a sense of which offers the best risk-to-reward, ROI, etc. This tool thus has many uses related to figuring out which markets you want to trade based on historical data and offers a simple way to quickly compare past performance. Hope you guys enjoy it! :D
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Best Scripts of the Month — 2020.06We present you with our selection from the open-source indicators published this month on TradingView. These scripts are the ones that caught our attention while analyzing the two thousand or so scripts published each month in TradingView's Public Library, the greatest repository of indicators in the world. If we missed any, please let us know. Most of these scripts were selected on the basis of their potential to be useful in trading; others will be more useful to Pine coders.
This superb body of work constitutes unmistakable proof of the liveliness, ingenuity, and relentless creativity of the generous traders/programmers who not only give their time to write amazing scripts, but share their code with the world. Kudos to these very special humans.
Enjoy!
Time Range Statistics
alexgrover continues to mine time series for all they are worth. This script shows traders some key statistics for a symbol.
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BTC difficulty adjustments
BTC_JackSparrow uses Quandl data to show periodic BTC difficulty adjustments.
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Bayesian BBSMA Oscillator
tista builds a model calculating the probability of an eventual up/down movement.
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Binomial Option Pricing Model
We see more and more scripts dedicated to options trading. SegaRKO presents a method that works on more types of options than the Black-Scholes Model.
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Funamental and financials
sjakk mines a stock's fundamentals using the new `financial()` function and presents them in a usable format.
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VAMA Volume Adjusted Moving Average Function
A volume-adjusted moving average calculated using a technique by Richard Arm, brought to us by allanster .
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Hull Candles
Indicator designers are just beginning to scratch the surface of price representation on charts. BigBitsIO takes us further on that path with this well-designed take on candles using a very appropriate Hull MA to build and color them.
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Support Resistance MTF
LonesomeTheBlue provides S/R levels from a user-selected timeframe without using `security()` and displays them in a useful way.
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SwingArm ATR Trend Indicator
vsnfnd provides a trend-following trading system based on ATR.
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Trend Quality
kruskakli 's script uses MA states and their relative positions to derive an interesting take on the current state of the trend.
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Stochastic Weights - Basic
BigBitsIO introduces a Stoch indicator allowing the signal to be composed of weighed variations of the Stoch signal.
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Donchian HL Width - Cycle Information
RicardoSantos calculates the relationship between high/low and Donchian channels as a percentage, and uses that information to detect cycles.
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TF Segmented Linear Regression
alexgrover allows traders to see periodic linear regressions calculated from a user-selected timeframe.
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█ CODER UTILITIES
Periodic Ellipses
alexgrover comes up with the first Pine code we see that draws ellipses.
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Best Scripts of the Month — 2020.05This month, something great happened. We selected one script to be featured in this monthly list and, as usual, mentioned it in the script's comment section. The next day we received a report on the script from a watchful TV member, and the script's comment section soon lit up with questions as to why the script had been selected. Problem was that, unbeknownst to us, it was too closely inspired by a script from one of the platform's respected coders. It didn't take long for us to realize our error, and so we retracted.
What went on in that script's comment section made us proud to be part of this community, and it proves without a shadow of a doubt that we are not alone, that you are with us in this endeavor to help the best rise to the top, which also involves calling out what's inappropriate when needed. It also proves that if we err, as we occasionally inevitably will, you will be there to keep a watchful eye on our slips. It is an honor for us to participate in this with you all, and we are lucky to have you because you speak up when it's needed. Together, we can do a better job than any of us could alone. From the bottom of our hearts, thank to you all—and especially to those who disagreed openly with our decision on that script.
We present you with our selection from the open-source indicators published this month on TradingView. These scripts are the ones that caught our attention while analyzing the two thousand or so scripts published each month in TradingView's Public Library, the greatest repository of indicators in the world. If we missed any, please let us know. Most of these scripts were selected on the basis of their potential to be useful in trading; others will be more useful to Pine coders.
This superb body of work constitutes unmistakable proof of the liveliness, ingenuity, and relentless creativity of the generous traders/programmers who not only give their time to write amazing scripts, but share their code with the world. Kudos to these very special humans.
Enjoy!
Stochastic Heat Map
How information is presented can be as important as the information itself. You've probably never seen Stoch like Violent shows it here.
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Vortex MTF
melihtuna publishes an addition to the trend-identifier family with his MTF version of the Vortex indicator.
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Fancy Bollinger Bands
It's a rare thing when an Nth Bollinger Bands script adds something interesting to the classic indicator. BigBitsIO does it by providing different options to select different bar types and timeframes to source their calc, and a forecasting feature.
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RedK_Supply/Demand Volume Viewer v1
RedKTrader publishes a volume indicator where he uses the bar's structure to determine supply/demand volume.
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Separated Moving Average - evo
Selective moving averages can reveal new aspects of price action. That is exactly what EvoCrypto does here by calculating different averages for up and down bars.
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Function - Logistic Equation
The one and only Pine Maestro, RicardoSantos , gives us another one of his inventions, which models the changes in the relationship between price action and a measure of volatility.
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Correlation Cycle, CorrelationAngle, Market State - John Ehlers
Scripts with lots of options allowing them to be used in different ways empower traders. midtownsk8rguy presents us with a correlation script that gives the word "study" true meaning.
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US Fed Balance Sheet
NeoButane provides easy access to some of the US Fed assets available from Quandl.
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Mawreez' RSI Divergence Detector
Contrary to the typical RSI divergence indicator, Mawreez quantifies the magnitude of the divergences. We also appreciated the down-to-earth and cautionary tone of his presentation.
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Reminder Message (with color picker) - ApopheniaPays
There are many ways a Pine programmer can be useful to traders. ApopheniaPays finds a new one here.
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Revolution Volatility Bands With Range Contraction Signal VII
MitozLakin publishes a volatility indicator which identifies contractions, so points from which price can be expected to move.
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Correlation with P-Value & Confidence Interval
balipour brings correlation measurement to another level, adding an option on the calculation itself, but also putting a p-value and bands into play.
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Simplistic Automatic Growth Models
RicardoSantos calls his calculations "simplistic" ) While they aren't simplistic to us, we find them really interesting.
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ATR Based Trendlines - JD
If one coder can be associated to trendlines on TradingView, it's this creative man. In this script, Duyck draws trend lines using ATR.
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█ CODER UTILITIES
ALMA Function - Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
kurtsmock adds to the Pine coder toolbox by providing an ALMA function accepting a "series float" as its period.
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Statistical Histogram with configurable bins and Data Window
Hook up any source to this script and a.tesla2018 a.tesla2018 will show you a histogram of its distribution.
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security free MTF example - JD
Duyck shows how to gather HTF OHLC values without using `security()`. The technique used has the advantage of providing `high` and `low` values instantly, as they develop through the HTF's dilation of chart bars, so your script will be getting values faster than with `security()`, with the compromise that their values will update during the HTF bar, both on historical and the realtime chart bars. Far from invalidating the technique used, this method suits many HTF calcs perfectly. It's just a matter for script designers to decide if using repainting data corresponds to the requirements of their calculations. Note that unlike `security()` calls that cheat by using future data using `lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on` and no offset of 1 on the series, Duyck's code will never use future data.
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SHORT CAD/CHF : SHORT Trade Idea Latest Update By Hydra 2020** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
Forex Trading are leveraged product & can result in the loss of your entire capital.
Please ensure you fully understand the Risks involved.
AUDUSD Long + Short trade Idea Latest By Hydra 2020** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
Forex Trading are leveraged product & can result in the loss of your entire capital.
Please ensure you fully understand the Risks involved.
Best Scripts of the Month — 2020.04We present you with our selection from the open-source indicators published this month on TradingView. These scripts are the ones that caught our attention while analyzing the two thousand or so scripts published each month in TradingView's Public Library, the greatest repository of indicators in the world. If we missed any, please let us know. Most of these scripts were selected on the basis of their potential to be useful in trading; others will be more useful to Pine coders.
This superb body of work constitutes unmistakable proof of the liveliness, ingenuity, and relentless creativity of the generous traders/programmers who not only give their time to write amazing scripts, but share their code with the world. Kudos to these very special humans.
Enjoy!
(JS) Squeeze Pro Overlays
J-Streak presents an overlay Squeeze indicator with lots of options.
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Trend Following MAs 3D
LonesomeTheBlue publishes a 3D visualization of delta MAs.
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Auto Adjust To Ideal Pearson's R Oscillator
x11joe combines a long and short-term Pearson's R oscillator.
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Fancy Triple Moving Averages
BigBitsIO creates a rare MA script bringing something original to the Library. His MAs can be calculated from different chart types, among other goodies such as forecasting.
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LUBE
We rarely include strategies in our list because authors rarely show realistic results, but the logic used in this script by Jomy was compelling and original enough for us this time.
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Williams Fractal Trailing Stops
SimpleCryptoLife revisits Williams Fractals, using them to derive stops in a generously commented script.
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COVID Statistics Tracker & Model Projections by Cryptorhythms
theheirophant 's script has to be the most complete COVID tracker we've seen so far, and it's open source.
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Enhanced Time Segmented Volume
eylwithsteph publishes this, and two other takes on a well-presented volume and price balance indicator.
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Fearzone Panel
kruskakli presents an indicator of Swedish origin that attempts to identify areas where trader fear has taken over.
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Dynamic Money Flow
RezzaHmt publishes an adapted version of the Chaikin Money Flow Index with improvements he explains well and make sense to us.
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inwCoin Martingale Strategy ( for Bitcoin )
This is an educational strategy by Real_inwCoin showing how dangerous the Martingale position-sizing strategy is.
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SPY Expected Move by VIX
LazySprinter presents a tool projecting possible moves of SPY-correlated markets using VIX.
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Gap Filling Strategy
alexgrover presents a gap-based strategy with his usual rigor. It's refreshing to see an author who understands backtesting and the inherent incompleteness of single test runs presented on a single symbol/timeframe pair with a given set of parameters. Accordingly, Alex goes through the results of a few different test runs with the objective of, rather than finding the one with the splashiest results, understanding the characteristics of his strategy. We wish more strategies were presented this way by authors.
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Yield Curve Percent Inverted
nj_guy72 publishes an indicator analyzing inverted T-Bond yield spreads. They normally indicate a relative lack of confidence in the short-term vs the long-term outlook, which in turn can predate recessions.
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Absolute Retracement
Clear code and impeccable visuals are e2e4mfck 's trademark. This publication is no exception. It includes many options to calculate and display SR levels.
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Pivot Point Supertrend
LonesomeTheBlue 's original take on SuperTrend. It's using weighted past pivots to determine starting levels and calculations aimed at keeping traders in trends longer, so more generous than the usual SuperTrend. It also has a slew of options to help traders, including SR levels.
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Bar Balance
LucF mines up/down/neutral intrabars and calculates their balance to show the strength of price movements.
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█ CODER UTILITIES
Nth-Occurrence Custom barssince() Function by Cryptorhythms
Aha moments are what make progress possible. theheirophant brings Pine coders one of those moments with this function that allows you to get the number of bars since the nth occurrence of an event.
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Filter Information Box - PineCoders FAQ
alexgrover gives coders a tool to evaluate signal-processing filters.
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Function Highest/Lowest by PeterO
Peter_O publishes functions allowing coders to get the highest/lowest values since a condition occurred.
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FUNCTION: Specify lengths in time (or bars)
yatrader2 gives coders a function to derive periods from time lengths.
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Heikin-Ashi Source Function
allanster has a history of pumping out great little snippets you will see reused all over the place. We'll bet on the usual outcome for this one.
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Z-Histogram
alexgrover presents a Z-Score histogram that is not only useful, but is also an exercise in conciseness, in typical alexgrover fashion.
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Symbol Info Helper
This helper code by everget shows the breadth of information now available on symbols in Pine, but also demonstrates an efficient and elegant way of handling label code to display an information panel. We somehow missed this in March.
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Pseudo-Random Number Generators via Pine Script
midtownsk8rguy gives us three pseudo-random number generators.
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NZDJPY H4 - NZDJPY has formed a bearish lower low, lower close candle on the daily timeframe.
- If the risk-off sentiment flows into the market, we expect risk currencies such as the NZD to weaken and safe havens such as JPY to gain value. Possible bearish price movement towards the next support 63.40 within the next period.
OIL BELOW 2$ THE BUY OF A LIFENo need to explains everything and i have to write fast for this news but this is great great great opportunity if you don't leverage its like impossible to loss on long term
/!\ Remember this is not a financial advice just only my own opinion on the market please thinking and make your own chose /!\
Please notice this is not trading, or entry signals just an analysis, one day I might make a post on what is the difference between an analysis and a trading signal if you asking.
Feel to share your thought in comment I always read all and try to answers if possible.
Thanks for reading have a good day!
Best Scripts of the Month — 2020.03We present you with our selection from the open-source indicators published this month on TradingView. These scripts are the ones that caught our attention while analyzing the two thousand or so scripts published each month in TradingView's Public Library, the greatest repository of indicators in the world. If we missed any, please let us know. Most of these scripts were selected on the basis of their potential to be useful in trading; others will be more useful to Pine coders.
This superb body of work constitutes unmistakable proof of the liveliness, ingenuity, and relentless creativity of the generous traders/programmers who not only give their time to write amazing scripts, but share their code with the world. Kudos to these very special humans.
Enjoy!
RedK_Directional Index / K xDMI
RedKTrader revisits DMI/ADX, both from a visual and structural perspective. He offers interesting variations in its calculations. Have a look.
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VQZL Z-Score
eylwithsteph gives us a Z-Score standardized Volatility Quality Zero Line which should provide more normalized ranges across instruments.
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Uhl MA Crossover System
alexgrover presents a crossover between two distinct, but related, adaptive moving averages derived from an Andreas Uhl concept: the Corrected Moving Average (CMA).
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Vicious Mortgage Rates V1.0
TheViciousVB aggregates QUANDL mortgage rates from Wells Fargo.
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Majors Volume Sum
RicardoSantos treats us to some number manipulation wizardry to provide a readable display of ForEx majors volume divided in 3 different periods. The indicator also comes with an oscillator.
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Volume Profile
makit0 gives us a Volume profiling tool crafted with much attention to details. Plots 6 key values and can do sessions. This one slipped by us in February. Sorry Makit0.
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Delta Volume Candles
LucF brings an overlay version of his Delta Volume Columns indicator to the Library. It uses intrabar inspection to fetch finer resolution buy/sell volume information and displays it using candles.
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CME Equity Futures Price Limits
NeoButane comes out with an indicator adapted to these times. It shows the limits for breaker prices by deducting them from the previous session.
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Modified OBV w/ Divergence Detection by Cryptorhythms
theheirophant presents Apirine's version of OBV to which he adds divergence detection.
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Trend Following Moving Averages
LonesomeTheBlue provides a heatmap interpretation of an MA ribbon to be used in a pane rather than in overlay mode.
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Automatic Trendlines
When BacktestRookies comes out with something new, it's a good bet that it will be worth looking at. This time it's a trend lines indicator.
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Bar Pattern Statistics Tool
The creativity of Pine's Maestro, RicardoSantos , graces the Public Library with an almost alien steadfastness. From his March publications, we found this bar pattern-mining utility the most interesting.
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Backward Number of Bars
melihtuna comes up with an ingenious way of allowing code to execute in the last n bars only.
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