Ascending Triangle formation for TNY.The green upward sloping line of support has held multiple touch points, potentially indicating the pattern is a Ascending Triangle.
Notice the RSI is respecting the blue downward sloping resistance of what appears like a bull flag or descending triangle.
The KST is on the verge of forming a bullish cross potentially where I have placed the finger pointing upward, previous example can be seen in April and June.
Beveragestocks
Is Canopy trading in a bullish flag?It's very likely this plays out bearishly as a descending triangle, Canopy recently released earnings & the price continued to sell off immediately in the days following, despite the financials improving from previous quarters, and despite strong beverage sales the market seems to favor the U.S focused MSO's at the moment.
Canopy will need some compelling news to break this pattern to the upside.
Canopy is displaying a Symmetrical Triangle pattern as well, notice the green upward sloping line of support, Symmetrical triangles differ from ascending triangles and descending triangles in that the upper and lower trendlines are both sloping towards a center point. In contrast, ascending triangles have a horizontal upper trendline, predicting a potential breakout higher, and descending triangles have a horizontal lower trendline, predicting a potential breakdown lower. Symmetrical triangles are also similar to pennants and flags in some ways, but pennants have upward sloping trendlines rather than converging trendlines.
Is TNY trading in a Macro Ascending Triangle?TNY appears to be holding on to the green upward sloping support in this chart, the support is interestingly forming a giant Ascending Triangle.
Potentially merit for a Inverted Head & Shoulders, only time will tell.
Tinley has multiple upcoming operational updates that can influence these patterns to play out bullishly to the upside in a parabolic manner.
1. Canadian expansion of Cannabis-infused beverages & Beckett's.
It appears as though Canadian expansion for the cannabis-infused beverages has been held off until Tinley received their Long Beach License because Tinley expects to provide reciprocal co-packing referral services with a Canadian co-packing partner.
Updates on expansion to Canada are expected in August.
2. Some of Tinley's Co-packing clients will be announced in the near term because Tinley's Long Beach Facility received official licensing recently.
The company is now in a position to consummate agreements in its pipeline of prospective co-packing clients, apparently there are five, and the CEO has mentioned some of the deals will put Tinley on the Map. Mentioned in one interview is a National Brewery, a well known Winery, and some well known Cannabis brands & mainstream beverage brands.
3. Beckett's shelf placement regarding approximately 6500 locations of interest, commitments from 4 chains for August, at least 1 is rumored to be Costco.
4. Working to finalize initiatives with prominent figures in sports and
entertainment for marketing of Tinley products and co-packing clients’
products.
5. Expansion to Nevada.
Tinley has several bullish milestones that if completed in a timely manner can have a serious impact on the share price to the upside, and on the contrary if delayed, the outcome would be vice versa & a retest of 20c CAD seems plausible.
Possibly a Head & Shoulders Breakdown for WEED.Canopy appears to have broken the base line of support of a micro Head & Shoulders, the blue line is where I have the base of support for the pattern.
The RSI is starting to creep into an area where WEED has seen support, the green arrows pointing to the right is what I am referring too.
Ascending Channel for TNY?TNY has seen some consolidation into an Ascending channel, which is another Bullish Pattern coinciding with multiple other bullish patterns that have played out recently.
Noticeably the green bullish flag I have outlined is a recent bullish pattern, and there was also a giant inverted H&S that played out to the upside, the right shoulder being the green bull flag & the head of the pattern is the green human icon.
How long the channel has lasted will help determine the trend's underlying strength.
In the context of technical analysis, a channel occurs when the price of an asset is moving between two parallel trendlines.
A channel consists of at least four contact points because we need at least two lows to connect to each other and two highs to connect to each other.
Notice a possible divergence on the RSI?
Is Monster breaking out of a massive Ascending Triangle?Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
This multi year ascending triangle pattern is similar to a previous one Monster created in approximately 2012.
The RSI is displaying a series of lower highs, meanwhile, the price continues to rise which is indicative of a divergence.
Divergence can occur between the price of an asset and almost any technical or fundamental indicator or data. Though, divergence is typically used by technical traders when the price is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator.
Positive divergence signals price could start moving higher soon. It occurs when the price is moving lower but a technical indicator is moving higher or showing bullish signals.
Negative divergence points to lower prices in the future. It occurs when the price is moving higher but a technical indicator is moving lower or showing bearish signals.
Divergence isn't to be relied on exclusively, as it doesn't provide timely trade signals. Divergence can last a long time without a price reversal occurring.
Divergence is not present for all major price reversals, it is only present on some.
FYI, price target of the ascending triangle breakout on a log scale is approximately $118.00 USD.
Additionally, I wouldn't be surprised to see Monster enter the cannabis space this year or early 2021. The company has expressed interest & the U.S is "potentially" going to get some clarity on the SAFE Banking or States Act, only time will tell.
Bullish Flag or a Bullish Pennant for TNY?Bullish flag formations are found in stocks with strong uptrends.
They are called bull flags because the pattern resembles a flag on a pole. The pole is the result of a vertical rise in a stock and the flag results from a period of consolidation.
The flag can be a horizontal rectangle, but is also often angled down away from the prevailing trend.
Another variant is called a bullish pennant, in which the consolidation takes the form of a symmetrical triangle.
The shape of the flag is not as important as the underlying psychology behind the pattern.
Basically, despite a strong vertical rally, the stock refuses to drop appreciably, as bulls snap up any shares they can get.
The breakout from a flag often results in a powerful move higher, measuring the length of the prior flag pole.
It is important to note that these patterns work the same in reverse and are known as bear flags and pennants.
What is a Pennant?
In technical analysis, a pennant is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend lines - the pennant - followed by a breakout movement in the same direction as the initial large movement, which represents the second half of the flagpole.
Bullish pennants, just like its name suggests, signals that bulls are about to go a-charging again.
This means that the sharp climb in price would resume after that brief period of consolidation, when bulls gather enough energy to take the price higher again.
Pennants are often continuation chart patterns formed after strong moves.
After a big upward or downward move, buyers or sellers usually pause to catch their breath before taking the pair further in the same direction.
Because of this, the price usually consolidates and forms a tiny symmetrical triangle, which is called a pennant.
Higher lows on the RSI & it is trading at approximately 52. Traditional interpretation and usage of the RSI dictates that values of 70 or above suggest that a security is becoming overbought or overvalued and may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective price pullback. An RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition.
Is Tinley trading in a Bullish Flag?It appears as though TNY is about to make a Macro higher, which would confirm the bullish flag & be a continuation of the Triple Bottom / Inverse Head & Shoulders I talked about in my previous post. A Cup & Handle pattern played out perfectly recently too, so there's been a few bullish patterns recently that have resulted in bullish outcomes.
Be mindful of the range of confluence we are trading in currently, which is where the descending triangle capitulated to the downside on March 4th & March 5th, until finding a Triple Bottom on March 19th.
We may see bears attempt another short attack if support isn't held at 37c.
Macro Ascending Triangle & Triple Bottom?It appears as though TNY may be trading in a huge ascending triangle on a 4-year chart.
Recently the RSI went to all-time lows, and since then we've seen a nice Triple Bottom & some bullish momentum.
Notice where I've placed the blue sideways arrows, there are three bottoms that coincide with a price range of roughly 23c in March 2017.
Again in late July & Aug 2017 at approximately the same price range.
And more recently we found a low of roughly 18.5c, which could potentially represent the third bottom of the Triple Bottom. We can see on this chart that there was a Triple Bottom that happened in late 2016 until late 2017, I have three blue arrows inside of a descending triangle patten that represent what I am refrencing.
A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears).
A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance.
The formation of triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position.
There should be an existing downtrend in place before the pattern occurs.
The three lows should be roughly equal in price and spaced out from each other. While the price doesn't have to be exactly equal, it should be reasonably close to the same price, such that a trendline is horizontal.
The volume should drop throughout the pattern in a sign that bears are losing strength, while bullish volume should increase as the price breaks through the final resistance.
Triple Bottom on the RSI? Inverse Head & Shoulder?Since Tinley has broken down from a Descending Triangle / Bearish Flag pattern, which outlined in dark red, it appears as though Tinley may have created a Triple Bottom on the RSI.
It looks like an Inverted Head & Shoulders where I have the Blue arrow pointing sideways on the RSI, and at the same time could be a Triple Bottom if there's continued bullish momentum.
The bottom of the descending triangle pattern is where I expect to see a potential bounce 2, if Tinley can release any substantial news there's merit for bullish price movement back into the pattern or slicing through it like butter.
I expect to see rejection or some heavy resistance preventing Tinley from breaking above were the Green arrow ends upward.
The RSI is so oversold on a 1 year chart it's hard not to consider this a screaming buy with blood on the streets, especially considering pending news announcements that could be quite significant in terms of shaping the company's direction going forward.
On a 1 month chart TNY bounced off the 200 Day MA & is currently trading above it.
NBEV bounced off the 200 Day MA strong.Does this potentially indicate a bottom for NBEV? There's a nice rounding bottom that may form a cup & handle
A cup and handle price pattern on bar charts resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "U" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
A cup and handle is considered a bullish continuation pattern and is used to identify buying opportunities.
Traders should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trend line of the handle.
It is worth considering the following when detecting cup and handle patterns:
Length - Generally, cups with longer and more "U" shaped bottoms provide a stronger signal. Avoid cups with a sharp "V" bottoms.
Depth - Ideally, the cup should not be overly deep. Avoid handles that are overly deep also, as handles should form in the top half of the cup pattern.
Volume - Volume should decrease as prices decline and remain lower than average in the base of the bowl; it should then increase when the stock begins to make its move higher, back up to test the previous high.
A retest of previous resistance is not required to touch or come within several ticks of the old high; however, the further the top of the handle is away from the highs, the more significant the breakout needs to be.
The RSI is high on all time frames except on a 5 year chart attached to this one you can notice the RSI is around a 46 which is kinda neutral, it's approaching an area where there's been some moderate resistance, but the RSI has risen to a 94 on the 5 year chart & it's stayed in the high 70s for the 2016, 2017 & 2018 bull run.
It's interesting that they've recently launched a CBD Hemp beverage in Japan.
Is TNY trading in a Bull Flag?Since my previous two post about TNY trading in a bullish flag pattern & a ascending triangle; which both broke out to the upside, it appears as though Tinley is trading in another Bull Flag that may bring us over the 200 Day MA, and there's also a series of micro higher lows.
Only time will tell, but notice on the rsi TNY appears to have a bearish divergence?
Divergence can occur between the price of an asset and almost any technical or fundamental indicator or data. Though, divergence is typically used by technical traders when the price is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator.
Positive divergence signals price could start moving higher soon. It occurs when the price is moving lower but a technical indicator is moving higher or showing bullish signals.
Negative divergence points to lower prices in the future. It occurs when the price is moving higher but a technical indicator is moving lower or showing bearish signals.
Divergence isn't to be relied on exclusively, as it doesn't provide timely trade signals. Divergence can last a long time without a price reversal occurring.
Divergence is not present for all major price reversals, it is only present on some.
ANHEUSER BUSCH INBEV (ANB) SHORTAnheuser Busch InBev is literally printing short as it ticks. Prices just broke out of a bear flag pattern and now is about to do the same thing again. If it works, why change it right? This one will be selling like hot cakes, or rather like Telkom (pun intended).
Sell: At the break of the bear flag pattern.
Target is the bottom of the pattern according to the 90% rule at the 1281.60 price level
Is TNY trading in a Ascending Triangle.Possibly a Symmetrical Triangle as well & coincidently upon breakout would negate the descending triangle pattern which started roughly Nov 19th 2019.
Key Takeaways
Symmetrical triangles occur when a security's price is consolidating in a way that generates two converging trend lines with similar slopes.
The breakout or breakdown targets for a symmetrical triangle is equal to the distance between the initial high and low applied to the breakout or breakdown point.
Many traders use symmetrical triangles in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as a confirmation.
Ascending Triangle Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
TNY is also trading in what's called a Triple Bottom pattern with the first bottom starting roughly Oct 23rd 2019 where I have the red finger pointing right.
Key Takeaways
A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears).
A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance.
The formation of triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position.
The triple bottom is similar to the double bottom chart pattern and may also look like ascending or descending triangles. Traders always look for confirmation of a triple bottom using other technical indicators or chart patterns. For example, traders might note that the stock has an oversold relative strength index ( RSI ) before a double bottom forms and/or look for a breakout to confirm that it's a triple bottom rather than a descending triangle or other bearish pattern .
The MA50&200 are the black lines, plus the 200 Day MA is black as well. TNY is trading between the MA50&200 at the moment. Roughly 48% away from the 200 Day MA, which is better than most cannabis related stocks.
Is TNYBF trading in a Ascending Triangle?We've had the highest volume on the U.S side this year recently, along with the highest short on TNYBF on Dec 24th with 100% of the trades short, keep in mind it's not uncommon to see over 50% of TNYBF short, TNY on the CSE usually trades much higher volume, which is the Canadian ticker symbol.
Anyway, this recent move has put TNYBF over the MA50&200, and it also appears like we're trading in a Ascending Triangle.
Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
Is TNY trading in a Bull Flag or Symmetrical Triangle?Bullish flag formations are found in stocks with strong uptrends. They are called bull flags because the pattern resembles a flag on a pole. The pole is the result of a vertical rise in a stock and the flag results from a period of consolidation. The flag can be a horizontal rectangle, but is also often angled down away from the prevailing trend. Another variant is called a bullish pennant, in which the consolidation takes the form of a symmetrical triangle. The shape of the flag is not as important as the underlying psychology behind the pattern. Basically, despite a strong vertical rally, the stock refuses to drop appreciably, as bulls snap up any shares they can get. The breakout from a flag often results in a powerful move higher, measuring the length of the prior flag pole.
It is important to note that these patterns work the same in reverse & are known as bear flags & bear pennants, but the bullish volume recently indicates that it's unlikely to result in a bearish outcome...
Only time will tell, and when it comes to Tinley Beverages, "My favorite time frame for holding a stock is forever."
Warren Buffett
On a Macro level Tinley has held their share price impressively well comparable to "any cannabis related stock" over the past 4 years boasting roughly 523% gains...
On a Micro level we're potentially seeing a trend change from bearish to bullish, indicators that support my narrative is the recent Triple Bottom pattern that's linked to this chart. Also, the increase in buy volume indicates that short sellers are either losing money in their positions to the downside, or they're running short on shares available to short, or they've simply reached their target buy in price...
Keep in mind hopium is a schedule 1 narcotic & has killed many Moon Boys in the cannabis sector during 2019.....
Is COT trading in a giant Bull Flag?Maybe a descending triangle as well, but seeing the recent bullish upward since Goldman Sachs recommended a buy rating from neutral.
It actually appears as though COT has formed a Triple Bottom, which also appears slightly as a Ascending Triangle. The triple bottom is similar to the double bottom chart pattern and may also look like ascending or descending triangles.
When STZ entered the Cannabis space they used Goldman Sachs to broker the deal.
Goldman Sachs went bullish on Cott a in July, and why? Well, we know Goldman Sachs is supportive of cannabis via the previous brokered deal with STZ & Canopy. They'd be privy to any Safe Banking & States Act regulations, so that may simply be the answer, front running Cott's entry into the cannabis space?
Cott has sold off several assets over the past couple years & have some cash to spend, and seeing so many previous Cott employees in the Cannabis space leads me to believe they may make a surprise entrance into the sector..
Triple Bottom for TNY?It appears as though $TNY may have formed a triple bottom where I have the red fingers pointing right on the chart.
In my previous post linked to this chart I spoke about the descending triangle & potentially testing .335c, clearly visible on this chart we can see .33c is about exactly where a new double bottom was created, and thus potentially creating the third bottom of a triple bottom. We will need to see continued bullish price action next week & break out of this pattern flush to the upside, maybe create a top at 44c & consolidate sideways before continuing, who knows, only time will tell.....
The RSI appears to be breaking out of a Bull Flag, and on 5 year & 1 year time frame the RSI is fairly low with lots of room to move to the upside, "if we're looking at a longer term trend reversal."
Key Takeaways
A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears).
A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance.
The formation of triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position.