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Beyond Technical Analysis

Giveaway: Happy Holidays & Merry Christmas!It's that time of year where we can openly say (without sounding too cringe) how thankful we are to have you. Your unwavering support, charting enthusiasm, and shared passion for the markets is what drives us. You've been the heartbeat of our work and community. As we close the book on another year of trading, we’re reminded that it’s not just the numbers or the record highs — it’s you that makes this journey worthwhile. Happy Holidays from all of us at TradingView! May your holidays be filled with warmth, laughter, and just the right amount of volatility to keep things exciting. 🥂📈 Wishing you a breakout year ahead, fewer false signals, and plenty of wins — on and off the charts. 🥁 And now... 🥁 🎁 THE GIVEAWAY 🎁 Who: 🏆 THREE LUCKY WINNERS 🏆 walk away with prizes What: 🚀 PREMIUM PLAN 🚀 for a full year When: ⏳ JANUARY 3 ⏳ we announce the winners To participate, leave a comment under this Idea, answering the two-part question: 1️⃣ What was your best trade this year? 2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025? And now follow these rules: 1️⃣ Like this Idea 2️⃣ Follow our official account Note: 💡 You can only participate once — three lucky winners will be picked randomly by the TradingView Santa to win a Premium plan for one year. Watch this space — announcing the winners on January 3 !
by TradingView
67
Bitcoin - More blood will follow (Do not buy now, buy here!)Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the banks and huge institutions. They sent Bitcoin down just to make your Christmas and New Year celebrations bad. But luckily I warned you about this crash a few days ago, just before it happened in my previous analysis, when almost everyone was drunk with strong greed. Bitcoin crashed by 15% so far; altcoins are down by 30% to 70%. The last days were very profitable, but let's focus on the future, because that's the most important. Bitcoin bounced a bit from 92k to 99k, giving players hope that the bottom is in. But do not be fooled, this looks like a corrective move for multiple reasons. The first reason is that the crash was extremely fast and strong, pretty much no one expected such a drop in the short term. My Elliott Wave analysis suggests that this is a strong impulse wave 12345 and therefore the start of a larger corrective structure ABC. We have finished wave A, now we are in wave B, and we can expect wave C to finish at around 85k! You want to take a Fibonacci extension, as you can see on my chart. I strongly recommend waiting for 85k because we have an unfilled FVGAP on the daily chart, and this needs to be tested. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
131
"The Liquidity Heist"Alright, let’s break this down because what we’re seeing here is no ordinary chart—this is the battleground where smart money and retail traders collide, and the story it’s telling is absolutely fascinating. First, look at the Pi Cycle Moving Average. This isn’t just any moving average—it’s a dynamic gauge of momentum, and right now, it’s sloping downward. Bears might think they’re in control, but here’s the catch: this MA has been tested repeatedly, and when it flips, it has the potential to spark a significant trend reversal. So, it’s not just a line—it’s the pulse of the market. Now, the Smart Money True Value Line. This green line isn’t some random support. This is where the big players, the whales, the institutions—whatever you want to call them—step in. It’s their hunting ground. When price hovers near this zone, it’s not just a coincidence. It’s where the market pauses, recalibrates, and potentially rebounds. Smart money doesn’t play the same game as retail—they’re the architects of these moves. And what about the VWAP? The 1-Day VWAP is sitting above the current price. What does that mean? It means the market is undervalued compared to where volume-weighted price action expects it to be. It’s like gravity pulling the price upward, creating the perfect setup for a mean reversion. Now, here’s where it gets interesting—the squeeze. See those yellow "+" symbols at the bottom? That’s a volatility squeeze, my friend. The market’s tightening, pressure’s building, and this is where breakouts are born. It’s like a coiled spring just waiting to release its energy. And considering all the factors on this chart, that energy seems primed for an upward explosion. But let’s talk about the manipulation, shall we? Look at that $95,631 level—the stop-loss zone for short positions. This is where retail traders were baited into a trap. Whales engineered this move to trigger stop losses, creating a cascade of selling below that level. And what did they do? They quietly scooped up liquidity, leaving retail traders scrambling while they prepared for the next big move. This isn’t speculation—it’s how the game is played. And those ATR Shark Fins? These are the finishing touch. Every time you see these fins at the bottom of the trend, they’re screaming, ‘Pullback incoming!’ It’s like the market’s way of saying it’s overextended, exhausted, and ready for a reversal. And here they are again, flashing at us like a signal in the dark. So, what’s the verdict? While the bullish arrow is gone, the pieces are still in place. The Smart Money True Value Line, the squeeze, and the manipulation beneath $95,631 all point to one thing: an upward move is brewing. But—and here’s the kicker—we need confirmation. The market loves to keep us guessing, so until we see price action reclaim critical levels, we stay sharp, we stay ready, and we don’t jump the gun. This chart isn’t just data; it’s a story of psychology, manipulation, and opportunity. The question is—are you paying attention? When going long, it's crucial to recognize that upward price movements are likely to face a reversal. This is due to USDT.D manipulation, as seen on the weekly timeframe. I've detailed this setup in my idea titled 'The Institutional Ambush,' which highlights how these patterns are orchestrated by institutional forces. Always trade with caution and awareness of the bigger picture.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
21
"The King's Gambit" To all of you navigating this battlefield with me, let me make one thing clear: the double bottom isn’t just a signal—it’s a declaration of intent. I’ve secured my long position at 1.5, with a strategy that commands respect. This isn’t guesswork; it’s precision. The pattern shows a textbook lower low (LL), higher low (HL), and lower high (LH), all working in tandem with the Bollinger Bands—a dual lower band setup that signals a trend reversal with laser accuracy. The target? S108,502—a zone destined to be conquered, and we’re on the frontlines. But listen closely, because this is where the battle heats up. If USDT.D starts creeping back in, attempting to reclaim control and push Bitcoin’s price downward, I’ll act without hesitation. I’ll close the position, no questions asked. Yes, the potential for S108k is clear, but this isn’t just about potential—it’s about power, precision, and adaptability. This market is a game of strategy, not emotion. We don’t follow the herd; we follow the truth of the charts. The whales may be laying low now, but they’re setting the stage for a move that will catch the unprepared off guard. Retail traders are walking into traps they may not see, but not us. Not here. We play this game differently. We act boldly, with purpose, and we don’t let the noise distract us from the mission. This isn’t just a trade—it’s a statement. We don’t wait for opportunities; we create them. The S108k zone is ours to take, but only if we remain sharp, decisive, and ahead of the game. This is our moment, and I’ll see you at the top. Let’s move like kings and queens—because that’s exactly what we are.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
17
Bitcoin Trades Above $90,000 (Altcoins Trading Strategy)To be a winner in 2025 you need to a buyer now. I am going to share a simple trading strategy for the Altcoins market. It can apply also to Bitcoin but for Bitcoin there is need to wait until a support level is established/confirmed. Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, merry Christmas in advance. To be a winner in 2025, a big winner, you need to be a buyer in 2024. The market has to undergo more consolidation before the next bullish wave. This is normal, here is how it works: First, we had a strong bullish wave. This bullish wave invariable ends in a correction. This correction leads to consolidation and this consolidation leads to a new bullish wave. When the new bullish wave develops, two months from now, there will be another correction and this correction will be followed by additional growth and a major bull-run. This is a long-term perspective. You cannot buy when prices are going up or after the action is in. This would limit your potential for big wins. Here is the strategy simplified: Buy and hold with a waiting time approximating three months. By three months, we are green with 1-level up or 100% profits vs our current entry price. This is a generalization. Some pairs will be at 300% profits while others will be at 20%. It will take 2-3 months for full green and 4-6 months to close a full successful trade. So we are looking at a time horizon of six months and a half for successful spot traders. You can win 400-600% easily on each pair, if the choice is the correct one. We had a preview just last month ending this month. A very long consolidation phase between July and October led to massive growth. We saw some pairs quadrupling or more. Even the big projects with billions of dollars worth of market cap grew several levels, which is amazing. We had a preview in 2023 when everything grew 500%. We have experience from 2021 when the market produced its previous bullish phase. We know what is coming; We know how it all happens; We can prepare in advance. Crypto is going up. We are looking at an awesome opportunity for those who decide to buy and hold. There are many ways to approach the market. This is just a general strategy and must be adapted to your own capital, trading style, risk tolerance and goals. This is not financial advice. You are appreciated. I welcome your continued support. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
3
SOLUSDT - Will this nightmare come true?On October 22, I published this chart, and many were skeptical about what I was talking about. "I share it and u can check the link i left in attachment." Now, this scenario is highly likely, and everything is unfolding as shown in the chart below. You can clearly see the Wyckoff Distribution pattern already formed, and so far, price movements align significantly with the illustration provided. Currently, the price has returned to the distribution zone, hitting the "failed rally point" . All of this appears to have been a trap. And why not?... SOL is one of the largest coins in the market by market cap. Everyone is expecting SOL to achieve x3 or even x10. This makes it entirely logical for the price not to move higher amidst this level of optimism. I’m not entirely pessimistic, but I view things from a purely logical perspective. This pattern is not yet confirmed—we need a massive red candle closing below the distribution zone to confirm it. However, the price movement so far is perfectly aligned with the Wyckoff Distribution logic. If a close below this red zone happens, consider it a signal to exit the market entirely."
by ceciliones
8
BTC/USDT: Breaking Free from a Descending Broadening WedgePattern Breakdown: Descending Broadening Wedge: Characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), this pattern reflects increasing volatility and a potential exhaustion of selling pressure. Historically, these patterns often resolve to the upside as buyers reclaim control. -------------------------------------- Current Structure: BTC has bounced from the lower boundary of the wedge, showing signs of a bullish reversal. The price action aligns well with the theoretical breakout strategy depicted in the diagram, highlighting a high-probability long setup. -------------------------------------- Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the wedge around $98,000 serves as the first hurdle. Breakout Target: A successful breakout above $98,000 could push BTC toward the highlighted supply zone at $101,200-$102,000. Support Levels: Critical support rests near $93,500, where bulls need to maintain control to preserve the bullish outlook. -------------------------------------- Momentum Indicators: Volume: A noticeable decline during the wedge's formation suggests consolidation, often preceding a strong breakout. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is turning upward from oversold levels, signaling increasing buying pressure. -------------------------------------- Trade Setup: Entry: Watch for a confirmed breakout above $98,000. Targets: The first target lies at $101,200, with the potential for further upside toward $105,000 if momentum sustains. Stop Loss: A break below $93,500 invalidates the bullish scenario.
Long
by melikatrader94
13
The Crypto Market Game: How to Win Against Fear and ManipulationDid you really think profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they’ll let you buy low, hold, and sell high without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win. They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will create panic, causing you to sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there’s fear, not sell—because your panic gives them cheap assets. This is how the game works: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sell-off. They make it look like the end of the world so you abandon everything. And when the market rises again, you’re left sitting there asking, “What just happened?” This is not an accident. It’s a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear, forcing you to give up. When you panic, they profit. They don’t just play the market—they play you. That’s why most people never succeed: they fall into the same traps over and over again. People don’t realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They block out the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever. We’ve seen this play out hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them back to you at the top—leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened. Don’t play their game. Play your own.
Education
by CobraVanguard
1
USDJPY Exhibiting a Bullish PatternThe USDJPY a Bullish Pattern Based on the market Condition price will Move in to Buy Side. The Key Resistance Zone to watch the around 160.000if the Price reached or Resistance Zone Could may be Strong selling zone Pressure or a Possible Reversal. Keep Eye on the Target any Fundamental factors such as economic data Releases or geopolitical events that could impact On the USDJPY Price movement During the Day. Rate Share idea Whats Going on Thanks.
Long
by FxJennefir
2
Fed Rate Expectations: How Are They Formed?Changes in the Federal Reserve's funds rate have far-reaching implications for nearly all existing assets. When the rate increases amidst moderate inflation, the U.S. dollar TVC:DXY typically strengthens, attracting capital from both the cryptocurrency and stock markets. Conversely, if inflation is rising rapidly and the Fed is compelled to aggressively raise rates to stabilize the economy, investors often interpret this as a sign of underlying trouble, prompting them to shift their assets into TVC:GOLD . However, it is essential to recognize that the Fed’s decisions are reactions to prevailing economic conditions. More crucially, market expectations regarding the Fed's rate movements—shaped by collective sentiment—play a significant role in shaping economic outcomes. This post explores the factors that form these expectations. 📍 Key Indicators Influencing Expectations for the Fed Funds Rate The market tends to respond significantly only when actual changes in the funds rate diverge from expectations. If adjustments align with market forecasts, the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar typically remains stable. Thus, accurately predicting the Fed's actions is vital for investors and traders. 1. Labor Market Dynamics The labor market is a primary focus for the Fed. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases employment reports every Friday, providing insight into unemployment rates. The Fed maintains a forecast range for acceptable unemployment levels—generally between 4.2% and 4.8%—indicating economic balance. An uptick in unemployment signals economic weakness, often prompting a reduction in the funds rate. Conversely, a decline in unemployment raises concerns about potential economic overheating, which could lead to tighter monetary policy. 2. Inflation Trends The Fed’s target inflation rate is set at 2%. As inflation rises, the Fed typically increases the funds rate to curb borrowing. This was clearly illustrated during the 2022-2023 period, where persistent inflation above 8% led to a series of rate hikes. In contrast, deflation would necessitate maintaining ultra-low funds rates. Additional indicators to monitor include wage trends, inflation expectations, and the consumer price index (CPI). 3. Overall Economic Health Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a key indicator of economic health. Although GDP data is often retrospective, it reflects long-term economic trends. A decline in GDP may prompt the Fed to adopt stimulative monetary policies. Analysts often utilize the GDPNow model, developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, to obtain real-time estimates of U.S. GDP growth. 4. Treasury Yield Curve The yield curve illustrates the relationship between bond yields of different maturities from the same issuer. A flattening yield curve typically signals economic slowdown, while long-term bonds yielding less than short-term bonds can foreshadow a recession. The Fed could respond to such signs by adjusting funds rates higher depending on the crisis’s underlying causes. 5. Global Economic Influences Economic conditions in other major economies, particularly China and the European Union, can indirectly impact the U.S. economy due to deep economic ties. Monitoring central bank funds rates and the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in these regions is essential. 6. The Dollar’s Exchange Rate Against Key Currencies A strong U.S. dollar can adversely affect American exporters. If other central banks, such as the Bank of Japan or the European Central Bank, adopt accommodative monetary policies, the Fed may also consider lowering rates to avoid a detrimental trade balance caused by a strengthening dollar. 7. Market Expectations Investor sentiment creates a feedback loop. With over 50% of Americans investing in equities, a hawkish stance on funds rates tends to increase bond yields and instigate a sell-off in securities, negatively impacting overall economic wealth. Investors’ anticipation of potential rate cuts can pressure the Fed to align with these expectations. 8. Communication from Fed Officials The rhetoric from Fed officials often hints at future monetary policy, providing insights into rate expectations based on their communications. Numerous indicators, including analysts’ forecasts and futures trading on key rates, contribute to understanding the Fed's policies. Due to the complexity of these influencing factors, relying solely on fundamental analysis for trading is not advisable for beginners. 📍 Conclusion Forecasting changes in the Fed's funds rate often begins with the first clear signals about the Fed's potential actions. The primary motivations guiding the Fed are the control of inflation and the management of unemployment—making these two indicators crucial for predictions regarding monetary policy. Additionally, it is essential to consider fundamental factors impacting other major currencies. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
3
XAU recovers - returns to downtrend retest zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651 TP1: $2635 TP2: $2620 TP3: $2610 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599 TP1: $2615 TP2: $2628 TP3: $2640 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
Scam exposed youtu.be 🛑 Honey Scam Unveiled: The video reveals that Honey, a popular browser extension marketed as a money-saving tool, has been involved in questionable practices. It includes deceptive advertising, affiliate fraud, and manipulation of influencers and customers. • 💰 Affiliate Commission Poaching: Honey replaces influencers’ affiliate links with its own during checkout, effectively stealing commissions. This practice impacts both large influencers and smaller creators reliant on affiliate marketing income. • 🔍 Misleading Value Proposition: Honey claims to find the best coupon codes for users but often withholds better codes at the behest of partner businesses, undermining its core promise. • 📊 Business Partnerships: Honey allows businesses to control discount codes on its platform, leading to intentional withholding of higher-value discounts from users. • 🧑‍🎤 Impact on Influencers: Prominent influencers like Linus Tech Tips unknowingly promoted Honey, only to later discover these manipulative practices. Despite ending partnerships, many influencers’ promotions remain live, perpetuating the cycle. • **🤥 False Claims in Marketing: Honey’s advertising is called out for misleading statements such as “you’ll always get the best deal” and “no manual searching needed,” which contradict their actual operations. • **🚨 Consumer Exploitation: Customers often experience Honey providing suboptimal deals or adding its own branded coupon codes instead of genuine discounts. • **📈 Massive Reach: Honey’s marketing campaigns involved sponsorships with over 1,000 YouTube channels, accumulating billions of views. • **📢 Ethical Questions: Despite being exposed, Honey remains active, with little regulatory oversight or accountability, raising concerns about online business ethics. Insights Based on Numbers • $4 Billion Acquisition: Honey was purchased by PayPal for $4 billion, showing the financial stakes behind its practices. • 7.8 Billion Views: Honey’s campaigns amassed almost 8 billion views, illustrating the vast reach and influence of its deceptive marketing. • 89 Cents vs. $35: In one example, Honey poached $35 in affiliate commissions but returned just 89 cents to the customer, highlighting the imbalance in benefits.
NASDAQ:PYPLShort
by justin_p_mcfarland
1
TAO SWING LONG IDEA I know everyone is fearful in the crypto market right now. People are scared to buy at these lows because they believe Bitcoin will likely continue to decline. And yes, that could happen. But guess what? BTC is sitting on daily support. BTC dominance hit 60% and is possibly forming lower highs (check my BTC DOM analysis). The Fear Index is at 54—people are scared. Funding rates are extremely negative. Most assets' RSI levels are oversold (in a bull market!). All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows. Let’s take TAO as an example: We’ve hit a key SR level. The election swing lows have been raided. A 4H bullish HTF shift has occurred—this is my confirmation. Entry: $455 SL: $355 (closing daily below) TP: ATH - $750 Good luck! And remember: buy when they’re scared, and sell when they’re greedy. -AS ALWAYS, MANAGE YOUR RISK-
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
2
Bitcoin (BTC): What’s Next After This Correction?Good morning, trading family! Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is in a correction, and here’s what could happen next: Option 1: BTC corrects to the $84K range and then makes a move to $11K+. Option 2: We drop further into the $74K zone, then push higher. Option 3: A deeper drop to the $60-$55K zone, followed by a recovery. These are the levels I’m watching. Let’s stay focused and be ready for the next big move! Wellness Challenge: I challenge you to try one of the wellness tips that I added to my videos that I did today ! It could be drinking more water, eating better, or taking short breaks. Pick one and stick with it for a week—let me know how it works for you! Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you want more details or want to share how your challenge is going! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
4