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Beyond Technical Analysis

Netflix Eyes $1,200: Can It Break Key Levels to Soar Higher?Good morning, trading family! Netflix (NFLX) is looking exciting right now, and here’s what I’m watching: -If we drop below $973, we might see $950 support come into play. -But if we break above $991, there’s potential for a rally to $1,055 and higher—with $1,200 as the ultimate goal. Big moves could be coming, so keep these levels on your radar! If this analysis helped you, I’d love to hear your thoughts. Drop a comment, give it a like, or share with others. Let’s trade smarter and live better! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
XAUAUD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
OANDA:XAUAUDShort
by Maks_Klimenko
Understanding R/R and Win Rate: The Key to Profitable TradingWhy R/R and Win Rate Matter❓ What’s the one thing that separates consistent traders from those stuck in a cycle of losses? It’s the combination of Risk-to-Reward (R/R) and Win Rate. These two metrics aren’t just numbers—they’re the foundation of every profitable trading strategy. Today, we’ll break down the facts and numbers behind R/R and Win Rate. You’ll learn how to evaluate whether your strategy is sustainable and why high win rates alone might not be enough. Let’s dive in! 🔍 The Relationship Between R/R and Win Rate This chart tells the story: your R/R ratio determines the percentage of trades you need to win to break even. But let’s be clear—breaking even isn’t our goal. We aim for profitability, and that’s only possible when your R/R and Win Rate are optimized. Here are some key examples: R/R = 5:1 (High Risk, Low Reward): Out of 100 trades, you need to win 98% just to break even. One or two losses can wipe out all your profits. Conclusion: This is unsustainable. R/R = 1:1 (Balanced): To break even, you need to win 50% of your trades. While this ratio is popular, achieving consistent profits requires a Win Rate over 80%, which is challenging. R/R = 1:2 (Ideal Minimum): You only need to win 33% of your trades to break even. With a 50-60% Win Rate, your profits can grow exponentially over time. Conclusion: This is the most realistic and effective ratio for both beginner and professional traders. Common Misconceptions About High Win Rates Many traders mistakenly equate high win rates with profitability. While a Win Rate of 80% might sound impressive, it can still lead to losses if paired with poor R/R. Example: Imagine a trader whose win rate is 80%, but their R/R is 5:1. Those 20% losing trades will erase all profits. This is why it’s crucial to analyze both metrics together and not get distracted by flashy results. The Psychology Behind R/R and Losing Streaks 🧠 Losing streaks are inevitable, even with a solid strategy. What matters is how your R/R and mindset help you navigate them: The Role of R/R in Losing Streaks: With an R/R of 1:2, even after a streak of 5 losses, a single win can recover your account. On the other hand, with an R/R of 5:1, a losing streak can wipe you out entirely. Mindset Tip: Don’t fear losses. Instead, focus on executing your strategy consistently. Understand that a few losses won’t hurt your account if your R/R is optimized. Crafting a Sustainable Strategy 🔧 Here’s how to create a strategy that balances R/R and Win Rate: Step 1: Define Your R/R Set a minimum R/R of 1:2 for your trades. This ensures that even with a 40% Win Rate, you remain profitable. Step 2: Backtest Your Strategy Test your strategy on historical data to calculate its true Win Rate. Adjust your R/R based on the results. Step 3: Manage Risk Effectively Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade. This minimizes the impact of losing streaks and allows for long-term growth. 💬 What’s your R/R ratio and how do you manage losing streaks? Share your insights in the comments below! I’m Skeptic , dedicated to simplifying trading and helping you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing together! 🤍
Education
by SkepticWise
3
Is it Time for Commodity Currencies to Shine?As Trump announced tariffs on Canada and Mexico, which was bullish the USD, the CAD closed the day green as Commercial traders are net-long while Speculators are increasing their short position. Will fading this crowded trade (not max crowded yet) end up being one of the better trades during the first quarter of 2025? This is also not the only currency set up that way. Other commodity currencies include the AUD and NZD. These three currencies are where Speculators are most short. Now we wait for the market to confirm the long trade with a news failure. For new followers, the CMR process is to wait for Speculators (both small and large) to become extremely crowded and then fade their trade after a news failure in the market confirms the trade. You want to be on the same side as Commercials when the market turns. Thanks, Jason
CME:6C1!Long
by Crowded_Market_Report
15
Oracle Soars on USA AI Deal – Is $238 Next?Good morning, trading family! Here’s what I’m seeing for Oracle (ORCL) right now: If it can break above $191, we might see it push up to $199–$200. If it clears that, $230–$238 could be the next big move, especially with all the excitement around its role in the $100B U.S. AI project. But let’s stay cautious—if it drops, $179 could be the next level to watch, and if that doesn’t hold, $166 might be in play. If this analysis helped you, drop a comment below! A like, boost, or share would mean the world and help others join the conversation. Let’s crush it this week! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NYSE:ORCLLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
GBPJPY Update: The Bulls Are in Full Control – What’s Next?What’s great, everyone! We’re back with another GBPJPY update, and it’s January 24, 2025. The market has been playing out exactly as we anticipated, and we’ve been capitalizing on every move with precision. If you’ve been following our breakdowns, you’ll remember that on January 17, we entered a long position at the 192.97 level. Some asked if this level would break, and I confidently said yes. Why? Because every retest of the 192.43 structure level held firm, showing strong buying interest. Once we got a confirmed break and close above 193.34 with volume, we knew the next leg higher was coming. Today, we took another long position after an H4 candle closure, targeting the highs at 194.69, which are well within reach. Beyond that, we’re eyeing the 198.10 and 198.85 levels as the market continues to respect the current range. As I always say, the market ranges 75-80% of the time, and knowing how to trade within these areas is key to consistent profits. Looking at the weekly chart, we see a powerful bullish candle forming with strong volume. If it closes this way, I’ll continue looking for buy opportunities up to the range highs. However, if we see weakness or a wick forming at the top, we’ll reassess. Key levels to watch: • Support: 192.43 (previous structure hold) • Targets: 194.69 (hit), 198.10, and 198.85 • Potential pullback areas: 194.00 for a re-entry opportunity As always, the market seeks liquidity, and our entries have been positioned strategically to capture these levels. If you haven’t seen the previous breakdowns, check them out to understand the full picture of this trade. If you’re enjoying these updates and want more in-depth breakdowns, make sure to boost the post, follow, and share with your fellow traders. Stay tuned for the next update as we continue to dominate GBPJPY! See you in the next one – peace!
Long
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
15k Profit on automation to start 2025!Here’s the truth most traders won’t admit: manual trading is dead. Do you think the big players are sitting in front of a screen all day, stressed out, trying to time the markets? No. They’ve moved on. They’ve embraced automation. And now, you can too. My automated strategy on DE40 isn’t just profitable—it’s a weapon. It’s made 77% profit in the last 12 months, has a 67% strike rate, and keeps drawdown under 3%. And the best part? It’s 100% automated. TradingView does the heavy lifting, sending trades to MT4 while I live my life. Yes the above sounds a little extreme to some of you reading this but its the truth! The way i see it is, why waste my time doing something that technology can do for me 🤷🏻‍♂️
ICMARKETS:DE40
by THE_GOLDEN_SUITE
Continue and try to short gold with a target of 2760Dear traders. Gold unexpectedly accelerated during the early hours, surging to around 2778, which was beyond my expectations.Gold has currently reached a maximum of around 2785. It’s evident that the only significant resistance lies at the previous high of 2790 or the psychological level of 2800, leaving limited upside room. Therefore, I continue to advise against chasing long positions on gold in the short term. At this stage, technical indicators have been significantly overshadowed, and market sentiment has become a more critical factor to monitor. In the context of short-term trading, I recommend avoiding long positions to reduce the risk of being trapped at high levels in the event of a sharp selloff triggered by profit-taking or liquidation of long positions. Instead, I prefer taking short positions with well-defined stop-loss levels. Even if gold continues to rise and hits the SL, the loss will be manageable, and the capital will remain intact. On the other hand, if a sudden crash occurs, short positions could yield significant profits. Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
#NAS100USD 4HNAS100USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating increased selling pressure. This bearish reversal pattern suggests that sellers are gaining control, and the price may start moving lower from this area. Forecast: A sell opportunity is expected as the sell engulfing pattern signals a potential bearish reversal. The price is likely to target nearby support levels if the selling momentum continues. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the sell engulfing area after confirmation of continued bearish pressure. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the sell engulfing candlestick to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target significant support levels below for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The sell engulfing candlestick pattern reflects bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential reversal from the current resistance area. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to align with market momentum.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
Scalping ! XAU ! old ATH SELL entry 2788⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Markets are increasingly anticipating that the US Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice this year as inflationary pressures in the US show signs of easing. On Friday, President Trump described his conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping as amicable and expressed optimism about reaching a trade deal with China, adding that he prefers to avoid tariffs. This has helped ease concerns over Trump's protectionist policies driving inflation higher, reinforcing expectations of further Fed policy easing and supporting the appeal of the non-yielding Gold price. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Uptrend - positive market sentiment, may surpass ATH 2788 soon ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2788 - $2790 SL $2793 TP1: $2784 TP2: $2778 TP3: $2770 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
BANKNIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:** This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. **Entry/Exit Points:** - **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above. - **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below. **Timeframe:** Use a 5 timeframe for trading. **Risk Disclaimer:** This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by nandupk
1
NIFTY 50 KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:** This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. **Entry/Exit Points:** - **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above. - **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below. **Timeframe:** Use a 5 timeframe for trading. **Risk Disclaimer:** This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
NSE:NIFTY
by nandupk
1
NZDCAD Will this Evening Star give us some nice pips? NZDCAD formed an evening star pattern. The name is not important but the price action (bullish trend followed by indecision and then by a strong bearish move) could be. Time will tell. Switch to your daily chart and note that all this is happening at a significant s/r level. This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
Swiss Franc / Japanese YenHello dear traders, I have analyzed the CHF/JPY (Swiss Franc to Japanese Yen) chart, which clearly indicates strong selling zones. Since this chart is in a Daily timeframe and bearish, we will focus on the selling positions of this chart and I will update it when the price reaches those levels. I have drawn a Downtrend Line to show that if I receive confirmation above this trend line, I can update potential selling positions. Based on my analysis, you can enter buy trades up to the specified areas of Order Block (Decisional), POI (Point of Interest), and Extreme, and set your targets in these regions. Please note that the best timeframe for getting confirmations and entries is the 15-Minute. Fundamental Insights Considering recent economic conditions, the Japanese Yen is under pressure from various factors, including the monetary policies of the Bank of Japan and interest rates. Although there have been some recent concerns about the strength of the Japanese economy, this may continue to apply pressure on the Yen, thus contributing to the ongoing bearish trend in this chart. Overall, based on the fundamental situation and technical analysis, there is a likelihood of continued bearish trend in this chart. This analysis can help you make better decisions. Wishing you all the success! Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)."
by fereydoon1199
A much needed resting day within a bullish backdrop for $SPXIdeally, I would like to see a few more days of resting / corrective activity, following 6 straight days of range expansion, and a prior pivot high is a logical place for a dip or an inside day. Let's look at sector-by-sector analysis, using The Strat method: 1) Look at the colour of the candle on each timeframe to determine who is in control: bulls or bears✅ 2) Make sure the top sectors of CBOE:SPX are confirming the index-level picture. Currently AMEX:XLY is showing some discord. Okay ✅ but something to watch for. 3) Make sure the lower timeframe timeframes confirm the thesis of the higher timeframes. They should be aligned to avoid chop. All green on the month. ✅
CBOE:SPXLong
by gkretinin