NQM2025 outlook for the week ahead 05/19/2025Hello World.
for the week ahead i have a bullish bias im looking to target the bearish fvg created on mon 24 feb 2025 ( daily TF) i expect the fvg formed on tue 13may2025 (Daily TF) reject the price higher, if the bullish fvg didnt hold maybe we will se a drop to the V.I bellow.
i will give updates
Beyond Technical Analysis
Market next move 🔺 Disruption to Bearish Thesis
1. Strong Bullish Momentum Recently
Recent candles show a series of green bullish candles with increasing size.
Indicates strong buying interest—not a sign of exhaustion, which would support further downside.
2. Volume Spike on Green Candles
Volume surged during the recent bullish candles.
This typically signals accumulation, not distribution — contradicting the bearish outlook.
3. Failure to Break Key Support
Price previously bounced sharply from below 33.0000, showing buyers defended that zone.
This bounce suggests the support is strong, weakening the argument for a move toward the lower target.
4. Reversal Pattern Possible (Double Bottom)
The chart may show early signs of a double bottom or higher low, both bullish reversal signals.
These patterns would negate the bearish projection if confirmed with a higher high.
5. Divergence from US Dollar Weakness
If the US Dollar shows weakness, silver could rally due to its inverse correlation.
The marked target may not be achieved if macro forces support precious metals.
BTCUSD Analysis – Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Action + Target🧭 Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Explained
Mirror Market Concepts analyze repeating emotional and structural patterns in the market—like looking at a price “mirror” that reflects past movements into the present. Core tools include:
Mind Curve Resistance/Support
CHoCH (Change of Character)
BOS (Break of Structure)
Price Reflection Zones
These tools let us understand not just what price is doing—but why it's reacting at specific levels.
📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
🔹 1. Black Mind Curve Support & Resistance
The chart is framed between a rising support curve and a descending resistance curve, forming a psychological squeeze zone.
These mind curves represent subconscious institutional memory—where reactions often repeat based on historical liquidity and risk-off/on behavior.
🔹 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
Price broke below a previous minor higher low, shifting sentiment from bullish to neutral/bearish.
This CHoCH happened within the mind curve boundary, signaling that we’re transitioning into a decision phase.
🔹 3. Major BOS (Break of Structure)
The BOS occurred during the recent drop, confirming sellers took temporary control.
However, price respected the lower mind curve support, which may still hold as the "mirror zone."
🔹 4. Key Compression Pattern (MMC Symmetry)
Price is forming a symmetrical wedge between the two curves, often seen in MMC just before a major explosive move.
The pattern resembles past behavior where price compressed before breaking out in either direction.
🎯 Potential Scenarios (Plotted on Chart)
📈 Bullish Path:
If BTC breaks above the descending curve + confirms above 109,000, we may see:
✅ Target 1: 111,000 (BOS retest)
✅ Target 2: 112,500–113,000 zone (previous emotional high + liquidity sweep)
📉 Bearish Path:
A breakdown below 107,000 and curve support suggests sellers regain control:
⚠️ Target 1: 105,000 (local demand zone)
⚠️ Target 2: 102,500–103,000 (full MMC retrace)
⚠️ Watchlist Considerations:
Two key economic news events (highlighted on chart) could serve as catalysts.
Wait for confirmation and volume breakout before committing to either side.
This is a textbook MMC compression pattern, and patience is key before reacting.
🧠 What Makes This an MMC Setup?
🔄 Mirror Reflection of past rallies and drops forming current wedge
🧩 Mind Curve Boundaries acting like subconscious trend guides
🔁 CHoCH + BOS sequencing for momentum shift detection
💡 Psychological memory zones holding strong reactions
📌 Summary
BTC is caught in a psychological squeeze between mind curve support and resistance.
Structure favors a coming breakout or breakdown, but confirmation is critical.
MMC tools show a high-probability setup—either toward 112K or 103K based on where the breakout happens.
📣 Community CTA (Call-to-Action):
📊 How are you trading this BTC curve compression?
💬 Share your charts, setups, or alternate views below. Let’s decode the market mirror together.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Full Analysis – MMC Strategy in Action + Target🧠 What is Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)?
MMC is a psychological and technical framework that interprets market movements as mirrors of past behaviors, often using curves, rays, and emotional imprints to forecast price flow. It assumes that price reacts not just to levels but to memory zones left by institutional actions.
🧭 Chart Overview and Interpretation
1. Black Mind Curve Resistance:
The black curved line represents a dynamic resistance zone where the market previously showed sensitivity.
It aligns with psychological levels where institutional interest faded, marking a high-probability rejection point.
Note the smooth arc — MMC suggests such curves reflect subconscious market resistance.
2. Blue Ray – Institutional Reaction Line:
The blue ray points to a previous impulsive reaction zone near 3,320, marking an emotional high.
Price sharply rejected this area again, creating a mirror rejection.
This symmetry is key in MMC — the present move is reflecting the structure of the past.
3. SR Interchange Zone (Support-turned-Resistance):
Around the 3,290 level, price previously bounced from this zone (demand), but it has now flipped to act as resistance.
This SR Interchange is significant in MMC as it represents a "mental switch" — demand has turned into fear-based supply.
4. Break of Market Structure + Retest:
A clean break below the short-term bullish trendline followed by a rejection retest confirms the shift in structure.
This breakdown confirms bears are in control for now.
The recent candles show clear rejection wicks from the retest zone.
🎯 Trade Plan (Bearish Setup)
Entry Zone:
🔹 Enter between 3,275 – 3,285, where price is rejecting the SR flip and mind curve.
Target Zone:
🎯 First TP: 3,250 (MMC Support Zone – highlighted in purple below)
🛑 Optional Second TP: 3,240 if momentum continues post-news event.
Stop Loss:
🔺 Above 3,300 to allow space for false spikes, just beyond the curve rejection zone.
📉 Why This Setup Works (Psychological Flow)
The current price action is mirroring the left side of the chart — the same way price impulsively rose from a zone, it's now impulsively falling back into it.
The rejection from the Black Curve and Blue Ray are not just technical — they are emotional resistance zones, meaning institutions remember the reaction.
This creates internal balance that MMC traders look to exploit, riding the memory of the market.
🔔 Risk Factors & Considerations
Watch for the USD-related news event on the calendar (noted on chart). If high-impact, it can cause volatility and short-term spikes.
If price breaks and holds above 3,300, the bearish idea becomes invalid — don’t fight the market.
🧵 MMC Concepts Highlighted in This Chart
Black Mind Curve Zone – Dynamic psychological resistance
Blue Ray – Emotional ray from institutional rejection
SR Interchange – Support becomes resistance
Mirror Symmetry – Price behavior is reflecting the past
Emotional Imprint Zones – Past reactions leave future footprints
🗨️ Community Call-to-Action (CTA)
💬 What’s your view on GOLD today? Are you using Mirror Market Concepts in your trading?
Drop your thoughts, charts, or alternate views below — let’s build solid MMC case studies together!
Macro-Economic Correlations of GOLD and BITCOINGold and Bitcoin: Macro-Economic Correlations, Scarcity, and Resilience in Times of Uncertainty by Coach Miranda Miner
In the ever-evolving tapestry of global markets, few assets have commanded as much attention, debate, and reverence as gold and bitcoin (BTC). Both have emerged as symbols of scarcity and resilience, standing against inflationary pressures and systemic monetary risks. Yet, while one asset has roots in millennia of economic history, the other—Bitcoin—has in barely over a decade carved its niche as “digital gold.”
Let’s delve deeper into their macro-economic correlation, time tolerance for holding, and their distinct roles as inflation hedges, supported by historical data and market dynamics.
1. Scarcity: The Foundation of Trust Gold:
Historically, gold has been the epitome of finite supply. The World Gold Council estimates total above-ground gold stocks at around 208,874 tonnes (2024), with new supply growing annually at roughly 1.5%.
Gold’s price reflects its scarcity: from $35 per ounce in 1971 (when the US abandoned the Bretton Woods system) to an all-time high of $2,450 per ounce in 2024, reflecting a 6,900% appreciation over five decades.
Bitcoin (BTC):
Coded with a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, with over 19.7 million mined as of 2025, Bitcoin embodies digital scarcity.
The halving cycles (every ~4 years) further restrict new supply, reducing miner rewards from 50 BTC (2009) to 3.125 BTC per block (2024).
Price journey: from $0.003 in 2010 to a peak of $73,750 in March 2024, before consolidating around $107,000–$110,000 in mid-2025.
2. Macro-Economic Context and Correlations Inflation Hedge:
Both gold and Bitcoin have historically rallied during periods of monetary easing and high inflation. For instance:
Gold surged post-2008, as central banks adopted quantitative easing (QE); it peaked near $1,900/oz in 2011.
Bitcoin rose from $5,000 in March 2020 to over $68,000 by November 2021, fueled by QE, pandemic relief packages, and inflation fears.
Real Yields and Liquidity:
Gold’s price often inversely correlates with real yields (nominal yield minus inflation). As real yields drop (due to loose monetary policy), gold becomes more attractive.
Bitcoin’s price shows liquidity sensitivity to global M2 money supply. When central banks inject liquidity, Bitcoin rallies; when tightening occurs (like in 2022–23), corrections follow.
3. Time Tolerance for Holding: Patience Rewarded Gold:
A long-term investor in gold (e.g., since 1971) has enjoyed CAGR ~7.9%, but with long consolidation periods—like the 20-year sideways move from 1980–2000, where prices stagnated between $400–$600/oz.
The recent breakout above the 2011 high of $1,900/oz, reaching new highs near $2,450, demonstrates gold’s cyclic nature—rewarding the patient holder.
Bitcoin:
BTC's volatility is far higher. Short-term corrections of 50–85% have been common (e.g., 2022 bear market, down from $69K to $15.5K).
However, long-term holders (e.g., 5–10 years) have seen compounded annual growth rates (CAGR) of >100%.
The current consolidation (~$107K, 2025) mirrors gold’s historic breakout pattern (as seen in the late 2000s for gold).
4. Key Price Levels: Historical Milestones
Asset Year Price Milestone
Gold 1971 $35/oz
Gold 1980 $850/oz (Volcker shock, inflation peak)
Gold 2011 $1,900/oz (post-GFC rally)
Gold 2024 $2,450/oz (new all-time high)
Bitcoin 2010 ~$0.003
Bitcoin 2013 $1,000
Bitcoin 2017 $19,800
Bitcoin 2021 $69,000
Bitcoin 2024 $73,750
Bitcoin 2025 ~$107,000
5. Why Both Assets Matter Today Scarcity in a Fiat World:
As central banks continue expansive monetary policies—global M2 reaching record highs—investors are increasingly drawn to assets that cannot be "printed."
Bitcoin’s Unique Appeal:
Borderless, censorship-resistant, and instantly transferable, BTC offers unique properties for a digital age.
Gold’s Enduring Legacy:
Despite Bitcoin’s rise, central banks still hold over 35,000 tonnes of gold in reserves. It remains the ultimate collateral.
6. Conclusion: Time, Tolerance, and Trust
Whether one holds gold through turbulent decades or Bitcoin through volatile months, both assets demand a unique time tolerance and conviction in scarcity-driven value. Their charts, mirroring similar breakout patterns—gold’s multi-decade wedge and Bitcoin’s rising triangle—suggest that patient holders, willing to weather macro-economic storms, may find themselves handsomely rewarded.
In a world where inflation erodes fiat, and monetary policies grow unpredictable, gold and Bitcoin stand as anchors of trust. Their trajectories remind us that while history rhymes, the future favors those who understand the interplay of scarcity, macroeconomics, and resilience.
🔗 Stay Ahead of the Curve with Coach Miranda Miner!
For expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth market analysis, follow Coach Miranda Miner across platforms:
🌐 Website: www.globalmirandaminer.com
📘 Facebook: www.facebook.com
🐦 Twitter (X): x.com
🌟 OKX for Trading: www.okx.com
Stay informed. Stay resilient. Invest wisely.
ETH Market AnalysisETH has been consolidating for 19 days and 17 hours within the price range of 2,268.67 USDT to 2,738.54 USDT . Today, ETH broke the Weak Swing High , resulting in a Break of Structure (BOS) . Currently, ETH has reached the Daily Supply Zone at 2,746.00 USDT to 2,859.79 USDT . If ETH successfully breaks above this level, it could trigger a significant bullish momentum—potentially leading altcoins into a strong rally .
Note: Only ETH will drive the altcoin season .
Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated?Overview:
Gold has shown renewed bullish momentum, recently testing the 3360+ zone. While the rally appears impulsive, system-based structure mapping suggests it may still be part of a broader setup — not the true breakout.
We're observing a possible ABCDE triangle structure, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this scenario holds, the market could revisit levels below 3044, possibly toward 2950–3000, before completing Wave-E and resuming the larger bullish move.
This aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where current highs serve to attract buyers before a deeper liquidity move unfolds.
❗ If the 3-Drive pattern is invalidated and price sustains above 3366, the downside leg may already be complete — meaning Wave-E might be in progress.
🔍 Market Intention
Signs of liquidity hunting above 3360 hint at unfinished business by Smart Money (SM) - drawing in late buyers.
Market may be positioning to sweep lows before revealing its actual direction.
🎯 Action Zone
Anticipate rejection or weakness in the 3360–3370 resistance zone.
If a lower high confirms here → potential downside toward the 3040–2950 zone.
If price breaks and holds above 3366 impulsively, it may signal early Wave-E continuation.
Bullish setups become favorable below 3044, where liquidity is likely absorbed — confirmation from the system remains key before acting.
📌 System-Based Order Limits (4H–Daily Confluence)
Bias >Entry Zone >Stop Loss (SL) >Take Profit (TP)
Sell Setup >3354.33 >3364.14 >3342.15
Buy Setup >3345.86 >3336.05 >3358.04
📌 System-Based Order Limits (Daily–Weekly–Monthly Confluence)
Levels derived based on structured order-flow logic. Not financial advice. Use them as context for anticipation and invalidation.
🔹 Daily Order Limits
Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP)
Buy 3350.95 3281.20 3399.82
Sell 3302.39 3372.14 3253.52
🔸 Weekly Order Limits
Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP)
Buy 3335.02 3192.49 3434.89
Sell 3235.80 3378.33 3135.93
🔻 Monthly Order Limits
Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP)
Buy 3374.47 3097.33 3568.65
Sell 3181.54 3458.68 2987.36
🔁 How to Use This Information
Anticipation Zones: These are not "trade calls" — rather, they’re zones of interest where Smart Money might act.
Cross-Validation : Look for price reactions around these levels aligned with structure, volume, and bias thresholds.
Invalidation Clarity: If price breaks and holds above/below the SL levels, reassess the current wave position or pattern unfolding.
🧠 Final Insight
Including these order levels allows traders to:
Frame entries based on their preferred timeframes
See how short-term setups may align or contradict macro levels
Plan decisions more systematically, reducing emotional entries
🧠 Decision Framework
Instead of reacting emotionally, allow structure to lead the logic.
Let the market show its hand — real confirmation comes after traps are complete.
The true opportunity lies after the liquidity event, not during it.
> Timing Consideration: > When price moves past the Red, Grey, Green, and Blue dynamic levels , it signals a potential shift—prompting readiness for entry. However, action should only be taken once a Buy/Sell order signal appears and is confirmed by the next closed candle. This ensures structured execution and prevents premature entries.
💡 This scenario is structured based on system rules, not prediction. Market intent unfolds dynamically — understanding the setup allows better anticipation and discipline.
The key-level to watch for Grey, Green and Blue dynamic level for guides:
Daily TF
Weekly TF
Monthly TF
As of the time writing this update – the micro cycle and key-level are relevant for watch:
2H TF
M45 TF
M15 TF
Is alt season still coming?Hello there!
This idea to continue my previous idea about BTC here
Then, what next?
Let's breakdown money flow in term about alt season path
1. First phase the BINANCE:BTCUSD must blow up, it mean the money goes to Bitcoin
1.5. Money flow transition, from Bitcoin euphoria to Ethereum
2. Second phase, is Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin
2.5. Money flow transition, from Ethereum euphoria to big cap altcoins
3. Third phase, Big Cap altcoin with strong fundamental are going parabolic
3.5.Money flow transition to more altcoin, small cap, mid cap, whatever it is, if the fundamental good and the narrative match, it will going up.
4. Fourth phase, alt season when almost everything have high chance to prices surges, green everything.
Now, in which phase?
I think we still in First phase, but it still not complete yet.
So, I prepare to watch this sign for phase 1.5:
Bitcoin dominance. This indicator for "where the money on", if the Bitcoin dominance going down, it's a sign if the money moving slowly to another asset. (according to the path, the money will move to Ethereum)
Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index . This add on indicator for watch the sentiment from US investor (especially large institution) to Bitcoin.
Ethreum netflow . This to see how big the Ethereum netflow from exchange. You can watch and learn there.
Then, what should we do now?
Watch the sign from the BTC and ETH price, for sure with the 3 indicator above.
My prediction is bitcoin price will sideways for a while or little bit down , but the dominance will slowly going down. From recent candle, BTC make descending candle and ETH make ascending candle.
Let's wait and see!
Thankyou for reading, I hope everyone have a good day!
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 29th May 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Prelim GDP q/q
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-Strong bearish momentum during market open
-Looking for price to continue to reach 0.618 fib level
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3280
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 29th May 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Prelim GDP q/q
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-Strong bearish momentum during market open
-Looking for price to continue to reach 0.618 fib level
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3280
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
AUDJPY bullish continuation for expect
OANDA:AUDJPY we are have strong bullish push from 22.April, price is start reversing from 14.5., currently how looks price is find ground on strong zone 92.100, based on PA what can see we will have strong bullish push here.
SUP zone: 92.550
RES zone: 95.500, 96.300
BITCOIN LOCAL LONG|
✅BITCOIN is trading along the rising support line
And as the coin is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above at 110k$
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
With Bullish bias into new Week - 2025/05/26Last week, I published my idea for a whole week with daily updates for the first time. You can read about it here:
🎯 The target of $3348 was reached on Friday due to the announcement of new tariffs against the European Union.
💡 Here is my idea for the week from May 26-30, 2025.
First things first, the Friday session last week ended with bullish momentum. Even though the gold price consolidated more at the $3366 mark, it was obviously to allow time to pass and calm down stressed values like EMA or MACD. This is a very good sign for the start of the week because if the Asia timezone takes the invite, the gold price has a good chance to rise. My expectation is a bullish GAP right at the beginning; if so, it's a clear sign for the rest of the day, in my opinion. These thoughts would support my goal from above $3500 during the week.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
The ceasefire from May 10 remains tense but intact. Both sides claim victory, while Pakistan strengthens ties with China. Cross-border attacks have ceased, but mutual distrust persists.
➡️ Situation remains fragile; renewed escalation is possible.
Gaza Conflict
Israel intensifies "Gideon’s Chariot" with ground forces in Khan Younis. Mass evacuations and high civilian casualties worsen the humanitarian crisis. Peace talks have stalled as the offensive continues.
➡️ No relief in sight; humanitarian conditions are deteriorating further.
Russia / Ukraine
On May 24, Russia launched its largest air assault yet with 367 missiles and drones—13 civilians were killed. Just before, both sides exchanged 1,000 prisoners. Peace talks remain suspended.
➡️ Violence is escalating; a ceasefire remains out of reach.
U.S.–China Trade War
The 90-day tariff pause triggered a rush to import from China. Shipping bottlenecks and high freight rates are straining businesses. Structural issues remain unresolved.
➡️ Short-term easing; long-term tensions persist.
Trade War on global view
The global trade war has escalated in May 2025, with the U.S. imposing a 50% tariff on EU imports and a 25% levy on foreign-made smartphones, citing trade imbalances. The EU has condemned these moves, warning of potential retaliation. In response to U.S. tariffs, China has restricted rare earth exports, impacting global supply chains. ASEAN nations, heavily affected by U.S. tariffs ranging from 10% to 49%, are urging deeper regional integration to mitigate economic disruptions. The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts to 2.8% for 2025, citing trade tensions and policy uncertainty. Supply chains are being restructured, with companies shifting production to countries like Vietnam and Mexico. Financial markets are volatile, with increased inflationary pressures and investor anxiety.
➡️ Emerging markets face currency volatility and economic instability due to the ongoing trade conflicts.
⚖️Trump vs. Powell
President Trump increases pressure on Fed Chair Powell to cut rates. The Fed holds interest rates at 4.25–4.5% and warns of inflation. A 10% staff reduction is planned to boost efficiency.
➡️Political interference is increasingly destabilizing markets.
U.S. Inflation – April 2025
Inflation dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021. However, consumer inflation expectations remain high at 7.3%. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️A clear gap is emerging between official data and public perception.
🔋 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
📊 Analysis: May 19–24, 2025
Weekly Low: $3,204 (May 20)
Weekly High: $3,366 (May 23)
Weekly Close (May 23): approx. $3,358
Total Gain: +5%
🟢 Trend: A clear uptrend is evident. After hitting a low of $3,204 on May 20, gold experienced a strong rally, forming consistently higher highs and higher lows. A brief pullback on May 22 was quickly bought up.
📈 Structure: A series of bullish flag patterns developed, each resolving to the upside. The high at $3,366 currently marks the most significant resistance level.
🔮 Outlook from May 26, 2025
Resistance: $3,366 (recent high)
Support: $3,310 (last local low), below that $3,280 (breakout zone)
Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above $3,310
📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout: A sustained breakout above $3,366 could unlock further upside potential toward the $3,390–$3,410 area. When Asia session starting with bull GAP the Scenario is the one i preffer.
📌 Scenario 2 – Pullback: A retracement to the $3,310–$3,280 zone would be a healthy correction within the trend, provided this zone holds.
🧭 Conclusion:
Gold remains in a steady uptrend. As long as support levels hold, a continuation toward $3,500 is likely. RSI may be overbought on higher timeframes, so short-term consolidations are possible, but structurally the setup remains bullish.
Anything to ad? Feel free to tell your thoughts.
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Duolingo (DUOL) – Long Setup IdeaTicker: NASDAQ:DUOL
Entry level: $530.50
Stop: $502.00
📊 Setup Rationale
• Post earning consolidation on 10MA
• Tight consolidation between $500–530 with decreasing volume – signs of institutional accumulation
• High ADR (~$17) confirms strong potential for sharp moves
• Earnings winner and sector leader in EdTech
• Breakout over $530.94 (day high) confirms the trigger, but still low volume – needs follow-through
🛑 Risk Management
• Stop at $502, just below the tight consolidation zone
• Risk per share: $27.73
• R-multiple target:
• 1R: $557.46
• 2R: $585.19
• 3R: $612.92
🔔 Next Levels to Watch
• Reclaim $530.94 with volume for breakout confirmation
• Watch for a push through $540–550 range to show strength
• Alert set at $524 for reevaluation if weakness persists
DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
GOLD - LET CLIMB THE MOUNTAIN OF GOLDTeam, I was being patience for a week, did couple of long position, then short then long.
But this time I wait and wait until it reach my entry range price
GOLD is good to entry NOW
target 1 at 3272-3276
Target 2 at 3283-3306
STOP LOSS at 3232 - Once it hit our first target - bring stop loss to BE
i expect the GOLD will likely recover a little during TOKYO, but definitely fly back during UK market opening..
so therefore you need to be patience on this.. as the TRENDING still down trend.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Break & Retest of ATH Signals Uptrend to $120K?Overview Summary
Bitcoin ( COINBASE:BTCUSD ) is retesting a major zone after its breakout above the previous ATH resistance zone of $105K–$107K, a level that previously marked the top of the 2024 cycle before it pulled back to $76K. This chart now shows BTC pulled back from $111K highs, potentially validating a classic "break and retest" pattern and continuation of the overall trend.
Price action is unfolding within a clean ascending uptrend channel structure that has defined the bull trend since late March. With BTC currently testing the upper boundary of this previous major resistance zone ($105K–$107K), this area now acts as the "make-or-break level" for the long awaited bull run.
If buyers continue to hold this level, the market may resume its upward momentum with heavy strength, opening the door to the next leg towards our medium term target of $120K+ as projected by the channel extension. However, a decisive close below $105K would invalidate this near-term structure and suggest deeper consolidation or a sentiment reset.
Key Technical Structure
Major Resistance & Support: $105K–$107K
Trend Channel: Active
Short Term Resistance: $112K
Key Target Zone: $118K–$122K
Invalidation Zone: < $105K
Why This Setup Matters
This is a textbook breakout retest structure, when previous cycle highs are reclaimed and flipped into support, it often sets the stage for rapid continuation. The fact that BTC is pausing here rather than collapsing suggests the market is preparing for this decision.
Break & Retest at this current price zone would:
Reinforce bullish market structure
Invite trend-following buyers and institutions waiting for confirmation
Set up asymmetric long entries targeting $120K
Signal broader strength across the crypto market, likely dragging other cryptos upward
Future Outlook & Trade Setup
If BTC respects the $105K–$107K zone, we anticipate a strong push toward the next major resistance zone between near $120K. Watch for volume and wick rejection to confirm demand.
Trade Plan (If Support Holds)
Entry: < $107K
Short-Term Target: $112K
Long-Term Target: $120K+
Invalidation: Break below $105K
Final Take
Bitcoin is at a pivotal zone where market memory and technical structure converge. If this retest holds, it validates a breakout continuation structure with room to run toward $120K+.
If this zone fails, we expect a deeper retest into $100K–$102K or lower.
U Unity Potential Buyout Soon?!If you missed my previous signal on U (Unity):
Now Unity Technologies (NYSE: U) just caught fire — surging 12.5% in a single day — on a massive uptick in volume that should have every sharp trader watching closely. With $39.1M in volume against a daily average of 9.4M shares, something is clearly brewing beneath the surface.
But this isn’t just about technicals — the options market is lighting up with unusual activity, and there’s fundamental buyout potential that’s getting harder to ignore.
🔍 Options Traders Are Making Bold Bets
Yesterday: Traders loaded up on January 16 $37 strike calls — deep out-of-the-money, high-risk, high-reward plays.
Today: A massive $3.5 million bet was placed on the $30 strike calls, also expiring January 16.
These aren’t casual bets. This is smart money positioning for a potential takeover or major catalyst, and the timeline is clear: January 2025.
📈 Why a Buyout Could Be Back on the Table
Let’s rewind. On August 9, 2022, AppLovin (APP) made an unsolicited offer to acquire Unity in an all-stock deal worth $17.5B, valuing Unity shares at $58.85 — an 18% premium at the time. Unity rejected the deal.
Fast forward to today:
AppLovin's market cap has exploded — now sitting at a jaw-dropping $127B, up 3,800% since late 2022.
Unity, meanwhile, is a shadow of its former self, trading far below its ATH of $201.12 (November 2021), with ongoing struggles in monetization and competition.
But this disparity creates a prime M&A setup:
AppLovin now has the firepower and strategic incentive to revisit the acquisition — with Unity’s depressed valuation, it’s arguably a bargain.
The AI + gaming narrative is red hot. Combining Unity’s engine with AppLovin’s ad and monetization capabilities could be the synergy Wall Street loves.
🎯 The Trade Setup
Unity just broke out with conviction on high volume — this could be the first leg of a larger move.
Options flow suggests bullish sentiment into early 2025.
A renewed takeover offer could easily push the stock back toward the $50–60 zone, if not higher.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Unity is no stranger to volatility, but when volume spikes, options explode, and a cash-rich suitor like AppLovin is thriving, traders should sit up and pay attention.
We may be watching the early stages of a buyout story 2.0 unfold — and Wall Street might be starting to price it in.
📌 Watch Unity (U) closely in the coming weeks. The market may be whispering — or shouting — "Takeover incoming."
Important Support and Resistance Areas: 16.72-19.52
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(LINKUSDT 1D chart)
The important support and resistance range is 16.72-19.52.
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin only when it rises above this range.
To do so, we need to see if the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
In other words, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 15.14.
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If it fails to rise,
1st: 12.49
2nd: 6.70
We need to check whether there is support around the 1st and 2nd ranges above.
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If it rises above the important support and resistance range, the first resistance range is expected to be around 23.98.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is a description of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Check if it can hold the price above 26.37
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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Hyperliquid token is a decentralized exchange token.
It forms the Hyperliquid Ecosystem.
To see if Hyperliquid can survive in the coin market in the future, we will have to see if the ecosystem expands.
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(HYPEUSDT 1D chart)
We need to see if the price can be maintained by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (35.51).
If so, the next target range is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio 1.618 (51.70).
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The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 26.37 point.
Therefore, if it falls, we need to check if it is supported near the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
The current volume profile section is formed over the 19.59-23.19 section.
Therefore, if it falls to the maximum, it is expected that the 19.59-23.19 section will act as a strong support.
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(30m chart)
Since the chart was created not long ago, it is difficult to analyze the chart over a long period of time.
Therefore, when trading these coins (tokens), it is recommended to trade mainly in short-term trading (day trading) or increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit by increasing the number of coins (tokens).
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The basic trading strategy is to buy when it receives support near the HA-Low indicator and sell when it meets the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises near the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward trend, so you should think about how to proceed with a split transaction.
If it is resisted and falls near the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise downward trend, so you should also think about a response plan for this.
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In any case, you can see that it must rise above 33.89 to continue the upward trend.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise with support near 33.17-33.89.
Currently, OBV > OBV EMA, so when it rises above the High Line, you should check whether it can maintain the price by rising above the 33.17-33.89 range.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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